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Ukraine basically has no chance of recovering Crimea, Crimea has joined Russia for several years, and the locals have no intention of returning to Ukraine, just after joining Russia, Putin announced that they would be paid a pension according to Russian standards, and it is obvious that the pension in Ukraine is not as high as Russia's, and the pros and cons are weighed against the Crimeans of course choosing Russia.
The bottom line of the Russian-Ukrainian war in Ukraine is to keep Ukraine, even if it only retains the sovereignty of Ukraine, and gives it full autonomy, it is possible to accept it. How long Ukraine can hold out depends on the assistance of the United States and Europe, and the assistance given by the European Union will not be large enough for the Ukrainian army to have the ability to fight back Crimea.
But if the war is not over, there is still a certain degree of uncertaintyIf Ukraine wants to recover Crimea after the war, there are three scenarios that can be achieved, which we will analyze one by one:
The first scenario: Ukraine wins this war
Although the current war situation in Ukraine is overwhelmingly run over by the Russian side, in the case that things are not completely sure of victory, we should be fair first, give Ukraine a glimmer of hope, and the winner will have the final say.
The second scenario: Ukraine loses the war and redeems Crimea through the trading of resources, energy, wealth
After the end of the war, if Ukraine is defeated and still needs to recover Crimea, then it can be like doing business, and sign a series of contracts and treaties with Russia, such as the loss of military spending by Russia in this war, some resources and energy in Ukraine, some asset control, etc., if you want to recover it at all costs, it is definitely still possible. It's just a question of worthiness and unworthiness.
The third scenario: Russia returns Crimea without compensation for humanitarian reasons
The probability of this situation is extremely low like the first case, after all, one of the main reasons for this war is the question of the ownership of Crimea, but the matter is not over, there is still a probability that this situation will happen, we cannot completely deny it.
Summarizing these three situations, the second situation in which the probability of successful recovery is the second case, where the two parties negotiate and trade. Other cases are basically difficult to achieve.
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No, because Crimea launched a referendum in 14 years to secede from Ukraine.
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Not necessarily, because the situation has not yet completely stabilized, and geopolitical policy has also led to a lot of controversy in this place, so it depends on the attitude of the follow-up Russian side.
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It's absolutely impossible, and the strategic location is of great significance. It would be nice to be able to reclaim the two states of Luton.
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Crimea was originally Russian.
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Older people will choose Russia, but young people will choose Ukraine.
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The winner is not to blame! Ukraine has now seen an opportunity to gain the upper hand in China, so why not be bold? At least so far, the interests of Ukraine and the big financiers behind it are still the same, of course, we have to "climb the pole"!
And no matter what happens, Ukraine is actually in an "invincible position", so if Zelensky doesn't dare to think about "Crimea", his ** will be "patterned" small!
Ukraine's goal is territorial integrity, and the purpose of NATO, Ukraine's big financier, is to weaken Russia. The purpose of the two is not the same, but because of Russia's "cooperation", that is, not to go to Uzbek and Crimea, so these two different purposes are now co-produced as the purpose of the common direction. This is the factual basis for Ukraine's further territorial pursuit, that is, through the fact that NATO, the big financier behind it, wants to achieve the goal of weakening Russia, and easily achieves its goal of territorial integrity.
If Russia sees through NATO's plan to weaken Russia, then Russia, which wants to preserve its strength, has no choice but to withdraw its troops, and it is not enough to withdraw from Ukraine, it is necessary to give up the disputed Crimea so that Ukraine will not be given an excuse to continue fighting. In this way, NATO's goal of weakening Russia may not have been achieved, but Ukraine's goal of regaining lost territory has been achieved.
If Russia just stays in eastern Ukraine and Crimea, the purposes of Ukraine and NATO will be one. NATO will spare no effort to support Ukraine to continue fighting. Then Ukraine, which is short-mouthed, will continue to collect money to do things.
It becomes a situation in which Russia must be consumed as much as possible in eastern Ukraine and Crimea, by recovering Crimea.
It was found that in the next strategy, Ukraine's strategic goal, that is, territorial integrity, is the most likely goal, and this goal that NATO hopes to weaken Russia is a goal that can only be achieved with Russia's cooperation. And Ukraine is the least autonomous party in this situation, if Russia is not conscious, Ukraine will have no choice but to fight for NATO's goal in eastern Ukraine and Crimea, that is, to weaken Russia as much as possible.
I think that Zelensky just figured out the above matter and knew that Ukraine had no choice, so it was better to take the initiative to cooperate, in case Russia was frightened, wouldn't he take back the territory without a war! This is Zelensky's little abacus, and it is very good to be cautious.
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These two worlds are very organic in reality, because he thinks he is successful, he thinks he has this ability, so he is more confident.
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I think he has a so-called United States behind him to rely on, which is why he has such a big confidence, and this kind of behavior is a bit ridiculous.
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This is because of the intervention of other countries, so he has such confidence, and he understands the importance of his position very well.
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It is natural for an actor to memorize his lines, and he must be confident.
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A nuclear bomb to solve Ukraine's !!
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Can you die well? The answer to this is yes, Zelensky will never recover, Russia will not let him go, and European and American countries will not let him go. Considering that there will be such a result, Zelensky has been calling for assistance from Europe and the United States, and has been holding it strongly.
He hopes that his efforts will let the United States ** see that there will be no merit and hard work at that time, at least he will not die so ugly.
Zelensky is known as an amateur **, an actor**, and he was elected not because he was particularly good, but because the situation at that time forced voters to choose him. Since he came to power, he has not made any outstanding achievements in politics, nor has he proposed any policies that are beneficial to the people. On the contrary, he played a political campaign that he was not good at, liquidated his predecessor, put opponents under house arrest, and even led to the final outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, which once put the country in danger of annihilation.
