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The United Kingdom delays Brexit,GDP and export rates will fall in all EU countriesOn the other hand, the EU may also use this to develop economic exchanges with other countries. Brexit is likely to bring EU countries closer together.
Thanks to the eurozone's differentiated interest rate policy, Germany and France have already shown their dominant position in the eurozone, and they have benefited greatly from the economic advantages of the processing and service industries. The UK remains outside the eurozone and has not benefited from it.
Britain wants to return to the free market, and the ultimate option to return to the free market is to leave the European Union, which is a long-term plan. After the Blakes Conference, the balance of the three great powers of Germany, France, and Britain will become the two great powers of Germany and France. This long-term consistent alliance is neither stable nor sustainable.
For the United Kingdom, the potential consequences would significantly reduce the pressure on the European continent and benefit the long-term interests of the United Kingdom.
The impact of Brexit on EU countries is that the impact on the international arena is likely to wane. In purchasing power parity terms, the EU's share of GDP in the world is on a downward trend; At the current rate** and exchange rate, the share of EU exports in the world will also decline.
But Brexit will bring Europe together better.
The impact on China is,China is conducting international ** on the basis of the entire European country. If the UK leaves the EU, China and the UK may be separated, which adds some uncertainty to China's handling of relations with European countries, and will also lose an important force to promote the freedom of China and Europe, and the impact on China's existing ** will be limited, first, the UK only accounts for 3% of China's exports, which is still very low; Second, China's economic size and international status are here, and it is believed that even if the EU and the UK leave the EU, it is unlikely that tariffs will be raised on China.
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In the early stage of Brexit, there is an economic impact on other countries, and in the later stage, it is turbulent.
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The UK's postponement of Brexit has had an impact on the economies of the rest of the EU.
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It will have a certain impact on the political, economic and economic aspects of other EU countries.
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I think there will be some economic and political influences, after all, it was a partnership before.
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It will have a certain impact on everyone's economy and the ** of various countries.
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For them, it's good for them to be sure that the UK doesn't leave the EU.
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The postponement of Brexit in the UK has a certain impact on the economies of the rest of the European Union.
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Many people believe that after Brexit, the UK will be the same as the EU:Flip the table and turn your face
But in my opinion, the two will definitely develop into the following in the futureThe surface is-for-tat, and they secretly send autumn waves to each other.
Why do I say that? Because Europe and the United States are both capitalist countries, a large part of the country's lifeblood and discourse power are in the hands of businessmen.
In this way, after Britain "withdraws from the group", except for some half-truths and half-truths "noisy", there will basically be no substantive conflict with the EU.
If there is a world-wide and apocalyptic financial crisis in the future, then a Britain that "breaks away" may become a perfect "safe haven".
If it doesn't, then the UK may be back in the EU
Of course, the above statement is just an assumption based on various speculations, and there is no substantive basis, so let's just take a look.
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The key to European integration and nationalization is not whether the UK participates, and Brexit cannot harm the core interests of the EU, so let's talk about this topic today.
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Brexit will have an impact on EU tax revenues, as the UK will further increase its own import and export tariffs after Brexit.
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It will reduce the EU's international status, and then its influence will also weaken, although Britain steals, but the EU's economic strength is still strong.
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1、Affect EU-China relations
As an important force within the EU, the UK plays an important role in the development of China-EU relations. After Brexit, it is expected that there will be no major turning point in the UK's attitude towards China, but after the "breakup" of the UK and the EU, there will be a situation in which the EU and the UK will each "deal with" China.
Britain was originally a big country in the European Union and had a positive attitude toward China, and its China policy had a considerable impact on the EU. For example, Britain has taken a positive stance on China in calling on the EU to grant China market economy status and opposing protectionism.
Opportunities for cooperation are likely to increase
After the separation of the UK and the EU, both sides may pay more attention to developing relations with China out of their own interests, thus creating new opportunities for China-UK and China-EU cooperation.
