How long do bear markets generally last, and how long will they last in 2022?

Analyze my point of view for the landlord:

First of all, there are several characteristics at the end of the decline--- First, the decline has been deep, the decline has been long, and the stock index and stock price have been sideways for many days and have not hit new lows. Second, the trading volume has shrunk extremely, and both the long and short sides have stopped and are unable to fight again. Third, there is a long lower shadow line in the week, because the lower shadow line indicates that the bottom is supported and the necessary conditions for the fall of **.

At this time, there are 3 types of ** to choose from: high-performance growth stocks, market maker concept stocks, and over-falling ** stocks. (When it really starts, investors are generally in a panic, just as a ****, at this time it is necessary to change the bear market mindset to avoid missing the best opportunity to intervene).

Secondly, technically, I think that in the **C wave**1 wave, the C wave is completed in 3 steps, **after a wave, it will be followed by a **2 wave, and finally a **3 wave completely falls clean...Complete the structure of a 3 for the C wave. After that, it's the official launch.

From the policy point of view, interest rates may be raised in the third quarter, and the real estate policy will be suppressed to a certain extent, and there will be a relaxation attitude, (real estate is related to 250 industries, and the survival of related commercial banks is also a big problem of national turmoil, so the suppression will slow down to a certain extent.) After the listing of the Agricultural Bank of ChinaExcess funds will flow back to the A** field.

Alleviate the market capital side. In fact, the country has recently invested more than 170 billion yuan in net funds to alleviate the lack of market liquidity, and there are some other aspects that are not listed hereOverall, the third quarter is the quarter to determine the bottom of the policy.

Only when the policy bottom is established, can the market bottom be revealed as soon as possible. In general, the second half of the year is the process of finding the bottom, of course, to maintain an optimistic attitude, a good attitude is a must! As for when the final bottom will appear.

The exact time I can't you!

Finally, the recent **suggestion: if there is a trap that is not deep, it is recommended to have a peak of the time-sharing chart, if the trap is deep, wait for a **stage of the report to find a high shipment, and wait for the low level of the C wave to end and eat again. In that case, the losses will be recouped relatively quickly.

It also avoids the situation that the funds are strong and there is no capital to intervene at the bottom!

Medium to long term. At this time, it is not recommended to open a position, and wait for the policy to ease before intervening. **。

It is recommended to wait for the medium report**, and if you can't bear the loneliness, you can intervene in the study lightly. Actually, I think it's a very good learning stage. The best opportunity to exercise your mind.

Without a bear market crash, you can't become a mature shareholder.

I wish the landlord a prosperous financial resource!

In mature markets, the duration of the bear market is generally shorter, and the bull market is longer, while in China, the bull market is often short, and the bear market is long, which is not completely the longest bear market, and it has been experienced for 8 years.

The bear market, also known as the bear market, refers to a market that is trending for a long time. **The general trend of change is to keep moving lower, characterized by big falls and small gains.

The bull market does not say the top, the bear market does not say the bottom, and the bear market generally lasts for a long time.

In the a** field, it is generally about 5 years of reincarnation.

Bear markets are an important part of A-shares, lasting for a long time, ranging from as little as 9 months to as long as 47 months.

Introduction to the bear market

In **, the persistence of ** is called a bull market, and the ** persistence ** is called a bear market. If the market is able to sustain a normal bullish trend for a longer period of time, it is a bull market, also known as a bullish market. The bear market, also known as the bearish market, shows a general bearish and always** trend.

If you want to see whether it is a bear market or a bull market at this stage, you can see from these two perspectives, in fact, it is generally divided into basic and technical. First of all, we can preliminarily judge how the market is from the fundamentals, and the operating conditions of listed companies and the macroeconomic operation situation are the basis for the establishment of fundamentals.

You only need to read the industry research report to get a general understanding of the first-hand information broadcast of the barometer financial market. Secondly, from a technical point of view, we can not ignore some values that can be referenced, and can observe and judge the market through indicators such as turnover rate, volume-price relationship, trend patterns, etc.

