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Not a good bird. Meinu compradors.
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Hello, he has not written a full book but has published a large number of scholarly articles as a scholar:
01, "Oil ** will be a long-term bear market".
02. "China's oil prices will fall sharply next year".
03. "The Oil Bubble Will Burst the Real Estate Bubble".
04, "Bearish on Oil, Bullish on Coal".
05, "The rise of oil ** is also a bubble".
06. "Demand will decline in the next few years, oil prices**".
07, "International Oil Prices Will Collapse".
08. "Oil prices will fall below $30 within a year".
09. "Oil prices will fall to $20-25 within the year".
10. "China's Economy Faces Adjustment, Real Estate Bubble Will Burst".
11. "The biggest real estate bubble in history will burst in the near future".
12. "China's Real Estate Will Repeat the Mistakes of Automobiles".
13. "2005 China's Economic Bubble is Bigger or Sharper**".
14. "Shanghai Real Estate Bubble is Difficult to Break Through in 05 Years and Will Follow in the Footsteps of Bangkok".
15. "China's real estate market is a copy of Southeast Asia 10 years ago".
16. "The real estate deceleration begins and the next phase will be in six months".
17. "2005 China's Economic Bubble is Bigger or Stronger**".
18, "The Biggest Bubble Ever".
19, "Hot Money Leaves Asia, the Bubble Bursts in Six Months".
20. "Excessive Liquidity Implies Risks and Beware of Bubbles".
21, "The next two months".
22, "**Don't save the market, A-shares fell sharply for two months".
23, "The Top Has Been Seen".
24. "Entering the Bubble Era, Policies Should Be Introduced to Curb It".
25, "**Without Intervention**The Bubble Will Burst".
26. "Proposal to levy capital gains tax to cool down**".
27, "China's ** Collapse Has Happened".
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Xie Guozhong (1960-) male, special economist of Caijing, director of Rosestone Consulting Company. Born in Shanghai in 1960, Xie Guozhong graduated from Tongji University in 1983 with a B.S. in Civil Engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1987 and a Ph.D. in Economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1990. Mr. Tse is an independent economist and financial investment advisor and leads an equity investment club.
He was formerly a Managing Director and Chief Economic Analyst for the Asia Pacific region at Morgan Stanley, which he joined in 1997.
Is that what you're talking about?
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Teacher of Wuwei County and Zhai School District;
Gansu Provincial Public Security School;
Worked in the Gulang County Public Security Bureau and served as the deputy captain of the criminal police team (period: studied in the law major of Gansu Provincial University of Political Science and Law);
Deputy Director of Gulang County Public Security Bureau;
Secretary of the Party Committee and Director of the Gulang County Public Security Bureau;
Deputy Secretary of the Gulang County Party Committee (undergraduate study in public security management at Public Security University);
Deputy Secretary of Gulang County Party Committee and Acting County Magistrate;
Deputy Secretary of the Gulang County Party Committee and County Magistrate (Period: Participated in the postgraduate course of economic law of the Law Department of Lanzhou University);
Deputy Secretary of the Minqin County Party Committee and Acting County Magistrate;
Deputy Secretary of the Minqin County Party Committee and County Magistrate (in May 2006, he participated in the first national training course on "Building a New Socialist Countryside" for the secretary of the county party committee and the county magistrate of Jinggangshan Cadre College);
Secretary of the Minqin County Party Committee (in March 2008, he participated in the advanced training class of the secretary of the county and district party committee of the ** Party School);
Deputy prefecture-level cadre of Longnan City, Secretary of the Party Committee and Director of the Municipal Public Security Bureau;
Deputy Mayor and Member of the Party Leadership Group of Longnan City, Secretary of the Party Committee and Director of the Municipal Public Security Bureau;
Deputy Director of Gansu Provincial Public Security Department.
Representative of the 11th Party Congress of Gansu Province of the Communist Party of China;
Gansu Province. 9. Deputies to the 10th National People's Congress;
Wuwei City of the Communist Party of China.
1. Delegates to the Second Party Congress;
Wuwei City. 1. Deputies to the Second People's Congress;
Longnan City. 2. Deputies to the Third People's Congress;
Representative of the Third Party Congress of Longnan City of the Communist Party of China.
