How does the U.S. non farm payrolls data affect the trend of gold?

Non-farm payrollsIn the United States, it generally refers to the non-farm payrolls, non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate (employment), and the publication time is generally 21:30 Beijing time (November to March in winter) and 20:30 in summer (April to October in summer) on the first Friday of each month.

It reflects the development and growth of the manufacturing and service sectors.

First, the impact of the results of the non-farm payrolls rate on the market

Second: the declared value is greater than the previous value and expectations, bullish on the US dollar, bearish on foreign exchange (non-US dollar), gold and silver, **.

Fourth: the announced value is less than the previous value and expectations, the dollar is negative, the foreign exchange is bullish (non-US), gold and silver, **.

Second, how does the non-farm payrolls data affect ****?

1.Non-farm payrolls.

The decline in the value of non-farm payrolls indicates a sluggish economy. Enterprises reduce production. The dollar is bad, ** good.

The increase in non-agricultural values indicates a good economic situation. Good for interest rate hikes, good for the dollar, bad for gold and silver.

2.Jobless rate.

The decline in the unemployment rate represents the healthy development of the overall economy, which is good for the dollar and bad for gold and silver.

A rise in unemployment means a slowdown in the economy, which is bad for the dollar and good for the dollar.

Non-farm payrolls data will not only have a huge impact on the commodity market, but also perpetuate, hinder or even change the development of commodity trends. So, how to grasp the impact of non-farm payrolls data on commodities?

1.Pay attention to changes in market trends: *** The market is facing the test of the continuation of the non-agricultural trend, so to what extent has the trend of your ** and other products developed?

Judging by the course of the trend development, it can be determined how long it will last. The non-farm payrolls data could change this trend. Gold and silver have been bullish recently.

In the case of non-farm profits, the upward trend is likely to continue. If it is negative, it will suppress **** in the short term.

2.Pay attention to the impact of non-farm inducements: non-farm payrolls data has a great impact on the metals market in the United States, etc.

Judging from the previous data, the large volatility in the market on the night of the release of the non-farm payrolls data occupied the main trading day. At the same time, due to the different interpretations of the market after the release of the data, the market fluctuates rapidly and greatly, and is even full of short inducement operations. So, be extremely careful not to blindly pursue orders.

The impact of the timing of the U.S. non-farm payrolls data announcement on ****

3.Do a good stop loss: After the announcement of non-agricultural data, make a real stop loss in one direction. It is necessary to amplify the stop loss appropriately. At the same time, the NFP market can form false breakouts near key support and resistance and should be avoided.

Summary: Judging from the previous trend, the market will fluctuate greatly, and in many cases, the market will fluctuate violently, and some commodities will fluctuate around 100-200 points on non-agricultural days. So pay attention to the impact of non-farm payrolls data on commodities.

If the released non-farm payrolls data is greater than expected, it means that the United States has a large number of employed people, and the recovery of the U.S. economy is bound to hit the risk aversion. will go down under pressure.

The Nonfarm Payrolls report measures employment in all U.S. businesses, excluding agriculture, local**, private households, and the nonprofit sector. The Non-Farm Payrolls report is considered one of the most comprehensive indicators of the health of the U.S. economy. U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls** is released on the Friday evening of the first week of each month, Beijing Time (Daylight Saving Time).

April - October) released at 20:30, (winter time: November - March) 21:

30. In the event of a special event, the non-farm payrolls data may not be released on time, which is subject to the announcement of the U.S. Department of Labor.

The impact of non-farm payrolls data on ****

Given the importance of the US dollar in the world, every data release triggers the market**. In forex analysis, there is a negative correlation between the U.S. dollar and non-U.S. dollar currencies,**. Therefore, a good dollar means a bad non-dollar currency,**.

Non-farm payrolls data generally publishes three numbers: employment (net).Unemployment and employment rates. The most important are the number of employed people (net) and the unemployment rate.

The analysis is based on the difference between the three data, and each time a market change is considered, the three items of each data should be considered together: the previous value, the expected value, and the actual published value. According to the gap between the actual announced value and the expected value, the foreign exchange and **** trend should be further judged.

