What would happen if the Chinese population fell sharply

First of all, the population of a country, and its history and natural environment are determined.

With a history of 5,000 years of civilization, China is an ancient civilization.

In the process of 5,000 years of reproduction and civilization, China has a large population base in terms of population reproduction.

In addition, the population of a country also depends on its natural environment, that is, whether there are sufficient food production and production conditions.

China has two major rivers, the Yellow River and the Yangtze River, and the three plains have good natural conditions and climate.

At the same time, there are water conservancy facilities such as the Beijing-Hangzhou Canal, Dujiangyan, and the Three Gorges Water Conservancy Facilities.

All of them make China have sufficient water resources for crops.

Like the Ganges River basin in India, it also has the productive capacity to support the survival of many people.

Second, whether a country is rich or not is not based on how many people it has.

The main thing is to look at the quality of its population and its productive forces.

With a population of more than 800 million, Europe is the size of China, but its productivity is not the same.

Similarly, if China is measured by Japan's 370,000 area and about 100 million people, the density of the Chinese population is lower than that of Japan under the same area.

Of course, it is necessary to consider that many areas of China are not suitable for human habitation, for example, the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau has 2.7 million people, not counting the dry basins, desertification areas, and high mountainous areas in Sichuan and Xinjiang.

So on both sides, population is not an indicator of a country's wealth.

The reason why Japan and Germany were able to rise rapidly after World War II is that although they were defeated, they still have a relatively good quality of population, coupled with the opportunities of the international development environment.

A country on the basis of the original, if the population is too small.

On the contrary, it will lead to the lack of labor, the production cost of enterprises will increase, and the market effect will be weakened.

In the early days of the founding of the People's Republic of China, why should we advocate population, the most important thing is to develop the national economy, and labor force is a very important productive resource.

However, population growth cannot be unlimited, and the reduction of our productive agricultural land and the destruction of the environment all point to the basic fact that land is limited. So it is impossible to overload its population.

Therefore, population control is one of the links, but more important is how to improve the quality of the population.

For example, if a family has 10 children, and all 10 children have no ability to earn money and survive, will the family still develop? Can you still rely on them to support two old people?

If a family has only one child, but the child is smart, talented, has survival skills, and has the ability to make money, then it is not impossible for him to support two old people and ten old people.

This law is called a vicious circle and a virtuous circle.

A high-quality population can increase the motivation of society, and the accumulation of social wealth can increase productivity.

But it is still important to emphasize that it is not that the smaller the population, the better, and this is not a law of accumulation.

Even if China had only 1 million people, like the Eskimos, there would be no development. Got it?

If China had only 20 million, it would have been carved up long ago. In the course of history, they have coveted the land resources of China.

No. The aging of the population is increasing. If a country has a small proportion of young and middle-aged people and a large proportion of old people, the burden on the state will be very serious, and it will be impossible to talk about development.

A declining population will bring about an aging population in society.

problems, a decrease in the labor force, etc.

The first immediate problem of population decline is a large reduction in the labor force, which is abundant and relatively cheap. But once the population is reduced, then it will lead to a shortage of labor, and if there is not enough labor, it will make enterprises reduce production, which will naturally lead to a waste of resources of enterprises, and there may have been branches in 10 regions before.

Because of the lack of labor, only a part of the branch factories can be closed, and such losses are very huge. The reduction of labor force is also not conducive to China's urbanization construction, because urbanization construction is inseparable from manpower and material resources.

Impact of Population Decline:

Population decline will also have a very large impact on consumption, especially consumer goods for daily life, such as clothing, food, education, medical care, etc. It is important to know that the size of these industries is mainly determined by the consumer market, and if the population decreases, then the consumer market will also be greatly reduced, and these industries need to be reduced.

Not only will the consumer market become smaller, but the structure of consumption will also change to a certain extent, low-end products will become fewer and fewer, and people's demand for high-end products will increase. Not only that, but because of the small population base, these high-end products should also be updated faster.

The above content reference: People's Daily Online-People** Viewpoint: Accurately grasp the trend of population change.

Wages are higher, things are cheaper.

As we all know, our country is a large country with a large population, ranking first in the world, in order to limit the endless birth of China's population in the past few years, the country has also introduced a series of policies, so China's population has been well controlled in recent years, there has been no substantial growth, the first two years have introduced a policy to encourage everyone to have a second child, and the population is gradually increasing, but with the change of people's ideas and the improvement of living standards, many people are reluctant to have children.

So China's population has a continuous downward trend, so by 2025 China's population will drop to how much, you may not believe it, it is speculated that by 2025 China's population will probably drop to 1 billion, and the aging phenomenon will be very serious, it is very likely that three out of six people are elderly, so it has been implementing the two-child policy, why is this situation, on the one hand, the current economy is extremely developed, the cost of raising a child is very high, and people need to bear a lot of pressure, Under heavy pressure, it is very likely that they will not be able to give their children a high-quality living environment, so many people have the idea of choosing not to have children or only one child.

On the other hand, the current ratio of men and women in our country is very incomplete, and it seems that it has become very difficult for people to get married, but under the influence of traditional concepts in our country, many people are often forced to marry by their parents, and now the conditions and requirements for marriage are also very high, and a lot of money is also needed, so marriage has also become a kind of pressure, so many people do not marry and do not have children.

It is precisely for these reasons that our population will continue to decline, so it is not surprising that our population will drop to 1 billion in 2025, can you believe it?

China is a large country with a large population, with the social and economic development, the population is declining, and the state has also introduced policies, which is also a drop in the bucket.

