What is the future trend of the world economy and the development trend of the world economic patter

The world economy as a whole is always moving forward.

After looking at the current world economic pattern in recent years, let us take a look at the trends and characteristics of today's world economic development

1.The trend of economic globalization is accelerating, which is an important trend in today's world economy.

2.The competition in comprehensive national strength, with science and technology as the forerunner and the economy as the center, is intensifying day by day.

3.The impact of the new scientific and technological revolution has deepened, and economic informatization has accelerated.

4.The economies of all countries are developing towards marketization.

5.Global economic issues such as population, food, energy, water resources, and ecological environment remain prominent.

6.There is an imbalance in economic development between countries.

7.Countries around the world are constantly adjusting their economic structures.

8.The role of transnational corporations in Japan is becoming more and more prominent.

The development trend of today's world should be economic globalization and multipolarization of the world pattern.

The positive effects of technological progress include promoting economic growth, promoting industrial innovation, expanding corporate boundaries, and improving social welfare. The large-scale commercialization and industrialization of a new round of technological innovation, especially the new round of information technology revolution with "intelligent manufacturing" as the core, is expected to promote a significant increase in the production efficiency of manufacturing and service industries in the next few years. Energy technology innovation may trigger a deep adjustment of the world's energy pattern.

Demographic evolution to a certain extent will have a significant impact in the short to medium term, and advanced economies are now generally ageing societies. Population ageing in advanced economies has had a series of negative impacts, including a decrease in labor supply, a decline in innovation capacity, an increase in fiscal spending related to social security and health insurance, and a decrease in consumer demand.

Influencing factors

There are still serious challenges in dealing with the reasonable connection between emission reduction and development, energy transition and normal economic operation. In addition, there is a lack of mechanisms and rules for governance in emerging fields such as data security, bioengineering, and artificial intelligence. How to prevent risks in related areas requires countries around the world to further strengthen coordination, bridge differences and strive for consensus.

The frequent mutation of the virus has increased the uncertainty of the global economic recovery, and the global recovery will face greater headwinds, which may lead to heavy losses in the global economic aggregate. If the monetary and fiscal policies of major advanced economies to deal with inflation and sustain recovery are inadequate, it will trigger turbulence or even volatility in external assets, further impacting the economic recovery and hurting global economic growth.

Affluence per capita has increased dramatically, and the world has become more peaceful.

With the advancement of artificial intelligence, the global economy will develop significantly in the future, the per capita prosperity will also increase significantly, the global poor population will be greatly reduced in the future, the middle class will replace the large-scale distribution of the poor, and the world will become richer and more peaceful.

Economist and development researcher Paul Collier also found that doubling income levels would halve the statistical risk of civil war, and in the future, as the global economy developed, societies would become more and more stable.

On the one hand, the study found that when the number of unemployed young men reaches 30% of a country, the risk of war will jump to 90%, and the rapid development of the economy will provide a large number of jobs in the future, and there will be fewer and fewer unemployed young men.

On the other hand, when there is less uncertainty and stress in the face, people's belief in religion or superstition is also reduced, which leads to a significant decrease in the chances of people falling into the trap of conspiracy theories.

Therefore, higher economic growth rates and higher levels of economic prosperity lead to more rationality, peace and tolerance, which in turn leads to higher levels of economic development and the world continues to move in a peaceful direction. <>

China's economic development will show eight major trends:

First, macroeconomic policies are stable and progressive, and they are being adjusted. The fiscal policy maintains a moderate expenditure intensity, and the monetary policy does not make a sharp turn when the word "stability" is at the head, but the probability of a comprehensive RRR cut and interest rate cut is not large.

Second, financial supervision continues to tighten and stabilize leverage. We should flexibly grasp the pace of withdrawal of emergency policies in the early stage, strictly rectify bond defaults, shadow banking and real estate finance businesses, and accelerate the improvement of the macro-prudential policy framework.

Third, the economic trend is better than that of the previous year, showing a trend of high and low during the year, and the annual GDP growth rate is in between.

Fourth, the infrastructure manufacturing industry has accelerated significantly, and the growth rate of fixed asset investment has stabilized, with an annual growth rate of about 7%.

Fifth, automobiles, restaurants, etc. will return to normal, real estate-related consumption will pick up, and social consumption will become the main force of recovery, with an annual growth rate of about 10%.

Sixth, the overall external strength is strong, the export is high and low, and the annual growth rate is about 8%; Import demand was slightly lower than exports, with an annual growth of about 7%.

7. Social mobility remained tightly balanced, with M2, social finance, and RMB loans increasing by about 13% and 13% respectively.

8. Loan interest rates are still likely to fall slightly; The RMB exchange rate rose before and then stabilized, and the fluctuation center was on the left and right, and the fluctuation range was.

First, peace and development are the main themes of our time.

Second, it is an irresistible trend of the times that the world wants peace, the people want harmony, the country wants development, and the society wants progress.

3. Economic globalization, regional economic integration, and financial and economic internationalization are the main trends in economic development in the world today.

These three trends are both related and different, promote each other in the course of development, and also restrain each other, and together form a tremendous impact on the world economy, politics, and international relations, and give new connotations to cooperation and development on a global scale, and are of far-reaching significance for the future development of the world economy and international relations.