How to seize the opportunity of certainty in trading? 5

I saw an example in the U.S. stock research agency (meigushe101):

For example, if you like four girls, in order of liking, they are abcd, and when you are with A, B is the opportunity cost ...... you are with A

That is, the most valuable alternative to your choice.

He is one of the top 10 technical analysis masters in the global financial market, and he is good at using technical analysis and charts to understand the market and find trading opportunities. In long-term trading, Guppy has created his own set of technical analysis bases: GMMA and Guppy Reciprocal.

The GMMA indicator can track the behavior of investors and speculators, and once they can analyze what these two groups are doing, investors can develop a better trading plan.

Guppy's investment philosophy can be summarized as:Strategy, Tips, Protection.

1. Strategy

Guppy puts strategy first, believing that there are two kinds of people in the market: traders and investors, and traders can change market trends; And investors' recognition of the trend can make the trend continue. Before entering the market, we first need to observe and analyze the trend of the market and whether the trend can continue, so as to formulate our trading strategy and plan.

According to Guppy, there are three trading methods in a bull market:Long-term investing, trend trading, ** trading. Successful traders should use more than just one method.

He believes that for small and medium-sized traders, it is important not to be greedy and remember that small functions accumulate into big success.

2. Skills

In terms of trading skills, Guppy Compound Moving Flat** and Guppy Reciprocal Line are his original characteristic indicators. Guppy Compound Moving Flat** reveals the long-term trend and short-term trend in the market through 2 sets of flat** with different long and short periods; And the information conveyed by the group is more credible than that of a single group. And the reciprocal line can help us determine the time of entry and exit and **.

3. Protection

Finally, Guppy believes that as a trader, the most important thing is risk control. All analytical methods will not succeed without risk control.

First, keep learning.

Second, sort out your own situation.

3. Control your emotions.

Fourth, be a man and leave a line.

As the saying goes, stay a line in life, and see each other in the future. Many traders understand the truth of this statement. They also put this sentence into practice, so when they trade with each other, they often leave some leeway for themselves, and will not pit each other, because they know that only when the first cooperation goes smoothly, there will be more and more business in the future, so the trading masters are very measured, and will not go to the pit and abduct because of a small benefit, ordinary traders must learn to learn the way of those trading masters to deal with people.

Only by thoroughly studying these shining points in them can you slowly progress into a master trader.

It's because I can guess the other person's heart for the first time, and I also perform very well in this process, so in this case, I can also turn uncertain things into certainty, and I do a very good job in this regard.

Their EQ and IQ are very high, and they also have their own unique way of dealing with things, so they can turn these things into certainty.

They are good at analyzing some situations in the market, and they can also choose to sell or sell appropriately according to some situations, and finally they can have a large income.

There are many people who think that the "uncertainty" of trading means that the market is like a complex chaotic body, with frequent turns, completely irregular changes, and pure probability dominates everything - but this understanding is wrong. The uncertainty of the market should be divided into three aspects: uncertainty of direction, uncertainty of fluctuation time, and uncertainty of rise and fall.

So what is the certainty in an uncertain transaction?

First, identify the variety.

Second, determine the direction of the transactionThis is a matter of principle, because there are people who go long or short on every position, and the key is which direction is consistent with your principle.

Thirdly, ***,After the variety and direction are determined, you can't find a reasonable ***, don't do it.

Fourth, determine the size of the trading positionThis is also part of risk control.

Fifth, determine the principle of appearanceFor example, a stop-loss exit, a trend change exit, or a take-profit exit.

Someone should have seen that your certainty is your trading system. So what can the trading system determine? The trading system can make sure that you are not out of control, that is, in the trading process, the only uncertainty is **volatility, and all ways to deal with it should be deterministic.

It stands to reason that a trader should try to control everything you can control and deal with the risks that you can't control. But in reality, some traders do the opposite, giving up what they could have controlled, such as stop loss, or not having a clear risk control for every opportunity to enter the market, which is very hard to do. Because some of the things that should be determined are not determined in advance, once the ** fluctuation exceeds your expectations, unnecessary losses will be generated, and the mentality is easy to get out of control.

And what we need to do is, once there is an out-of-control performance, use the stop loss we have previously determined to leave, instead of looking for all kinds of relevant information to prove that your direction is not wrong, or hope that others will support your trading direction.

Understanding the commonality of the master's profitability is also very valuable for the subsequent design analysis and systematization of trading, and the formulation of trading rules and disciplines. What are the commonalities of master profits?

1. Systematize analysis and trading;

2. Make full use of and implement the trading system to form a stable profit model;

3. Sufficient transaction preparation and summary, plan your own transactions, and trade your own plans;

4. Have clear trading rules and clear trading discipline, and fully and strictly follow the implementation;

5. Adequate and effective risk control measures;

6. Psychological stability, clear about their own shortcomings, etc.

If you know the "MACD Theory" theory, you can easily grasp the trading opportunities with the "** formula" in the "MACD Theory".

First of all, the flat market is excluded, and the flat market has no chance, so "the flat does not operate", this is one of the formulas, only after the flat market is excluded, and then use other "** formulas".

For example, "on the top + positive open long hold long" or "in the bottom + negative open short hold short", the meaning of the previous mantra is: when the MACD's diff and DEA (referred to as the "yellow and white line") are above the 0 axis and the green bar begins to shrink, it is the time to open long, and should be held all the way; The meaning of the latter mantra is: when the "yellow and white line" of the MACD is below the 0 axis and the red bar begins to shrink, it is the time to open the short, and you should hold it all the way, and so on.

There are many more formulas, if you are interested, go to find it, it is very practical, it can be used to guide the opening and closing of positions, and can also be used to identify the trend.

Simplifying the complex and doing it with a single sure operation will have a better effect.