After 10 years in China, the house is no longer the most expensive! Ma Yun recognized it, is it wo

For many friends who are struggling, the most difficult thing to solve in front of them is the house problem, while the income is growing, the house price is also growing, and the growth rate of the house price seems to be faster than the growth rate of the income level, therefore, when it is time to start a family, the house problem has become a more difficult problem than taking off the single.

For this reason, many young people do not hesitate to give up their dreams in order to solve the house problem, and Ma Yun.

once reminded young people not to give up their ideals for the sake of a house, because "in ten years, housing prices will be cheaper than green onions", for such a statement, although it seems not so realistic, many netizens still choose to believe it.

Judging from the current situation, housing prices are constantly **, and the number of houses under construction in various places is also growing, in many cities there has been a large number of new houses idle, with the development of the situation, the number of vacant houses in the future may be more, oversupply, housing prices will inevitably fall, this is the law of the market.

Therefore, there is still some truth in Jack Ma's statement, so in 10 years in China: the house is no longer the most expensive! Ma Yun "recognized" it: the value is super **?

Ma Yun believes that the most precious thing in the future is high-quality air and land, and for individuals, it is a high-quality livable environment. From the current point of view, major cities are now expanding the size of the city.

It is the general trend to carry out the renovation and relocation of old villages and achieve a higher level of urbanization.

But for individuals, living in a city, with many buildings and crowds, such hustle and bustle begins to disgust many people, so many people like to go to the countryside to live, and the countryside not only has high-quality air quality.

Moreover, the land environment is better, and the fertile fields, vegetable gardens, and woods all make people feel refreshed.

With the development of cities, most of the land in the city is used for development, and the land will inevitably be very precious, and the decline in air quality brought about by such development will also make high-quality air precious.

Therefore, Ma Yun said that the most precious things in the future are land and air, and this view has been recognized by many netizens.

It is true that cities have better infrastructure, more convenient shopping conditions, and better living conditions, but in the future, the countryside with fresh air and high-quality land may become the most precious living environment.

What do you think of Jack Ma's views on housing prices?

It is air, food safety, and the value is more than **. With the regulation of housing, housing prices will not rise and fall sharply, and houses will no longer be used as investment attributes, and it will be related to people's health in the next ten years.

Yes. Ma Yun's vision is still very accurate, according to the development of the current society, in 10 years its value will exceed **.

The value will not exceed **, because ** is the currency used all over the world, and nothing can surpass it at the moment.

Ma Yun said that in ten years, the house will not be worth much. No one can be sure in the future, but we like **, **about house prices are the most concerned**, especially ** by successful companies**. Ma Yun makes electrical appliances and also talked about housing prices.

In his keynote speech at the World Summit in Hangzhou, Jack Ma said that China's housing prices have been significantly higher in the past 10 years. But apart from the inflationary elements of the bloat, the cheapest place in China in 10 years is probably home.

Ma Yun said that the house will be cheap in 10 years, for example, the per capita monthly income is 3,000 yuan now, and the average house is 8,500 yuan per square meter, and the per capita monthly income is 10,000 yuan in 10 years, and the average house is 12,000 yuan per square meter.

Compared with ancient and modern Chinese and foreign housing prices, China's current housing prices are in the highest period of housing prices, and the current housing prices, families with an annual income of 80,000 yuan, the whole family can buy a 100-square-meter three-bedroom ordinary trading company without eating or drinking for 15 years, and Wang answered that the price is very high.

If housing prices continue to be the best, all aspects of society can not afford it, since they can't afford it, then the house price will lose the momentum, that is to say, the current house price, relative to the income of the people, has indeed reached the peak. Therefore, the house will not become a means of maintaining the value of wealth, and people who have been slaves for decades wait for the depreciation of the house!

Recently, at the Hangzhou Summit, Ma Yun once again publicly said: In the future, houses will be as cheap as green onions! Ma Yun said that in the past eight years, China's housing prices as a whole have been in a state of substantial **. Eight years from now, the cheapest thing in China will probably be a house.

In fact, this is not the first time Jack Ma has said such things. As the richest man in China, Jack Ma has repeatedly advised young people not to buy a house in public speeches, because he thinks that in ten years, the house will be as cheap as leaves, green onions, and cabbage. In short, in the future, many houses will become less and less valuable.

Will houses in China really be as cheap as green onions? Taobang believes that with the change of people's concepts, houses will no longer be scarce, and the decline is a high probability event, but it is not easy to say whether it will fall to be as cheap as green onions! Taking Shenzhen as an example, in recent years, Shenzhen is the fastest city in China, with a rise of more than Beijing and Shanghai, however, under the influence of the property market control policy, Shenzhen's housing prices have also begun gradually, starting from October last year, housing prices have been 7 consecutive months.

In addition, Taobang noticed a data: according to incomplete statistics, Shenzhen currently has 10.41 million housing units, and Shenzhen will add 700,000 housing units during the 13th Five-Year Plan period. The per capita population of Shenzhen is per person, and according to the calculation of each household, the existing housing in Shenzhen can accommodate 28 million people, and the actual population of Shenzhen is about 20 million people.

From this point of analysis, if it is used for hype, it is not enough, and if the house you are just used to live in, we think it is enough.

That's right for him, but it's not for most people.

Unfortunately: we are all the majority.

Wu Jing mortgaged his house for 80 million for filming. If there is a problem in the shooting, an accident or a ban or a bad box office, the house is gone, and the daughter-in-law has to raise it. (Search for yourself on the Internet, no.) For Wu Jing: the house is not the most valuable.

