How does the U.S. non farm payrolls affect gold prices, and the impact of the U.S. non farm payrolls

The impact of non-farm payrolls data on **:

1. Non-agricultural employment: A decrease in non-agricultural employment indicates that the economy has entered a depression. Enterprises reduce production. Bearish for the dollar, good for ****. An increase in the non-farm payrolls indicates a healthy economic situation. It is conducive to raising interest rates, good for the dollar, and bad for ****;

2. Consumer price index: If the index rises too much and there is inflationary pressure, the bank will raise interest rates, which is bullish for the US dollar and bearish**. If the index rises too much and is already inflationary, the bank will tighten the currency, which is negative for the dollar and good for ****;

3. Unemployment rate: The decline in the unemployment rate represents the healthy development of the overall economy, which is good for the dollar and bearish. The rise in unemployment represents a slowdown in economic development and recession, which is bearish for the US dollar and positive for **;

4. New home sales value: the number of new home sales increased or fell lower than expected, which is good for the dollar and bearish**. The number of sales is down or lower than expected, which is bearish for the US dollar and positive**;

5. The deficit is also called the "deficit", which corresponds to the "surplus": if the deficit of the United States expands, imports are greater than exports, which is bad for the dollar and good for it. If the U.S. surplus expands, imports are less than exports, which is bearish and good for the dollar;

6. Durable goods orders: If the data increases, it means that the manufacturing situation has improved, which is good for the dollar and bearish**. On the contrary, if it decreases, it means that the manufacturing industry has shrunk and regressed, which is bearish for the US dollar and good for **;

7. Michigan Consumer Confidence Index: Consumer confidence is rising, consumption is expected to grow, and the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, which is good for the dollar and bearish**. Consumer confidence is declining, consumption is expected to decrease, and the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, which is bearish for the US dollar, which is positive**;

8. **Current account: If the U.S. current account deficit expands, the country's currency depreciates, which is negative for the U.S. dollar, which is positive**. If the U.S. current account surplus widens, the country's currency appreciates, which is good for the U.S. dollar and bearish**.

"Finance and Economics" is a beautiful financial talk show, which aims to let young people better understand finance, bring together the latest current affairs, industry development, conduct in-depth analysis, and share various financial topics.

1. Don't be in a hurry to buy **, don't just want to buy the lowest price, this is unrealistic. It is also good to really pull up**You are the high price**, so it is better to buy**miss, not to be at fault, not to buy and sell blindly**, it is best to buy **familiar with the disk**.

2. If you are not familiar with it, you can simulate trading first, be familiar with the nature of stocks, it is best to follow for a day or two, familiar with the operation methods, and you can master the best points.

3. Pay attention to the necessary technical analysis, pay attention to the changes in trading volume and the language of the disk (the situation of the disk buy and sell orders).

4. Try to choose hot spots and appropriate points, so that the stock price can be out of the cost area after the same day.

Three people and: ** is more, the popularity is strong, the stock price rises, and vice versa. At this time, what is needed is personal ability to watch the market, and whether it can find hot spots in time.

This is the key to success or failure. **Operation** to be ruthless, the mentality to be stable, it is best to be correct**after the stock price** out of the cost, but once the judgment is wrong, when it comes to adjustment**, it is necessary to sell the stop loss in time, you can refer to the previous post: win in the stop loss, here will not be repeated.

Fourth, the skills of selling**: **It is impossible to be all the time**, there will be adjustments when it rises to a certain extent, then the **operation will be sold in time, generally speaking, when making money, it is right to sell at any time. Don't want to sell the most, but for the sake of the greatest profit, there are still skills in selling, I will introduce my experience (not necessarily the best):

1. If there has been a certain large increase, and the volume is rapidly rising to the price limit without sealing the limit, you can consider selling, especially if there is a long upper shadow.

If you put a huge amount of stagflation or a long upper shadow line in the minute or daily line, you generally do not continue to increase the volume the next day, and it is easy to form a short-term top, so you can consider selling.

3. You can see the 15 or 30-minute chart of the tick chart, such as 5** cross 10 days ** down, and sell in time when the trend feels weak, this trend is often the beginning of the ** adjustment, which is very valuable for reference.

