What does trend analysis mean? There are several main types of trend analysis

The trend analysis method is an analysis method that identifies problems through the analysis of the trend of the base period in each period of the relevant indicators, and provides clues for the recovery and inspection of accounts. For example, through the analysis of trends in accounts receivable, a general assessment of the likelihood of bad debts and receivables can be made. Trend analysis can be done in relative or absolute terms.

It is an analysis method that compares the same indicators or ratios in two or more consecutive periods on a fixed basis and compared with the same ratios in two or more consecutive periods, and obtains the direction, amount and magnitude of their increases and decreases, so as to reveal the change trend of the company's financial situation, operating conditions and cash flow. The use of trend analysis usually involves the preparation of comparative accounting statements.

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du！It is an analysis method that compares the same indicators or ratios in two or more consecutive periods on a fixed basis and a month-on-month comparison through the relevant numbers and words in the financial statements, so as to reveal the direction, amount and magnitude of their increase and decrease, so as to reveal the financial status, operating conditions and cash flow change trend of the enterprise. The use of trend analysis usually involves the preparation of comparative accounting statements.

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The trend method is also known as the trend analysis method. Refers to a pattern in which the independent variable is time and the dependent variable is time.

Specifically, it includes: trend average method, exponential smoothing method, straight line trend method, and non-straight trend method.

The main advantage of the trend method is that the time series development trend is considered, so that the results can be better realistic. Depending on the degree of accuracy required, you can choose between a primary or quadratic moving average**. The first is to move and calculate the average value of adjacent periods separately, then determine the trend and trend average, and finally multiply the average value of the nearest period plus the average trend value by the number of periods away from the time of **.

It is worth noting that the first moving average in the trend moving average method is different from the simple moving average method, which is also the moving average of period t, which is the average of the actual value of period t to the sum of period t-n+1, while the simple moving average method is the average of the actual value of the term t-1 to the sum of period t-n. In practice, there must be no confusion.

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1. The indicators used for comparison in each period must be consistent in terms of calculation caliber;

2. The Hunger Eatery should eliminate the influence of occasional factors, so that the analyzed data can reflect the normal business conditions of the enterprise;

3. When the data of a project in the base period is zero or negative, the trend percentage should not be calculated, otherwise it will cause wrong calculation results and analysis conclusions;

4. Apply the principle of exception, focus on the analysis of the indicators that have significant changes in a certain project, and study the reasons for their occurrence, so as to take corresponding measures.

Methods for Trend Analysis of Balance Sheets:

1) Browse the main contents of the balance sheet, so as to have a preliminary understanding of the total amount of assets, liabilities and shareholders' equity of the enterprise and the composition and increase and decrease of various items within the enterprise. Since the total assets of the enterprise reflect the business scale of the enterprise to a certain extent, and its increase or decrease has a great relationship with the change of the company's liabilities and shareholders' equity, when the growth rate of the company's shareholders' equity is higher than the growth of the total assets, it indicates that the financial strength of the enterprise has been relatively improved; On the contrary, it shows that the main reason for the expansion of the scale of the enterprise is the large-scale increase in debt, which in turn indicates that the financial strength of the enterprise is relatively decreasing, and the security of debt repayment is also decreasing.

2) Further analysis of some important items in the balance sheet, especially the items with large changes in the opening and closing data, or large amounts of red letters, such as current assets, current liabilities, fixed assets, liabilities with consideration or interest (such as short-term bank loans, long-term bank loans, notes payable, etc.), accounts receivable, monetary funds, and specific items in shareholders' equity. For example, if the proportion of accounts receivable in total assets is too high, it means that the company's funds are occupied, which means that the company's capital is occupied too quickly, indicating that the quality of the company's settlement work may be reduced due to the weak market competitiveness of the product or the impact of the economic environment. In addition, the aging of accounts receivable in the notes to the statement should be analysed, and the longer the age of accounts receivable, the less likely it is to be recovered.

For another example, if the enterprise has more liabilities at the beginning and end of the year, it means that the interest burden per share of the enterprise is heavier, but if the enterprise still has a good level of profitability in this case, it means that the profitability of the company's products is better, the operating ability is stronger, and the manager's risk awareness is stronger and more courageous. Another example is that in the equity of shareholders of an enterprise, if the statutory capital reserve greatly exceeds the total share capital of the enterprise, this indicates that the enterprise will have a good dividend distribution policy. At the same time, if the company does not have sufficient monetary funds to guarantee it, it is expected that the company will choose the distribution plan of allotment of shares for capital increase rather than the distribution plan of cash dividends.