Britain has always attached importance to developing relations with China. China-UK relations have entered the "first era", and cooperation in various fields has made remarkable progress. Since 2015, China-UK economic and trade cooperation has achieved gratifying results, with many Chinese banks and financial companies choosing to do business in the UK, and the construction of the London offshore RMB market has accelerated.
Many experts and financial circles in the UK are optimistic about the prospects of Sino-British financial cooperation and the construction of China-UK offshore RMB centers.
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What will be the impact of Brexit success on China? See early, know early.
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On the 23rd, the United Kingdom will hold a "Brexit referendum".
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Brexit has had a negative impact on the European Union and has brought a bad head to other countries.
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The impact on the overall economic strength of the EU is very significant.
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For the EU, Brexit has led to a decline in EU cohesion.
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Brexit will greatly weaken the cohesion and influence of the European Union.
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The impact on the economic development of the EU is still very large, and there is one less powerful country.
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The impact should not be particularly large, after all, the strength of the people is very strong.
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For the EU, it is estimated that credibility and influence have decreased considerably.
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We hope that the Brexit issue can be resolved as soon as possible, and only in this way can it be a better outcome for both sides, because the impact of Brexit in recent years has made the UK ignore other international responsibilities, which has also made the UK's influence in the world become smaller and smallerEven the United Kingdom has received more and more criticism and accusations in the international community.
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First of all, the impact on the EU: it is a blow to the EU and the European integration process, the UK is the second largest economy in the EU after Germany, a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council, and has an important influence in the world economically, politically and militarily, and the departure of the UK will weaken the EU's voice in the international community.
On the other hand, Britain's exit has had a very bad demonstration effect. As long as one member state leaves the EU, it may increase the confidence of other "detached" member states to leave the EU. But if there is a domino effect and other EU countries also have to vote to leave the EU, it will not be true.
The reasons are: first, for the vast majority of member states, the benefits of European integration are far greater than those of leaving the EU; Second, not all countries can afford the cost of "Brexit" like the UK; Third, the will of other major EU member states to leave the EU is not as strong. France, Italy, Spain and other large countries and small countries in Western Europe will not choose to leave the EU, and some countries in Eastern Europe are still counting on benefiting from the EU, naturally they will not, and there are still many Eastern European countries waiting outside the door to join the EU.
It's just that some marginal countries may have some uncertain ideas, such as Greece a few months ago.
Impact on the UK: Personally, I believe that Brexit will have a greater negative impact on the UK than on the EU. It is mainly reflected in the economy, and the impact of this aspect has been analyzed a lot, such as imports and exports, the labor market, currency, etc., so I won't say much here.
Another point is that some regions within the UK that support remaining in the EU, such as Scotland, are very unhappy with the results of the vote, and whether they will also have a referendum in the future, and the attitude of these regions will also become uncertain factors for the UK.
It is worth paying attention to what kind of difficult position Britain will occupy in the international political arena in the future. It is estimated that it will be impossible to become another independent and important force in international affairs, in addition to the United States, the European Union, China, and Russia (barely counting). However, the permanent members of the United Nations, the nuclear ** countries and some historical factors will still ensure that the UK has a greater international voice.
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Looking back at the "Brexit referendum" on June 23, 2016, two years have passed, and the time for Brexit is getting closer and closer. Many people have compared Britain to a "white-eyed wolf", and Britain has received many expected rejections under such moral judgments. Historically, Britain has always maintained an active position in development, has its own unique ideas, and has become the first Western country to open up modern civilization.
Before Brexit, many people were worried about the brain drain of multinational companies. Including the financial sector that should be the most affected, but it is not, and it will not be easy for financial institutions to get out of London. London's history and culture determine its place in history today, and it's not something that any other city can easily shake.
