Will China completely eliminate fuel vehicles in 2030? Will new energy rise as a result?

In 2030, China will not completely cancel fuel vehicles, first of all, to ensure economic growth, and secondly, there is still a period of transition, and then new energy will rise, and new energy is the mainstream of future development. It is necessary to elaborate and analyze from the following four aspects In 2030, China will completely cancel fuel vehicles, and new energy will rise as a result.

First, in order to ensure economic growth

First of all, in order to ensure economic growth, the reason why we need to ensure economic growth is to better meet the needs of social development, because for some social consumers, they will still choose to buy fuel vehicles in 2030, mainly because new energy vehicles have not yet been fully popularized at that time.

Second, there is still a period of transition

The second is that there is still a period of excess, and it may take 15 years for the full popularization of new energy vehicles, so there is still no way to completely exceed, so that some consumers need to take the initiative to buy some hybrid cars.

Third, new energy will rise as a result

The main reason is that new energy vehicles have strong reliability, and new energy vehicles are also very protective of the environment, so many people will take the initiative to choose new energy vehicles.

Fourth, new energy is the mainstream of future development

In addition, new energy is the mainstream of future development, and new energy is the mainstream of future development, and many people will take the initiative to choose new energy vehicles, because new energy vehicles are an advanced means of transportation that relies on clean power to provide energy in the future development trend.

Precautions that the state should do:

The next ten years is impossible, new energy vehicles have not been comprehensive without shortcomings, at least charging or hydrogen refueling has not been fully popularized The worries of car owners have not been solved, the country will also invest a lot of money in the construction of hydrogen refueling stations on the power grid, which can not be solved at once, so the ban on fuel vehicles is the wishful thinking of new energy vehicles, and the people do not sell it at all. The long-term trend is to see that we must get rid of dependence on petrochemical energy, so now the national power industry is ushering in a peak of development, and before the carbon peak in 30 years, it is an important window period for us to develop clean energy power. Even if one day in the future, the sale of fuel vehicles is banned, the electricity consumption of new energy vehicles will not be very tight.

Moreover, the battery technology of new energy vehicles is also developing and reforming, and there will be technological breakthroughs in hydrogen energy in the future. I don't think there's a need to be nervous at the moment, until all the power facilities are developed and perfected. We don't have a one-size-fits-all approach.

It is estimated that it may be canceled across the board. It will definitely rise because of this, because it occupies the main market.

New energy is now the main trend of social development, 2030 is the initial plan in China, want to completely cancel fuel vehicles, but also need to see the development of new energy.

It should not be completely canceled fuel vehicles, but by that time, new energy vehicles will definitely be popular, because we have been advocating the use of clean energy, at that time, new energy will definitely become the first choice.

In 2030, China will completely eliminate fuel vehicles。In China, all new models launched by Honda after 2030 will be electrified models such as pure electric vehicles and hybrid vehicles, and no new combustion engine vehicles will be introduced. The pollution caused by exhaust emissions to the environment has been undoubtedly revealed in recent years, and the exhaust emissions of automobiles account for a very large proportion of them.

For the sake of the ecological environment, fuel vehicles have become the target of public criticism, and various countries have begun to lay out a comprehensive ban on the sale of fuel vehicles, and increase financial and material resources to invest in the new energy industry.

How fuel works

Fixed jet chain as envy carburetor.

Similar to a simple variable-jet (see How a Variable-Jet Carburetor Works), it has a venturi.

a necking), air flows to the engine through a venturi. A partial vacuum, created due to the increased velocity of the air passing through the venturi, is mixed with the air by sucking fuel through the nozzle.

Similarly, the airflow is made up of a throttle that is connected to the accelerator pedal.

control to adjust the engine speed. Above the throttle, a choke section blocks the airflow, providing a thicker mixture for starting. Like all carburetors, the float chamber provides stable fuel**.

The accident will be higher! Because there is electricity and there is no electricity! The power was stopped all at once, how much rear-end chase!

