What is the most direct reason for the weakening of the popularity of returning to the hometown duri

During the Spring Festival in 2022, Shanghai's property market took the lead in recovery, with 505 new homes transacted during the Spring Festival holiday, a year-on-year increase of more than 300%. During the Spring Festival, many sales offices in Shanghai were "closed", and many popular real estate projects were crowded, coupled with the recent signs of relaxation on the credit side, the speed of loan approval and lending accelerated, and the Shanghai property market was more active during the Spring Festival. Shenzhen and Guangzhou are still in the process of adjustment, and only 98 and 9 new houses were traded during the Spring Festival, a year-on-year increase.

Judging from past experience, at the end of the year, many developers often play slogans such as "** house" and "huge discount at the end of the year" to attract buyers to drive sales with low prices. But this year, that vision has fallen short. Although the property market does not close during the Spring Festival, the willingness of buyers to buy houses is not strong, and the transaction is relatively limited, which is difficult to become a pillar to support the sales of real estate companies.

According to Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Centaline Real Estate, compared with the normal years before the epidemic, the transaction volume of returning home for the Spring Festival in 2022 has dropped by more than 30%.

Generally speaking, developers will give certain discounts to buyers who return to their hometowns during the Spring Festival, because at the end of the year, most developers have a large demand for funds, so they will introduce some preferential policies for price for volume at this time, and many real estate projects will release greater discounts during this period. For home buyers, this is the right time to buy a house. The Spring Festival is a holiday when many people have a long break of the year, so many people will choose to return to their hometowns to buy homes during the Spring Festival, especially for migrant workers who have been adrift for a long time.

I believe that only the holiday during the Spring Festival is relatively long, which can give you enough time to inspect the property you like, so that you can clearly understand the information of the property, and then buy rationally.

Judging from past experience, at the end of the year, many developers often play slogans such as "** house" and "huge discount at the end of the year" to attract buyers to drive sales with low prices. But this year, that vision has fallen short. Although the property market does not close during the Spring Festival, the willingness of buyers to buy houses is not strong, and the transaction is relatively limited, which is difficult to become a pillar to support the sales of real estate companies.

The most direct reason is that because of the impact of the epidemic, the market development in the past two years has not been very good, and the housing prices have been adjusted accordingly between the state and the market economy, and the development of the construction industry has been sluggish, resulting in a downturn in the entire market.

Because China's market competitiveness in recent years is indeed very large, and affected by the epidemic, the prospect of buying a home is not very impressive, which will greatly weaken people's enthusiasm for entrepreneurship.

Because there is a very serious epidemic this year, and many people have already celebrated the New Year on the spot, this situation will occur, which is also the most direct reason.

The most direct reason is to buy a house at a low price and to drive sales, so as to be able to support real estate.

It is because there is a large number of housing prices and property prices now, and there are many people working outside, and they will buy houses in the location of Huailiang, migrant workers, and they will also buy a wide range in first-tier cities or second-tier cities.

Because some people feel that it is particularly difficult to return to their hometown to start a business, and they shout chaos and have no economy, most of Zheng Shen's files choose to give up and go to some cities to work and filial piety.

This is due to the fact that developers will not do some discounted activities during the Spring Festival, and this phenomenon will also occur due to the impact of the epidemic this year.

Buying a house during the Spring Festival has been a highlight of the Spring Festival real estate market for many years. Due to the impact of the epidemic this year, the local government has introduced local New Year's policies, and the situation of home ownership this year is not optimistic, and the transaction area of new houses in 47 cities tracked by the Bank of China at the end of 2022 has decreased compared with 2021 and 2019 respectively. Among them, the transaction area of new housing in first-tier cities increased significantly, and the transaction area of new housing decreased year-on-year.

Transaction volume in second-tier cities decreased by about 60% compared to the same period in 2021. One of the important factors is that residents in third- and fourth-tier cities have their homes cool. According to a 2021-2022 homeownership report released by an agency, of those who chose to return home in 2022, including those who bought homes in their hometowns and provincial capitals.

From the perspective of the intention to return to China in 2022, the main reason for choosing to return to China this year is the attraction of preferential policies such as talents and settlement, and the proportion has increased from last year; Among those who live in big cities and struggle, children's education has become an important reason for them to stick to education.