Ahead of the NFP data, investors should carefully analyze the recent jobs data and rule out the expected data game, as long as the final NFP data maintains its growth momentum, it will indicate that the US job market is still in a state of recovery (since the US job market is in a state of recovery, then the impact of the Fed's interest rate hikes and quantitative easing). ）

On the whole, non-agricultural data can have the following four impacts on the trend.

The first effect: the non-farm payrolls data is greater than the previous value and larger than expected. Bullish for the dollar, bearish for **.

The second impact: the non-farm payrolls data is smaller than the previous value and less than expected. Bearish for the US dollar, bullish**.

The third effect: the non-farm payrolls data was lower than expected, but larger than the previous value. **First up and then down.

The fourth effect: the non-farm payrolls data is larger than expected, but less than the previous value. **First down and then up.

It is to rely on the trend of influencing the trend, because these data will affect the rally of the market, so it will affect the trend.

The number of people employed in the United States is gradually increasing, and after the economic recovery, the number of people who buy ** increases, **just**.

Because only after these people have income, they will consume, so as to increase the purchasing power of the first, which will naturally affect the trend of the first

1. What is the non-farm payrolls data?

The non-farm payrolls data consists of three parts: the number of non-farm payrolls, the employment rate and the unemployment rate, which are data indicators that reflect the employment status of the non-farm population in the United States. The main body of the data is the U.S. Department of Labor, through which people can more accurately** the overall consumption of the United States, and the data can also affect the value of the dollar in the currency market.

2. The release time of non-agricultural data.

The U.S. non-farm payrolls data will be released on the evening of the first Friday of each month Beijing time, April to October is summer time, the release time is 20:30, and November to March is winter time, the release time is 21:30.

3. The impact of non-agricultural data on the ****.

The United States is the world's only superpower, and the speed of its economic development has a profound impact on the development of many industries. Therefore, the release of non-farm payrolls data can affect people's views on the economic development of the United States, thereby affecting people's prediction of the market in the whole society.

In the market, a good non-farm payrolls report can enhance people's confidence in the current level of economic development in the United States, and can effectively drive the rise of interest rates, making the dollar more attractive to investors, and at the same time can objectively reflect the rise and fall of the U.S. economy. If the non-farm payrolls report is higher than the market expectation, then it will be positive for the dollar and bearish**, while if the actual value is lower than the market expectation, it will be lower than expected, bearish for the dollar, positive**.

As one of the objects that people need to focus on in the trading market, traders should collect a variety of information to determine the current trend of non-agricultural data as accurately as possible, so as to adjust their trading strategies in a timely manner to safeguard their trading interests.

The high non-farm payrolls data proves that the U.S. job market is healthy, and the increase in the employment rate indicates that the U.S. economy is booming, which will lead to the U.S. dollar**, ** will ** with the U.S. dollar**. If the U.S. economy is depressed, it will weigh on the dollar, and the dollar will be depressed. Therefore, we can judge whether it is bad or good for the **** according to the non-agricultural data and the expected previous value data, and also allow us to conclude the trend of the ****.

The non-farm payrolls data is released on the first Friday of each month at 20:30 Beijing time, and it can reflect the development and growth of the manufacturing and service industries. For **, the trend of the dollar in the fundamentals is very important, and the main factor affecting the trend of the dollar is the US economic data, the most important of which is the non-farm payrolls data.

Because the United States was the initiator of the Jamaica agreement that it would withdraw from the stage of currency history, and the United States' reserves ranked first in the world. Therefore, the impact of the exchange rate of the US dollar on **** can not be underestimated, under the same conditions, the US dollar appreciates, ****, US dollar**, ** appreciates. Therefore, if the non-agricultural data is linked to the ****, a conclusion can be drawn, that is, under the condition that other conditions remain unchanged, the non-agricultural data increases, ******, the non-agricultural data decreases, and the **** rises.

However, due to the expected non-farm payrolls data, Jay's lecture stated that when other conditions remain constant, if the true value of the non-farm payrolls data is greater than the ** value and the deviation value is greater than zero, then **** will be **.