For Jack Ma, the house is the least valuable.

For most people: where to live without a house?

Those who say that they will rent a house all their lives are most in favor of your landlord.

Your rent is his steady and growing cash flow. It's the return on investment.

Basic human needs: food, clothing, shelter and transportation.

This is necessary for everyone to live, whether rich or poor.

It's just that compared with Jack Ma's other investment channels, real estate investment is the lowest return.

You're not Jack Ma!

The growth of housing prices is basically directly proportional to the growth of social wealth. Rent growth is basically proportional to income growth.

Looking at the past 16 years, the stock price has not risen much (** total has increased). The highest is more than 400, and the low is more than 200. It certainly didn't go up 7 times.

In terms of necessities of life: clothing: clothes, etc., regardless of high-end and low-grade, basically ** is not much.

Food: rice, flour, grain, oil, meat, eggs, milk, vegetables, etc., did not rise seven times. Live:

Housing prices have risen about seven times (the first line has risen even more, and the second and third lines are making up for it) line: fuel costs, train tickets, and air tickets (air tickets are discounted more ruthlessly) have basically not risen.

The only one that grows in tandem with the economic aggregate: housing prices (different regions, however, proportional to the changes in the economic aggregate of each city).

However, a large part of the statistical caliber is due to the inclusion of low-income and retirees. The state has significantly increased their incomes over the years.

For the main body of renting, part-time workers (whether you are an assembly line, a white-collar worker, or a program ape). Wages have not increased by a factor of five. 2 3 times or so.

That's how much rent has actually increased.

A big reason for China's housing prices** is that there is no other place to accommodate so much money except the property market. **The ups and downs are too great,** and so on, and basically do not maintain value, let alone increase in value. Others are either too low in return, or too risky, and some are obviously **.

And rent is basically directly proportional to income growth.

The rent was too high, so they all bought houses. The rent is too low, and the owner is not stupid.

In the future, if the basic economic situation does not change: China's economy continues to grow, social wealth continues to increase, and the amount of money issued continues to increase, other safe and stable investment channels will remain the same as they are now.

House prices will continue to grow or protect from growth pressures. For example, the price of housing in Beijing has indeed dropped recently, but this is forcibly suppressed by the brute force of the purchase restriction policy, such as purchase restrictions, loan restrictions, sales restrictions, new housing restrictions, intermediary restrictions, and online signing.

Ma Yun also said that after 30 years, each pair of young people will have to support 8 elderly people and manage 5 houses, and the future house will not be worth much. Therefore, marriage is not to buy a house and a car together, but to have children together.

He once said, "Eight years later, the house is the least valuable, and the house price is like the price of onions." "In the past 8 years, China's housing prices have been showing a leading trend, and the cheapest thing in China in the future is the house." In short, it is to express that the house will become less and less valuable.

Now there is an embarrassing situation: according to the income of most people, there is still a long, long way to buy a house, and some people may spend their entire lives buying a house and paying off the mortgage.

In the long run, housing prices in small cities will show a slow ** to normal level, and there are many factors that need to be considered for the first home, such as choosing large developers as much as possible to ensure their basic construction quality and reduce the risk of unfinished, and it is recommended to start in the second half of the year.

I think Jack Ma's prediction is quite accurate. Data show that the inventory of more than 60 cities in the country is rising, and the inventory increase in many cities has exceeded 50%. In other words, it is very difficult to sell the houses in the hands of developers now.

At present, in addition to the first and second-tier cities, most cities in the country do not have the soil for the growth of property speculators, and the house speculators are not stupid, and they will never toss the houses in the third and fourth tier cities under the premise that no one takes over.

First, the current population of the country is aging, the population structure is irrational, and the population growth is slow. In my grandfather's generation, they had five brothers, and in my father's generation, they had three brothers, and in my generation, most families had only one child, and some families had only one girl. There is no doubt that the house is just needed, but with the development of the domestic real estate industry in recent years, all that can be developed has been developed.

Once that group of elderly people leaves, then their remaining houses will be empty, and they will have fewer children to live in, and the more houses will either be rented out or sold. Once this large number of new ** enters the real estate market, it will inevitably cause an oversupply, and housing prices will inevitably fall. Let's take an example.

One of my classmates, he is an only child, and his family has prepared a house for him, and his parents have a house. Once his parents are a hundred years old, then the house is bound to be owned by him. As for his girlfriend, she is an only child and has three houses in the family.

So what about his father-in-law and mother-in-law a hundred years later? Then he would have five houses. How to live in five houses?

I'm going to sell some of it. And there are not a few such families.

Second, now the state has begun to introduce various purchase restriction policies, making it clear that houses are for living, not for speculation. In particular, we will intensify our efforts to crack down on the group of real estate speculation groups, so that the holiday tends to be stable, and it can be said that those who invest in real estate in the future may have to lose all their money. Let's analyze the following phenomenon:

Last year, Wanda began to rectify, selling assets, Beijing Lianjia closed nearly 100 offline stores, and hot money began to flow to blockchain, bitcoin, etc., is this really a coincidence? People say that the capitalists are a bunch of chicken thieves, and they can't afford to make a profit. They have the most advantageous information resources, and some of them may have a large amount of data like Jack Ma, through which the future direction of the market can be inferred.

So I believe what Jack Ma said, because because he is standing taller than me, he will definitely see farther than me. It's just that whether the time is eight years or not remains to be considered.