In 10 years, will the house become a cabbage price?

China's housing prices, especially those in big cities, are among the top in the world, and the housing prices in Hong Kong, Beijing, and Shanghai can be said to be notoriously high. It is also because housing prices are too high and the property market bubble is getting bigger and bigger, so many people have lost confidence in buying a house. In recent years, the increasingly strict regulation of the property market has given buyers the confidence to buy a house.

In recent years, China's property market regulation is very hot, and many people who have not yet bought a house are waiting for good news from the property market. Some experts and scholars have analyzed the future trend of the property market, among which the remarks of "cabbage price" are even more popular. In the future, the house will not be worth much, and the house will be as cheap as cabbage**, can you imagine?

We can't imagine that.

How cheap is cabbage, a few dollars when it's expensive, and a few cents when it's cheap, so can the house be so cheap? Apparently not. In fact, the so-called "cabbage price" is just an adjective, if you are serious, you will lose, and if you believe it, you will lose.

The so-called cabbage price is just to show that the house is really worthless in the future, and it is impossible to become the price of cabbage, who will build a house? The developers are gone, the house is bought casually, obviously this situation will not appear, the house is a commodity after all. In 10 years, will there be a possibility of a "cabbage price" in the house?

Unless these two become a reality.

The first point: the house itself has no value!

There are many prerequisites for a house to be a cabbage price, for example, the house must be a cabbage price, unless the house itself is not worth much. If the house is not worth anything, then no one will buy it, but why is it impossible? Because the house is a rigid product, because our people need a house to live, the importance of the house needless to say, aside from the value of the house itself, the other value attached to it will also be transformed into **, and want to make the house itself worthless, it is impossible, unless we don't want to buy a house now, there are self-built houses to live in self-built houses, and there are thatched houses to live in thatched houses.

Obviously, from this point of view, everyone's demand for houses is great, so houses can't become cabbage prices.

The second point: the state no longer controls the property market.

Secondly, if you want to make the house a cabbage price, unless the state no longer manages the property market, let the bubble burst, and the house is not worth much, at that time not only the house will be the price of cabbage, but many things are not worth much, and that may be the status quo in Japan at a certain time in the last century. Obviously, everyone knows the consequences of the bursting of the property bubble, because they feel that housing prices are high, so everyone ignores the consequences of the sharp drop in housing prices. Not to mention the price of cabbage, let's say that the house price **50%, which is unaffordable for society and the economy.

Therefore, up to now, the regulation of the property market is also required to stabilize the property market, give buyers confidence in buying a house, give buyers a good environment for buying a house, and at the same time not let house prices fall sharply, so that the rational return of house prices is the best.

So, seeing this, do you still think that housing prices will become "cabbage prices"? There are many reasons for house prices, but there are very few reasons for house prices, and they are difficult to achieve.

After ten years, the house will not become the price of cabbage, because real estate is an important pillar of China's economy, if it becomes the price of cabbage, it is difficult to drive the rise of the overall economy, so the house price will not become the price of cabbage.

It will not become the price of cabbage, the ** of the house will not go sharply **, and the ** of the house in the future depends on the actual supply and demand.

It should not be that China's housing prices will rise to a certain extent in a short period of time, because China's population is relatively large, and now is the stage of urbanization.

Yes. 1. There are few people in the house, and the demand is insufficient.

Judging from the current situation, in the context of high housing prices, young people's fertility intentions are decreasing, the birth rate is declining year by year, the aging population is becoming more and more serious, and the mortality rate is rising in the future. Therefore, if the rural population does not increase significantly in the next 10 years, it means that the demand for housing will decrease in the future. Once there is an oversupply, the house will depreciate.

In fast-growing first- and second-tier cities, there will be an upward trend in the next 10 years. China's real estate market is a trillion-dollar market. After the house price regulation, we saw that the result was still rising and rising.

2. Currency depreciation.

20 years ago, you could buy a 100-square-meter house in Guangzhou for 200,000 yuan, but now it is more than 20 times higher. Twenty years ago, those earning more than 10,000 a month were considered super-rich, but now the average working class can also break 10,000 with hard work.