It's possible. The biggest problem at the 2030 pass is renting, and charging still can't be solved, so it can be said that gasoline vehicles at the 2030 pass are impossible to be eliminated, and it is difficult to stop selling. The biggest problem is that charging still can't be solved.

At present, whether it is the convenience of installing charging piles or the carrying capacity of the entire power grid, there is no sign of solving it within 9 years. The most popular road for trams is that rural areas surround cities, and rural users who generally do not have commercial purposes rarely have the needs of long-distance travelers who drive across cities and provinces, and the single travel distance is short and the travel interval is long.

It can be seen that there is no long-distance demand, basically just a short-distance tool, and those closer to the city and county can buy an entry-level electric car with a range of 200km; Those with less travel demand or basically no long-distance demand can buy low-profile electric vehicles with a range of 300km; Those who have more travel needs can buy hybrid vehicles, and short-distance travel basically relies on the pure electric range of 100km.

Combined with the "super slow charging" of rural home electricity, such as the 2kW of mini EV, "can be charged 10 kilometers per hour, and can be charged at any time, even if the quiet type is calculated according to the 300 km range, from 0-100%, 30 hours to fully charge, which can fully meet the needs of rural vehicles."

3. From stopping R&D, stopping sales to stopping on the road, it has been at least 15 years Many people have not figured out the difference between stopping R&D, stopping sales and stopping on the road, in fact, the time span represented by these three is at least 15 years.

First of all, stopping R&D means the beginning of obsolescence. At present, the time node announced by domestic and international car companies to stop the development of a new generation of fuel vehicles is generally between 2025-2030. The R&D cycle for fuel vehicles is usually 3 to 4 years, which means that there is still a "may" launch of new vehicles between 2028 and 2034.

Now mature traditional car companies have at least two or three brands, more than 10 models, nearly 100 models, and two or three facelifted or newly launched models are listed every year, and the listing node is usually called ME or MI. After 2030, this pace will slow down greatly, and if the research and development of new energy vehicles cannot keep up, or even cut off, the risk of losing market share is extremely high for a car company.

Second, the discontinuation means a countdown to obsolescence. The response to the suspension of sales is similar to the withdrawal of models, and manufacturers usually reserve spare parts for 3 to 10 years before the EOP of old models, and then dismantle the old production line and carry out production line transformation to pave the way for new models. According to conventional estimates, the shutdown time should be around 2031.

Therefore, what may happen at this point in 2030 is that fuel vehicles will be discontinued.

Finally, a mandatory stop on the road means an official obsolescence. My personal estimate is that it will take at least 5 to 10 years from the cessation of sales around 2030 to the complete cessation of fuel vehicles on the road, and some relatively backward areas may survive even longer.

Of course, it depends on the game between national determination and public opinion. During this period, there may be a depreciation of fuel vehicles, second-hand vehicles, and the appreciation of spare parts. At this stage, it's really time to erect a tombstone for the fuel car, and Jesus can't keep it.

Gasoline vehicles will not be phased out around 2030. At present, gasoline is the most important energy source for automobiles, and its use value and applicability are still the brightest. Although there are many new energy vehicles, gasoline vehicles are still the mainstream, and the development of new energy is just beginning, at least in 2030, new energy cannot be used to completely replace fossil fuels such as gasoline and Jingmeng.

The correct way to put it is that traditional pure fuel vehicles will be discontinued around 2030.

However, the other half of what we are often misunderstood is that the engine is finished? Not really.

In fact, the engine continues to improve its thermal efficiency for the time being.

The cost is extremely high, the space is extremely small, and the expectation continues to increase, it is better to make a fuss about hybridization, and the breakthrough in hybrid is easier than a simple engine.

At present, starting from hybrids, there are at least three forms: 48V mild hybrid, HEV positive eight years hybrid, and rev, which is relatively close to the pure electric form, as for plug-in or not, it is just one form.

