The question of the future direction of the US dollar exchange rate. Will the dollar exchange rate c

Halo, it all depends on the RMB to rise, you also buy US dollars on the black market, in case the RMB rises by 10%, then you will lose 10% in your hand.

At this time, you should sell US dollars and buy RMB.

You say that there is no risk in the next week, God knows. 03 years** is also a continuous saying that the RMB does not appreciate, and the result is faster than taking off the pants, in the past few years, from a hard work, the real estate and ** have skyrocketed, and the people are not happy.

The Greek problem has been initially resolved, the dollar index is also weakening these days, commodities are starting to break through multi-month highs, and oil has broken through multi-month highs.

I don't know the exchange rate of the black market dollar, but now is not a good time to buy dollars.

Satisfied? Keep it up to you, for 50 points I'm easy, hehe.

At present, the exchange rate of the renminbi against the US dollar is basically stable, and since the outbreak of the financial crisis, the renminbi has been pegged to the US dollar exchange rate and has remained nearby.

I think the probability of a sudden big change in the near future is 0Because last month, China's international ** changed from a surplus to a deficit, blocking the mouths of those who demand the appreciation of the renminbi on the grounds of China's large surplus. Secondly, the current government bond index remains stable, indicating that interest rates will not change in the short term, and interest rates are also the main factor leading to exchange rate changes, you know.

Third, there has been no significant increase in domestic inflation, and there is no need for appreciation. Finally, the appreciation of the renminbi will further push up housing prices, so that the bubble will burst, and the state is now regulating housing prices, let alone allowing the renminbi to appreciate.

Therefore, I judge that there is still pressure on the appreciation of the RMB in the future, but in the short term, at least the probability of appreciation in the first half of the year is 0, and whether it can appreciate in the second half of the year depends on the change in interest rate differentials with the United States.

Satisfied?

The value of the RMB does not change much in a week, and it is difficult to say for a long time, so be careful of being deceived when doing black market!

How will the dollar move next week? How will the dollar perform next week? It is estimated that there will be a small ** on Monday and a small ** on Tuesday, but the long-term decline should not be large.

What is the exchange rate between the US dollar and the Chinese yuan today in the coming week-:Date: Monday, June 27, 2011Unit:

RMB 100 Foreign Currency Purchase and Sale of Foreign Exchange Central PriceSpot Foreign Exchange **PriceCash**PriceSelling PriceRelease Time: USD 17:01:38

How to ** the trend of the foreign exchange market: 1. Distinguish whether the market is long, short or consolidated; Secondly, to overcome the weakness of human contrarian operation, therefore, it is necessary. The basic premise should be to invest in the future of the target first, and then decide on the investment strategy and operation according to it

Experts analyze the movement of the dollar against major currencies next week: in the short term, the upward trend of the non-dollar does not seem to be complete, but if it continues** it will face more critical resistances such as the USD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF. Only after the USD breaks below these short-term key supports can the non-USD continue to be seen.

USD Swiss franc trend: From 1971 to the present, the US dollar Swiss franc has been in the first trend for nearly 35 years, and from 1987 to the present, it has entered a state of sideways consolidation. In terms of the general trend, the Swiss franc will be at the bottom of the US dollar and the Swiss franc on December 31, 2004.

Judging from the current trend, the US dollar and the Swiss franc will be the general direction next year and will continue the upward trend in 2005. At the same time, the short-term CHF price target will remain unchanged.

Will the dollar fall? Will the dollar fall next week after winning this weekend? Thanks: the dollar will definitely ** this year.

How to ** future exchange rate changes in the US dollar -: The US dollar is currently the only normalized currency among the mainstream currencies, and the Federal Reserve has expectations of a mid-year interest rate hike, so the appreciation of the US dollar is still the main trend in the future.

How did the exchange rate of the US dollar and the Chinese yuan move last week? : All the time and between**. The dollar exchange rate has not been exceeded since the end of October, the lowest point was reached, and it has been hovering around it in recent days! Personally, I think: the dollar will always be ****! Not much down.

Long-term trend of the US dollar: The US dollar has been appreciating recently, rather than the US economy is improving. Once the U.S. economy stabilizes, the dollar will certainly strengthen. However, the huge deficit in the United States has kept the dollar from going far. Bullish in the short term, bearish in the long term.

For now, the dollar is likely to continue.

Presenting a Trend Factor:

1. First of all, affected by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stability of the U.S. economy, the U.S. dollar index continued to strengthen, putting pressure on non-U.S. currencies, and the RMB exchange rate was under pressure to depreciate. In fact, due to the sharp dollar index**, other non-US currencies fell faster than the yuan.

