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During the epidemic, the international ** is still quite complicated, it is affected by many factors, and the recent price increase of commodities has been obvious, so what is the source of commodity price increases? Listen to me give you an analysis today. <>
To first ask this question, you should know what a commodity is. Bulk commodities are those things that can be circulated in the international market, but cannot be retailed, that is to say, we people can not trade things at ordinary times. A typical example is the current oil and steel ore and other products, although we cannot trade them directly, but they are directly related to our lives.
If oil rises, then we use cars, and other derivative products will definitely rise in price, ore is unstable, and all kinds of metal products will also rise. Therefore, if the price of commodities rises, then it will definitely have a great impact on the overall economy, and as for the source of commodity price increases, it is actually mainly due to the fact that transactions are settled by US dollars. <>
Although the status of the US dollar in the international arena seems to have declined somewhat in recent years, commodities have always been settled in US dollars. With the impact of the epidemic on the United States, the United States began to print money in large quantities, which led to more and more money, and the more it was issued, the faster the depreciation must be, which led to the increase in the price of commodities. I believe that many countries should have a deep understanding of why they want to de-dollarize now in order to get rid of this unfavorable situation.
However, the fluctuation of bulk commodities is within the scope of the country's regulation and control, and generally speaking, it will have some impact on the lives of the people, but the direct impact does not seem to be big now, so you can rest assured. <>
When conducting finance between countries, there are many things in it that we don't understand, but we can rest assured that our motherland is doing quite well in terms of fighting for our interests, otherwise, can we live so happily today?
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The source of commodity price increases is because of the lack of commodity quantity, because of the impact of the epidemic, coupled with inflation, so many manufacturers have been affected, and the production quantity of commodities is insufficient, and the commodities are also insufficient.
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The main reason for this price increase is that everything has to be paid for in dollars, and if the dollars are used too much, they will become inflationary, and they will carry out a price increase for other goods.
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The source of the rise in commodity prices is that materials are very scarce, so there is relatively little production, so it will affect the price increase.
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The epidemic is severe, which has led to a particularly strong desire to buy these goods, so the price will increase.
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Recently, there are three main driving factors for global commodities, come to Chengfeng's small class to understand the reasons behind it.
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The reason behind the price increase is because of inflation, many manufacturers have experienced a decline in product volume due to the impact of the epidemic, and this price increase has affected the income of many people and increased the economic burden on residents.
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This is because of the impact of the epidemic, so there has been a price increase, and it is also related to the supply and demand situation in society. The effect is that it will lead to some prices**, and there will also be inflation or currency depreciation.
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First of all, because of the serious shortage of chips, coupled with the relatively low grain output, there are many commodities that have a large area of ****, and finally it will also lead to a decline in people's quality of life.
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The reason behind the price increase is because the **things in the market are now**, coupled with the impact of the epidemic, so everyone is scrambling to imitate and make the price **.
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Since 2021, the prices of non-ferrous metals and ferrous metals have been rising, with tin by nearly 40%, copper by 15%, and steel by only about 10%, but it cannot withstand the iron ore, and the subsequent price increase is only a matter of time. Of course, it's close to 30%. Corn and soybeans are in the first agricultural products, and with the impact of extreme weather in the western hemisphere, there is still more room for the price increase of corn and other agricultural products.
General industrial raw materials, such as titanium dioxide, are more than 15%, and float glass is nearly 50% higher than the lowest in 2020. A wide range of chemical products, such as polymer plastics, chemical fibers, and other chemical basic raw materials, have risen by hundreds or even thousands, mainly between 15% and 30%.
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According to news reports a few days ago, the bulk commodities are currently in a continuous state, and the coal, steel, non-ferrous metals and other banks in the national circulation field are in a high-speed state compared with last year. So what is a commodity, according to the definition, commodities mainly refer to physical commodities that can be circulated in the market, but are not retail commodities, such as **, steel, agricultural products, etc. Due to the impact of the epidemic in 2020 on the global industry, commodity commodities are in the market this year both month-on-month and year-on-year.
I think the main points are as follows.
First, these commodities may continue to ** in the future, first of all, these commodities will have a long time in the future. Due to the global industry affected by the pandemic in 2020, the economic recession has led to a significant decline in commodity production capacity this year. According to the principle of supply and demand in the economic market, once the supply of commodities exceeds demand, it will lead to ****, so the ** of these commodities has appeared significantly this year, and it is precisely because the epidemic has not been completely controlled on a global scale, especially the United States and other economic giant countries and other high-yield commodity countries have not completely escaped the nightmare of the epidemic.
Therefore, the production capacity of bulk commodities is likely to be further unable to be carried out, so the future of bulk commodities is likely to continue, and the surveys provided by major domestic research institutes also prove this.
Second, the first commodity of bulk commodities, in the future, it is likely to lead to many commodities in the retail industry, although the bulk commodities do not appear in the retail industry, but as raw materials for retail commodities still need to be purchased by the factory, so once the raw materials are used, it will affect the synchronization of retail commodities, so bulk commodities are likely to make retail commodities.
Third, the **** of commodities may also lead to a certain degree of pressure on the financial market, and it may also lead to the ****, which in turn increases the pressure on the financial market.
