Do you believe in 100,000 yuan for a house in the next two years?

The rise in housing prices in China is mainly due to the advancement of urbanization, with the influx of migrant workers in first- and second-tier cities, and the housing prices in third- and fourth-tier cities mainly affected by shantytown reform. By 2020, most of the work has been basically completed, and it is inevitable that it will be tightened in the future.

In addition, housing prices are also affected by policy, land, population, the current national policy for housing is "housing not speculation", affected by this policy, real estate will no longer be a good way to invest, under the premise of "housing not speculation", the country has made it clear that in 2020 to implement the city's governance, so the future housing prices will not have much decline or increase.

Inflation, the purchasing power of the RMB is becoming weaker and weaker, which also leads to the fact that real estate will not be significantly reduced, which is difficult to say. Labor is becoming more and more expensive, which also leads to an increase in the cost of real estate, and the increase in cost will inevitably be apportioned to consumers, so it is difficult to land ****, the land area of China's livable cities is numerous, not unlimited, and the building land is less, **natural**, land****, housing prices will naturally **.

However, the current situation of real estate in China is to destock, for the time being, housing prices will not have a big increase, but to say that the next two years of housing prices of 100,000 sets, this is a fantasy. Capital is mercenary, if the sales price is not as good as the cost, who will do real estate.

At most, it's just inflation, which raises the per capita wage, and then the per capita monthly wage. Twenty or thirty thousand, thirty or forty thousand a month, but the house price remains in this state. In other words, you can only earn a month now.

The salary of buying a one-square-meter house, but after a few years, you can buy four or five square meters of salary per month.

Just like the cars and appliances that used before. Wages per capita 15 or 20 years ago. There were only one or two thousand yuan, but at that time, cars were sold for more than 100,000 and 200,000 yuan, but now the per capita salary is tens of thousands, but cars are still only sold for more than 100,000 and 200,000 yuan.

There are also household appliances, in the past, if you wanted to buy a TV, you had to save half a year or a year to be able to buy a TV. But what about now? A month's salary may be enough to buy several TVs.

Personally, I think so, inflation will make house prices **. It's not that he is going to ** per square meter, but he hasn't risen relative to the per capita wage.

I definitely don't believe it, because 100,000 yuan for a house is equivalent to a few hundred yuan per square meter, and the probability of this kind of thing happening is too low.

Of course I don't believe it, because in our case.

In third- and fourth-tier cities, housing prices can rise to about 10,000 yuan.

If you don't believe it, the price won't drop so quickly, the real estate can't lose money, and the house will still remain the same as it is now.

Of course I believe it, because I think if inflation happens, the house will become more and more valuable.

I definitely won't believe it, although the number of houses is relatively large now, but the cost of building a house is particularly high now, and there will definitely not be such a large decline in the future of the house.

1. From the top of the world, the housing prices in the general county are still likely to double in the next ten years. For example, ten years ago in my county and city, in 2007, the house price was about 2,500 yuan per square meter, and now ** is 5,000. Although it can be doubled in three or five years compared with first- and second-tier cities, the increase in housing prices in county towns can roughly catch up with or even exceed the growth rate of our country's GDP.

In the next ten years until 2027, it is normal for housing prices to rise to 10,000. This is also a conservative estimate, of course, this is just my personal opinion.

Why am I bullish? This is based on some of my observations about micro-pretenses. There is a notorious real estate company in our local area that has recently opened two new and basic real estate projects, and they are selling very well. It made me feel the strong demand for residential properties in this city.

2. The development trend of different property types is definitely different. Residential properties are certainly superior to commercial real estate. There may be reasons for Alibaba, as well as the real estate industry itself.

In the past few years, commercial real estate has been launched in a swarm, but the spending power of urban residents has not improved. Then there is the mistake in the choice of property type, which is also likely to lead to commercial failure in the hall. When I went to a big city for the first time as an adult, I found that it was different from our county town, not only in terms of floor height, but also in the fact that most of the businesses on the ground floor on both sides of the road in the big city were banks, while in our case they were restaurants or shops selling building materials.

