Should China establish the military industry as a pillar industry of the country? How soon will it t

There are many pillar industries in China, and real estate is just one of them. The global economic downturn has also affected China, but China's current goal is to ensure the development of its own economy, so it will not let the real estate industry disrupt the situation. In the long run, when the economic development is stable and all walks of life are relatively stable, no matter which industry must obey the country's macroeconomic control, otherwise once it is messed up, it will be a big loss due to a small loss, such a thing is not willing to happen in China at present, so it is not so much that it is now suppressing real estate, it is better to carry out macroeconomic regulation and control in the real estate industry.

In the final analysis, the more interests a businessman has, the more wealth the country has, and it is also necessary to lose an industry and save the overall situation.

As for investment in the military industry, we can look at the United States, the military industrial complex of the United States is supported by investment and foreign wars, and I think it is impossible to sustain it by relying on investment alone, such as Japan. To build the military industry into a pillar industry of a country, judging from the actual situation of our country at present, it is unrealistic. This is because the policy of "taoguang and nurturing obscurity", the national policy of centering on economic construction, and the long-term plan of making the country rich and the people strong are all not allowed, but the military industry must be developed, so what should we do?

It is necessary to rely on the strong support of other pillar industries of the country for the military industry, such as petroleum, steel, shipbuilding, light industry, etc., and the development of these industries will play a very good supporting role in the development of the military industry. One day China will have to go to war with foreign countries, and any other industry must be subordinated to military needs, and the protection of the country and the people is the first priority.

I think that the current real estate industry in the country's macro control, is affected to a certain extent, but this should not be long-term, the long-term goal is not to let the house down, but to make housing prices tend to be balanced and stable, so that people to buy a house become a reality, not very easy, but not as difficult as now. At the same time, there are many central enterprises with a very deep background, even if it is a private enterprise, their background is not simple, but the country's policy pressure they have no way to do whatever they want, when everything is finally rational, I believe that the healthy development of real estate is beneficial to our people.

Therefore, I believe that the military industry will not replace real estate, and it is impossible for the country to make the military industry the so-called national pillar industry, which has something to do with the character of the country. There is a saying that "those who dare to offend our Chinese heavenly authority will be punished even if they are far away." Therefore, I believe that our country's military can resist the aggression of any hostile country and earnestly fulfill its duty to protect the country and the people. And our military industry will also play a strong and irreplaceable supporting role.

China's national pillar industries are: non-ferrous metal industry.

Automotive industry. Iron and steel industry.

Equipment manufacturing industry.

Electronic information industry.

Textiles. Shipbuilding.

Petrochemical industry.

Real estate. Light industry.

As for real estate, it is estimated that it will not last: George Soros has said that China's real estate will not last for three years.

The state is also cracking down on real estate. But for the sake of profit, businessmen will not compromise.

At present, China is pursuing a policy of keeping the sun and keeping it dark, which dictates that it is impossible to invest in the military-industrial complex on a large scale, and this is the reason why China does not have a classic aircraft engine until now. In addition, real estate has become the engine of China's current GDP growth, and no matter how it is regulated, its current position is unshakable. As for substitution, I think it's a long-term process, and it's not likely to be in the foreseeable short term.

The military industry is the backbone of the country, which is detrimental to the country from both a political and economic point of view.

Because China is following a peaceful course, if the military industry is determined to be the pillar of the country, China is likely to follow the old path of the Soviet and Russian eras, so I think it is unlikely that the military industry will be established as the pillar industry of the country.

The ideal is very plump, and the reality is very skinny!

I'm afraid it won't work until it dies.

Internationally, some countries refer to the image of the three major industries in their national economy, the gross industrial value of the industry accounting for the largest proportion of the gross national product, and the image of the three major economic pillars.

For example, in the United States, the construction industry, automobile manufacturing industry, and steel industry are the three major economic pillars; Singapore calls tourism, construction and shipbuilding as the three pillars of the economy.

China has not clearly identified three major economic pillars. In October 1987, in the report of the 13th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, it was proposed: "Vigorously develop the construction industry and make it gradually become a major pillar of the national economy. ”

The so-called pillar industries refer to the industries that play a backbone and supporting role in the development of the national economy. One.

In order for an industry to become a pillar industry, it should generally meet four basic conditions: First, it should be in the development of the national economy.

Significant value-added, accounting for more than 5% of gross domestic product (GDP); According to the international standard.

Statistical method, in 2005, the added value of China's real estate industry accounted for about 10% of GDP.

It has made outstanding contributions to China's national economy. Second, it has a large market development space and growth potential. The third is to comply.

The direction of industrial structure evolution is conducive to the optimization of industrial structure. Fourth, the correlation of the industry is high, which can drive many correlations.

The development of the industry. According to the above criteria, combined with the strategic objectives and actual situation of China's economic development, real estate.

The industry has the conditions to become a pillar industry in the development of the national economy.

The real estate commodities provided by the real estate industry for the society are the most basic and important production materials in various industries of the national economy.

It is an indispensable material condition and space place for social activities.

At present, the real estate industry has become a pillar industry in many countries and regions, accounting for more than 10% of GDP.

For example, in 1988, the value added of the U.S. real estate industry accounted for . In the mid-to-late 90s of the 20th century, Japan.

10%, Taiwan 11%, Hong Kong 19%, South Korea 8%. At present, real estate, industry, agriculture, transportation, and information constitute the five major industries of the US national economy.