Bear markets generally do not last longer than 5 years. To put it simply, in 5 years' time, there is bound to be a relatively good ** in the A** field. Referring to the historical ** chart of A-shares, it can be known that any time can be used as the initial calculation unit, and if you develop five years back in time, you can see that there is a ****** in years in these five years.

Extended Materials. 1. Bear markets generally do not last more than 5 years. To put it simply, in 5 years' time, there is bound to be a relatively good ** in the A** field.

Referring to the historical ** chart of A-shares, it can be known that any time can be used as the initial calculation unit, and if you develop five years back in time, you can see that there is a ****** in years in these five years.

2. There is a bear market.

The main signs of a bear market are: **** The rise is slowing down; Bonds have plummeted, attracting many investors; Due to the attraction of the previous period, a large number of new traders poured into the market for trading, indicating that the arrival of the bear market is not far off; Investors' shift from riskier bonds to safer bonds means a rise in pessimism about the market; Enterprises borrow a large amount of debt due to the urgent need for short-term funds, resulting in short-term interest rates equal to or even higher than long-term interest rates, resulting in a decrease in corporate profits and a decline in corporate profits; Utilities have a large demand for capital, and the changes of these companies are often ahead of others, so their decline can be regarded as a precursor to the bearishness of the whole market.

3. There are many factors that cause a bull market or bear market, which can be summarized into two categories: basic factors and technical factors.

Fundamentals refers to economic and political factors that come from outside the market. Such factors can often make the market move dramatically. Some investors or speculators have made a fortune as a result, while others have gone bankrupt.

The impact of large buying and selling behaviors. The actions of some large enterprises or brokers with strong capital in the ** market have a greater impact on stock price changes. They buy in large quantities, which can attract a large number of investors to buy with them, thereby promoting the rise of stock prices and forming a bull market; If they are a large number of people, they will attract the majority of investors to follow, which will cause them to fall and form a bear market.

Bull and bear markets are clearly defined in the United States**. A bear market occurs when the decline reaches 20% or more, and the decline continues for more than two weeks. **From 5261 points at the beginning of the year**.

3 10 broke 4200 for the first time, that is, it met the conditions for the bear market to fall by more than 20%. 3 10 It's been exactly two weeks now. And there is no sign of reversal.

So it's in a bear market right now. Of course, it is not reasonable to apply the standard of the United States ** to A-shares. This criterion should be more lenient.

In this case, ** is still in a bull market, but it has reached the exit.

Very low **is called "penny**" and is particularly volatile. However, it never goes down to negative values. A value of zero means that no investor is willing to buy**, no matter how low it is.

One of the bull markets. In 2013, the Asian market accounted for the global men's bear market.

There are three phases of a bear market.

The so-called "bear market" is also known as the short market.

Refers to the general bearish market and the duration is relatively long.

Extended information: 1. The initial stage of the first phase of the bear market is the final stage of the third phase of the bull market, which often occurs when the market investment atmosphere is at its highest. At this time, the market is absolutely optimistic, and investors are completely unwary of the change in the market outlook.

All kinds of good news in the market, whether true or not, are not there, and the company's performance and profits have reached an abnormal peak. Many companies accelerated their expansion during this period, and news of mergers and acquisitions was circulating frequently.

While the vast majority of investors are crazy about the constant flow, a small number of sensible investors and individual big investors have begun to gradually withdraw their funds, or are in a wait-and-see mode.

So, while trading in the market is very hot, there are also signs of a gradual cooling. At this time, if the stock price is further **, but the volume.

Can't keep up, and there may be a big **. During this period, when the stock price is **, many investors may think that it is a temporary correction. In fact, this is the beginning of the ** crash.

2. The second stage of the bear market. At this stage, as long as there is a stir, it will trigger a "panic selling".

On the one hand, there are too many hot spots in the market, and people who want to buy are waiting and seeing, because it is difficult to choose. On the other hand, a large number of shareholders began to rush to sell, which intensified the rapid decline of stock prices.

