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For example, the birth rate of remote cities in Northeast China has been rising, while in highly developed cities such as Shanghai and Beijing, the birth rate will decline because people are too busy.
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The closer the city is to the sea, the lower the birth rate. For example, in Gansu, Xinjiang and other places, the birth rate is relatively high. Shanghai, Beijing and other places have relatively low birth rates.
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According to reports, the birth rate of Tianjin population, the birth rate of Shenyang, and the birth rate of Jiangsu have reached . This data is a clear indication that the population is moving towards low fertility. So now the country has implemented the two-child policy. The two-child policy can be opened.
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Of course, some central cities have more births, and some places like Mongolia do not give birth to much, because the climate is relatively bad, and it is not particularly suitable for raising children.
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First, economic pressures.
For the first time, the study suggests that economics is linked to fertility reduction.
Although nearly a decade has passed since the 2008 financial crisis, economic insecurity is likely to persist, leading young would-be parents to think twice before having children.
Others believe that housing prices and the pressure of survival in first-tier cities have delayed childbearing, and these economic pressures have led millennials to believe that the cost of raising children is too high, and they choose to postpone or even forgo having children in order not to affect their living standards.
The economic pressure is not limited to young people at home, but also to other countries.
An article in The New York Times interviewed a 32-year-old woman who wanted to wait until her career reached a certain stage to have another child. "Once I've had a certain level of success," she says, "I'll start thinking about starting a family." ”
Whatever the reason, millennials' decision to postpone or abandon having children will have a ripple effect on the lives of older generations.
In addition, with the pressure of higher and higher housing prices and the pressure of survival, their basic life is not guaranteed to a certain extent, let alone having children in combination with a family. What's more, the cost of parenting is also high nowadays, unlike in the past, as long as the children were guaranteed to eat and drink, everything was fine, and now children have many extracurricular tutoring classes such as early education classes and talent classes that need to participate, and the cost has increased greatly.
In first-tier cities, whether it is school district housing or the difficulty of children going to school, all parents are troubled, and these problems also make young people decide to solve these troubles fundamentally, so they simply give up having children.
Second, lives are affected.
Raising a child requires a lot of financial and material resources for parents, as well as a certain amount of mental pressure. They don't grow up suddenly with a "whoosh", but they need 300% effort and energy from their parents to cultivate.
Especially for mothers, since pregnancy, her life is almost only a child, before having a child, free time can go out with friends to go shopping, but after having a child, it will completely "destroy" all social and occupy all your personal time.
Therefore, young people nowadays, when they feel lonely, are more willing to choose to have a pet as an emotional sustenance.
Raising a child is not the same as having a pet, and the decision to give them birth means that young parents have to grow up quickly and bear the pressure of the future for at least a few decades. Until they are ready for all this, young people are more willing to focus on their own lives.
Of course, I believe that with the reduction of childcare costs, there will also be young people who feel the joy of childcare and are willing to become qualified parents.
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Because the survival capital is high, the pressure is too great, the children are too annoying, the old and the young, and they are too busy to take care of themselves.
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In the future, China's population fertility rate will still face downward pressure, and the lower and lower fertility rate has a lot to do with the fact that young people do not want to get married or marry later and have children later. Nowadays, many young people want to enjoy their own time, and do not want to get married so early, or do not want to face the pressure of mortgage, car loan and family raising children so early, and sometimes even avoid getting married, so that the fertility rate will be lower and lower. Personally, I think that the fertility rate will be lower and lower for the following reasons:
Nowadays, young people are under great financial pressure, if they want to start a family and have children, they may first need a car and a house, and now the housing prices are so high, it is difficult for ordinary families to afford it, so they will choose to postpone marriage, so the fertility rate has also decreased.
Personally, I think that the reduction of modern fertility rate has a lot to do with modern people's attitude towards life, people are better to enjoy the current life, do not want to spend ahead of themselves, do not want to consume in advance, do not want to be trapped by family, children, cars, houses, young people hope to be able to find their own happiness in the best age.
Now the low fertility rate and the cost of raising a child is very high, has a very big relationship, children from childhood to adulthood may need to spend a lot, in addition to daily living expenses there is a large amount of education expenditure, to raise children need to consume more time and energy of parents, so now there are many people who only want to raise a child.
The above is only a personal opinion, in fact, under this general environmental trend, people will choose to get married later and later, and will be more responsible for the next generation, and only if they can bear the corresponding responsibilities and financial burden, they will choose to have children. Personally, I think that although the fertility rate will be lower and lower, it will also be more eugenic. What are your thoughts on this?
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Because the influence of family planning is extremely deep, you must know that the current group of fertility main force was born during the family planning period, experienced family planning, fewer births, and late marriage and late childbearing are engraved in their bones. There is also too much pressure in life, and I feel that I can't afford to raise children.
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Because the price and cost of having a child now is very large, ordinary families simply cannot accept the arrival of a third child.