Local support policies will still take time to take effect. The short-term market correction trend is expected to continue. In some cities with early adjustment and strong demand support, the market is expected to gradually rebound from the bottom up with the improvement of the credit environment and the implementation of relevant support policies.

Some cities are still expecting a "sunny spring" in March. However, for most cities, the market correction time may be long, the market recovery ability is weak, and it is difficult for short-term home buyers to make significant improvements.

All localities will fully implement urban implementation policies, and cities with greater pressure on real estate market adjustment will continue to be strengthened.

Credit support for the first and second homes, such as adjusting the provident fund loan policy, increasing the loan amount, reducing the down payment ratio, and reducing the mortgage interest rate, so as to stabilize the expectations of home buyers and ensure the normal release of reasonable housing demand.

The era of returning to the hometown to buy a home has completely passed, which is a major blow to the property market, and returning to the hometown can be said to be the last chance for the property market. In the future, our real estate market, especially.

The housing market in second- and third-tier cities is more dependent on the support of ** and some active policies.

This incident has made the property market industry in the township rise. Driven by local real estate**. For some small cities, it will affect the property market industry, ** decline.

It has affected the sales of the property market, so that the sales situation this year is not very good, which has affected the development of the property market.

I think this phenomenon is quite normal. <>

First of all, in recent years, in order to curb the excessive growth of housing prices, the country has adopted a series of real estate and monetary policies to cool down the hot housing market, so the investment enthusiasm of some investors has decreased, the overall investment enthusiasm of the market is not high, and investors are in a wait-and-see state, which is an important reason for the ebb tide of returning to their hometowns during the Spring Festival. In the past, most of the buyers who returned to their hometowns during the Spring Festival occurred in third- and fourth-tier cities. Due to the large gap between the medical resources, educational resources and infrastructure of third- and fourth-tier cities and first-tier cities, the housing market in third- and fourth-tier cities has been tepid in recent years, and investors' enthusiasm for investment is not high, so most of the funds flow into large cities.

Especially some time ago, Evergrande's financial crisis has made people worry about real estate companies to a certain extent, and most buyers choose to wait and see, looking forward to the follow-up policy before making a choice. In addition, due to the epidemic in recent years, various industries have been sluggish, and the downward pressure on the economy has increased. People will choose to keep some hot money in their hands instead of investing it.

If it's just because the housing prices in first- and second-tier cities are too high, go back to your hometown to buy a house. Nowadays, young people don't have to work hard in first- and second-tier cities. Because many people have limited abilities, they use their life's wealth to go to the first and second tier houses.

China does not have such a standard of living, and this is definitely not a standard. Therefore, whether to use a lifetime of wealth to buy a small house in the first and second tiers, or to go back to the hometown of the third and fourth tier cities to buy a house, is a question that needs to be carefully considered. Why do many experts recommend buying a house in a big city?

Because there is still a chance to get rid of it in the future, it is recommended to learn more about the current economic development of the city. Buying a house in the city is like buying a **, and it is important to understand the future development prospects of the city.

I think it is normal for the tide of returning to the hometown to buy a home, after all, in recent years, due to the impact of the epidemic, the economy has been relatively sluggish, and many people are thinking about the problem of burying and burying their plans, how can there be extra money to buy a house.

That is because the housing prices in some smaller cities are particularly difficult to bury low feet, which can also allow some people who work in big cities to buy their own houses in small cities, and such a phenomenon can also promote the development of some small cities.

This phenomenon is very normal, and now a series of policies have been introduced on housing prices, so it is normal for the phenomenon of ebb tide.

In the past Spring Festival, people who go home and return to their hometowns will set off a wave of resistance to return to their hometowns to buy homes, people who have worked hard outside for a year will take the money they earn from working hard outside for a year to buy a house in their hometown, but during the Spring Festival this year, the real estate industry is quite deserted, and the transaction data is also very bleak, and there are even reports that a real estate company in a certain place has laid off 60% of its employees, which also shows the desertion of returning to their hometowns.