Until now, what exactly is the future of Ukraine? No one is going to solve this problem.
The Russian-Ukrainian war has been fought so far, although the war situation is that Russia has won slightly, but Russia has also paid a lot in order to achieve the current record, not only in terms of financial resources and military consumption, but also many Russian soldiers who sacrificed their lives for the country and stayed in Ukraine forever. Based on the above losses, if Ukraine loses the Russian-Ukrainian war in the end, then Ukraine must have someone to bear these losses, and the only person is Zelensky. As Ukraine**.
All the decisions were signed and implemented by him, and he definitely decided this pot, so he couldn't have good fruit to eat.
Actually, Zelensky is not suitable to be a **, his political sensitivity is too low, and it is not that he can play a good ** on the screen, and he can be a ** in reality, and the fake ** is like the real ** gorgeous turn.
Apparently ended in failure. Although there are also European and American countries bewitching him and painting him a big pie, the main reason for the current situation lies in himself. I have to drink the bitter sake I brew no matter what.
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I don't think it's possible to start and finish well, and if he leads Ukraine to such a problem, then he has a lot of responsibility, and he may also be abused by many people.
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It should be possible, after all, his status is relatively high, and his existence is of great significance, and he will definitely not be executed at will.
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Yes, you can. Because this is an international matter, not a personal vendetta, the two sides are targeting the state rather than the individual.
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I think there is uncertainty, because of the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war, the situation in both countries is very volatile now, and it is necessary to explain it in combination with the specific situation at that time.
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He will flee to the United States in advance, and he will have enough money in his hands, because he is not against the United States!
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Do losers have a good death? Is there a good end?
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Ukraine is in a state of war, Zelensky.
Signed this ** order for post-war reconstruction.
It's a bit unbelievable, and it feels weird that the war is over. So why is Zelensky so eager to sign this ** order for post-war reconstruction? I think there are three main reasons:
1. In order to unite and stabilize the hearts of Ukrainians and encourage the morale of the Ukrainian military and civilians, as soon as this post-war reconstruction order is promulgated, at least the people feel that the war may be coming to an end, at least give people a little hope
2. In order to ask for huge amounts of aid from the United States and European countries in a more justifiable manner. As the saying goes: only by being right can you be smooth, and only by being honest can you succeed. Zelensky has already submitted a message to the G7.
A further $50 billion was requested, and the G7 added an additional $24 billion. Now Zelensky's condition for post-war reconstruction is that it will need more than 600 billion US dollars, and it is recommended that relevant countries directly use the frozen Russian assets for the reconstruction of Ukraine (the frozen Russian assets are probably more than 640 billion US dollars), isn't this just right? Zelensky's abacus.
played so finely, but in the end, whether it was cold or not, I think it is still a big question mark.
Now that Ukraine has announced that it wants to rebuild after the war, then Western countries such as the European Union and the United States.
Then you have to let the blood, people are being cannon fodder for you in front, you must at least be generous in terms of funds! The donkey walks the donkey road, and the horse is the road. The cost of Western countries' support for the war in Ukraine is one thing, and the cost of Ukraine's post-war reconstruction is another, so that Ukraine can get more money.
3. It cannot be ruled out that this is also a kind of propaganda war in Ukraine, and it may also be a self-confident routine operation. In any case, although Zelensky has changed and changed in negotiations, Ukraine and Russia will definitely sign an agreement in the end, the war will not last too long, it will end sooner or later, and Ukraine's post-war reconstruction will be carried out sooner or later.
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The Russian-Ukrainian war is not over yet, why did Zelensky rush to announce post-war reconstruction? The Russian-Ukrainian war is still ongoing, although Russia currently has a great advantage, and Ukraine is still resisting stubbornly with the support of NATO countries. Does Zelensky's announcement of the post-war reconstruction plan mean that the Russian-Ukrainian war has come to an end?
Is it that Ukraine has already succumbed to Russia? Let me share with you my own views.
Although many NATO countries are supporting Ukraine on the first side, but it is only on the first support, it is impossible for these countries to send their regular troops to help Ukraine on the surface, after all, these countries still dare not provoke Russia on the surface, otherwise they will really get into trouble. Ukraine's own army can be said to be vulnerable in front of Russia, and without foreign aid, Ukraine will definitely lose, it is only a matter of time. Russia, as a military power in the world, if she really wanted to fight Ukraine, Ukraine would have been defeated a long time ago, and Russia did not want to leave a devastated mess to clean up later, so it has never been ruthless to Ukraine.
The people of Ukraine have actually thought that the war is over for a long time, and the biggest victims of the Russian-Ukrainian war are actually the people of Ukraine, and if the war continues for a long time, the people will give up their support for the existing **. Russia has also made it clear that it will not allow Ukraine to become a conduit to threaten Russia's security, and for this goal, Russia will never bow to any forces. In addition, the Russian army has recently made a series of advances, and the progress of the war is progressing towards Russia's expectations.
Therefore, so far in the war, Russia's advantages have been very obvious, and Zelensky, on the other hand, is already very dangerous. If the dominant Russia completely occupies Ukraine, Zelensky will not give him a chance to compromise if he wants to, so now Zelensky is ready to compromise, and the Ukrainian side has also expressed its willingness to consider the creation of a small demilitarized country similar to the Swedish model on Ukraine proper.
The above is just my personal opinion, and it is just a guess.
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Because Zelensky may want to reconcile, and he is negotiating with Russia, hoping that his homeland will return to the previous situation as soon as possible, he has already begun to rebuild.
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