On top of that, the threat of financial companies bent on withdrawing has instead bred the UK's industrial transformation. In the past two years, the UK's emerging technology industries such as artificial intelligence, financial technology, and blockchain have occupied the forefront of the world. The science and technology dream of London, England no longer relies on the hype of the world, but is actually doing, developing, and thriving.
Many people were hinting before Brexit that this was the beginning of a crisis, and that Britain might be vulnerable without the protection of the European Union, and that Britain was already silently justifying itself with facts and strength.
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In fact, Brexit will be a blow to European integration. It may even affect member states within the European Union. After all, once the broken window effect is in effect, it's easy for other windows to be broken.
So, now they are in the UK, they are in a situation, they want to leave the EU, but they can't leave the EU so quickly, they are afraid that the problems after Brexit will come too quickly, and they can't deal with it all at once.
For the UK, it is difficult to take back the words of Brexit.
And the European Union, they also feel that after Brexit, it may have an impact on the European economy.
Therefore, both are still communicating and negotiating on some matters related to Brexit.
Originally, together, everyone is European, and it is convenient to go if you want to. Now that the UK is about to leave the EU, then after Brexit, the communication between ** and ** may not be so convenient.
Anyway, it is a sure thing that Britain will leave the EU. As for when to leave the EU, we can only wait slowly.
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The UK has been in the spotlight since it announced its imminent departure from the European Union.
When I was still on the university campus, the teacher asked us to write an article about the impact of Brexit on the world economy, and now the announcement of Brexit is delayed until June, in fact, if you want to leave the European Union, you must first get the consent of the European Union, according to many years ago, when joining the European Union, a series of terms that need to be done for Brexit, this clause clearly states that if the United Kingdom leaves the European Union, in"'Brexit'Transition period"It is not possible to open the border immediately after the end. If the UK agrees to this clause, it will mean that the UK will lose its economic regulation of Northern Ireland for a long time, and the EU will naturally become the economic regulator of Northern Ireland.
During this delay, the UK** must also be considering a series of measures to reduce the losses of Brexit.
The postponement of Brexit to June means that if Brexit is successful, Britain will get a lot of rules and regulations that are not good for it, and if Brexit is not successful, Britain will face ridicule from the world.
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The transition period for Brexit is coming to an end, and there is currently news in Europe that a Brexit date is possibleExtended to June. Sooner or later, Britain will leave the EU, and the transition period has already passed, so what's the point of extending it for three months?
After the UK leaves the EU, tariff issues, diplomatic issues, and security issues all need to be negotiated between the UK and the EU, and a delay in leaving the EU gives them more time to negotiate, and will have an impact on each other in the following aspects.
1.Brexit needs to be paidUp to £39 billionThe extension of the Brexit deadline will delay the payment of this fee to the EU.
2.Between the UK and other EU member states after its departure from the EUPoliciesIt remains to be discussed, and an extension of the Brexit deadline could bring a lot of benefits to the UK.
3.Nor will the big powers in the EU allow the UK to enjoy muchEconomic and trade incentives, negotiations in this regard will continue.
No profit can not afford to be early". A delayed Brexit is both for the EU and the UKIn order to fight for their own interests!
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In fact, Brexit has a certain impact on itself and other member countries of the European Union. After all, the EU is a whole, and no matter which link goes wrong, it will affect the next development.
In fact, the UK itself is also clearly aware that even if it wants to leave the EU, it cannot leave the EU too quickly, after all, it can obtain its own interests in the EU, and moreover, there are too many things to deal with after Brexit, and I am afraid that it will be overwhelmed. However, it is impossible to take back what you say, after all, it is a matter of a country's face. In fact, from the current point of view, the fundamental cause of Brexit stems from the traditional thinking of the British people and the impact of EU integration thinking.
For the EU, Brexit will have an impact on the economic development of Europe, and, losing the UK, will have an impact on the course of certain projects. And after Brexit, EU citizens will be treated the same as citizens of all other countries, and will no longer be able to enter the UK visa-free.