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1. Judging according to the length of the absorption period: For the absorption period is obvious, the simple algorithm is to multiply the daily trading volume during the absorption period by the absorption period, and the main position can be roughly estimated.
The main position of the daily trading volume (ignoring the ** volume), the longer the absorption period, the larger the main position; The larger the daily trading volume, the more the main force absorbs. Therefore, if investors see the ** that has been sideways for a long time after listing, it is usually a dark horse that is silently grazing. Some new stocks do not go through a sufficient absorption period, and it is difficult for them to be sustainable.
2. Judging according to the turnover rate: the ** that is active in the low transaction, the turnover rate is high, and the stock price does not rise much, usually the main force absorbs, and the larger the turnover rate here, the more sufficient the main force to absorb the chips. "Quantity" and "price" seem to be a pair of little brothers who are not to be outdone, as long as "quantity" goes first, "price" will closely follow the pace of "quantity".
Investors can focus on the fact that the "price" is temporarily lagging behind the "volume".
3. According to the analysis of the performance of the stock during the finishing period: some of the ** suction period is not obvious, or the old village is making a comeback, or the main force is pulling and sucking, or it is difficult to clearly divide the suction period. The main holdings of these ** can be judged by their performance during the consolidation period.
4. Judging from the volume in the rising process: Generally speaking, with the stock price, the trading volume will be enlarged synchronously, but with the stock price, the trading volume of some main control orders will shrink, and the stock price can often rise again and again. The main player has a lot of chips and can hold them all the way before they put a lot of them.
These can be slowly comprehended, the most important thing is to master a certain amount of experience and skills, so as to make accurate judgments, novices in the case of inaccurate grasp of the situation do not prevent the use of a treasure simulation** to follow the cattle inside to operate, so that it is much more secure, I hope it can help you, I wish you a happy investment!
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Have you brought the charged, otherwise you won't be able to run far 8225
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It is the sum of the unclosed contracts in the buying and selling directions, and it is an indicator of the main position in the **, and the most important thing is that in this process, you can also see what investors need to do if they want to survive and develop in the **.
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The indicator of the main position is the interest rate of **, and the interest rate determines whether ** will increase the income, and also determines the number of people who buy.
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According to the turnover rate of this **, a simple move within a few days, and then an average division is obtained.
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All the ** positions will have a certain change, this indicator is not fixed, will be determined according to the specific situation of **.
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It refers to some records accumulated by investors in the process of trading, and it will also be related to the rise and fall of **, and it will also show the activity of the transaction and the turnover rate.
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The rise and fall of the stock price is, to a certain extent, determined by the distribution of the stock's chips and the amount of funds involved: the larger the amount of funds used and the more concentrated the chips, the more stable the trend will be, and it is not easy to be affected by **; The smaller the amount of funds used, the chips are scattered in the hands of most of the **, the stock price trend is difficult to rise and fall, and it is difficult to make a big difference, how to estimate the number of main positions? The author's experience is mainly judged by the sum and average of the following three methods:
1. In judging the main position, it can be measured by the statistics of the internal and external disks of the real-time transaction, and the formula is as follows: the main ** volume of the day = (the external disk will then be accumulated for several days, and the author's experience can at least change hands to more than 100%. The time taken is generally 60-120 trading days.
Because the opening period of a swing market maker is usually around 55 days. The formula requires investors to tirelessly analyze the return to the banquet target every day, and after the author's long-term empirical statistics, the accuracy rate is extremely high, and the error rate is usually less than 10%.
2. For the obvious bottom cycle, the author's experience is to multiply the daily trading volume in the bottom cycle by the bottom running time, and you can roughly estimate the position of the banker, and the position of the bookmaker = the bottom cycle; The amount of initiative (the amount that is ignored). The longer the bottom period, the larger the market maker's position; The greater the amount of initiative, the more dealers absorb goods. Therefore, if investors observe the long-term sideways consolidation of the bottom, it is usually a silent absorption of funds, and the main force is to reduce the cost of purchases, so sell high and buy low and constantly clean customers; But there is still a small amount of long-term money involved.