4. For the wrong purchase, you must stop the loss in time, the higher the better, this is a long-term actual combat practice accumulation process, you have to pay if you see the mistake, there is nothing to wait.

1. Non-agricultural data release time and **.

The non-farm payrolls data will be released on the first Friday of each month at 20:30 Beijing time (summer time: April to October) and 21:30 (winter time: November to March), and the data** is released from the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor.

2. The impact of non-farm payrolls data on the US dollar.

Non-farm payrolls data can greatly affect the value of the dollar in the currency market, and a good employment situation report can drive interest rates higher, making the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The non-farm payrolls data objectively reflects the rise and fall of the U.S. economy, which is usually higher than expected, which is good for the dollar, and lower than expected, which is negative for the dollar.

It is precisely because the non-farm payrolls data can affect the trend of the US dollar, so for the international ** denominated in the US dollar, it can also directly affect its ** changes.

3. The impact of non-agricultural data on international **.

The relationship between the non-farm payrolls data and the market is that if the actual value of the data is higher than expected, it will drive the market, and if the non-farm payrolls data is lower than expected, it can often cause the market. Therefore, the trend of the market is suitable for non-farm payrolls, which has a positive correlation with the impact relationship.

The impact of the U.S. non-farm payrolls data on the U.S. dollar is transmitted to the market, and the magnitude of the two will definitely be inconsistent, so the results of the U.S. non-farm payrolls data will first have an impact on the trend of the U.S. dollar, and at the same time pose a major impact on the gold market.

The high non-farm payrolls data proves that the U.S. job market is healthy, and the increase in the employment rate indicates that the U.S. economy is booming, which will lead to the U.S. dollar**, ** will ** with the U.S. dollar**. If the U.S. economy is depressed, it will weigh on the dollar, and the dollar will be depressed. Therefore, we can judge whether it is bad or good for the **** according to the non-agricultural data and the expected previous value data, and also allow us to conclude the trend of the ****.

The non-farm payrolls data is released on the first Friday of each month at 20:30 Beijing time, and it can reflect the development and growth of the manufacturing and service industries. For **, the trend of the dollar in the fundamentals is very important, and the main factor affecting the trend of the dollar is the US economic data, the most important of which is the non-farm payrolls data.

Because the United States was the initiator of the Jamaica agreement that it would withdraw from the stage of currency history, and the United States' reserves ranked first in the world. Therefore, the impact of the exchange rate of the US dollar on **** can not be underestimated, under the same conditions, the US dollar appreciates, ****, US dollar**, ** appreciates. Therefore, if the non-agricultural data is linked to the ****, a conclusion can be drawn, that is, under the condition that other conditions remain unchanged, the non-agricultural data increases, ******, the non-agricultural data decreases, and the **** rises.

However, due to the expected non-farm payrolls data, Jay's lecture stated that when other conditions remain constant, if the true value of the non-farm payrolls data is greater than the ** value and the deviation value is greater than zero, then **** will be **.

Extended information: Non-farm payrolls refer to the three values of non-farm payrolls, employment rate and unemployment rate. It is divided into the previous value, the expected value, and the published value.

As the name suggests, it is a data indicator that reflects the employment status of the non-agricultural population in the United States. These three data are 20:0 Beijing time (daylight saving time: April to October) on the first Friday of each month

Non-farm payrolls data can greatly affect the dollar value of the currency market. A vibrant employment situation can drive interest rates higher, making the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The non-farm payrolls data objectively reflects the rise and fall of the U.S. economy.

In the recent exchange rate, the US dollar is extremely sensitive to this data, higher than expected, positive for the dollar, lower than expected, bearish for the dollar.

First of all, we must have a clear understanding of the relationship between the US dollar and the US dollar, because the US dollar is used to mark the price, so the trend of the US dollar has always been the vane of the US dollar, and the historical and traditional relationship between the two is negatively correlated.

Secondly, the impact of the U.S. non-farm payrolls data on the U.S. dollar is transmitted to the ** market, and the magnitude of the two will definitely be inconsistent, so the results of the U.S. non-farm payrolls data will first have an impact on the trend of the U.S. dollar, and at the same time pose a significant impact on the foreign exchange market. Therefore, it is recommended that you enter the market before the data is released, and after the announcement, it is often full of ** and the trend of tempting long and short, coupled with the instantaneous large fluctuations after the release of the data, which leads to traders increasing the trading spread, making traders pay a strong cost.

