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In June and July 2008, pork reached 14 yuan, and the profit of a pig reached more than 1,000 yuan, resulting in a large number of investors joining the pig team. Generally, it takes a year and a half for pigs to be slaughtered from breeding, and now these production capacities are gradually released, and the increase in the amount of meat makes the supply and demand imbalanced, resulting in meat prices.
Moreover, before the Spring Festival, affected by the bearish psychological expectations of the market, farmers, especially free-range farmers, have recently accelerated the slaughter speed of pigs, and the increase in the number of pigs in the short term is more obvious, and the trend of low meat prices is more obvious.
According to the person, at present, pork has entered a downward channel, and many farmers have suffered losses. It is expected that this round of pork will continue until June and July this year.
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The sharp drop or rise in pig prices is actually a matter of supply and demand. Now it only takes about 90-120 days for pigs to be slaughtered. Everyone went to raise pigs when they saw that meat was expensive, and everyone's pigs came out at the same time.
As soon as the supply exceeded demand, it fell. And vice versa. However, we cannot rule out that some unscrupulous traders maliciously lower or too high pig prices.
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This big brother, usually the boss of the boss called us, now we have to have a boss's bearing, pig business, is the market to decide the rise and fall, and supply and demand have a relationship, make money when you make money, when you lose money, you have to see who can bear it, in the end it is the "leftover" is king! Whoever withstands this period of time will rise next. That's how life is in all walks of life.
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Because the price of vegetables is more expensive than pork... Only by eating vegetables can you save face...
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Mainly because there are too many pigs, too much imported pork, supply and demand comparison, related products**, feed**, etc. These are all reasons for the decline of pork.
Pig farmers everywhere are affected by a variety of factors.
When the pig fattening is basically completed, it enters the pig fattening stage. At present, there is a serious shortage of piglets in various places, resulting in a soaring number of piglets, which has reached a level that is unacceptable to ordinary pig farmers. If a large number of pigs are replenished, the value of pig breeding is lost, and the profit margin is too narrow to accept the reality.
As a result, pig farmers around the country gradually stopped raising pigs, and the focus of pig raising shifted from pig raising to pig fattening. This will inevitably lead to a gradual increase in fattening pigs, and pig slaughter is imperative. In addition, the overall trend of pig prices in various places is downward.
After pig fattening, the profit of slaughter in the early stage is always higher than that of slaughter in the later stage. In this way, the number of live pigs gradually increased, the market was sufficient, and the live pigs began to fall off a cliff.
Adequate pork products can be substituted.
Due to the surge in pork**, many consumers are turning to beef, lamb, chicken, etc. , which can replace pork, resulting in a significant increase in the number of cattle, sheep, and chickens. At present, other livestock and poultry products are still relatively sufficient, and they are not significantly larger than in the past. from substitution effects.
analysis, which indirectly led to a decline in pig prices.
To sum up, pig prices have fallen again and again. For consumers, relatively cheap pork will soon be available, which is also a trend in the future. For farmers, there is no need to worry too much about the price of pigs, because before the recovery of pig production capacity, it is difficult for pig prices to be substantial, if there are too many, it is not conducive to the recovery of pig production capacity.
At present, the supply of live pigs in the market exceeds demand, resulting in the price of pigs, but this does not mean that there is no shortage of pork in the market, but pork inhibits consumption. As far as the current pig inventory is concerned, the lack of pigs in the market is still an indisputable fact. As long as there is no overcapacity of pigs, pig prices will not be systematic, and the profits of pig breeding are still considerable.
Pig prices have fallen so much, why are they still falling?
However, the big pigs in the first stage and the cattle and pigs in the second fattening stage still exist to a certain extent, and they can no longer be raised, so they can only be sold at a loss.
Second, slaughtering companies and Chinese ** businessmen in order to ensure operating profits.
There are still some behaviors that depress **.
Third, the pig production capacity continues to recover, basically returning to the normal level, and there is a trend of expansion.
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<> "I don't know the specific situation of pig prices recently, but the fluctuation of pig prices is usually affected by a variety of factors, such as disease, seasonal demand, changes in export markets, policy changes, and so on. Further research and first-time attempts may be needed to understand the specifics before Brother Bo explains the reasons for the recent pig prices.
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It is because summer has arrived, people can eat many freshly marketed fruits and vegetables, and the demand for meat for various melons and fruits is not so much.
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Demand is down. It's not the Chinese New Year, and many people don't need pork anymore, but they just buy some occasionally when they want to eat it, and the pork can't be sold, so the price is reduced.
