In 2100, the Chinese population may only be 600 million, experts call for a second child subsidy of

It is unrealistic to want so many people to have 2 children with only 30,000 yuan, from the birth of a child to college, the cheapest need 400,000, if the subsidy is less than this number, the average family will not give birth, our country's economy is mainly the demographic dividend, the population in 2100 is theoretically only 600 million, the actual must be higher than this, but it is certain to fall below 1 billion, if you want to maintain population growth, it is meaningless to rely on subsidies, you need to increase income.

There are many factors that affect fertility, the first is high housing prices, high housing prices indirectly lead to not getting married, now one of the necessities for marriage is a house, and for just needs, even if you buy a house and get married, no one wants to have a second child, the cost of childbirth is high, the cost of raising is higher, not to mention the cost of education, so 30,000 is definitely no one wants to have a child.

These costs are very high, if you are an ordinary salaryman, and you have to pay the mortgage, you can't afford to have a second child, and you will have to work hard to have a second child for one child, and you will not be able to live.

And now most people don't even have a child, China's single population has 200 million, and this value will increase in the future, and now there are many people who have low desires, have no goals in life, have no motivation for work, and are not even willing to leave the house, and it is good to live alone, and this state is very popular all over the world.

The first is that there is a lot of pressure in life, there are many people who are just working class, and buying a house is even more out of reach, let alone forming a family to raise the next generation, and it is barely enough to support yourself, how to raise the next generation?

Second, now everyone's values have changed, there are more men and fewer women, and women's mate selection standards are much higher than men's, and now the thinking of unmarried women is more idealistic, there are a lot of ** on the Internet, what is the ideal, how much do you think men have to be suitable for marriage, the requirements for men are too high, and many male compatriots have given up the idea of marriage.

Now not only the poor do not get married, but there are also many rich people who do not get married, I have a friend in his 40s, has a house, a car and a deposit, and his girlfriend is not much to talk about, but he just doesn't get married, according to his own words, one person is used to it, and one more person is not used to it.

If the population decline is really too fast, it will be a heavy blow to the economy, and now many enterprises are supported by the demographic dividend, and in the future population decline, if there is no technical support, many enterprises will go bankrupt.

The most typical example is Japan, where more than 100 companies declare bankruptcy every year because they can't recruit workers because there are too few young workers at the right age.

Summary. For the economy, the most serious problem is the decline in consumption power caused by population decline, the increase in labor costs, our country's economy mainly depends on the demographic dividend, the future population decline is too large, such a large economy must take the road of recession, unless there is technical support, but consumption capacity must decline, so now if you want to increase the fertility rate, it is impossible to rely on a one-time subsidy of tens of thousands alone, the first is to increase the marriage rate, and the second is to reduce the cost of childbirth and education, which can encourage the birth of a second child, otherwise, is something that no one wants.

I don't think it's necessary, even if the population is only 600 million, it is still a big country, and there is no need to take this measure because of having a second child.

I think this appeal is more feasible, because the reason why many people do not have a second child is because of the heavy burden, and if it can be subsidized, it may prompt them to have a second child.

I think this is pure nonsense and has no scientific basis at all. The population of our country cannot be as small as that.

I think this statement should be correct, but there is no practical result now.

If you don't have a second child, the number of Chinese population may only be 700 million to 800 million by 2060, and the population problem is also a national development problem, and now many countries are in a low fertility situation, which should cause widespread concern, in this regard, China is also fully open to the second child.

There will be about half left, because they are all only children, and the descendants of this part of the population will decrease.

1 billion, I am a post-90s generation, our generation is willing to have a child, and they will all be old people in the future, and there are fewer and fewer young people, and a family of 3-4 children in the past is now afraid that they will not be able to afford it.

If you let go of it, you will not be born, and it is just right for China to have 100 million people, rich and environmentally friendly.

The less the better, because people are going to be guilty of it.

After the opening of the second child, what will happen to the Chinese population, and how many people will there be by 2060?

Recently, it was said that in the next 100 years, by 2100, there will be only 600 million people left in China. Experts call for a subsidy of 30,000 yuan for the second child! First:

Will China really have only 600 million people left by 2100? According to the World Population Prospects 2015 released by the United Nations Population Programme, it is expected that by the end of the 21st century, China's population will reach 2,100 people, with a peak of about 100 million people, a median value of about 100 million people, and a minimum of 100 million people.

In addition, according to authoritative statistics, at the end of 2017, the proportion of the elderly population in China was. However, by 2050, the proportion of the elderly population will peak, showing a negative growth trend, and the elderly population over 60 years old will account for nearly 35% of the total population! As shown in the figure below:

So, all in all, it is not inconceivable that there will only be 600 million people left in China in 2100, it is possible;

Second: If the state really implements the policy of 30,000 yuan subsidy for having a second child, are you willing to give birth?

In the past, in rural areas, many families longed to have one more child, rather than "more children, more blessings" as the saying goes. Therefore, in the past, it was normal to have more than three children;

But now it's different. Even in rural areas, the concept of family has changed. Even if the state is willing to subsidize it, it is unlikely to be willing to have children.

Is it because it doesn't like children? Do you think raising children is troublesome? These are not the main reasons, the main reason is "money"!

Can't afford it! This is not a joke, but a fact. Especially for today's young people, it is estimated that the post-90s generation has more than one child, and the subsidy of 30,000 yuan is unlikely to be willing to have children!

My career is hard, and I have to take care of my parents and have one more child, and the cost increases exponentially!

Another reason is the shift in the concept of childbearing。In the past, having more children may have been influenced by the idea of "raising children to prevent old age". But now it seems that when you are really old, you can't rely on your children to provide for your old age.

Maybe you have to run around for your children to provide for your family;

Why do you say that? First of all, you may be old and living in a nursing home. This trend is not evident right now.

It must be normal in the future. Second, if you are healthy, you need to help your children and their children. Isn't that helping them provide for their families?

Thirdly, I really don't want to have more children, let alone the cost of raising children, which is a mental fatigue. Raising a big child, especially a mother, is something that needs to overcome the ego, and it should be very profound!

There should still be some, after all, it is rare to get such subsidies from the state.

I think there will be, but there are not many of them, because there is a lot of pressure to raise children now.

It depends, most of them don't care so much about quantity now, and it's good to cultivate one.

China is the most populous country in the world, from 2006, 1.3 billion people, now it is 2020, in the past 14 years, the population has hardly increased, according to this situation, it is very far probable, in 2100, there is a high probability of 600 million left.

About, second child, now people are more and more, material, reality, most people, very selfish, lazy to do, modern society children pay great attention to, health, education, etc., from childhood to adulthood, spend a lot of money, so ordinary families raise a child, it is also very difficult, not to mention the second child, so that the Chinese population, 2100, may be, 600 million.

There will definitely be some people who choose to have a second child again, after all, macro control.