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There is not much room for the yen to appreciate, and the United States, Japan, and the pound are expected to be significantly followed.
Specifically, you should consult below; Longhui International.
They are mainly technology-based, and they have a more accurate grasp of currency trends.
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In the short term, the yen should be **.
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Are you saying that the yen is appreciating against the dollar?
That's the dollar, and by and large, the dollar is coming out of the shadows.
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Recently, the yen has depreciated. USD JPY has risen from around 81 to around it. USD/JPY** represents the depreciation of the yen.
In the medium term, USD/JPY is currently trading in the 80-84 range**. There is no trend yet. The upper pressure level is nearby, and the lower support level is near 81.
The United States has been pressuring the renminbi to appreciate on the grounds of its own deficit and high unemployment rate. Generally speaking, the renminbi has been in the appreciation channel for a long time, which is caused by the growing strength of China's economy, and it is also some of the costs to be paid for the internationalization of the renminbi. However, the appreciation of the renminbi will be significantly reduced, and appropriate exports are necessary for China to maintain stable economic development.
Appreciation has hit exports too hard. Therefore, in the short and medium term, the yen will be in a slow depreciation phase against the yuan. I just took a look, and the current yen price is 100 yen to the yuan, which has fallen below the previous platform.
Validated my judgment.
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It is reported that since May 2010, the yen has increased by 14% year-on-year against the US dollar. For Japanese automakers, at the beginning of May last year, for every $1 earned from exporting cars to the United States, they could be exchanged for 94 yen; Today, 1 dollar is worth 81 yen. However, the cost of local production by Japanese automakers has not changed in yen.
Tatsuo Yoshida, an automotive analyst at UBS** Japan, said: "As the yen continues to appreciate, it is almost unprofitable for Japanese automakers to produce and export small cars locally. "Under such circumstances, it is really helpless for Japanese automakers to transfer production capacity to overseas markets.
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The yen will also appreciate in the short to medium term, rising to around 120 against the dollar. The exchange rate of the renminbi is basically based on the renminbi and the US dollar, and the yen will of course appreciate against the renminbi.
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Analysis from today's USDJPY daily chart is now on the upper edge of a large convergence triangle range and re-analysis this.
In the first two weeks, the yen will fall, which means that the yen will appreciate, which will also cause the yen to appreciate against the yuan.
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There is a possibility that the yen will appreciate. Judging from the value trajectory of the yen, the yen's appreciation has continued, and investors in the yen are willing to see the yen continue to appreciate. Because a lot of capital in the world is flowing to Japan, it is very likely that the yen will continue to appreciate in the future, and Japan will also host the Tokyo Olympics in 2021, and other major international events have increased Japan's international influence and attractiveness to foreign capital, so the yen may appreciate.
There are many factors influencing the appreciation of a country's currency, one of which is the country's ability to influence the international market, that is, whether the country's output can affect the international market. There are many products in Japan that can affect the international market**, especially in terms of technology and technology output, which is very influential. Therefore, these resources that can affect the world market are enough to affect the appreciation of Japan's currency.
There are many factors that affect the appreciation of a country's currency, one of which is the country's attractiveness for capital injection. If there is a large amount of capital willing to enter the country, then the country's currency is bound to form a state of appreciation. Because of the injection of capital, a lot of foreign exchange is converted into yen to circulate for calculation, which greatly enhances the influence and circulation rate of the yen in the world, thereby increasing the value of the yen.
Many of Japan's scientific and technological technologies are still leading the world, many of Japan's industries are still the world's leading ones, Japan's attraction to capital is also increasing, and the attraction of foreign exchange is also increasing.
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There should be no possibility of promotion of the yen, and if it does, it is estimated that it will be promoted early, and it is still depreciating.
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There is no possibility of the yen appreciating, and the yen has maintained this state for so many years, and the yen's GDP has not increased significantly in recent years, so it is impossible to be promoted.
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Not yet, because the epidemic in Japan is still relatively serious, and it has not been reasonably controlled, so the economic loss is relatively serious.
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He's not going to appreciate early, what is he waiting for.
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Because a lot of capital in the world is flowing to Japan, it is very likely that the yen will continue to appreciate in the future, and Japan will also host the Tokyo Olympics in 2021, and other major international events have increased Japan's international influence and attractiveness to foreign capital, so the yen may appreciate.
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The trend of the yen is very likely to go all the way, because the Fed has not stopped raising interest rates, so the Fed's rate hikes will have a further impact on the yen's exchange rate.
To a certain extent, the exchange rate of the yen is not only the yen that has fallen in the world, but also the currencies of almost all countries have depreciated to varying degrees after the Fed raised interest rates. For the yen, because the yen has increased by 25% in a short period of time, this phenomenon has affected the stability of the yen exchange rate, and at the same time led to inflation in Japan, so the Bank of Japan will announce the sale of dollars and buy back a large number of yen, in order to stabilize the yen exchange rate. <>
What's going on here?
This is news about the yen exchange rate, when the yen depreciated by more than 25%, the Bank of Japan announced that it was actively buying yen and selling a large amount of dollar foreign exchange reserves. Prior to this, Japan itself was one of the countries with the largest foreign exchange reserves, and Japan held a large number of US dollars, so Japan could temporarily stabilize the trend of the yen in this way, but this method did not fundamentally solve the problem. <>
The yen will go all the way forward.