2. Moreover, the domestic economy is not out of the V-shaped reversal as expected, but L-shaped, which leads to concerns about China's economic prospects. In particular, the financial data released in October, whether it is the number of new loans, the total amount of social financing, and the growth rate of M1 and M2, are far less than expected, and the real estate has begun to cool down, and the RMB is currently under greater downward pressure.

3. Finally, monetary policy continues to be loose, the central bank has cut the reserve requirement ratio four times in a row, and now financial institutions are not bad for money, a large amount of liquidity is rotating in the financial system, money market interest rates are falling again and again, and the yield of the goods base has also fallen. This has led to the proliferation of the renminbi in the financial system, and it is inevitable that the renminbi exchange rate will come under pressure.

4. In the future, the exchange rate of the US dollar against the RMB will show a trend, but the RMB cannot be substantial, because once the RMB exchange rate falls irrationally, the central bank of China will use exchange rate management tools to regulate and control. The central bank's current intention is to "protect the economy and stabilize housing prices", allowing the RMB to depreciate moderately, but if there is a large depreciation and it becomes a trend, the central bank will definitely intervene. This is because the renminbi's trend will lead to more capital outflows, which will jeopardize China's economic and financial security.

US Dollar Trend Analysis:

To judge the trend of the dollar index in 2023, we must first analyze the US inflation rate and the trend of the Fed's interest rate hike and balance sheet reduction. Considering that goods inflation in the US has been evolving into services inflation recently, and wage growth is still strong, although the monthly CPI year-on-year growth rate in the US has reached a high point in June 2022, it will not come back anytime soon. It is expected to remain at a high level of more than 4-5% in the first half of 2023.

This means that the Fed's current rate hike cycle is likely to continue into the first half of 2023. In the future, the Fed will raise interest rates 3-4 times, and there is still room for cumulative rate hikes of 100 to 125 basis points.

Summary. The U.S. dollar exchange rate is not sustainable**. The dollar will not last**, from the current perspective of the whole world, the dollar is still the best hard currency, can resist inflation, so investing in the dollar is still a very good choice Although the US economy is not particularly prosperous, with the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, resulting in the depreciation of the dollar, but on the whole, the dollar is still in a controlling position, unshakable But it is recommended that you do not put the apples on a plate, you must share the risks, all put on a plate, is the biggest taboo for investors.

Will the U.S. dollar exchange rate last**.

The U.S. dollar exchange rate is not sustainable**. The dollar will not last**, from the current perspective of the whole world, the dollar is still the best hard currency, can resist inflation, so investing in the dollar is still a very good choice Although the US economy is not particularly prosperous, with the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, resulting in the depreciation of the dollar, but on the whole, the dollar is still in a controlling position, unshakable But it is recommended that you do not put the apples on a plate, you must share the risks, all put on a plate, is the biggest taboo for investors.

The dollar will continue to fall. This is because the US inflation data for October was lower than market expectations, so the dollar index continued** and the RMB exchange rate strengthened as a result.

The world's largest commercial banks believe that the dollar exchange rate will edge lower by the end of the year, and this consensus is only possible if the rising coronavirus infection rate does not hinder global economic growth**.

Among the top banks with trillions of dollars in daily foreign exchange transactions, the median is that the dollar will be nearly 2% against the euro and 3% against the yen over the next six months. The crux of this argument is that the safe-haven demand that led to the surge in the US dollar in March is gradually fading as the global economy stalls and investors seek safe haven.

So far, this strategy has worked. The Bloomberg Dollar Index is up about 7% from its peak in March as business activity in major economies recovers. However, perhaps the best course for strategists who are struggling to exchange rates right now is to avoid getting caught up in trying to follow the path of the pandemic.

Vassili Serebriakov, a strategist at UBS Group AG, said in an interview: "When the global economy transitions from recession to recovery, the dollar tends to weaken at this stage of the growth cycle. ”

For the most part, the 11 banks surveyed expect only modest future fluctuations in exchange rates, a stance that may stem in part from the complexity of the period ahead.

The median value of the euro at the end of the year was in US dollars, which was slightly higher than the current level of the US dollar. Two banks expect the euro to fall to or below against the dollar by the end of the year, and only one believes that the euro will break through the dollar. For the Japanese yen, the median value of the yen's exchange rate against the dollar was 104 at the end of the fourth quarter, a slight appreciation from the current level of about 107.

While three banks believe the yen will rise to 100 by 2021, no one expects the yen to fall below 110.

Of course, in the financial markets as a whole, this is a challenge. Citigroup IncThe U.S. Surprise Index has never reached such a high level. On the ** front, many companies declined to provide earnings guidance.

For those who want to outline the relative strength of the world economy.

I believe that in order to boost the domestic economy and effective demand, the United States will gradually increase the export of transactions. So the exchange rate will be controlled**. It is estimated to continue to move slightly lower.