In addition, margin trading business.

But after a wave of rapid **, investors will think that the **** is excessive, because the current situation and economic environment of listed companies have not reached such a pessimistic level, so the market will have a big **. This medium-term period may last for a few weeks or months, and is typically one-third to one-half of the total decline in the overall market.

In the second phase of the bear market, after a period of mid-term**, the economic situation and the prospects of listed companies tend to deteriorate, and the company's performance declines, resulting in financial difficulties. All kinds of negative news that are difficult to distinguish between true and false have followed, causing further blows to investor confidence. At this time, the whole market was filled with pessimism, and the stock price was sharply remarked.

3. In the third period of the bear market, the stock price continued, but the decline did not intensify.

Since those poor quality ** have almost already fallen sharply in the first and second stages, it is unlikely that they will be ** again. At this time, due to the collapse of market confidence, ** stocks are concentrated in high-performing stocks and high-quality stocks, although these ** have been performing well. This phase is also the beginning of a bull market, which far-sighted and rational investors will see as the best opportunity to absorb.

At this time, the **low price and high quality** will make the market get rich returns after recovery.

Generally speaking, bear markets are shorter than bull markets, accounting for only about one-third to one-half of a bull market. But the specific timing of each bear market is different, and there will be great differences due to different markets and economic environments.

How long the bull market and bear market will last, no one knows the answer. The persistence is called a bull market, and the persistence is called a bear market.

Bull markets are those markets that are generally bullish and can last for a period of time, also known as long markets.

The bear market is characterized by being generally bearish and falling endlessly, which is also known as a bearish market.

After telling you the concept of bull and bear market, some friends will ask, what is the current market situation bear market or bull market?

1. How to tell if it is a bear market or a bull market?

If you want to know whether it is a bear market or a bull market, you can analyze it from two angles, generally fundamental and technical.

First of all, we can start from the fundamentals of the market to judge, usually through the macroeconomic situation and the operation of listed companies to judge the fundamentals, only need to look at the industry research report to roughly understand: [**barometer] financial market first-hand information broadcast.

Secondly, from a technical point of view, the relationship between volume and price, volume ratio and commission ratio, turnover rate and other indicators or combinations can be used for our reference to judge the market.

For example, if the current bull market is currently a bull market, there are far more people in **** than people in selling, then most of the ** charts have a clear **trend**. On the contrary, if the current bear market is a bear market, and there are not enough people to sell, then the trend of a lot of K risk charts has become very obvious.

2. How to judge the turning point of the bull and bear market?

If we enter the market at the end of the bull market, it is very likely that the purchase will be at the high point of the market, and then it will be fixed, and at the end of the bear market, it will be the best time to enter the market, and it is difficult not to make money or lose money.

Therefore, if we can grasp the turning point of the bear-bull, we can buy at a low level and sell at a high level, and we can use the difference to make a profit! There are many ways to find the turning point of the bull and bear, it is recommended to use the following inflection point capture artifact to get the buying and selling timing with one click: [AI Assisted Decision-making] The buying and selling timing capture artifact.

There should be no fixed number, and it depends on the length of the cycle in which the entire real economy can run smoothly and healthily.

Bulls and bears are constantly circulating, strictly speaking, the end of the bear market is the beginning of the bull market, but in the initial stage of alternation, it may not be very certain whether to start a new round of upward movement.

The bearish market is also known as a bear market. When some investors began to panic, they sold their holdings one after another and kept their short positions on the sidelines. At this time, the bears are dominant in the market, and the atmosphere of long (optimistic about the market outlook) is seriously insufficient, which is generally called the short market.

On the technical chart, the first system in the bearish market tends to diverge downward, forming a bearish arrangement, at this time, the market is permeated with a strong bearish atmosphere. In the current situation that there is no short-selling mechanism in China, investors should try to avoid re-entering the market in the short market, and should adopt a wait-and-see attitude.