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The success rate of the Meridian Valley conspiracy is extremely low for the following reasons:
First of all, the Meridian Valley itself is more difficult to walk and will consume a lot of logistics. And even if the logistics support of the Shu army is sufficient, if you want to walk through such a dangerous road as the Meridian Valley in 10 days, it will consume a lot of physical strength of the Shu army, and it is likely to cause a lot of non-combat attrition.
Secondly, once the news goes, Wei Yan is likely to be wiped out! Zhuge Liang led an army of 100,000 to the north, it is impossible to do the news not to be exposed, judging from Cao Wei's reaction, they also have scouts to listen to the news of the Shu army, Wei Yan led 5,000 elite soldiers to leave, once this news is discovered by Cao Wei, the Wei army set up an ambush in the Meridian Valley, then the Shu army will definitely suffer.
In the end, even if Wei Yan successfully passed the Meridian Valley, it would be difficult for him to easily take Chang'an! In Wei Yan's plan, he thought that Xiahou Nan was a straw bag, cowardly and incompetent, as long as Wei Yan led the army to appear under Chang'an City, then Xiahou Nan would definitely abandon the city and flee, but the problem was that no one dared to guarantee that Xiahou Nan would definitely flee, and if Xiahou Nan stuck to the city, Wei Yan had no choice.
Overview of the Meridian Valley Conspiracy:
The Meridian Valley conspiracy refers to the military plan proposed by Wei Yan, a famous Shu Han general, to conquer Chang'an by marching from the Meridian Valley to conquer Chang'an in the sixth year of Shu Han's Jianxing (228) during the Three Kingdoms period.
After the death of Emperor Liu Bei of the Han Dynasty, Prime Minister Zhuge Liang inherited the legacy of the previous emperor and sent troops to the north to attack Cao Cao. Before sending troops, the general Wei Yan proposed a surprise attack on the Meridian Valley, asking him to lead 5,000 elite soldiers from the Meridian Valley (now Xi'an City, Shaanxi Province) to Chang'an City, and take Chang'an in one fell swoop, and then let Zhuge Liang lead the army from the Meridian Valley (now Baoji City, Shaanxi Province) to Chang'an to support. But Zhuge Liang thought that this plan was too dangerous and difficult to succeed, so he didn't.
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1, the answer is impossible, Wei Yan sees the war too simply, although Wei Yan is also a very talented general in the Shu Han army, but the Meridian Valley conspiracy is still a big adventure with no chance of success, and it will make the strategic decisive battle between Shu Han and Cao Wei staged in advance.
2. The possibility of the success of the Meridian Valley conspiracy is not very high. There are two main reasons:1:
Wei Yan's idea was too idealistic, Wei Yan's strategy was to lead 5,000 elite soldiers from the Meridian Valley to take Chang'an, according to Wei Yan's words, Xiahou Nan, who guarded Chang'an, was cowardly and unplanned, once he heard that he led his troops, he would abandon the city and run away.
3. Whether the Meridian Valley plot is feasible or not has always been controversial, and the polarization is very serious. Some people believe that Wei Yan's Meridian Valley plot will not work at all, and Zhuge Liang's approach is correct. While some people think that Zhuge Liang is too timid, and the Meridian Valley conspiracy may be a try.
4. Zhuge Liang has always been cautious in his use of troops, thinking that this plan is too dangerous and difficult to succeed, so he abandoned it.
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It was Wei Yan, the general of Shu Han, who proposed this strategy, and he put Zai Bunian in charge of the defense of the Hanzhong region, so he also had a relatively in-depth understanding of the surrounding terrain. At the moment when Zhuge Liang led the army into Hanzhong, Wei Yan put forward his long-prepared plan with great anticipation, but it was directly rejected. There are several main reasons why this strategy has not been accepted:
1.Zhuge Liang's strategic goal from the beginning was not in Chang'an;
2.Elite soldiers and generals are important supporters of the Northern Expedition of Shu Han;
3.Wei Yan and Han Xin's thinking is similar, but the conditions are very different.
Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition was not a spur of the moment, and the rest of his life was basically spent on the front line after he wrote the "Teacher Table", and his painstaking efforts were actually to realize the ideal that Liu Bei failed to complete in his life. But in the face of Cao Wei, who was unified and accepted the sacrifice of the emperor, the difficulty of Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition was much higher than that of his predecessors hundreds of years ago. The final defeat is certainly sentimental, but it cannot be judged that Zhuge Liang's decision not to adopt Wei Yan's strategy in the first place was a wrong decision.
With Jingzhou completely out of Shu Han's control, the conditions envisaged in "Longzhong Pair" no longer existed. Zhuge Liang therefore changed his strategic assumptions according to the actual situation, and was determined to take down Longyou to cut off the connection between Cao Wei and the Western Regions, and transform it into the forward position of Shu Han. <>
In the case of limited national strength, every soldier is very valuable to Shu Han, and Wei Yan is the absolute trump card of the Northern Expedition. Such a person, Qi Zhaocai, Zhuge Liang naturally didn't want him to be buried in the Qinling Mountains in vain, and he didn't let him take the risk to protect him. <>
Due to the influence of **, the water system in this area has changed a lot, although Wei Yan has the intention to follow the example of his predecessors, but the road at this time is different from the past. And Zhuge Liang obviously analyzed the pros and cons very early, and after weighing it, he still took a more secure strategy. <>
Do you think there are any other methods for the Northern Expedition of Shu Han?
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The person who proposed the nuclear delay was Wei Yan, and then the time when this idea was launched was during the Northern Expedition to the Central Plains, and then the counterattack was also completed.
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The Meridian Valley conspiracy is Wei Yan's imitation of Han Xin's story, a surprise attack on the Guanzhong region of Cao Wei was detected by the chaos of the mill, when Han Xin adopted the tactics of "Ming Xiu plank road, secretly crossing Chen Cang", Wei Yan's strategy was: "Zhuge Liang led the main force to feint Longyou, and he led the elite soldiers to smuggle across the Meridian Valley, and suddenly appeared under the city of Chang'an, and Chang'an guard Xiahou Lin is a disciple of Liang, seeing the Shu army suddenly arrived, he will definitely abandon the city and flee, and the Shu army You Kai collected the grain of the Chang'an people and the military food of the Hengmen Pavilion Grain Depot, and guarded the city for 20 days, It was expected that the main force east of Cao Wei's Tongguan would take 20 days to arrive, and Wei Yan waited in Chang'an for Zhuge Liang to lead the main force to arrive, and then he could occupy the entire Guanzhong area west of Tongguan in one fell swoop.
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It was proposed by Wei Yan, who had learned about the unbridled purity of the conspiracy, the timing of its hail fighting, and the strength of the shadow base that was generated, and the problems and the related reasons.
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Wei Yan, this plan is too dangerous, so Zhuge Liang has a lot of worries, and in the end he did not adopt such a strategy.
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Wei Yan. He is Liu Bei's subordinate, this person is very strategic, his martial arts are very high, he knows how to arrange troops, and the strategy of the rough one is to raid the enemy and win the victory.
Because Zhuge Liang is cautious and does not take risks in his life, the road of Meridian Valley is precipitous, which is not conducive to marching and arranging.
Success, it's not better.
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