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In China, there are no good problems or bad problems, only dialectical and two-sided problems - Chinese characteristics.
On the bad side:
As our money increases, we buy more things from foreigners - for example, we used to buy a fritter imported from the United States for 1 yuan, but now the yuan is worth it, and we can buy it for 5 cents.
On the other hand, our country has more foreign investment and less domestic investment. Or selling fritters, it used to cost 5 yuan to open a fritter shop in the United States, but now it is 4 yuan, so we all went to the United States to open a fritter shop. This is not good for our country.
Also, if our money is worth it, it means that the foreigner's money is worthless. So for them, our fritters are more expensive, so it's not good for our business.
On the bright side: our money is worth a lot of money, we can buy more fritters, so our standard of living has improved; As for the easing of China's external debt pressure and the rise of its economic status, this is also inevitable.
There are good and bad. But now it seems that everyone is emphasizing the negative side.
The appreciation of the renminbi is very risky. What brings a series of changes.
Will the price be **? Prices are fundamentally determined by socially necessary working hours and are affected by supply and demand. As for how much it has to do with the appreciation of the RMB, the appreciation of the RMB price will definitely fall, because the ** of imported goods will fall.
However, it is not something that can be reflected in a day or two, and it is difficult to say whether it can even be embodied or not -- for example, in the WTO, before we said what we were going to do, it seems that there have not been too drastic changes in our lives after joining the WTO. China's "charred frozen fish" always has its own characteristics.
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It's not good for exports, it's good for imports.
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As long as you consider the employment rate of the broad masses of people in China, you can understand, if the RMB**, then foreigners will be inclined to buy products produced in their own country or other countries, and made in China will no longer be popular, then this will lead to China's economic recession, and the company will lay off employees after that, and the people will have no jobs and no income. Americans are the worst, as the saying goes, if China ** beats Koreans, I will donate 1 month's salary, if Chinese fight Americans, I will donate a year's salary, if Chinese fight Japanese, I will donate even my life. It can be seen that Americans are second only to the Japanese in the minds of some Chinese.
Then what the United States needs is to rely on the appreciation of the yuan to cushion the economic crisis of the United States, reverse thinking, if the appreciation of the yuan, then the employment rate of the American people will be greatly improved, because made in China is the world, once made in China can not lead the world, then the Americans will be extremely happy. Therefore, for the good of our country, the great Communist Party of China has chosen to suppress the ** of the renminbi to enhance China's income.
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Value-added. China's economic situation is on the eve of a major change that will have an extremely important impact on our future lives. This article will try to ** the most likely trends and outcomes of China's economy in the next three years, which can be summed up in the simplest words:
High inflation, high house prices, high stock prices, the above three will continue to soar upward. In addition, China will transition to a free exchange rate regime, and the appreciation of the renminbi against the dollar will accelerate, and the renminbi will reach 5 to 1 against the dollar. In other words, the renminbi has accelerated its depreciation internally and accelerated its appreciation externally.
Let's take a closer look.
If an economy continues to grow rapidly, its currency tends to appreciate. The principle is not complicated. Let's start by looking at which currency in the world is the least valuable.
Not long ago, a magazine selected the most worthless currency in the world, and that is the North Korean won. Originally, the Koreans fixed the exchange rate of the dollar against the North Korean won at 1 to 1, and the reason for this was entirely because Kim II's birthday was February 16. But this is too much overestimation of the value of the North Korean won, so the North Korean dollar depreciated all the way, the recent official exchange rate of the North Koreans is 1 US dollar to 141 North Korean won, but this ** only the wronged big head will accept it, the market price on the black market is, 1 US dollar to 2500 won or more.
Why is Chaoyuan so worthless? It's because almost no one in the world wants to hold the Chaowon, and you can't buy almost anything with the Chaowon in your hand, and its purchasing power is extremely poor. The essence of money is its purchasing power, and without purchasing power, money is just a piece of waste paper.
Therefore, the value of something that no one wants is naturally very low.
Let's talk about our renminbi, with the development of China's economy, according to a survey, China has 958 products in the world market share ranked first, followed by Germany (815), the United States (678). China's surplus may reach the first place in the world this year, what is the essence of the surplus? It refers to the fact that other countries have a special need for goods produced in China, and this demand exceeds China's demand for goods from other countries.
Obviously, if you have renminbi in your hand, you can buy a lot of things, so many people plan to keep some renminbi in hand so that it can at least be more convenient when they buy and sell in the future. As more and more people think so, the demand for RMB in the market is getting higher and higher. The demand for a thing is getting higher and higher, which means that its value is getting higher and higher, and this trend will also attract a large number of speculators to participate enthusiastically, because they see that the RMB has a tendency to appreciate, so they use hot money to fuel this trend, which is the reason why the huge ** surplus will lead to currency appreciation.
Before this question, we must first know that the reason for the appreciation of the RMB is caused by the pressure of policy, foreign exchange and other aspects, first of all, the market pressure from foreign exchange transactions between countries; The second is the game of each country in order to protect its own interests, that is, political pressure; Finally, there are policy pressures. Judging from the current international environment of China's exchange rate system, market pressure has begun to weaken but not disappear, political pressure has gradually weakened, and it is not clear whether policy pressure will become the main pressure for the reform of the exchange rate system. I list the pros and cons according to his reasons below, and you can compare the pros and cons according to your own situation. >>>More
Depreciate. On the second trading day after the announcement of the RRR cut, the RMB exchange rate appeared. However, after the announcement of the RRR cut in early January this year, the renminbi not only did not depreciate, but appreciated - a very important reason is that the divergence of monetary policies between China and the United States tends to converge, and the Fed's interest rate hike expectations have weakened. >>>More
There are pros and cons!
Benefits: Spend RMB abroad and buy more things than before; >>>More
Penalty for tearing up RMB:Those who deliberately damage the renminbi shall be given a warning by the public security organ and fined not more than 10,000 yuan. Intentional damage to the renminbi includes: >>>More
It has nothing to do with us ordinary people.