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The living standards of rural peasants are improving. As farmers gradually migrate from rural to urban areas, the rural population will become smaller and smaller, so the rural population will not increase.
Although the living standards of the peasants are getting better and better, in fact, the vast number of one-sided young people in the rural areas still choose to go out to work. This environment has hardly changed compared to what they thought more than a decade ago, because it is only in the city that they can make more money and can only stand out on a small plot of land at home. It is profitable to work outside the home.
Some people choose to build a house at home because there are elderly people in the family and they can come back and live there for the New Year. At the same time, it is also a feeling of intimacy and nostalgia for home. Of course, there are also some people who work outside forever and have been indifferent to their hometown for a long time and choose to buy a house outside.
As the saying goes, when people go to high places, water flows to high places. With the acceleration of urbanization, everyone wants to go to the city. Except to rely on a few acres of land, there is nothing left in the countryside.
Almost every year, eating depends on the weather. If one day the weather is not happy to eat, this is a problem. But there is a fixed wage for working outside the home, and people who work hard in the fields may not earn more money than those who go into factories to work as domestic plumbers.
It has a lot to do with staying in the countryside. It's hot in this village. How to expand your horizons and common sense?
As parents and parents, people want their children to live in big cities. Only in this way will they be able to stay away from those days facing the loess and hope that their children will have a decent job. It is in this way that the population of rural areas will gradually migrate to cities, and the population of rural areas will become smaller rather than more.
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Now the population in the rural areas is getting smaller and smaller, partly because many of the elders are old or absent, and some of the young people have gone out to work and only return home once during the Chinese New Year, and some of them have bought houses in the county town and moved there for their children.
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I think it's because even though the population has increased now, there are still a lot of people who are moving to the cities.
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There is still a bit of a limit on the population, and most young people also like to go to the city to work hard.
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There's nothing to do about it, it's usually a child, and it's going to go out.
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What is the reason for the feeling that the rural population is getting smaller and smaller? The rural population is getting smaller and smaller because the rural labor resources are large, but the income of breeding is low, and the risks of breeding are uncontrollable. In order to work, most of the labor force went out to work, into construction sites and factories, mainly in the secondary and tertiary industries.
As more and more people go out to work, there will be a lack of care at home. At this time, the elderly and children will also go out to live or study, resulting in a smaller and smaller rural population.
For a long time, China's rural population accounted for the majority. With the reform and opening up, China's economy has developed by leaps and bounds, urban construction is changing with each passing day, and the scale of infrastructure construction is huge. Rural people who work in the city earn money, buy a house in the city and settle in the city, and their families in the countryside will follow them into the city.
This has led to an increase in the urban population and a decrease in the rural population. The expansion of urban construction has led to the disappearance of surrounding rural areas, and the agricultural population has been directly transformed into an urban population.
Rural medical education resources are backward. Rural education and health care are a major challenge. There are too many backward cities, and the software and hardware are not as good as the cities.
In rural areas, many qualified parents send their children to study in the cities. The resources of cities cannot be compared with those of rural areas. Teachers and educational equipment are far behind.
Rural medical conditions are backward, medical infrastructure is backward, medical equipment is insufficient, the health system lacks high-quality talents, and serious diseases, difficult and miscellaneous diseases are not available, resulting in difficulties in seeing a doctor.
There is no hope for agriculture and no future. At present, due to the low agricultural products, the income of farmers in agriculture is much lower than that of migrant workers, so many farmers have given up farming and work. Now in the countryside, because there is no hope and there is no future development, young people go to the cities to work, and after graduation stay in the cities with university graduates.
This allowed young people to settle down in the city, get married and have children. Therefore, their parents, peasants in the 50s and 60s of the 20th century, had to go to the city to take care of their children. As a result, there is less and less rural labour.
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Because the facilities in the city are more complete than in the countryside, more and more people yearn for urban life, so the population in the countryside is gradually lost.
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The main reason is that the overall trend of the country is to develop towards urbanization, and most young people are moving to big cities, resulting in the loss of rural population.
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This is because the medical and health care and education in the rural areas cannot keep up. Therefore, many young people run to the city when they earn money, in order to give the next generation a better life.
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Nowadays, there is a serious loss of population in rural areas, and most of the people have gone to the cities for development, and even the better ones have basically bought houses and families in the cities, and many parents in the rural areas also live in the cities with their children. The elderly are aging and the young are eager to buy houses and settle in the city, and many people feel that if this continues, the countryside will disappear in the next few decades.