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Public security officer of Hot Spring Township, Yanbian County, Sichuan Province.
Detective of the Criminal Police Team and Political Security Section of the Yanbian County Public Security Bureau of Sichuan Province.
Deputy section-level scout of the Public Security Bureau of Yanbian County, Sichuan Province, and deputy captain of the criminal police team.
Deputy section-level scout of the Anti-Narcotics Brigade of the Public Security Bureau of Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province (full-time study of Yi-Chinese bilingual major of Southwest People's Institute).
Deputy head of the anti-narcotics detachment of the Panzhihua City Public Security Bureau of Sichuan Province.
Deputy head of the anti-narcotics detachment of the Panzhihua City Public Security Bureau in Sichuan Province and deputy county-level scout (during the period: he was sent to the Eastern District Public Security Bureau as deputy director).
Captain of the Anti-drug Detachment of the Public Security Bureau of Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province.
Member of the Party Committee and Deputy Director of the Public Security Bureau of Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province.
Member of the Party Committee, deputy director of the Public Security Bureau of Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province, and head of the criminal investigation detachment (during the period: the deputy head of the criminal police detachment was appointed as the deputy head of the criminal police detachment by the Public Security Bureau of Xicheng District, Beijing).
Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee, Deputy Director of the Public Security Bureau of Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province, and Captain of the Criminal Investigation Detachment.
Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee, Deputy Director of the Public Security Bureau of Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province, Captain of the Criminal Investigation Detachment, and County-level Scout.
Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee, Executive Deputy Director of the Public Security Bureau of Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province, Captain of the Criminal Investigation Detachment, and County-level Scout.
Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee, Executive Deputy Director (at the county level) and Captain of the Criminal Investigation Detachment of the Panzhihua Public Security Bureau of Sichuan Province.
Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee and Executive Deputy Director of the Public Security Bureau of Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province (at the county level).
Member of the Ya'an Municipal People's Party Leadership Group, Secretary of the Party Committee of the Ya'an Municipal Public Security Bureau.
Member of the Party Leadership Group and Deputy Mayor of Ya'an Municipal People's Government, Secretary of the Party Committee and Director of the Ya'an Municipal Public Security Bureau.
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Among Asian analysts with mainland backgrounds at Wall Street's big-name investment banks, Xie Guozhong is one of the best. This is a fact recognized by many industry peers. For the past three years, Xie has been ranked as the No. 1 analyst in Asia by Morgan Stanley (Asia) as an economist in Asia by ** manager clients.
Tse is widely recognized by his clients because he foresaw the pitfalls before the Asian financial crisis in 1997. He clearly sees that "there are huge structural problems in the Asian economy". This enabled him to make a relatively accurate judgment before the Asian financial crisis arrived.
At the beginning of 1997, when Indonesia's surplus was still very high, exports increased by more than 20 percent, and the finances were balanced, Xie Guozhong issued a report saying that Indonesia's economy would collapse. A lot of people didn't believe it at the time. "I understand that the biggest problem in Indonesia's economy is corruption," Mr. Xie said, adding that Indonesia's wealth is empty and hollowed out.
By the time foreigners are reluctant to put their money in, the empty shelves will fall down.
In September of the same year, more than two months after Hong Kong's return to China, Xie Guozhong wrote a report on the 50% decline in Hong Kong's real estate. At the time, everyone thought it was nonsense. Xie Guozhong explained that he mainly looked at the quantity level, and he saw that Hong Kong artificially blew up a capital bubble by controlling the amount of real estate.
Also in the summer of 1997, Xie Guozhong saw another problem in China and realized that China's economy would move from shortage to surplus. At that time, China's economic growth rate remained at a high level of 8%, and many people were optimistic about the Chinese economy. Xie Guozhong's observation is that the shortage of many products has led to a strong desire for consumption among Chinese.
By about 1997, these shortage products were basically satisfied, and consumer desire began to decline. After all, China is a country with low wealth accumulation and cannot maintain a high level of consumption. As a result, he proposed that deflation would be the main theme of the next phase of China's economy.
This caused a lot of controversy at the time.
But these prescient observations were later proved to be correct, and Xie Guozhong was recognized by the managers since 1998 and gradually gained their trust.
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