This year s cotton price trend, those who know the industry please enter.

It is expected that in 2011, the global market cotton ** trend is high.

According to the National Cotton Council (NCC)**, the U.S. intends to plant 12.5 million acres of cotton this year, up 14% year-on-year. The actual acreage is estimated at 13 million to 13.5 million acres, but the expansion of cotton is still very limited. Based on average abandonment rates and yields, U.S. cotton production in 2011 is expected to be 19 million to 20 million bales (4.14 to 4.35 million tons), and there will be no significant change in domestic supply and demand in the United States.

Weather conditions in the coming months will have a huge impact on the cotton market due to the current tight supply and demand situation, with rare droughts in China and West Texas in the United States in recent months, and the largest flooding on record in Australia. Over time, the market will be extraordinarily sensitive to weather changes. Globally, the ending stocks of 9.36 million tonnes this season are also very tight.

As a result, a significant increase in global cotton production is urgently needed.

If the overall global economic situation does not decline, cotton consumption will remain strong, and the supply and demand situation will make the high Khmer price continue until the later part of the season. The market will need to pay close attention to the weather conditions in cotton-producing countries in the coming months.

The state has introduced a temporary storage plan for national cotton, and the temporary storage price is about 19,800 tons! Cotton farmers should sell seed cotton at about 5 yuan catty, if there is a continuous ** in the early stage! The state will implement this plan! This year's cotton ** is unlikely!

This is the follow-up to last year's inflated cotton prices, just like the collapse of the first few years ago, which is no longer under the control of the market. Although the direct cause of last year's disaster in Xinjiang was not the same. So, we can only wait and see.

The market from the madness to return to rationality, is not only the market itself requirements, but also the purpose of national regulation (although there are many problems and mistakes in regulation), in view of the above factors, I personally think that after the National Day, the domestic market cotton may be out of the current high, back to a relatively high range of operation, good seed cotton may be in the Yuan pound of the first range, before the Spring Festival is difficult to appear too low **:* * too low directly affect the recovery of China's cotton area next year, The ultimate purpose of the vigorous pull-up of the external disk is to sell their cotton to China, and most of the cotton has not been sold, and they do not want the market to fall too much.

I am sure that cotton **** can be found anywhere, the reason is that cotton **** is easy to find, and cotton **** is not too difficult to find now. About finding specific cotton, I suggest you go here to see cotton, the reason why the cotton **** here is more complete, the cotton **** network in other places may not be as comprehensive as the cotton **** here, to make sure that you can find cotton **** anywhere, the reason is that cotton **** is easy to find, and cotton **** is not too difficult to find now. Regarding finding specific cotton ****, I suggest you go here to see the cotton ****, the reason why the cotton **** here is relatively complete, and the cotton **** network in other places may not be as comprehensive as the cotton **** here.

The medium-term trend is weak, and the short order is recommended**, and there are signs of ** today.

For now, this year (2011) should be lower than last year, and the decline should be more than 30%.

The purchase price of lint and seed cotton has dropped again! On the 21st, the reporter learned from the Dezhou Cotton Association that the sales price of Texas fourth-grade lint has dropped to about 19,500 yuan tons, a decline of 3,500 yuan tons in half a month; The purchase price of mixed-grade fourth-grade seed cotton was about 4 yuan jin, which was lower than 10 yuan a day ago.

In the past half a month, a large textile enterprise in Shandong has lowered the price of cotton into the factory five times in a row, causing the domestic cotton market to fall into panic again. According to the reporter's understanding, in mid-November last year and mid-March this year, cotton prices have appeared first, and this half month is the third time that cotton prices have fallen sharply.

The sales price of four-grade lint has dropped to about 19,500 yuan tons, down 3,500 yuan tons in half a month, cotton merchants are more pessimistic about the cotton market, and the rainy season has arrived, a week ago still insisted on the acquisition of several enterprises had to stop. Only a few cotton merchants in Texas still have lint, ranging from 200 to 700 tons, and the losses of these enterprises are a foregone conclusion. Ma Junkai, deputy secretary general of the Cotton Association, said.