Therefore, during this period, the main force only attracted about 1 3-1 4 of the total trading volume. Therefore, ignoring the initiative of **volume** can be settled as the total volume 1 3 or the total volume, and the second formula is as follows: the market maker's open interest = the total volume of the stage 3 or 1 4, and the lower volume can be confirmed for the sake of prudence.
3. **At a low level, there is an active transaction, a high turnover rate, and the stock price does not rise much (the standard is set as a stage increase of less than 50%, preferably less than 30%), usually for the market maker to absorb goods. The greater the turnover rate here, the more fully the main force absorbs, and investors can focus on the price temporarily lagging behind the volume. The author's experience is that the turnover rate is based on 50%, and the stock price trend enters a new stage after each multiple stage, which also indicates a change in the market maker's position
**Circulating disk (**turnover rate in a certain period - **turnover rate in the same period); The calculation result is divided by 3, and the practical significance of Xianglu's formula is that the amount of the main fund to exceed the **turnover rate (i.e., the average amount) is usually the intervention of the prescient funds, which is generally applicable to long-term unpopular stocks. Therefore, once the main force continues to absorb unpopular stocks, we can relatively easily calculate the position in the hands of the main force.
Finally, in order to ensure the accuracy of the calculation, the results of the above three formulas are summed and averaged, and the final result is the number of positions of the main force.
Total formula: Exact main position = (Formula 1 + Formula 2 + Formula 3) 3
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How to calculate the market maker's open position? How to calculate the market maker's open interest? How to calculate the bookmaker's open position?
Calculating the position of the market maker can help investors determine what stage the market maker is currently in, and if it is the position opening stage, they should wait for the opportunity to follow up; If it is the shipping stage, you should close the position as soon as possible. This is actually a key point to win. But it is impossible to know the position of the dealer very accurately, we can only use a certain method to roughly estimate it according to the stage of different stupid stools and different times.
Suction form. The dealer is generally divided into two stages, low-level absorption and inspection of the stall to pull up the absorption. The open interest in the primary stage is relatively easy to calculate, and it can be considered that the amount of chips is about 15 to 30 of the total volume.
There are two forms of pulling up stage, one is a sharp upward trend, which is the dealer's active method of collecting chips, generally considering 50 of the total volume for the dealer to absorb chips; One is a slow upward trend, at this time, the dealer is often in the purchase and shipment at the same time, constantly earning the difference to reduce costs. It can be assumed that the banker's stack is between 25 and 35.
Suck up time. For some of the ** when the suction period is very obvious, it is relatively simple to roughly measure the position of the bookmaker, and the formula is: the position (the average daily trading volume during the suction period 2) (the average daily trading volume during the suction period is 250).
As can be seen from the formula, the longer the absorption period, the larger the market maker's position; The larger the daily trading volume, the more the dealer will absorb.
Turnover status. In many cases, if the stock price is in the low-price area, the transaction is quite active, the turnover rate is very high, but the increase in the stock price is very small, it is generally a market maker's fund-raising behavior, and the turnover rate is 100 in the total volume of the trading volume during the absorption period. In this regard, the greater the turnover rate of the stock price in the low area, the more fully the market maker absorbs the chips, which also reminds investors to pay attention to those stocks whose stock prices lag behind the change in trading volume at the low level, and they will be a group of more opportunities in the next stage.
On the way up. Under normal circumstances, the stock price is accompanied by the synchronous and effective amplification of the trading volume, which is technically called the price increase and volume rise, which is often caused by the profit order and the cash order being in a hurry to get out. However, we can also see that some**with the continuous stock price**, the trading volume is gradually decreasing, which indicates that the banker's position is larger, there is not much floating code outside, this **as long as the trend does not turn, the trend does not break, you can continue to hold positions and dance with the village.
1. In judging the main position, it can be measured by the statistics of the internal and external disks of the real-time transaction, and the formula is as follows: the main ** volume of the day = (outer disk 1 2 + internal disk 1 10) 2, and then accumulate several days, at least the turnover can reach more than 100%. In general, 60 120 trading days is appropriate. >>>More
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This is done in order to make the stock price more stable and stable, so that the stock price can develop better, and many problems can be avoided, and it is also possible to keep an eye on the problem of difficult stock prices.
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A ** hand shared wholeheartedly: the main position building process is simple and easy to understand, and sincere.