The value of currencies is getting lower and lower, which is a prominent manifestation of currency depreciation. We can conclude from this that currency depreciation can raise house prices, prices, and wages. In the past, most of the people who bought houses were people who just needed it.

In today's rapid economic development, there are improved, pension and investment. Economic development has changed people's needs, and the pace of upgrading has accelerated. Imagine that in the future, in third, fourth and fifth-tier cities, if the population demand is small, the house is uninhabited, and the replacement is fast.

3. Large and medium-sized cities, anti-fall attributes.

Large cities represent enormous purchasing power and an ample population base. If house prices fall again, someone will buy a house. Small counties are different, the population has moved to big cities, and housing prices mainly rely on shantytown reform, which has ended.

First of all, after ten years, most of the houses in the county will definitely depreciate. At present, the national policy is to curb housing prices and guide the market to regulate the slow fluctuation of housing prices. At the same time, all localities are still vigorously developing the economy, improving the income level of local residents, and achieving a soft landing in the real estate market of the county.

Therefore, housing prices in the county will definitely fall, and how much it will fall depends on the prosperity of the local economy.

Secondly, it is easier to buy a house in the county tour to rent a lead city than to sell a house. Because most people in the local area only buy new houses, not second-hand houses. For a small county, it is only half an hour from south to north.

Even if you buy a house in the suburbs, it only takes twenty or thirty minutes to get to the center of the county. The difference is that it takes two or three hours to get from the suburbs to the big city center, so second-hand homes will be sought after because of their good location. Therefore, many people want to buy a new house even if they have money, but they are not willing to buy a second-hand house.

It is very likely that buying a house can only be for self-occupation, and even renting it is very cheap.

A small property is a house built on collective land, the ownership of which is vested in the state, and the occupants only have the right to use it. Small property rights are not allowed to be traded in the market, and they are not protected by law, and once there is a dispute, they can only suffer dumb losses. Investors see the recession of the real estate industry, the first thing they will do is to sell small property rights, small property rights are lower than ordinary commercial houses, and laymen should not rush to take over if they are not clear.

It is very likely that you will not be able to get the real estate certificate for a small property right house, and if you buy such a house, the appreciation space in the future is very small, and you can't resell it, so you can only smash it in your own hands.

3. No real estate. Three-no real estate refers to the nearby real estate without school districts, supporting facilities, and no property. Now the hottest thing is the school district house, the school district house is outrageously high, and many people still want to buy a school district house.

If it is not a school district house, the surrounding basic supporting facilities and properties still need to be there. If there are not even these three around the house, I advise you not to take over, and if you have ** in your hand, you can also shoot as soon as possible. Such a house is not advantageous and will definitely not be worth much in the future.

Old house. The depreciation of the house is inevitable, and the house may not be much different from the new house after four or five years of use, but compared with the old house that has been used for more than ten years and the new house, the gap is not ordinarily large. The old house that is more than 20 years old cannot catch up with the new house in terms of the surrounding supporting facilities and the interior decoration.

Many people would rather live in a new house in the suburbs than in a small dilapidated house in an urban village. After 10 years of depreciation of the old house, although the property right is still decades, there is almost no room for appreciation in such a house.

Small city house.

Small cities are often faced with the problem of population migration, young people go to big cities to work, small cities therefore have a large number of vacant houses idle, can not be sold, developers in order to protect the capital will naturally reduce housing prices, don't think that the state of the state of the state of the stove such a house to buy at a low price is to buy, small cities low prices, the level of consumption is far less than the big cities, the increase in housing prices is also smaller than the big cities, the situation of population migration will only become more and more serious, the house in the next 10 years will only become more and more worthless.

After 10 years, these 4 types of houses may not be worth much, insiders have seen the signs, and are anxious to cash out these houses at a low price, laymen do not understand these routines, and think they have picked up a bargain, but regret after buying. Do you think the price of the house will drop in the future? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments section.