How to convert the price of frozen pork storage into the price of live pigs, do you know?

Recently, ** frozen pork storage and auction.

The rate remains high, and there is even a phenomenon of zero transaction in the fifth batch of frozen pork storage, and all of them are directly unsold, which also arouses heated discussions among the majority of farmers.

Two days ago, I did an analysis of the reasons for the storage of frozen pork in the first reserve, which mentioned that the reason for the high auction rate of frozen pork storage in recent years is that in addition to the farmers are optimistic about the market outlook, there is also a main reason that the storage guide price is not too attractive.

Didn't think about it, this point of view is a stone to stir up a thousand waves, many readers to leave a message, some people say that the storage guide price is converted into a pig price of 10-11 yuan, some people say that it is converted into 12 yuan -13 yuan or so, in short, varied, but the key point is that the frozen pork storage guide price is converted into the price of the pig, because people convert the results of different, they will naturally make different judgments.

Let's take 120 kg of standard pigs, the fifth batch of frozen pork storage guide price of 21,950 yuan tons, as an example, to convert to you how much is the hairy pig?

Before calculating, two premises need to be clarified:

The fifth batch of frozen pork storage requires the reserve of No. meat (front leg muscles) and No. meat (hind leg muscles), which are about 1 kilogram different from white strip meat**.

The meat yield of a hairy pig is about 70%, and the meat yield of 120 kg of hairy pig is 84 kg of white strip meat.

The above two data are industry average data, and the next step is to start the accounting:

Frozen pork storage guide price:21950 yuan tons converted into each kilogram ** yuan kilogram (1 ton = 1000 kg); White strip meat**: Yuan kg Yuan kg.

Reserve hogs per head**:We have mentioned above that 120 kg of woolly pigs produce 84 kg of white meat, and the ** of white meat is yuan kg * 84 kg = yuan, plus some by-products (pig head, internal organs and other pig water.

**About 250 yuan, so that the overall ** of a pig is yuan + 250 yuan = yuan.

Pig unit price:Yuan 120 kg = Yuan kg, close to 15 yuan.

Based on the results of our accounting, it is said that from the frozen pork storage guide price backwards to the unit price of live pigs, the ** of live pigs is about 15 yuan, and the current market of live pigs has risen to 14-15 yuan kg, and even local areas have risen to 16 yuan, and in April, especially in the second half of the month, the pig price is fierce, farmers are bullish on the market outlook, and the probability of pig prices breaking through 15 yuan in the later period is very large, as long as it breaks through 15 yuan, it is higher than the profit for storage, so think about it, The fifth batch of frozen pork was collected and stored in zero, which is naturally understandable.

Assuming that the weight of the pig is 125 kg, assuming that the value of the by-product is 275, the calculation method of No. 2 and No. 4 meat ** is generally white strip ** plus left and right, and the backward deduction is also reasonable. It's okay to look at the white bars**, and now the white bars**17-18 are calculated, and there is no profit margin.

It can be calculated by purchasing ** raw pork at that time, and it should also be calculated according to the corresponding storage time, so that the ** of meat can be calculated.

I have just started the work of purchasing reserve pork, because now pork ** is relatively low, and every time in early summer and when it is cheap, it will cause damage to the interests of farmers, and it will start to collect frozen pork. In this way, when pork ** is particularly high, it will choose to put these meats out to regulate the market**. <>

Now pork is very cheap, ordinary pork costs about 10 yuan and 15 yuan, and this ** would be relatively cheap if it was placed three or five years ago when the epidemic did not happen. Because at that time, the normal ** was also 12 to 15 yuan, not to mention that now affected by the epidemic, the cost of this batch of pork breeding that really appears on the market is relatively high. This little piglet may be 50% more expensive than before when it is fished, and the cost of feed and other aspects is gradually **10 yuan, which is actually not profitable, or even a loss.

For large-scale farmers, the cost must be controllable, because large-scale breeding can be done for hundreds of pigs, or even thousands of pigs, people basically have no cost in this regard, and then feed and the like can be made by themselves, which is much cheaper than directly buying the finished product, but for the ordinary ** is to raise a few pigs at home in those rural areas, and then go out to do odd jobs, and work in the field to farm, this traditional most extensive model. themThe cost is relatively high, and 10 yuan is basically not profitable. <>

Pork is a lot of income, and the ** of pork should be raised up, normally the ** of pork should be 12 to 15 yuan, because the cost of this breeding is not particularly outrageous. The more normal pull rises to a more appropriate degree and then stops the pork ** high to a certain extentFor example, when it comes to 30 yuan a catty, it is obviously beyond the normal range to release these frozen reserve pork, so as to play a role in regulating the market.

**Frozen pork reserves will start to be stored, has the ** of hogs fallen to the bottom?

With the continuous development of pork, the sales of pork in the market have affected the smooth operation of the entire pig market, in this case, the state began to supervise and guide some places in the country to carry out the work of pig reserves, the pork reserve work will be carried out nationwide, the reason why this round of pork reserves will be launched, mainly because the pork has now entered the early warning stage, so in order to ensure that the pig market can continue to run smoothly, The work of pork has to be done.

Pork has been maintained for a long time, relevant statistics show that pork will continue, and the strength of pork is relatively large, although it may not have reached the minimum, but such pork has been a little outrageous, if the state does not take measures to regulate, for pig farmers, this is bound to bring them a very negative impact.