Extended information: Non-farm payrolls refer to the three values of non-farm payrolls, employment rate and unemployment rate. It is divided into the previous value, the expected value, and the published value.

As the name suggests, it is a data indicator that reflects the employment status of the non-agricultural population in the United States. These three data are 20:0 Beijing time (daylight saving time: April to October) on the first Friday of each month

Non-farm payrolls data can greatly affect the dollar value of the currency market. A vibrant employment situation can drive interest rates higher, making the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The non-farm payrolls data objectively reflects the rise and fall of the U.S. economy.

In the recent exchange rate, the US dollar is extremely sensitive to this data, higher than expected, positive for the dollar, lower than expected, bearish for the dollar.

The non-farm payrolls data has a big impact on ** because the non-farm payrolls data reflects the U.S. business employment.

In other words, it is a disguised reflection of the degree of industrial prosperity in the United States.

If the U.S. industrial and commercial boom exceeds expectations, it will be bullish, risk aversion will be low, and gold prices will be vulnerable to blows.

If the U.S. economy is not as good as expected, it will hit the performance, risk aversion will increase, and gold prices will be easy.

Of course, the non-farm payrolls data is not the only factor affecting the gold price, but it has a considerable impact on the rise and fall of the gold price.

To put it simply, under normal circumstances, the U.S. non-farm data, that is, the number of non-farm workers is better than expected, which means that the U.S. economy is improving and the dollar is good, which will suppress the gold price.

Non-farm payrolls are greater than expected, the economic upturn is bearish**; Non-farm payrolls are smaller than expected, and the recession is positive**.

Look at the data before the **value and the result.

US non-farm payrolls (i.e., US non-farm payrolls, non-farm payrolls) are the employment data of the non-farm population in the United States, released by the US Department of Labor once a month, reflecting the trend of the US economy. The non-farm payrolls data will affect the Fed's monetary policy on the dollar, the economy is poor, the Fed will be inclined to cut interest rates, the dollar will depreciate, the economy is good, the Fed will be inclined to raise interest rates, and the dollar will appreciate.

The U.S. economy is expected to be poor, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates, the dollar has depreciated, and the hedging ability has increased.

The U.S. economy is expected to be good, the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, the dollar will increase, and the hedging ability will weaken and fall.

This Friday's non-farm payrolls data shocked, the previous value, are you shocked by this data? Can the expected bearish ** be laid out in advance?

First of all, we must have a clear understanding of the relationship between the US dollar and the US dollar, because the US dollar is used to mark the price, so the trend of the US dollar has always been the vane of the US dollar, and the historical and traditional relationship between the two is negatively correlated.

Secondly, the impact of the U.S. non-farm payrolls data on the U.S. dollar is transmitted to the ** market, and the magnitude of the two will definitely be inconsistent, so the results of the U.S. non-farm payrolls data will first have an impact on the trend of the U.S. dollar, and at the same time pose a significant impact on the foreign exchange market. Therefore, it is recommended that you enter the market before the data is released, and after the announcement, it is often full of ** and the trend of tempting long and short, coupled with the instantaneous large fluctuations after the release of the data, which leads to traders increasing the trading spread, making traders pay a strong cost.

Third, before the data is released, conduct a longer-term analysis of the gold price, such as from the monthly and weekly charts, as well as the daily chart, to establish where the current trend is in a longer cycle? With these positions as a basis, for the most volatile fluctuations after the release of the non-farm payrolls data, we will not always consider whether to go long or short in the current adjustment of the current adjustment idea.

Fourth, of course, there is little impact on the trend of gold prices for each investor, different investors and investors with different positions, should have different choices, including psychological quality, mainly whether the psychological quality of the transaction is stable, etc., non-agricultural data will not determine the general trend. Therefore, investors with small funds, cautious investment, and locked positions can choose to wait and see; Super ** investors can take a two-handed preparation of the operation method, hold the key support and resistance, look at the breakthrough direction after the non-agricultural farm, and operate in which direction to break the direction.