Liquor stocks continue to soar, how long can they fly? Where will the next hot stock be?

The soaring liquor stocks are mainly due to the recovery of the consumer market in the later stage of the epidemic, which has led to the continuous improvement of the liquor market, and the next hot stock should still be the consumer sector. According to the latest ** data, the liquor sector has basically achieved an increase of more than 100%, among which high-quality liquor stocks such as Moutai and Wuliangye have been rated as "**" by many ** companies, and other liquor ** are basically "overweight" ratings. Affected by the recovery of the epidemic in China, the liquor sector continues to improve, especially with the blessing of the National Day holiday earlier, the sales of high-end liquor continue to rise, and the profits of many liquor companies have risen sharply.

In the short term, judging from the sales data of Double 11, the sales of alcohol broke 200 million in just two minutes, an increase of 15 times compared with the same period last year, and it seems that the consumption suppressed by the epidemic has recovered. From the sales point of view of liquor brands, Moutai is still a well-deserved first, the second is Wuliangye, followed by Luzhou Laojiao and Yanghe, from the sales point of view, it is still high-end liquor continues to rise, and the profits of the head liquor companies continue to rise, and the trend may continue for a period of time in the future.

Some analysts said that the corporate reshuffle in the liquor industry is intensifying, the sales volume of high-end liquor is stable, and the sub-high-end liquor brand has entered the head integration period, and the overall performance is improving. Especially as the epidemic continues to recover and the next Spring Festival arrives, the liquor sector may face the next high growth.

Analysts of other ** companies are also optimistic, and said that from the third quarter financial report of the liquor industry, the liquor sector has indeed passed the worst moment, although the fourth quarter is the traditional off-season for the liquor industry, but due to the continuous improvement of the epidemic and the continuous improvement of China's economy, the liquor industry in the first quarter of next year, may achieve a large explosion in sales. Especially affected by last year's Spring Festival, if this year's Spring Festival can be carried out smoothly, liquor consumption will usher in a recovery.

Judging from the situation in previous years, the soaring liquor stocks will continue for a while, at least until the Chinese New Year. As for the next hot spot, I think it is pharmaceutical stocks, because when the vaccine comes out next year, pharmaceutical stocks may attract a rally.

I think that basically it will be over in about half a month, and the next area will be concentrated in the consumer sector, which is the basis for future economic development.

I think the baijiu is estimated to last for a while, at least until the Chinese New Year. I think the next hot stock should be related to the national economy and people's livelihood. Because the epidemic has affected the gradual recovery of the economy this year, the national economy and people's livelihood have become more important.

I think it will rise in the later stage, but don't think about it in the short term.

As for how long this short-term is, my personal judgment is about half a year. Because the increase in the liquor sold before has been very high, the history of Moutai has even reached 2,600 yuan. Personally, I am more optimistic about the head liquor stores like Moutai and Wuliangye, and I am not optimistic about those third- and fourth-tier distilleries.

I don't know how you got to hold the liquor class**:

1. If your position is mainly ****, you can choose to hold it firmly and increase your position on dips. Because for these high-quality liquors, the fundamentals of these are very good, and they will continue to be adjusted with respect.

2. If your position is as long as it is a liquor type, you can choose to take profit in batches, you can choose to hold a position that does not move, I personally recommend that you increase your position in batches when the line drawdown is more than 20%. <>

First, the decline of liquor ** is very large.

The liquor sector has always been the focus of investors, although the liquor sector belongs to the consumer sector, but for many people, investors have even regarded the liquor sector as the liquor technology sector. This is a joke, but it is enough to show how optimistic everyone is about the liquor sector. The decline of liquor is relatively large, and the general decline between them has reached more than 15%, and the decline of some has even reached 40%.

Under this kind of **, many people began to be impatient, and some people chose to stop loss and leave the market. <>

Second, the liquor category will rise in the future.

If you look at the short-term trend, I am personally not optimistic about the liquor sector. Looking at all the current ** in the liquor sector, the price-to-earnings ratios of these ** are very high, and they have even reached the historical limit valuation. I think there is a very large space for liquor, although the current amplitude is very exaggerated, but there is still room for the market to go down.

After a series of adjustments, I think the liquor sector may have new arguments in the next six months or even a year. <>

1.Because there is a law, and this law is that there are ups and downs, which is an eternal and immutable law. Liquor stocks are also **, since liquor stocks have appeared**, there will be a surge next, and whether this surge is ** or a reversal depends on the strength of the liquor stocks' funds.

2.Because liquor stocks are the core assets of the a** field, super large funds are very fond of speculating on liquor stocks, since liquor stocks suffer from the pressure of super large Lu Naqin funds, after the short term, they will also get super large funds, once they get the funds again, they will naturally usher in the ****. It means that the short-term selling pressure is huge, and after the selling pressure is digested, the stock price will definitely stabilize, and after the liquor is stable, as long as there is capital to enter the market, the liquor stocks will naturally rise, and the liquor stocks will naturally rise

Stock is a part of the ownership of the joint-stock company, and it is also a certificate of ownership issued by the joint-stock company to each owner as a shareholding certificate in order to raise funds and obtain dividends and bonuses. It is a long-term credit tool in the capital market, which can be transferred, bought and sold, and shareholders can share the company's profits with it, but also bear the risk caused by the company's operational errors. Each share** represents a shareholder's ownership of a basic unit of the business.

Every public company will issue a **.