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The long-term patriarchal mentality has led to an imbalance in the population ratio of more men than women, which will doom many men to be singles for the rest of their lives
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It is because there are many women Qinghui who have become career women in their previous lives, and they will endure severe pain in the process of childbirth, and now the price level is relatively high and the pressure of life is relatively high, so many people are reluctant to get married and have children, and the birth rate is relatively low.
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Many people are reluctant to have children, because the social and economic pressure is particularly great now, and many people think that after giving birth, they will spend a lot of money on their children, and they will also make their lives unhappy and difficult.
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Because the burden of having a child is relatively heavy, most young people have no way to afford the daily life of their children, so they are naturally reluctant to have children.
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Hello, I'm glad to answer for you, 1. Current situation: China has seen a trend of population aging, and population aging is rooted in low fertility. It is generally accepted that if the total fertility rate[1] is below, the number of newborn children is not enough to compensate for the number of parents.
If the total fertility rate continues to be low, even if the total fertility rate can remain stable, the birth rate [2] will decrease year by year, and there will be three characteristics: the growth rate of the total population will slow down, the proportion of the working-age population will decline, and the proportion of the elderly population will increase, and the population structure will age. China's total fertility rate fell below Xinshengyuan in 1992 and remained there for a long time after 1995. In recent years, many studies have pointed out that there has been a trend of sliding population aging in China, and the results of the seventh population census confirm this judgment.
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The number of newborn births in the past decade is as follows:
2011: 16.04 million newborns.
2012: 16.35 million newborns.
2013: 16.4 million newborns.
2014: 16.87 million newborns.
2015: 16.55 million newborns.
2016: 17.86 million newborns.
2017: 17.23 million newborns.
2018: 15.23 million newborns.
2019: 14.65 million newborns.
2020: The number of newborn births slipped by 12 million.
2021: 10.62 million newborns.
2022: 5.23 million newborns nationwide (first half of the year).
Experts**The new population will be less than 10 million in 2022. After the liberalization of the two-child policy, there was indeed a wave of population growth, and the growth became a cliff in the next few years.
The main reasons for the decline in the number of births:
1. As the only child of the post-90s generation has become the main force of childbirth, the number of childbearing age population has decreased, the willingness to have children has declined, and the economic pressure is too great.
2. There are many factors to consider when giving birth to children, such as the cost of living in the future after marriage, the cost of childbirth, and the cost of unemployment.
3. Children's education is slow, medical costs, living costs, plus the concept of marriage and love in modern society, if it is a boy, it is necessary to consider that the child needs a house, a car and a deposit when he gets married, and other factors need to be taken into account.
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The number of births has been declining for four consecutive years, and it is necessary to solve the problem of China's low fertility rate from the root. Although the state now advocates that young people have a second child, it does not propose corresponding benefits just for the sake of having a second child. This is also reluctant for young people to have a second child, even if they consider having a second child according to their own ability, but they will also measure their economic strength.
I don't want to have children if I can't reach it financially, and it's not easy to not have children now. <>
The financial pressure of raising childrenIf you want to solve the problem of China's low fertility rate, you must first solve the problem from the source, and most people take into account their own financial pressure. It can be solved for young people, and such financial pressure can also relieve the pressure of young people raising children. Today's young people need a lot of money to raise their children, starting from the time the child is on the ground.
There are even suggestions to give birth to a child subsidy of 1 million, such a proposal is obviously difficult to implement, even if you have 1 million, this amount is far from enough to raise a child. <>
Although the country has always advocated young people to have a second child, it has never considered the root of the matter, and young people are unwilling to have children. Most of them take into account their own financial pressure and relieve the financial pressure of young people, so that young people can have children without burden. Having a baby is a simple thing, but raising a child is a long process.
When many people are raising children, some women have to lose their jobs and take on the responsibility of raising children, so that women lose their freedom. <>
Women are reluctant to have children, and now women are very open to the issue of economic independence, thinking that if they have a stable job, they will be able to better adapt to the pressure of the family. But in fact, for women, if they take on the responsibility of raising children, they will also lose their jobs. And most women are reluctant to raise children, which also creates the current situation of having no one to raise children.
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Relevant laws and regulations will appear immediately, and the improvement of the birth policy can liberalize the birth policy, so that the current problem of low birth rate can be improved.
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I think the state should come up with some policies to encourage childbirth, such as some birth subsidies, and it is best to implement them for every pregnant woman. Because the pressure of life is too great now, everyone knows that it is not easy to have a child, so they dare not have too much, if the state can help and subsidize in terms of childbirth, it is estimated that this phenomenon will improve.
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The most important reason for low fertility is economic problems. Therefore, the state should formulate corresponding policies and give certain economic incentives to families with second children, so as to fundamentally solve the problem.
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Now there is a two-child policy. The problem of low fertility in our country will definitely be alleviated, and the country's encouragement of having children and encouraging marriage will slowly change people's views.
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Now there must be rewards for having children, and increase the incentive policy, which will make many people willing to have children.
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