Third, before the data is released, conduct a longer-term analysis of the gold price, such as from the monthly and weekly charts, as well as the daily chart, to establish where the current trend is in a longer cycle? With these positions as a basis, for the most volatile fluctuations after the release of the non-farm payrolls data, we will not always consider whether to go long or short in the current adjustment of the current adjustment idea.

Fourth, of course, there is little impact on the trend of gold prices for each investor, different investors and investors with different positions, should have different choices, including psychological quality, mainly whether the psychological quality of the transaction is stable, etc., non-agricultural data will not determine the general trend. Therefore, investors with small funds, cautious investment, and locked positions can choose to wait and see; Super ** investors can take a two-handed preparation of the operation method, hold the key support and resistance, look at the breakthrough direction after the non-agricultural farm, and operate in which direction to break the direction.

Internationally, ** is generally traded in US dollars, the US dollar is higher, and **** and other ***** are lower. Most of the non-agricultural data released every month are the most important investment opportunities for investors, and analyze the non-agricultural data in combination with all aspects, judge the trend, and make a profit in one fell swoop.

1. The release time of non-agricultural data.

Non-farm payrolls data usually refers to the U.S. non-farm payrolls rate, which is released together with the unemployment rate, and is usually released at 21:30 Beijing time on the first Friday of each month (winter time: November to March).

April-October) 20:30. It reflects the development and growth of the manufacturing and service industries.

Second, the impact of the four outcomes of the non-farm payrolls rate on the first grade.

The first type: the announced value is greater than expected, but less than the previous value, foreign exchange (non-US dollars), gold and silver, ** are all down first and then up;

The second type: the announced value is greater than the previous value and expectations, bullish US dollars, negative foreign exchange (non-US dollars), gold and silver, **;

The third type: the announced value is less than expected, but greater than the previous value, foreign exchange (non-US), gold and silver, ** are all up first and then down.

Fourth: the announced value is less than the previous value and expectations, bearish for the US dollar, bullish foreign exchange (non-US), gold and silver, **;

3. How does the non-agricultural data affect ****?

1. Non-farm payrolls.

A decrease in the non-farm payrolls indicates that the economy has entered a recession. Enterprises reduce production. Bearish for the dollar, good for ****.

An increase in the non-farm payrolls indicates a healthy economic situation. It is conducive to raising interest rates, good for the dollar, and bad for ****;

2. Unemployment rate.

The decline in the unemployment rate represents the healthy development of the overall economy, which is positive for the dollar and bearish**.

The rise in unemployment represents a slowdown in economic development and recession, which is bearish for the US dollar and positive for **;

Fourth, how to grasp the impact of non-agricultural data on the ****?

Non-farm payrolls data can not only bring a large number of commodity markets, but also continue and hinder the development of commodity trends, or even change. So, how to grasp the impact of non-farm payrolls data on commodities?

1. Pay attention to the trend changes in the market: the market is facing the test of non-agricultural for the continuation of the trend, so to what extent has the trend of the varieties you made, such as **, developed? How long can we judge the development process of the trend?

The non-farm payrolls data has the potential to change this trend. In the near future, the trend of **** is bullish, if the non-agricultural is long, the rally is likely to continue, if it is bearish, it will be suppressed in the short term.

2. Pay attention to the impact of non-agricultural inducement: the non-agricultural data in the United States has a great impact on the metal market, etc., from the previous data, the non-agricultural data was released on the night of the largest fluctuations occupy the main trading day, and at the same time, due to the different market interpretations after the data is announced, the market is subject to rapid and large fluctuations, and even full of operations to lure long and short. Therefore, you need to be very careful not to blindly chase orders.

3. Do a good job of stop loss: After the release of non-agricultural data, it is necessary to firm a direction to do a good job of stop loss. A proper amplified stop loss is necessary. At the same time, the NFP** will form a false breakout near the key support and resistance, which should be avoided carefully.