Each copy of the same category** represents equal ownership of the company. The size of the ownership share of the company owned by each owner depends on the proportion of the number of shares held by the owner in the total share capital of the company.

** It is a component of the capital of a joint-stock company, which can be transferred, bought and sold, and is the main long-term credit instrument in the capital market, but the company cannot be required to return its capital contribution. **is a kind of valuable**, is a joint-stock company to raise capital issued to the investor of the share certificate, on behalf of its holder (that is, shareholders) ownership of the joint-stock company, the purchase of ** is also a part of the purchase of the company's business, can grow and develop together with the enterprise.

This ownership is a comprehensive right, such as participating in shareholders' meetings, voting, participating in the company's major decisions, receiving dividends or sharing the difference in dividends, etc., but also sharing the risks caused by the company's operating errors. Obtaining recurring income is one of the important reasons for investors to buy**, and dividends are the main part of investors' recurring income**.

It will definitely rise in the later period, because the liquor ** has been rising very well for so many years, and it will definitely rise in the second half of the year.

The liquor industry has developed very well in recent years, and it is impossible to be ** all the time, and it will be ** in the later stage.

It will definitely be, because ** is originally up and down, although guessing that there is now some big falls, the Sui faction may rise after a few days of annihilation.

From the perspective of long-term market development, the consumption tax is a negative for the liquor industry in the short term, which will produce certain disturbances, but it will not have a substantial impact on the long-term development of liquor, after all, the profitability of liquor is strong, the brand is strong, the orange core moat is high, especially the gross profit of high-end liquor is exchangeable, even if the consumption tax is increased by 12%, it cannot shake the profitability of the entire industry. Cons Wu Jing.

There may be a ** situation in the later stage, but the probability of this situation is very small, and it will take a little longer.

Liquor** is likely to rise.

Kaiyuan** said that the fluctuation of the liquor sector after the holiday was mainly due to the increase in the early stage of the plate and the rotation of the plate caused by market trading factors after the holiday. During the Spring Festival, the consumption demand for famous wine was strong, and the progress of payment collection of famous wine brands before the holiday generally exceeded the same period in 2020, and remained stable.

Superimposed pre-holiday channel purchase attitude cautious, the current channel inventory is at a low level, after the holiday again ** momentum is sufficient, it is expected that the first quarter of the famous wine brand task to complete worry-free. Kaiyuan ** believes that the rhythm of Kweichow Moutai's payment collection is carried out as planned, and the pre-holiday market is strictly controlled to curb the momentum of excessive wine prices.

My professional view on the continued bull market in liquor stocks** is as follows:

First, consumer goods are the birth camp of the great bull market.

The history of the United States tells us that consumer goods are a large industry that often appears, such as: some companies in the United States in the past, including Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, Gillette, Starbucks and other companies. The liquor stocks in China are consumer goods with local Chinese characteristics, and they will naturally become a concentration camp for the last.

Second, the continuous growth of performance.

The investment logic of consumer goods can be sustained, the performance of liquor companies continues to grow steadily, and brand liquor can achieve an annual net profit growth of more than 30%. Good companies can be sustained**, and the performance and growth of liquor stocks prove that they are good companies.

3. Investment and holding by institutions.

In addition to the fundamentals, there is also the need for the continuation of institutional funds to promote the continuation of the organization. Judging from the top ten shareholders of Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, Gujinggong and other brand liquor companies, they are all heavy stocks, and the main institutions have been concentrated and continued. Moreover, the institution's holding of liquor stocks is also a long-term holding, so that the stock price can achieve stable and sustainable**.

Therefore, from the perspective of long-term investment, branded liquor stocks are a direction worth paying attention to, and they are also an excellent representative of value investment.

If it falls for a long time, it will rise, the plate rotates, and the bull market is a natural law.

This year's consumer industry can be said to be out of the limelight in the A** field, especially the liquor sector, which has risen by more than ninety percent, accounting for about 60% of the total market value of the food and beverage industry.

In 2022, whether liquor stocks will be the best or not, the fundamental factor still depends on performance. At present, in 2022, Kweichow Moutai's performance is expected to be better than in 2021.

Why has liquor always been **? Is it a human operation or a market choice? You'll understand after reading it!

The profit margin of liquor is relatively large, and the substitution of liquor is relatively small, so the stock price of liquor has been **.

You can see that in the liquor sector, most of the large institutions are speculating in it, because of the price increase of institutions and the intervention of large funds, so the liquor will rise again and again.

The reason why it has been rising may be because there is a deflation in the market, and secondly, the people's demand is relatively large, so it will cause such a result.

There could be multiple reasons why liquor stocks have been **, and here are some possible explanations::

Domestic consumption upgrading: With the development of the economy and the improvement of people's living standards, people's demand for high-quality liquor has continued to grow, which has made the performance of some liquor companies continue to rise, thus driving the growth of liquor stocks.

Market supply and demand: The liquor industry is an industry with tight supply and demand, and the supply is strictly restricted, while the demand has been growing steadily, which makes the liquor stocks ****.

Investor sentiment: Investors' optimism about certain liquor stocks may also be a factor in the success of liquor stocks. Some investors are optimistic about the long-term prospects and potential of liquor stocks, so they will continue to ** liquor stocks, thereby promoting their ****.

It should be noted that the rise and fall of ** is affected by a variety of factors, and investors need to fully understand the market and the company's situation, conduct risk assessment, and formulate a reasonable investment strategy when investing.