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The Brazilian team is now more results-oriented, playing more European, Lucio in the back, Melo in the middle, Kaka, Fabiano, Robinho in the front court is the best model, and compared with the previous Samba Army, the team personnel structure is very good, although there is no top striker like Da Luo and Xiao Luo, but the team consciousness is stronger, more attention is paid to defense, and the European style of play is more terrifying and efficient, and it is definitely the biggest favorite in the World Cup.
Spain is maturing, ** generation, with tacit understanding, the style of play of controlling the ball is very pleasing to the eye, if the game enters their rhythm, it will be difficult to win against Spain. With the victory of the European Cup, the psychological quality has been greatly improved, and he is no longer only the king of qualifiers.
If they do a better job defensively, Spain have as much chance of winning the World Cup as Brazil.
England have improved a lot under Fabio Capello, with Wayne Rooney in great form and stars such as Frank Lampard, who is in great shape. The record is excellent, but it has not been tested by the big teams, the variables are relatively large, and England has always been the favorite to die. We are optimistic that England will reach the top 4 and whether we can stage a miracle like Italy in 2006!
Italy's players have been a bit sluggish in recent years, and their records have fluctuated greatly, but Lippi's skills are very deep and can often bring out good results, as evidenced by the last session. However, the aging of personnel is too serious, and it is still very difficult to defend the title.
Argentina is another big favorite, with many stars, such as Messi, Higuain, Milito, Tevez, Aguero, Gago, etc., Lao Ma needs to solve the problem of letting Messi play his power in Barcelona in the Argentine national team, so that Argentina has more overall combat ability, so Argentina will definitely win the championship.
Portugal weren't favourites at first, but it should be a surprise that they should finish second in Group G and reach the round of 16, and the H1 they met when they finished 8 was likely to be Switzerland, who eventually beat Switzerland to reach the last 8 and then beat an ageing Italy to reach the last 4.
Personally, I think that the champion of the World Cup in South Africa will be produced from the four teams of Brazil, Spain, England and Argentina, France is sunset, Germany is not yet mature, the Netherlands is difficult to change the reputation of "uncrowned king", and other teams do not have the strength to cold to the end.
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Brazil are the most likely to win the title.
Brazil, with a 60% chance of winning the title, and Argentina with a 20% chance of winning the title. 20% for a European team (Italy or Germany).
First of all, there is a curse that has continued from the first World Cup to the present: European teams have never won the World Cup outside Europe, and considering the general poor performance of the traditional European teams in this World Cup, considering that the curse will eventually be broken, it leaves a 20% chance for European teams, and considering another curse: for half a century, the new World Cup champions have been won through local battles, so European teams can only consider Italy, Germany, England and France. Since France is basically over, and England is not in good shape, so Italy and Germany are left, so we use the excuse that Italy's first draw is based on their slow heat-up tradition, and Germany lost the second game because they played 10 against 11 for more than 50 minutes, so Italy and Germany each have a 10% chance of winning the championship.
Excluding European teams, and considering Spell 2, you can only consider Brazil, Argentina or Uruguay to win the championship. First of all, Uruguay is excluded, and looking at his performance in the group stage, there is basically no possibility of winning the championship, leaving Brazil and Argentina to face off. The reason why they are not optimistic about Argentina is because their defense is not good, in the last few World Cups, Argentina is not short of attack, but their defense has repeatedly made them regretful, and Brazil, offense and defense have been relatively balanced, which is also the reason why their performance has been relatively stable in these World Cups, so in the World Cup, it is the consensus that the defender has the world.
So in the end, 60% of the championship could go to Brazil, and Argentina only had 20%.
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