In addition, when analyzing and evaluating some projects, it is necessary to combine the characteristics of the industry. As far as real estate enterprises are concerned, if the enterprise has a large inventory, it means that the enterprise may have more commercial housing bases and projects under development, and once these projects are completed, it will bring high economic benefits to the enterprise.

3) Calculate some basic financial indicators, and calculate the data of financial indicators** mainly in the following aspects: directly obtained from the balance sheet, such as the net asset ratio; Directly from the profit and profit distribution statement, such as the sales margin; At the same time** in the balance sheet profit and profit distribution statement, such as accounts receivable turnover ratio; Partly ** in the company's books, such as the ability to pay interest.

The so-called trend is to follow the trend.

Lei Jun said: Standing in the wind, pigs will fly. But following the trend proves outdated, when Ma Yun foresaw online shopping, and Ma Huateng foresaw free social ......

Therefore, following the trend is not a trend, but creating a tuyere economy is the real trend industry.

Will you create an outlet economy? Perhaps, you have just come across a trending industry?

When only 20 percent of people are engaged in a business (but it must meet four models: 1, asset-light entrepreneurship, 2) mobile office, 3, have cash flow, 4, pipe income,) and 80% of people choose to wait and see, you must try. Because the cost of trying is low, and the cost of missing out will often make you regret ...... for life

This is the trend (e.g., 5G cloud health).

The trend is the direction of the development of things, once a certain trend is formed, it will continue to run in this direction for a long time or distance, the trend is inviolable, and the trend should be followed until a new trend is formed!

Developmental discoveries of general things and universal value orientations.

The trend is the direction and law of the development of things.

Summary. Hello dear, trend analysis methods are generally divided into four categories: (1) longitudinal analysis methods; (2) Horizontal analysis method; (3) Standard analysis methods; (4) Comprehensive analysis method.

In addition, there is a trend analysis in the trend analysis method. Trend analysis uses regression analysis, exponential smoothing and other methods to analyze the data of financial statements, analyze their development trends, and produce possible development results. The following is a brief introduction to how to use the trend linear equation for trend analysis, and the other four types of methods are introduced later.

The Trend Linear Equation is a common method used for trend analysis for sales and earnings. The formula is expressed as: y=a+bx, where:

A and b are constants, x is the value of the period coefficient, x is determined by the assignment, and x=0 is to be made. In order to make x=0. When the epoch number is even or odd, the values are assigned slightly differently.

Trend analysis method is an analysis method that finds problems through the analysis of the trend of the base period in each period of the relevant indicators, and provides clues for the recovery and inspection of accounts. For example, through the trend analysis of accounts receivable, it is possible to make a general assessment of the likelihood of bad debts and the amount receivable. Trend analysis can be done in relative or absolute terms.

Hello, dear, I am honored to answer for you, according to your brother and brother questions [there are several main trend analysis methods] to make the following matching: 1longitudinal analysis; 2.Horizontal analysis of envy and selling methods; 3.Standard analysis.

Hello dear, trend analysis methods are generally divided into four categories: (1) longitudinal analysis methods; (2) Horizontal analysis method; (3) Standard analysis methods; (4) The comprehensive analysis method of the world and the world. In addition, there is a trend analysis in the trend analysis method.

Trend analysis uses regression analysis, exponential smoothing and other methods to analyze the data of financial statements, analyze their development trends, and produce possible development results. The following is a brief introduction to how to use the trend linear equation for trend analysis, and the other four types of methods are introduced later. The trend linear equation is a common method used in sales and earnings analysis.

The formula is expressed as: y=a+bx, where a, b are constants, x is the value of the period coefficient, x is determined by the distribution, and x=0 is to be made.

In order to make x=0. When the epoch number is even or odd, the values are assigned slightly differently. Trend analysis method is an analysis method that finds problems through the analysis of the trend of the base period in each period of the relevant indicators, and provides clues for the recovery and inspection of accounts.

For example, through the analysis of the trend of accounts receivable, a general evaluation of the possibility of bad debts and receivables can be made on the slag. Trend analysis can be done in relative or absolute terms.