China s economic development direction and trends in the next 20 years

At present, China's economy and society have entered a critical moment of development. What China faces is a completely new landscape. Over the past 20 years, the competitive advantage of China's economic development in the world arena has been mainly based on cheap labor, and this advantage is being lost as China's economy grows.

Many countries with cheaper labor, such as Vietnam, India, and Central Asia, are learning from China to catch up. If we do not recognize the gravity of this situation, even greater problems will arise.

Some scholars believe that China's economy is at a critical point of development, and if it goes over, it may catch up with Europe and the United States and develop its economy and society in an all-round way. If you can't go, just like in Latin America, there are many unfavorable situations. More scholars say that a GDP per capita of US$1,000 (1,000 yuan) is a turning point in economic development (which has been increasingly mentioned).

It is foreseeable that there will be tremendous changes in the international and domestic situation, which not only come from the external environment, but also from the industrial transformation brought about by industrial upgrading in China's economy.

As an experience and researcher of China's industrial development, we believe that China should jump out of the simple analysis of economic heat and cold, examine the development of China's economy from the perspective of industrial economy, and put a long-neglected concept ——— industry back to its rightful position.

Industrial upgrading and transformation is an inevitable phenomenon in economic development that does not depend on people's will, and a series of economic and social problems and contradictions brought about in the process of industrial upgrading are also inevitable phenomena, and the key lies in how to look at these problems and how to solve these contradictions. We should strengthen industrial research, so that our economic research can go deep into the specific process of economic development from the general aggregate level, and truly reveal the law of industrial development, so as to get out of the dilemma of economic development in which speed and slowness are in a dilemma. --Jiaken Consulting.

Fast, green, environmental protection, recycling, industrial energy saving, energy-saving industry, and new energy are all things that people must do in the future. ** Gradually crack down on high-consumption and low-yield industries, and saturated industries, so I think the future industry will focus on the above points to create economic benefits.

How much has China's economy improved in the past 20 years? GDP accounted for the world in 2000 and in 2019.

It is clear that China's economic development in the 30s of the 21st century is in a good situation.

China's economy has maintained rapid growth in the 21st century, and in the coming decades, China has a huge market and labor resources, and measures such as investment and market-oriented reforms are conducive to stable economic development.

The 30s of the 21st century is an important period in the process of building a modern socialist country in an all-round way, and it is expected that China's economy will gradually achieve high-quality development during this period, but it will also face many challenges, such as responding to the changes brought about by scientific and technological progress, and coping with external pressures such as international protectionism.

Therefore, China needs to further promote reform and opening up, strengthen scientific and technological innovation and other measures to cope with the opportunities and challenges of future development.

Answer]: At the beginning of the 21st century, China's trouser economy will be a **, people will find that by 2010, China's production and rough industry structure will undergo significant changes, and gradually tend to be reasonable.

The proportion of primary, secondary and tertiary industries will be increased from 1990 respectively0% became 20102% and, the development of the tertiary industry will basically keep pace with the growth of the secondary industry, of which the transportation and communication industries will basically meet the needs of the national economic development.

According to expert estimates, between 2000 and 2010, GDP grew relatively fast, with an average annual growth, and after 2010, it will decline, with an average annual growth rate between 2010 and 2020. Economic growth over the next 10 to 20 years will depend largely on capital accumulation and productivity gains, and the contribution of labor force growth to economic growth will gradually decrease. By 2010, China will basically achieve initial modernization, and the world ties are also closer, the average annual growth rate of foreign products will continue to be higher than the growth rate of GDP in the same period, it is expected that by 2010, the scale of exports will reach 400 billion US dollars, and realize the strategic transformation of labor-intensive and capital-intensive products to high-tech products exports.

The implementation of the strategy for developing the western region will speed up the pace of development of China's western region, expand the space for sustained economic growth, narrow the regional economic gap between the east and the west, and create a situation in which the eastern and western regions promote each other and develop in a coordinated manner.

"Shi Hanbing Said: In the Next Twenty Years, Economic Trends" is divided into two parts: "Reality" and "Future". The "Reality Chapter" was written in 2015, focusing on the reasons, laws and strategic layout.

Written from 2016 to 2034, the "future" is a specific outlook for China, the United States and the global megatrends in 2016 [1] 34, as well as the trends in housing prices, foreign exchange, commodities, etc. "Reality" and "Future" are an inseparable whole.

The "Reality Chapter" analyzes in detail the deep causes of China's economic turning point in 2012 and the great entanglement in 2013 and 2015, deeply analyzes the root causes of the construction of the Sino-US terrorist balance, comprehensively interprets the impact of the United States' thrilling financial strategy on the global pattern, and shows the strategic layout of major powers.

In the era of globalization, the game between major powers is becoming increasingly fierce, and the collision of wisdom and strength determines the evolution of the trend. Therefore, the "Future Chapter" joins the main line of the global power game, showing a magnificent grand trend covering China and the world's major economies from a global perspective, as well as micro trends covering the property market, exchange rates, commodities, etc., so that the next 20 years will be fully realized.

2016 In 2022, China's economy will adjust greatly, the dollar will enter an accelerated ** cycle, and the global economic crisis will be detonated. 2023 In 2034, the US dollar**, resources skyrocket, and the world enters the era of great stagflation......

Now, we are on the eve of a global upheaval. What form will this great change, which is destined to change the fate of many countries and people, take? What does it mean for the fate of China and everyone?

In the face of future megatrends, how should investors choose? How should entrepreneurs make decisions? ......This book answers all of these questions.

It is strongly recommended that readers start from the first part of the "Reality Chapter", follow the three main lines of China's decision-making, great power competition, and global game, find the development direction of future trends, gain insight into the upcoming big risks and opportunities, and prepare early.