In 2018, the new population of our country was 5 million, but this achievement is still due to the residual heat of the liberalization of the two-child policy, in the old article station in 2019 - the last five years of China's real estate We have also analyzed, about 2021-2022, the number of births and deaths in our country will be equal. After that, the population of our country will begin to grow negatively. Keep in mind that these estimates are conservative estimates, and the reality is likely to be more grim.

However, after 2019, the situation will be clearer, and we will analyze it later.

Data for the seventh census are not yet available.

Countries with declining populations are in a hurry.

According to the "China Statistical Yearbook" and the data collation of CBN, it can be seen that China's population growth is generally on a downward trend. The natural population growth rate declined from 2001 to negative in 2022 and continued to decline from 2016. In addition, China's seventh population census data in 2020 shows that while the growth rate of the country's total population continues to slow down, the population is younger, the population is older, and the working-age population is less.

I replied that the population pattern of Xunguo presents a new trend of large total volume, warped at both ends, and collapsed in the middle. In addition, China has accumulated more than 30 years of negative population growth inertia, if the long-term dimension is extended, China's total fertility rate in 1992 has fallen below the replacement level, and the internal growth of the population has turned from positive to negative.

Negative population growth impact

Negative population growth will bring certain challenges to economic development, first of all, it will have a certain negative impact on potential market demand, including domestic consumption. In the future, the pressure of supporting the elderly will increase, which will reduce disposable income, thereby reducing the desire to spend. Secondly, in the future, the young labor force will decrease, and the labor cost of the world's scum will be further increased, and related industries will also be affected.

According to the data of the Chinese population**, by 2050, China's young labor force population will be greatly reduced.

Trade and catering, transportation and communications, culture, education and health, textile and garment industries will be impacted, finally, economic development needs population, if the negative population growth continues, it is not conducive to China's long-term economic development. An aging population is likely to increase financial pressures, such as public support for health care and pension insurance. In 2010, China's pension insurance subsidy only accounted for the general public budget, and by 2021, it has been mentioned to 4%.

The first is that the demographic dividend is less. What is the demographic dividend? As a simple example, for merchants who sell clothes, the more people they have, the more clothes they will sell under normal circumstances, and the smaller the population, the less clothes will be shipped, and we will say that this is less demographic dividend.

The decline in population will bring about the problem of aging in society. At that time, the labor force will decrease, the number of elderly people will increase, and there will be fewer people in society to do production, but there will be more people to support, which is the problem of aging.

When the population declines, the social productivity also declines, the labor force declines, the economic development will definitely decline, and the level of people's consumption will also decline, because there are not so many people who consume. This led to the decline of China's entire economy.

There are also some indirect effects, the population declines, and the competitiveness of all aspects will also decline, such as the population is smaller, and there are fewer people who make the same clothes, so they don't need to compete and sell well, so they don't need to pay too much attention to the quality of clothes.

Change the habit of young people becoming lazy and lazy. Change the selfishness of young people and only care about their own fun and enjoyment. Disregard for other people's mentality.

Changing the distorted mindset of young people. Family planning took too long in the first place. Form a selfish mentality that everyone enjoys alone.

If you want to change the fertility rate. Or the same as before. Passing on the lineage.

Raising children to prevent old age. The ideas are passed down to young people. As long as this mindset is stable and fixed.

I'm sure a lot of people will have children. Just because this generation does not have the mentality of inheriting the ancestry and raising children to prevent old age. So they become selfish and only care about having fun for themselves.

Regardless of future generations. Generally. Or has the mentality, ideology, and viewpoint changed.

The mentality becomes playful and selfish. Only care about their own fun, do not care about others, do not care about future generations. The poorer you are, the more material you are.

So it affects fertility. Nowadays, everyone is smearing and attacking the idea of inheriting the family lineage and raising children to prevent old age. It has made it so that modern people do not have the mentality of passing on the family lineage to raise children and prevent old age.

So I became selfish and self-interested.

Population decline generally means that the number of new people will continue to decrease, the problem of aging will be obvious, and the labor force will become more and more scarce.

Housing prices will fall, especially in small cities.

Recently, population data for China's Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has attracted attention. According to the latest released data, the population of the empty hall in this area continues to be **. The news is worrying because it means that the region will face a series of problems.

First, a declining population means that there will be less labor in this region. This will have a significant impact on businesses and the economy. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is one of the most developed regions in China, and many domestic and foreign companies have set up branches here.

If the population continues to decline, businesses will struggle to find enough employees to sustain their economic growth. This will have a negative impact on the economic prosperity of the region and the overall economic development of the country.

Second, population decline can also have far-reaching social impacts. With the aging of the population, the pressure on the elderly will continue to increase. If young people in this region continue to migrate to big cities, the problem will become even more acute.

For many seniors, they may not have access to adequate pensions and medical coverage. This will lead to social instability and inequality.

Third, population decline will also have an impact on the environment and resources. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is one of China's busiest cities, and air and water pollution issues have been a constant concern. As the population declines, there will be less pressure on the environment and resources here.

However, this does not mean that the environment and resources here will be better. On the contrary, this can lead to economic and social stagnation, which can cause greater damage to the environment and resources.

In this case, measures should be taken to mitigate the effects of population decline. First, support for businesses and the economy should be strengthened to create more jobs. This will help attract young people to stay in the area.

Secondly, care for the elderly should be strengthened to ensure that they receive adequate pensions and medical security. Finally, we should continue to promote the protection of the environment and resources to ensure the sustainable development of the region.