China is a developing country with a large population, and is currently in a period of accelerated development of industrialization and urbanization, residential consumption will continue to become the main consumption hotspot, and people's residential consumption expenditure will be greatly increased;

The scope of residential consumption will also be expanded from a single residential physical consumption to include property management services and intermediary services

E-shopping and other related consumer fields. The real estate market has a huge demand for residential properties, and the housing industry and real estate in our country.

The space for industrial development is very broad, which provides a solid market foundation for the growth of the real estate industry.

The real estate industry has a stronger correlation with other related industries than other industries, and it drives the upstream phase.

The related industries and downstream related industries not only have a long chain and a wide range, but also can drive the improvement of the quality of the industry.

The growth of the industry.

To sum up, China's real estate industry has basically become a pillar industry of the national economy.

The notice of the State Council on promoting the healthy development of the real estate market clearly points out: "The real estate industry has a high degree of relevance and drives.

It has become a pillar industry of the national economy. "With the further development of the real estate industry, its nationals in our country.

It is playing an increasingly important role in the economy.

To become a pillar industry, it is necessary to make its production capacity the main income of the country, and now housing prices are so high.

In 2003.

Since the housing reform in 1998, real estate has driven the long-term development of China's economy. In 2003, the status of the real estate industry as a pillar industry driving China's economic development was officially recognized. To this day, it remains the main engine that sustains China's economic growth.

The report of Yihan Think Tank pointed out that 2008-2017 is the "best decade" for the development of the real estate industry, in this decade, the industry has enjoyed a large number of policy dividends, large and small real estate enterprises have grown rapidly, and the sales scale has continued to reach new highs, creating a large number of profits.

The added value of the real estate industry increased from one trillion yuan in 2008 to one trillion yuan in 2017, and its proportion in total GDP increased from 2008 to 2017.

Real estate is a pillar industry in China for the following reasons:

First, the real estate industry is the basic material prerequisite for social and economic activities and the basic guarantee for the development of the national economy. Real estate is an indispensable material space condition for all industrial sectors of society, and it is an indispensable basic element of various industrial sectors. The improvement of the quality of the population, the overall progress of society, and the modernization of the urban economy are all based on the real estate industry.

All these show the status of the basic industry of the real estate industry.

Second, the real estate industry has a long industrial chain, and a large degree of correlation directly or indirectly guides and influences the development of many related industries. The sensitivity coefficient and influence coefficient of the real estate industry are above the average level among all industrial sectors of the national economy. According to the statistics of some developed countries, every 1 percentage point increase in the output value of the real estate industry can increase the output value of related industries to 2 percentage points.

In China, for every 100 million yuan of residential investment, the other 23 related industries will increase their investment by 100 million yuan, and there are more than 60 industries that are directly related or indirectly related. Not only that, but residential consumption can also drive a corresponding increase in the consumption of means of production and means of living, such as steel, building materials, chemicals, automobiles, transportation, household appliances, decoration, furniture, and cultural markets, with a ratio of about 1:6.

According to the calculations of the relevant departments, China's urban residential construction needs to consume steel equivalent to 14% of the annual national steel output in 1995, 47% of the annual output of cement, 40% of the annual output of glass, 20% of the annual output of wood, and 8% of the annual transportation volume. For example, based on the housing sales of commodities in 1995 and calculated according to the driving coefficient of residential commodities commonly used abroad, the overall sales of social commodities driven by them were 293 billion yuan, which is equivalent to the total consumption and retail sales of the whole society in 1995.

Therefore, the real estate industry has a pivotal role and influence on the macro economy. The current round of China's economic growth began with the growth of the real estate industry. As early as 2000, when other industries such as automobiles were still in the warm-up stage, the growth of investment and consumption in the real estate industry had already surpassed.

Count as one, and there are ...... others

Nonferrous metal. Industry: Automotive industry.

Iron and steel industry. Equipment manufacturing industry.

Electronic information industry.

Textile industry, shipbuilding industry.

Petrochemical industry, light industry.

It is the real estate that drives the upstream and downstream operations to be powerful.

China's economic development, GDP growth rate has maintained a rate of more than 10 percent, a large part of which is due to real estate.

The high housing prices, in addition to the huge interest groups lobbying, there is also a high contribution of real estate to the national economy, and the suppression of real estate must consider sacrificing some economic interests as a price.

The development of the real estate industry can drive the development of many upstream and downstream related industries, such as the financial industry, building materials industry, hardware industry and so on. At the same time, it can drive a large number of jobs.

In addition, the development of the real estate industry has promoted the expansion of finance, and local revenue has become the main source of fiscal revenue in many places. It is called land finance.

Therefore, all localities are willing to develop real estate as a pillar industry, which is related to local income and political performance.

There are many drawbacks to this, and it is easy to produce the phenomenon of "false prosperity" and easily trigger an economic crisis.

So in its current form, real estate will always be a pillar industry in China.

From 1998 to 2004, China's economic development was mainly driven by real estate, and macroeconomic control in 2004 also focused on curbing real estate investment.

Real estate is the pillar industry of our country! However, it will not always be a pillar industry, how to generate value when you sell your own people, and see what you sell after you sell out.

Yes, I don't know when house prices will come down.

Relying on real estate to engage in GDP will end sooner or later.