The main reason for this is that the Federal Reserve has not stopped its own interest rate hike process, and before the Fed's interest rate hike cycle is over, the currency exchange rates of all countries and regions will depreciate to a certain extent. For Japan, if the Bank of Japan does not choose to raise interest rates voluntarily, the yen exchange rate in Japan will depreciate further, which may also shake the country's economic development. In this case, Japan's total GDP has returned to the level of 30 years ago, and the per capita income has also dropped significantly, so this problem will not only affect Japan's economic development, but also lead to a serious reduction in the quality of life of many ordinary people.
In general, the future trend of the yen is not optimistic, which is why the Bank of Japan will choose to actively intervene in the foreign exchange market.
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The yen has recently appeared**, and in the eyes of many investors, it is still unknown whether the yen will recover in the future. First of all, we need to clarify what exactly is behind the ** of the yen. Factors such as the weakness of the Japanese economy, the strengthening of the US dollar, and the friction have all had an impact on the yen exchange rate.
These are all major obstacles to the future recovery of the yen. Secondly, Japan** will also introduce policies to stabilize the yen exchange rate. Recently, Japan** has introduced a series of fiscal policies to stabilize the yen exchange rate.
According to the policy, the Bank of Japan will take a series of measures, such as strengthening investment in the economy, stabilizing the domestic currency market, and adjusting the currency exchange rate, to promote the recovery of the yen. In addition, Japan** will also strengthen economic growth policies, such as increasing economic investment, improving fiscal policy, increasing private investment, and introducing reform policies to promote Japan's economic growth. These policies will help stabilize the yen exchange rate and shift the yen from depreciation to appreciation, thereby promoting the yen's recovery.
In general, there is hope for a recovery in the yen, but the overall situation will be affected by the Bank of Japan's policy and the development of the Japanese economy. If Japan** can actively adopt policies to improve economic conditions, the yen is still expected to recover in the future.
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Abstract: Focusing on the topic of "Is there a possibility of yen appreciation?", this paper analyzes the possibility of yen appreciation from the perspective of history and future changes, and conducts an in-depth discussion of the impact and investment opportunities brought by yen appreciation**.
1. Historical changes in the yen.
The historical origins of the yen.
The history of the yen can be traced back to the 7th century, when Japan** introduced the "money tax", requiring people to pay a certain percentage of taxes. After that, Japan** continued to reform the monetary system, and in the early 19th century, the European monetary system was introduced, and finally the yen was established.
Historical changes in the Japanese yen.
The historical changes in the yen can be broadly divided into three phases: at the beginning of the 20th century, the value of the yen reached the highest in the history of the exchange rate, but then in World War II, the value of the yen was sharply**; In the 70s of the 20th century, the value of the yen was restored, but due to the reform of Japan's economic structure, the value of the yen fluctuated again; At the end of the 20th century, the value of the yen was relatively stable, but with the occurrence of the global financial crisis, the value of the yen reappeared**.
2. Is it possible for the yen to appreciate?
Analysis of future changes in the yen.
Judging from the historical trend of the yen's changes, the future trend of the yen is uncertain. Judging by the recent economic situation, there is a possibility of an upward trend in the value of the yen, but there is also a possibility of a ** trend.
The impact of the yen's appreciation.
If the yen appreciates in the future, it will have a certain impact on the Japanese economy. First, the appreciation of the yen will increase the cost of Japanese exporters, which will have an impact on the export contribution of the Japanese economy. Second, the appreciation of the yen will also affect the investment behavior of Japanese investors, making them more inclined to invest in the domestic market, which will increase investment opportunities in Japan.
Investment opportunities arising from the appreciation of the yen.
The investment opportunities brought about by the appreciation of the yen are also worthy of investors' attention. First of all, the appreciation of the yen will promote the growth of domestic assets, thus giving investors the opportunity to invest in domestic assets. Secondly, the appreciation of the yen will also depreciate the value of Japanese assets relative to other currencies, which will give foreign investors the opportunity to invest in Japanese assets.
Conclusion: From the above analysis, it can be seen that it is uncertain whether the yen will appreciate in the future, but if the yen shows an appreciation trend, it will have a certain impact on the Japanese economy, and it will also bring certain investment opportunities to investors.
Through the analysis of the historical changes of the yen, as well as the analysis of the future changes of the yen, this paper makes an in-depth analysis of the impact and investment opportunities brought by the appreciation of the yen**, so as to conclude that it is uncertain whether the yen will appreciate in the future, but if the yen shows an appreciation trend, it will have a certain impact on the Japanese economy, and it will also bring certain investment opportunities to investors.
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Is there any hope for the yen to recover: <
Hello <> Jason Thomas, head of global research at Carlyle, recently said that as the Federal Reserve slows down the pace of interest rate hikes, the dollar may be peaking, and the worst days for the yen seem to be behind us. Thomas expects the Fed to raise rates by 50 basis points in December, followed by several smaller hikes before pausing by the end of March 2023. If the expectation of a slower rate hike becomes the prevailing view, then the yen could rise above 130 yen to the dollar and even close to 125 yen to the dollar in 2023.
Carlyle's comments came as investors were divided on whether the dollar was peaking. Over the past month, currencies have shown signs of slowing against the US dollar as US inflation has shown signs of slowing. The yen has reached nearly 18% this year, making it the worst-performing currency in the G10.
The value of the yen is not high, it is recommended not to **, although it is a way to make money, but there are losses and gains, there is still a certain risk. If you want to buy or have this plan, it is recommended to think carefully, because the economic tension between Japan and China is tense, and I hope it can help you.
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