The purchase price of fourth-grade seed cotton was about 4 yuan per catty, which was lower than 10 days ago, and 3 yuan per catty lower than the highest historical price of 7 yuan per catty in early November last year, which was staggering. Cotton farmers give cotton to cotton dealers for a pound of cotton, seeing that the price of cotton is getting lower and lower, cotton farmers feel very uncomfortable, and their expectations are slowly declining. According to the survey, the average cotton stock in the hands of cotton farmers in Texas is about 15%, of which Xiajin County accounts for more than 25%.

Recently, the city cotton association organized personnel to investigate the cost of cotton planting, due to the fertilizer and other agricultural products **year-on-year**, this year's cotton planting cost per mu increased by about 60 yuan compared with the previous year. Since last year, cotton has risen and fallen, but it is slightly higher than in previous years. Due to the bumper wheat harvest in Texas this year, coupled with the increase in cotton planting costs, cotton farmers have high expectations for new cotton, which is expected to be more than 5 yuan.

The latest cotton market facts:

Feng County, Jiangsu Province, seed cotton picking work has come to an end, cotton dealers go to the countryside to purchase 4 grade seed cotton ** in Yuan Jin, cotton enterprises purchase ** for Yuan Jin, because cotton farmers are reluctant to sell, cotton sellers are less than the same period in previous years, cotton enterprises purchase only 7-8 tons per day.

According to the local cotton enterprises, at present, there are 5 local cotton enterprises that have purchased and processed the scales, including 3 400 enterprises, and the rest are small enterprises, the largest number of seed cotton purchases is only 350 tons, and the least is only more than 100 tons.

Henan: The purchase price of seed cotton varies from about yuan to jin, the grade is 3-4 grades, the clothing rate is 36-39%, the moisture regain rate is below 13%, the cottonseed is about yuan jin (the previous time has been stable in yuan), the processing fee is about 600-800 yuan, and the cost price of lint is about 18,000-18,700 yuan.

Baoding City, Hebei Province, local grade 3 seed cotton ** yuan jin (clothing content 38%, moisture regain rate of 13%), grade 4 yuan jin (clothing content 37%, moisture regain rate of 13%), are the same as the 11th, the daily purchase volume of 3-50,000 catties; If the cottonseed is calculated according to the 2% loss and the processing fee of 500 yuan, the cost of grade 3 lint is 18,920 yuan ton, and the cost of grade 4 is 18,420 yuan, and the cotton enterprise has a certain profit margin.

On the 17th, the city's cottonseed sales were slightly higher than that of the 14th. According to the loss rate of 2%, the cost of 600 yuan tons and above different grades of seed cotton purchase ** and cottonseed sales price, the purchase of new cotton of grade 4 discounted cost price of about 17,700 tons.

The city's spot market grade 4 lint (only the part that can not be delivered) sales ** (delivery price, public settlement, with tickets, the same below) 18,400 yuan ton, grade 5 ** 16,700 yuan ton, ** although the performance is stable, but the transaction is quite cold.

Hebei Xingtaiwei County cottonseed **some**, but the purchase volume is still not large. The purchase price of local seed cotton in Xingtaiwei County, Hebei Province is in yuan jin (clothing 35-36, moisture 14), and the soft fourth-grade lint processed locally is ****17200-17300 yuan ton (gross weight without ticket), and cottonseed **1 yuan catty.

This year's cotton in Qiu County, Handan, Hebei Province is basically in the hands of cotton farmers, and the local cotton enterprises have stopped harvesting, accounting for about 90%, and the local yarn mills are not purchasing, and the cotton industry is not in good circulation. The purchase price of local seed cotton in Qiu County, Handan, Hebei Province is in yuan jin (clothing 39, moisture 17-18), and the processed soft fourth-grade lint is 16,500 yuan tons (gross weight with tickets), and cottonseed is ** yuan jin.

The local market in Linxi County, Xingtai, Hebei Province is weak, and there will be no possibility of it before the year. Hebei Xingtai Linxi County Lai four-grade seed cotton ** in the yuan jin (clothing 37, moisture 15 or so), the local better seed cotton can reach the yuan jin, the local lint transaction price is about 17,000 yuan (gross weight without tickets), the cottonseed is a little better to purchase ** in the yuan jin, the poor cottonseed ** in more than 8 cents.

Around November 15th, between Yuan and Yuan.