Will there be a war in the South China Sea this year?

1 China has always pursued a peaceful foreign policy and a defensive national defense policy, and as we, the Chinese Navy should neither relax its vigilance nor be too neurotic; In a word: "If people do not offend me, I will not offend others, and if people offend me, I will offend others." The South China Sea Fleet of the Chinese Navy is fully confident and capable of defending the 12-nautical-mile territorial waters, 200-nautical-mile exclusive economic zone, and 350-nautical-mile continental shelf in the South China Sea Vietnam and the Philippines know this better than we in China.

2 As early as the 50s of the last century, the United States and the Philippines signed the "US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty," one of the more important of which was that the South China Sea dispute was included in the defense treaty; the island dispute and military friction between China and the Philippines are in fact the island dispute and military friction between China and the United States; if China goes to war with the United States, there will be no peace in the South China Sea, and the world will not be at peace, which is not conducive to the mainstream of peace and development However, China has never given up its use of force, has never been afraid of war, and is and will continue to be, so sovereignty belongs to us, shelving disputes, and joint development is the effective way to resolve the South China Sea issue today.

Probably not. They are making such a big move now just to gain more bargaining chips in future negotiations with China.

It's hard! Now it's the show! The military attaché's mouth can't fight first, but he can't show off his talents!

I think there will be a fight The Philippines has forcibly landed on islands in China's territorial waters.

After repeated warnings, they ignored the words that China would use forcible means to retake the occupied islands.

Because China's territorial sovereignty brooks no encroachment by other countries, all rebels are paper tigers.

Don't talk about peaceful settlements, because then the problem may become more serious. Will they solve the problem in a peaceful way? Only by standing up. There is a saying that "the brave wins".

Don't cower, it's long overdue.

This question is best asked to Vietnam and the Philippines....

As you said, it is certain that China's economy will regress by 10-15 years after this war.

Clause. 1. China is waging war against the entire ASEAN. The United States and Russia redistribute Southeast Asia, and China has no backyard.

Clause. 2. After the start of the war, ASEAN completely blocked the Strait of Malacca. China is an export-oriented economy. ASEAN's drag will also drag China to poverty and death.

I think China should do the following:

Clause. 1. All nationals on the border with Vietnam withdraw more than 100 miles inward. Four integrated army groups and three air divisions were deployed. Make a move to attack Hanoi at any time. and re-prop up NATO in the near middle **.

Clause. 2. Impose comprehensive economic sanctions on the Philippines and expel all Filipino nationals. The South China Sea Fleet can enter Philippine waters during cruises. Withdraw all assistance.

Clause. 3. Reassure Indonesia, Malaysia and other countries with less friction. Outbred and close attack.

China is waiting for the opportunity, China must fight the kind of war that will determine the world, or not war, to be fully prepared, this is the demeanor of a great power, China did not fight before because Beidou was not successfully launched once the United States cut off the data delay of GPRS, so it is not good for China, and the intercontinental missile Dongfeng 21D that China is developing has not been tested, after all, China's real opponent in the South China Sea is actually the United States, and the war against the supermilitary power must be extra cautious! If the Dongfeng 21D test is successful, China will have a battle in 2012!

A war without the authorization of the United Nations is a violation of international law, and you can see that the United States is still far-fetched to say that it has a mandate from the United Nations, and in the end it has borne so many diplomatic consequences. If China invades them without the authorization of the United Nations, the economy will be paralyzed in the short term.

China pursues a foreign policy of "sovereignty belongs to us, disputes are shelved, and common development is achieved", so there is little chance of fighting.

If anyone does not offend me, I will not offend, but if anyone offends me, I will offend! "Hit!

Those who offend my sovereign will be killed.

No, here's why:

1.The military strength of China and the Philippines is not at the same level at all, so the Philippines will not fight with China. At the same time, China will not fall into war, China is not ready for war.

2.In the South China Sea dispute, China is not facing only the Philippines, and other countries will take advantage of the situation if China and the Philippines engage in the situation.

3.At present, China will not fall into war, because at this time the United States especially hopes that China will be drawn into war and drag down the path of China's development.

4.At present, China's domestic crisis continues, the people are dissatisfied with various behaviors of the people, and the internal crisis continues. At this time, if it falls into war, it will be very disadvantageous to China.

5.The dispute between China and Japan, the dispute between China and South Korea, the dispute between China and Vietnam, and so on all exist. Domino effect.

It's hard to say, anyway, China will not take the initiative to go to war, unless Southeast Asian countries are very arrogant and advocate invading China, and it is nothing to disturb them.

When the U.S. rebalance to the Asia-Pacific region fails, it's time to do it.

From a military point of view, there is no adversary in the South China Sea, so the problem lies in politics, and the reason why Vietnam and the Philippines are so arrogant is because of the support of the United States, which hopes to interrupt China's development with a conflict, even a local war, in order to maintain its global hegemony.

So at this time, on the one hand, we must continue to strengthen our military strength, build aircraft carriers, destroyers, and fourth-generation aircraft, and on the other hand, that is, in the absence of war, to safeguard our interests in the South China Sea, the Scarborough Shoal model is a very good way to recover the islands without going to war and without moral reproach.

In short, sovereignty should be firmly safeguarded, and at the same time, efforts should continue to be made for development.

In another decade, the United States will not interrupt our ability to develop revival.

At present, China has to pay attention not to a big country like the United States, nor to a small country like the Philippines, but to Japan, Vietnam, and India, among which Japan has a strong production capacity of Shipei steel, ships, and electronics, and also has a very strong military Self-Defense Force, and Vietnam has the second largest army in the world, and India is a large country with a population of 1 billion, and I have to guard against it. I think the main battlefield of World War III will be East Asia and the Pacific, and China should do whatever it takes to maintain its maritime sovereignty in the South China Sea In response to the help of the United States to Vietnam and other countries, and the day of the outbreak of the third world war was the time when China and Vietnam went to war, and now the powerful United States behind them is catching up with the country's political and economic aspects, which is much worse than the previous three World War I, should be around 2020.