I think that the ** of pigs has fallen to the bottom, because today's ** is very cheap, and it is impossible to carry out ** anymore, if ** is carried out again, many people who go to feed will lose money.

I think his ** has fallen to the bottom, because the ** of pork is very similar to the ** during the previous period, and it is affordable for ordinary people.

It really fell to the bottom, because this year's pork ** is really cheap, and the ** to buy a pig will not exceed 10,000 yuan, which means that after that** is really low.

Yes, the ** of pigs is now relatively stable, there are no ups and downs, and the ** of pork will not change at present.

First, why do we store so much pork?

Second, why doesn't doing so lead to a rise in pork?

Third, what do you think about this time of storing pork?

In fact, if we want to store pork, we also need to buy it from the market, so at this time, the ** of the table is relatively low, and the country will store pork in many places, and wait until there is a shortage of pork, and then take it out and sell it, so as to stabilize the market. At present, pork ** is relatively stable, and there will not be a lot of fluctuations in a short period of time.

I don't think so, because there is a lot of pork in the market.

My attitude towards this is that I don't think it will be**, because doing things has always been very scheduled, and this decision will only be made when the polls are in place.

No, because the relevant departments control the ** of pork, and now pork is in a situation where the supply exceeds demand, so it will not rise because of this.

Netizens who are concerned about pork should have found that compared with the beginning of the year, pork has declined in recent times, and at the same time, according to the survey of relevant departments, in the week of June 28 to July 4, the national agricultural product market has risen compared with last week, and the means of production market has risen compared with the previous week.

At the same time, meat ** in general also showed a ** trend, of which pork wholesale ** from per kilogram **, which is also the first rebound since late February this year, in response to this phenomenon, the state has also officially launched the pork reserve storage work, is expected to be in a short period of time pork ** still has a small ** trend.

In addition, vegetable retail sales will continue to decline, there are relevant data showing that the wholesale of refined oil and basic chemical raw materials have been slightly in the recent period, in addition to the data released by the relevant departments, raw pork ** in yuan per kilogram, and in mid-June ** was the same as this**, corn ** compared with mid-June declined, soybean meal ** declined.

I have to say that after the swine fever was effectively controlled in 2020, the speed of pig filling can be said to be quite rapid, compared with the oversupply of pork in the first half of 2021, the raw pork ** has fallen back to the level of two years ago, which can be said to be a very good news for the daily life expenses of the general public.

At the same time, on Monday, the pork reserve work was officially launched, and at the same time, under the policy intervention, pork may usher in the short term, but from July onwards, it will officially enter the second half of 2021, and there may be more favorable pork factors about to be realized.

We take a general look at the trend of pork in the first half of the year, it can be said that under the background of the general environment, China's pig breeding capacity has ushered in a recovery, and the number of sows is also higher than before the epidemic.

I think. In the next 3 or 4 months, ** will still maintain the current sluggish state, and there will definitely not be too high**. Because the current **once appeared below ten yuan, this transfer** is also wholesale**.

In the case of a downturn, it is enough to prove the market for pork as a whole.

The pork in the market has increased greatly compared with the past, and the pork storage work can be opened at this time to adjust the amount of pork in the market. Lifting pork**. Increase the income of pork farmers.

I think pork will still be ** in the next period of time, because it is already the lowest**.

Pork will continue to change, it will become cheaper and cheaper, and people will be happier and happier.

Don't raise pigs in this factory every year, and then raise pigs are all nervous diseases, I don't believe that it can be proved after two years.

For the current whole pork, it is difficult to go up in the recent period, because the current supply is too large, and for the demand of the whole market, there is no big growth, although the state decided to carry out a certain pork storage, but can not fundamentally change the supply and demand of the entire market, so for the current entire pork **, the overall trend in the future will remain at a low level. <>

Due to the new crown epidemic and African swine fever raging last year, resulting in a large number of pork **, the supply of pork has been a very serious gap, so in this case, the country has also used a variety of forces to promote the further rise of pork supply, the country is also at this time to take out the national reserves of frozen pork for sale to alleviate the extreme shortage in the market, but for the entire pork, there has been no significant ** during this period of time, The state has also introduced a variety of encouraging policies to allow small and medium-sized farmers to carry out the corresponding pork breeding, with the liberalization of the corresponding national policies and the introduction of relevant policies, all kinds of farmers have sprung up. <>

It has directly led to a sharp increase in the supply of such as, and when it came to this year, it also began to decline all the way, from the level of twenty or thirty yuan to now, pork in most parts of the country has fallen below ten yuan, and it has also broken the historical record of the last ten years, so in this case, the whole ** has been located at a relatively low level, so the country is also wearing this opportunity to carry out a certain pork reserve, On the one hand, it is used to make up for the vacancy of the previous pork sell-off, and on the other hand, it can also pull up the current pork **, so that farmers can earn certain benefits and not lose too much, so as not to excessively hit the enthusiasm of farmers. <>

This pork price will last for one to two months, because after a month or two new pork will appear.

It should still last for a few months or so, because I don't think this year's pork has been high.

It may last for about half a year, and now the meat ** is very expensive, and the ** of the dish is also very expensive, so it will be impossible to reduce the price for a while and a half.