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The main reason is that there are more people who invest in pig breeding, and now there are more pork in stock, which has also been affected by national policies, so it is ****.
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This is because in recent years, there have been too many pigs in the pork market, so there has been a depreciation. It also led to the sales volume for a time, so the price was reduced.
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The top five signs of pig prices** are reduced pig inventory, feed costs**, disease outbreaks, reduced or restricted imports, increased consumer demand, etc.
1. Reduction of pig inventory: When the number of live pigs decreases, the amount of live pigs decreases relatively, which may lead to pork. This may be due to factors such as side talks during the outbreak, farmers reducing the number of feeders, or rising feed costs.
2. Feed cost: Feed is one of the important costs of pig breeding, when the feed is rising, the production cost of farmers increases, and they may adjust the selling price to make up for the cost, thereby pushing up the price of pigs.
3. Disease outbreak: The outbreak of pig disease will lead to a decrease in the pig herd, and farmers may need to carry out culling or isolation measures, which will reduce the number of pig prices, thus putting pressure on pig prices.
4. Import reduction or restriction: If a country or region reduces or restricts the import of pork, the first volume may be reduced, thereby pushing up the price of pigs. This may be due to import policy adjustments, disputes, or other factors.
5. Increased consumer demand: When people's demand for pork increases, it may not be able to meet the demand, thus pushing up pig prices. This can be due to factors such as population growth, economic development, holiday spending, or changing spending habits.
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The reason for the recent pig price is that the need to know the source has entered the "bottleneck period" and is affected by the epidemic.
Demand is determined by population and income levels, and from these two points, the future growth space of pork production and demand is limited, which means that demand has entered a "bottleneck period". Since 2020, the epidemic has had a profound impact on the demand for household pork consumption, as well as on the mode and structure of demand.
In the short term, the epidemic is still one of the main factors for whether pork demand can be boosted; In the medium term, the epidemic will affect residents' income and then pork consumption demand; In the long run, the increase in the supply of other meats such as poultry and beef, as well as the shrinking ratio between different types of meat, have also suppressed pork consumption to a certain extent.
The real problems faced by farmers:
1. Practical problems: grain prices and pig prices are now facing vigorous regulation, and the possibility of skyrocketing in the grassroots market is not large. For some farmers who choose to cover the fence and carry the price, cover the grain and are reluctant to sell, we will face a new round of marketization risks.
2. Practical problems: Entering 2023, the expected pig prices and grain prices are good, and it is likely that there will be more variables! In particular, the pig market is not as cautious as before in the peak season.
For farmers, pig prices are likely to remain at a relatively low level for a long time! I hope that everyone can adjust the pig production capacity moderately, and do not blindly choose secondary fattening.
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The reasons for the pig price** are as follows:
1. Consumers have consumption demand, but lack consumption strength.
Excluding all factors, when asked whether you want to eat pork and green onion dumplings, or braised pork, or sauce-flavored pig's trotters, many people must say "must", three meals a day, no meat, no feast, indicating that consumer demand for pork is still huge.
However, due to the influence of society, as if pressing the "pause button" on the previous hurried life, everyone pays more attention to health than before, and at the same time, due to the impact of a period of late stay-at-home, resulting in consumers' wallets making ends meet, in the previous off-season of pork consumption.
There is no holiday to celebrate, and the price of pork is still high, although it has fallen somewhat, and most people are still tightening their belts and drastically reducing their consumption of pork.
Second, the slaughtering enterprises had no choice but to reduce the price and lower the price.
Slaughtering enterprises are also companies, for the purpose of profit, slaughtering pork after slaughtering, affected by the consumer side of the goods are not good, for circulation, can not be stored in frozen storage, which needs to increase expenses, so, in order to maximize profits, again and again, the price of pork.
The sluggishness of pigs, coupled with the price of pigs in recent days, has caused some farmers to panic in the market, and they have gone to speed up the pedestrians to sell pigs, resulting in too concentrated pigs on the market, the more pig sources, the easier it is to buy, the more slaughterhouses will lower prices, and the more frequently they will reduce prices, so that it is logical for pigs to fall.
At present, we do not recommend pig farmers to "press and lift the fence equivalent", the standard weight of pigs can be slightly pressed down the bar, but the cycle is best not to drag on for too long, because the probability of the standard pig is greater than **, the follow-up market ** is acceptable, but blindly press the bar cattle and pigs, is absolutely unacceptable.
In the context of non-plague, and then into the hot season, all aspects of pig farm management are more risky, it is recommended that pig farmers can according to the situation of their own pig farms, to reasonably arrange the pressure and slaughter, and strive to maximize the benefits of pig breeding.
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