But I think that as our thousands of years of agricultural empire, the countryside plays a very important mission, such as the supply of grain and vegetables, the so-called people take food as the sky, if the countryside does not exist, then most of our sky will not collapse? Therefore, the countryside must not disappear!
In addition, land reform is now being implemented in rural areas, and in order to better develop rural areas, many policies for rural development are also being implemented, and at the same time, everyone is encouraged to return to their hometowns to start businesses, and the number of people who choose to return to their hometowns to start businesses is gradually increasing. In fact, even the developed United States has rural areas, let alone our agricultural country!
Secondly, the "Rural Revitalization Strategy" put forward in 2018 can promote the rapid development of rural areas and move to new heights. At the same time, in 2020, rural poor households will be eliminated, and the future countryside will not only not disappear, but will become more beautiful!
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With the continuous and in-depth changes in national policies, in addition to the old men, old women, left-behind women and students who cannot go out, some young and strong laborers are indeed unable to mix, and they have all entered the industry of working everywhere. The population in the countryside is getting smaller and smaller. The idle land does not dare to be barren, and most of the farmland is returned to forest, and most of them are planted with trees, which are better than idle land.
Although the population in the countryside has decreased, no matter where they are, they are all temporary workers, and they have not settled down outside, they are all rural hukou, there are fewer people, in fact, there are no fewer hukou, or those people, although some of them have bought buildings in the county town, but the hukou is still rural, can you say that he is in the city?
The state knows this situation best, and is also in the process of reforming the pilot project, why should we merge villages and towns now, and abolish the agricultural household registration, all for the purpose of laying the foundation for the construction of a new socialist agricultural tree, and the peasants in the future will not be the peasants of the present, but the new type of socialist peasants, which has completely broken the traditional peasant model, and after training, the best are admitted, and who has the talent and qualifications can be the new type of peasants of modernization, breaking the boundary between urban people and rural people. Aren't rural people reluctant to farm? You can enter the city to settle down.
Urban people have ambitions, ideals, and ability to come to agriculture to become a new type of farmers. At that time, the countryside was superior to the city, and the people who settled in the city did not have the word "peasant", and the original countryside was nothing more yours, and there was no home, everything changed. It's harder to come back than to get to the sky, unless you go to work.
At that time, agriculture was all modern operations. The plains and mountainous areas have unified planning, cultivation management, and harvesting are all mechanized, and grain and oil are managed by the state, and China has also become a major grain exporter at that time. All this is not a dream, it is completely a reality.
You don't believe it, but I do.
Today's people look at the problem with the current vision, that is, to see the present, but also to imagine the future, "the past is for the present, the foreign is for the Chinese, a hundred flowers bloom, and the old brings forth the new". This is the direction of development with Chinese characteristics in the future. The old road of the past must become history, and we must open up a new road to build our country's agriculture into a modern agricultural power with modern characteristics.
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When society develops to a certain extent, the population will inevitably decrease.
With the continuous improvement of urbanization, more and more people are moving from rural areas to cities, and with it, the fertility rate is declining, which is a trend that cannot be reversed in the short term.
The next 15 years will be a watershed in determining the fertility rate, and if we do not address the change in the concept of fertility caused by urbanization, the number of births will fall to the bottom (see South Korea), and the population will inevitably collapse and never stop. If we can establish the correct concept of fertility and improve the way we raise children, we can increase the fertility rate (see Ireland) and maintain the stability of the total population size.
In the past, fertility rates remained high, relying on traditional attitudes and social norms (i.e., fertility and happiness). In order to develop rapidly, the country has broken the old social concept, which has brought unprecedented economic improvement, but also made the original traditional idea of no future disappear in the face of capital and material.
Breaking old conceptions of fertility without instilling a new culture of fertility has resulted in the simultaneous disappearance of the social impetus and spiritual support needed for fertility.
This is one of the major shortcomings of socialism: it has not yet completed the process of modernization, but it has taken the lead in breaking with tradition, resulting in a lower fertility rate than similar countries that would normally develop. Everything has a price, and the economic explosion in the short term overdraws the future potential of the country, even the lifeblood.