At present, starting from hybrids, there are at least three forms: 48V mild hybrids, HEV Zhenger Bajing hybrids, and mountain Qi Rev, which is relatively close to the pure electric form, as for plug-in or not, it is just a form.

In general, HEV and REV are not considered "regular gasoline cars" anymore. They are able to keep the engine running at a high efficiency point for a long time, and at the same time, the fuel saving effect is better, and they can also be rented out by dual engines.

Get better dynamics. In one fell swoop, it solves the problem of economy and power.

However, this routine can generally last until about 2030-2035, which is also the real reason why various countries and manufacturers declare that they will no longer produce pure fuel vehicles, but in fact, there are still engines.

So when will the engine be phased out? In fact, we all know that in 2030-2035, when the infrastructure comes up, there will be breakthroughs in battery technology and energy density.

After safety can be taken to a big level, pure electric will definitely be a very important choice, and it will also account for a very important proportion in the whole society, but the engine + hybrid has a certain possibility to continue to live.

Yes, it's just a matter of time.

China is the world's largest automobile market, the use of cars will consume a lot of gasoline, so for the sustainable development of human society, China also announced the specific time of the ban on the sale of fuel vehicles and the first ban on the sale of fuel key cars in the city, although China announced the time late, but don't be too happy, the ban on fuel vehicles has reached an international consensus.

The era of new energy vehicles is coming.

China's car ownership is very large, to ban the sale of very difficult, but it is also imperative, some time ago China's relevant departments made a specific plan, officially announced that China's Hainan Province will be in 2030 to completely ban the sale of fuel vehicles, and the time to stop selling fuel is 2035, in order to reduce automobile emissions, the ban on fuel vehicles has become a fixed number, the state is also to encourage automobile companies to develop new energy vehicles, major car companies have begun to engage in new energy vehicles, In recent years, the figure of new energy vehicles has gradually appeared in the public's field of vision, such as some domestic car companies in China, Great Wall, BYD, Geely, etc., are actively responding to the call, these actions are also informing people that the era of fuel vehicles is quietly coming to an end, and the era of new energy vehicles is coming.

I believe that many people are concerned about the development of the new energy industry, especially new energy vehicles, because some car companies have said that some of their gasoline car models are about to be discontinued, and will focus on the development of new energy vehicles, which also makes people worry that gasoline vehicles will be eliminated soon, and will gasoline cars really be stopped and eliminated around 2030?

There is a good chance that it will be discontinued.

In fact, the elimination of gasoline vehicles may take a long time, after all, everyone will use it for a long time when buying gasoline cars, so it is impossible to say that gasoline cars will be eliminated, but to a certain extent, it is very likely to be ruined. Because some car companies have said that they want to stop producing and selling a certain type of gasoline car, because the sale of a gasoline car will fine the car company, which is difficult for the car company to bear the loss. Therefore, in order to maintain their own interests, most car companies will definitely develop and produce a large number of new energy vehicles, which to a certain extent leads to a significant reduction in the supply of gasoline vehicles.

After that, new energy vehicles may be running on the street, so it is very likely that gasoline vehicles will be discontinued around 2030.

Technical problems of new energy vehicles.

In fact, people's very simple wish is to hope that the power of the car is sufficient, and the running time is long, gasoline vehicles must have many advantages, and the advantages of gasoline vehicles are largely the disadvantages of new energy vehicles. Although the car is said to be charged in use, the battery life is not enough, and the slow charging time has become a headache for many new energy vehicles. And sometimes the power of new energy vehicles is too poor, and it may not be able to go uphill.

This is also the reason why new energy vehicles are not accepted by the public, so it is still urgent to solve these technical problems.

Summary. Technological innovation can change people's consumption habits, so if you really want people to buy new energy vehicles, you still need technological innovation. And people should also have a positive and optimistic attitude, after all, the development of science and technology has greatly changed people's lifestyle, which is not impossible to run after which are new energy vehicles.