First of all, in recent years, in order to curb the rapid growth of housing prices, the country has cooled down the hot housing market through a series of real estate and monetary policies, so it has reduced the investment enthusiasm of some investors, and the overall investment enthusiasm in the market is not high, and investors are in a wait-and-see state, which is an important reason for the ebb and flow of home ownership during the Spring Festival.

In addition, most of the Spring Festival homecoming homes occurred in third- and fourth-tier cities, because there is a big gap between the medical resources, educational resources and infrastructure of third- and fourth-tier cities and first-tier cities, so the housing market in third- and fourth-tier cities has been tepid in recent years, and investors' investment enthusiasm is not high, so most of the capital has poured into big cities.

In addition, in recent years, due to various reasons, developers often run high and carry the road, thunderstorms, capital chain breakage, etc., especially some time ago Evergrande had a financial crisis, so that people have a certain worry about real estate companies, most buyers choose to wait and see, looking forward to Chang Nianxiang's follow-up policy before making a choice. In addition, due to the impact of the epidemic in recent years, various industries are not very prosperous, and the downward pressure on the economy has increased, and people will choose to keep some hot money in their hands instead of investing.

Moreover, due to the downward pressure of the economy, the state has introduced policies that do not allow the real estate industry to reduce prices sharply to prevent panic, etc., so real estate companies have not taken too many preferential policies and price reduction measures to attract consumers. This is also a major reason for the ebb of the tide of returning to the hometown during the Spring Festival this year.

Because now after the epidemic is staring at Hexian, the income of the Dakaiyou family has decreased, and a certain economic foundation is needed to return to their hometown to start a business, so this entrepreneurial boom has gradually subsided. Now it's more about going out and looking for employment opportunities.

It may be because of the epidemic, because many people are reluctant to leave their hometowns and want to develop in their hometowns.

I think this is happening because of the impact of the pandemic and related policies.

In 2022, the tide of returning to the hometown to buy a home during the Spring Festival is no more, and the scale of new housing transactions has dropped by 50%, which is a phenomenon that the national investment concept adapts to the changes and progress of the times.

First, from the point of view of buying

The buyer comes from the local wealthy family and the wanderer who returned to his hometown to buy a home, but the essential difference between the two is that the local family has both the use and investment needs of the cash, even if the investment income can not be realized, you can still live in it, but the return to the hometown to buy a house, in addition to improving the pension environment for the elderly, but this price is expensive, and it is unlikely to be self-occupied, if rented, the rental yield of the third and fourth lines can be imagined.

Second, from the point of view of selling

The population export of third- and fourth-tier cities is serious, the siphon effect of the first and second tiers is obvious, and the population export means a sharp decline in local purchasing power.

Third, there is also a possibility of a psychology that is to return home

Let the villagers know how successful they are outside, but this is too costly, after all, it is not easy to make money, and this irrational impulse to buy a house has to be weighed repeatedly.

Fourth, third- and fourth-tier cities are not recommended to buy a house, because their economic development is limited and not as good as that of large cities.

If you just go back to your hometown to buy a house because the housing prices in first- and second-tier cities are too high, then no one will take over, and half of your life's wealth will be smashed here. Today's young people do not have to work hard in first- and second-tier cities. Because many people have limited ability to spend their life's wealth on a first- and second-tier house, China does not have such a standard way of living, which must not be a standard.

Therefore, it is a question that needs to be carefully considered whether to use one's life wealth or even six wallets to buy a small house in the first and second tiers, or to go back to the hometown of the third and fourth tier cities to buy a house. Why do many experts recommend staring at buying a house in a big city, because there is still a chance to get rid of it in the future, and you really can't find a pick-up man in your hometown. Therefore, it is recommended to buy a house to understand more about the current economic development status of the city, buying a house in a city is like buying a **, it is important to understand the future development prospects of the city.

So, it's not that the seller doesn't work hard, but that the buyer is more rational.

Cities with greater pressure to adjust the market will still strengthen credit support for the first and second homes. For the market, the support policies around the country, fresh and fresh need time, it is expected that the short-term market adjustment trend will continue, part of the early stage can ah, adjust the foot early and demand support strong cities, with the implementation of the policy, the market is expected to gradually bottom out and rebound.