Therefore, the different levels of cities cause everyone's demand for urban commercial properties to be very different. Therefore, if a developer dares to build an office building in a small county town, then he is not far from death. The cost of post-installation and renovation of commercial real estate is much higher than that of the main structure, so don't buy off-plan real estate for commercial real estate.

The stakes are too high.

In the next two years, a house will cost 100,000 yuan, and it goes without saying believe it or not, it will be available now. In many economically underdeveloped small towns in China, 100,000 yuan can buy a house, of course, most of them are second-hand houses in some years. For example, 3-50,000 sets abound in Hegang in Northeast China, which is the destination of more and more small cities in the future, <>

Our country has a vast territory, great regional differences between the north and the south, and an uneven economic development between the east and the west. The southern coastal areas are economically developed, while the central and western regions are relatively backward. Housing prices are an indicator of economic strength to a certain extent, and housing prices in economically backward areas are relatively low, and 100,000 houses in these areas should be more and more in the next two years; There will be more and more cities with housing prices of 100,000 square meters in developed areas in the south.

In the future, the differentiation between the north and the south of housing prices will become more and more serious, and the gap between the east and the west will become wider and farther.

As for why housing prices are so low in some places, there are mainly the following reasons:

1. Population In economically underdeveloped areas, due to backward industries, few employment opportunities, and natural environmental impacts such as bad weather, a large number of people from the north and central and western regions have flowed into the developed areas in the south. Without the support of the population, the industry will not be able to develop, the economy will get worse and worse, and housing prices will definitely fall. Once the owner is in a hurry, there will be 100,000 units or even lower** houses.

2. Industry Due to the limitations of natural conditions, there are few large-scale industrial clusters in the central and western regions and the northern region, which leads to fewer job opportunities and a decline in fiscal revenue. The economy is mainly supported by the local small-scale peasant economy and the internal circulation of the tertiary industry, and the economic vitality is too weak, and the ability to resist risks is also poor. If the economy does not develop, people will not have the ability to buy houses and spend money, and housing prices will naturally not rise.

3.Land Such areas generally have ample land reserves, low development costs for developers, and low selling prices. The sluggish economy and weak purchasing power, and the willingness of developers to develop are not high, so everyone is more bearish on real estate, and there is no tireless enthusiasm for real estate in big cities.

The real estate market is not in good supply, can the days when housing prices be like onions?

On the contrary, in the southern coastal cities, the population continues to flow netly, the scale of industrial clusters is getting larger, land is becoming more and more scarce, and the development cost is getting higher and higher. Supply and demand are booming, and it is logical that housing prices remain high.

At present, the state is tilting towards underdeveloped areas in terms of economic policy and industrial layout, using cities to drive the integrated development of rural areas, and rich areas to help poor areas get rid of poverty and become rich. The state's strategy of "revitalizing the northeast" and "developing the central and western regions" has brought economic vitality to these regions. It is believed that with the strong support of national policies, the economic gap between China's regions will be further narrowed, and the people's lives will be better and better.

I believe that because the population loss is very serious in some places now, but more and more houses are being built, and many houses are basically empty, so the housing prices will definitely fall in the future.

Letter, the current housing prices have fallen a little compared with the previous two years, and it is possible to buy a house for 100,000 yuan in a poor area.

Of course, I don't believe it, even if the house is very worthless in the next 10 years, it will not be so cheap, after all, the economic development is still very fast.

I definitely don't believe it, affected by the epidemic this year, the economy has been greatly affected, and the price of second-hand houses has declined slightly, but the price of new houses has basically not declined, I think that in the next two years, house prices may tend to stabilize, even if they will fall, it is unlikely that 100,000 yuan can buy a suite, if so, I will definitely buy two sets to put it.