The more there is a disconnect between the level of development and the level of ageing, the worse it will be. If the two go hand in hand, then the social wealth provided by modernization is sufficient to solve the challenges of ageing. However, if modernization is slower than aging due to some human factors, then modernization will not only fail to solve the problems brought about by aging, but will also become slower due to the constraints of aging, forming a vicious circle.
Unfortunately, China is now on this path. Negative growth is inevitable.
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In a few years, China's urban population will be much larger than the rural population, and the rural population will be smaller and smaller. As you can imagine, 20 years later, many things in China are changing dramatically.
1: The permanent population in rural areas is now much lower than the urban population. Nowadays, young people in rural areas are basically working in the cities, and farming at home can no longer meet their usual expenses, and their time in the cities is far greater than the time they spend in the countryside.
If we were to judge whether we were urban or rural by the time we spent in the city and in the countryside, then more than 70% of our country's urban population would be more than 70% now, let alone 20 years from now. At present, the rural areas are basically inhabited by women, the elderly and children, and the potential for population development is limited.
2: The population of the rural areas has gone to the cities, who will renovate the buildings in the rural areas? Now we have a large number of rural houses here that are empty and unoccupied.
Because they all went to work in the city, some families lived in the city and rarely went home. If the state wants to renovate all the peasants to move into buildings (new rural areas), I am afraid that the occupancy rate will be very low.
3: Nowadays, the rural hukou is larger than the urban hukou, and it is not easy for the rural hukou to move to the urban hukou, and it is not easy for the urban hukou to move to the rural hukou. This is due to the fact that urban hukou has population pension insurance, but rural hukou does not, and even if there is, it is much less than in the city, which is one of the reasons why the city only has rural labor force and is not allowed to move into the hukou.
4: Today, looking to the future, it is time to change the policy. Because the foundation of this policy, which is now and in the past, has changed.
At present, labor shortages are occurring to varying degrees in coastal areas with a large number of workers, and it is no longer the former overpopulation. In this way, they have to find a way to keep the working population, and the best way is to ask them to move in their hukou as well, so that they can grab some of the working population. Only then can the areas under their management not be economically injured due to the lack of labor, and only then can they be in line with their political level.
For example, in Hunan, there are some policies, in order to retain talents (college students) from other places, there are substantial discounts for the purchase of houses in any real estate in Hunan City, as well as the migration of household registration. If one day the state changes its policy and requires long-term residence in the country, then the urban population of our country will likely increase to more than 70% in an instant. Such a thing is still possible.
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It has become an indisputable fact that the rural population is getting smaller and smaller, and I believe that everyone can see this fact, and we can easily see this trend by looking at the people around us. There are nearly 30 people in my village who have gone to school with me, and almost half of these 30 people have bought houses in the city, and the rest of them have not bought houses for the time being, and they have been in the city for a long time and return home during the Spring Festival.
We don't have to worry about where the countryside will go in the future, there must be a road before the car reaches the mountain. Although urbanization is an irreversible trend, it does not mean that there are no opportunities in rural areas, on the contrary, I believe that there will be more and more opportunities in rural areas, and young people have a lot to do. This is because when a large number of people move to the cities, competition will be fierce, while competition in the countryside will become less and more opportunities.
Now let's take the simplest example, such as e-commerce. If you are in the city, you find an e-commerce-related job, the salary may be three or four thousand a month, and the more may be five or six thousand, and for such a job, if the boss sees that you are not pleasing to the eye, you can easily change someone, and the cost will be very low.
If you choose to develop in the countryside, although it is not so at the beginning, and it is very likely that there will be no income for half a year, but you are doing it for yourself, and all the income in the future will be your own, and you may earn more than 10,000 yuan a month in two or three years, or even more, and you can also lead the people in your hometown to get rich together.
This is not bragging, the opportunities in the countryside in the future are really not less than those in the city, such as e-commerce-related, agricultural products on the rise, household appliances and furniture daily necessities to the countryside; Related to agricultural services, agricultural technical consulting services, agricultural materials services and guidance, drone services and so on. There will be many opportunities related to agriculture alone, and these are all technical professionals who need to be specialized. If you open a related company, you won't necessarily earn less money than working in the city.
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I think it's right to pursue health, and it's not appropriate to improve immunity and physical fitness by eating health supplements. Now the health care products on the market are said to be miraculous. In fact, the effect is not achieved at all. It is better to eat and live reasonably and insist on exercise and fitness.
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