Depending on the area, 100,000 yuan in remote areas in the west may be able to buy a small house, but in the environment where land prices, labor and construction costs are all in the first place, real estate is unlikely to fall sharply, so in the next two years, it is impossible to buy a house for 100,000 yuan in most parts of the country.

Unbelief. It's been a few years, I haven't seen the house price, I've been going to, the people are breathless, I've been working hard for the house, 100,000 sets of what do you let the developer earn, since ancient times, the interests are all profitable, who will do a loss-making business.

I can't believe it, according to the current social prices, 100,000 yuan is not much, needless to say in first- and second-tier cities, even if it is an eighteenth-tier small city, it is unrealistic to buy a house for 100,000 yuan.

I don't believe it, judging from the current house price, 100,000 yuan is not enough for the down payment, and the full payment is even more impossible.

For a house of 100,000 yuan in the future, I believe that for example, in Hegang, Heilongjiang, a house of tens of thousands of yuan can be realized. Therefore, if it is a relatively remote area, there are 100,000 yuan of a house, but in places like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, it has not been possible in recent years.

Unbelief. If it is a small city of the 18th tier, it is still possible, but in a slightly larger city, the infrastructure is built, the cost of the house is there, and there is a school district house, etc., which will not be very cheap.

Personally, I don't think it's credible, after all, the manufacturing of the house is not low, and now the house is also a must-have, so it's still unrealistic to be so cheap.

I don't believe in 100,000 yuan for a house in the next two years, because there are more and more houses now, and people's demand for houses is getting less and less, which will produce a large number of idle houses, so the price of houses may be reduced in the future, but not so low.

It can only be said that sticking to dreams also requires facing reality. In 2019, the average house price in the country is close to 9,000 yuan per square meter, and 100,000 yuan can buy a house of ten square meters according to the national average price. This can be called a single room, but it does not meet the standard of "suite".

Unbelief. With the development of society, the housing prices of the society are always the best, and a house needs hundreds of thousands at a minimum, and it is unbelievable that a house is 100,000 yuan.

I don't believe it. Because the cost of the house is rising, a house of 100,000 yuan in the next two years is basically a dream, and I can't believe this kind of thing.

I don't believe it a little, because the current housing prices are very high, and then the housing prices in the first-tier cities are as high as tens of thousands of square meters, and a house is worth millions. Then in the next two years, 100,000 yuan for a house, I don't think it's possible, 20 years, it's still possible.

I don't believe in 100,000 yuan for a house in the next two years, after all, it is more than 100,000 yuan to build a house, and it is impossible for the builder not to make money.

I am more convinced, because now housing prices have begun to have a trend, and the number of houses purchased is getting smaller and smaller.

I don't think it's possible. Because the current house is still rising very much, it is unrealistic for the house to become 100,000 yuan a set.

I can't believe it, because the current housing prices are so high, and there is no ** situation so far, so I don't think this will happen in the next two years.

No one will believe that when it really reaches 100,000 sets, this society does not know what will be chaotic, it will only grow slowly and will not retreat, so don't save money and invest as much as possible, only in this way will you not let your own funds depreciate.

In the future, the price of cabbage may be affordable for every family, but it does not mean that the house will fall to a particularly low **, because the price has reached a certain level, and it is impossible for a house of more than 1 million to suddenly drop to 100,000.

When the state unified the planning of rural ownership, the houses were almost the same by then, and now the rural people are still trying to go to the cities.

Of course I don't believe it, now people's consumption level is high, the quality of the house is also very high, how much does a house cost, who can deceive 100,000 sets.

If the income of ordinary people does not rise, but only increases the housing prices, no one will consume, and China's ordinary income will be about 5,62,300 percent, accounting for 90 percent. The cost of living is so high now. If no one consumes, no one will buy a house, and if no one buys a house, do you think the house price will fall?

Ma Yun lost billions of dollars, and he is still a rich man, and we can't stand the loss of 180,000 yuan.