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This is not conducive to the stability of the market, the commodity has been continuous, and it will also affect the lower and midstream commodities, and will affect the commodity pricing in this market.
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Construction costs in the infrastructure industry have risen. Steel has risen to 6,000 yuan a ton, and foundation construction enterprises are facing great bidding risks.
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It will make the market higher and higher, and it will make the market show a bull market, which will make many shareholders like it, and commodities can pull the rise of the market, so that the market will show a red form.
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It is easy to cause market turmoil, and it is also easy to cause the prosperity of the market, which will make the oil price and steel ****, thereby improving the economic development of the market and increasing the burden of people's lives.
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It may affect some rules of the market, and cause a certain price increase, which will break some peace for the market.
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It has a big impact on the economy of the market, because it will reduce sales, which I don't think is a good practice.
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There has been no impact yet, and the market has basically not changed much, which is also very good news.
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Impactful, from the customer's point of view, I still hope that the goods I buy are low, and it will also lead to a decrease in sales in the market.
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With the continuous development of social economy, in real life, we will encounter a variety of situations, especially for commodity raw materials will cause prices, this kind of problem is very concerned about this, in fact, according to the introduction of relevant experts, the **** of bulk commodities will not drive the price of goods, because commodities have not yet shown an overall and trend change.
According to the introduction of relevant experts in China, the first commodity is actually the global economic recovery, the relevant adjustment of the supply and demand relationship in the short term, which also includes investment speculation and other related behaviors, so it has the characteristics of repair and stage in such a stage as Fuyan, but because the world economic recovery is still unstable, the wide end of commodity supply and demand has not shown an overall and trend-related change, so commodities will not pull prices. This is what we need to know, and it is what we must know.
In addition, because the traditional influence of bulk commodities is limited and controllable on the whole, so if you want to pull China's domestic prices, basically it has not reached such a point now, so there is no need to worry too much about this, as long as you live a stable life, and with the ** of bulk commodity raw materials will gradually return to the original price, slowly our economy will gradually achieve the results of recovery, after all, under the influence of the world epidemic, The degree of influence of each country is very large, so in this way, we can better help us to carry out the relevant economic recovery, and the commodity raw materials are actually a manifestation of the country's economic recovery.
To sum up, we can obviously know that commodity raw materials are actually a good embodiment of our economy, marking that China's economy is constantly developing and recovering, which is a better phenomenon.
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Of course, it will cause the price of goods, because the raw materials of these commodities are the main materials that constitute the commodity, and the raw materials will be the main materials of the goods.
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The price increase of raw materials will also be cleared to cause prices, because after the raw materials, many industries need to use raw materials, which will also lead to prices to maintain market stability.
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Yes, because the raw materials are ****, it will lead to a large increase in the quality of many related products, which will lead to the **** of many products, and then it will also affect people's consumption capacity. Moling.
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What products don't increase in price now? Only wages do not rise. Price increases will only increase our cost of living!
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The rise in commodity prices means that people will spend twice as much if they want to buy commodities. Commodities have been in the best situation since the new crown epidemic in 2020, and with the recovery of the epidemic this year, the pressure brought by inflation is even greater, which also leads to ****. In addition, inflation is expected to continue, which means that commodities will continue to grow.
Recently, oil prices have exceeded $60 per barrel, copper prices have reached their highest levels since April 2012, and zinc mines have also fallen by about 7%. As a result, the Bloomberg Commodity Index rose by more than 9% from the end of 2020 to 19 February, not only from its trough in April last year**, but also beyond the level at the end of 2019.
2.China also has more to lose.
1) From 50,000 yuan to 10,000 tons of copper, China imported 6.6 million tons of copper in 2020, which cost more than 140 billion yuan.
2) Iron ore from 600 yuan tons, ** to 1,300 yuan tons, in 2020 China imported 1 billion tons of iron ore, to spend more than 700 billion yuan.
3) From 3,200 yuan to 5,600 yuan of soybeans, China imported 100 million tons of soybeans in 2020, which cost more than 240 billion yuan.
4) From $40 barrels to $65 barrels, China imported 4 billion barrels in 2020, which costs an additional $100 billion, equivalent to 650 billion yuan.
The above four items alone will cost China trillions of yuan. This means that we worked hard for a year last year, and 40% of the hard-earned money from foreign trade exports may be spent on raw materials this year.
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Recently, the problem of global inflation has aroused widespread concern, you know, since the beginning of this year, the international sales market, steel, agricultural products and other commodities have risen sharply.
In this regard, people are also worried, as a major importer of bulk commodities, will China be affected? Recently, the state has also made a clear response, let's find out the specific situation.
Recently, the problem of global inflation has aroused widespread attention, you know, since the beginning of this year, the international market**, steel, agricultural products and other commodities** have risen sharply.
In this regard, people are also worried, as a major importer of bulk commodities, will China be affected? Recently, the state has also made a clear response, let's find out the specific situation.
What are the commodities?
Bulk commodities refer to material commodities that can enter the circulation field, are not retail, have commodity attributes, and are used for industrial and agricultural production and consumption in large quantities.
In the field of financial investment, bulk commodities refer to commodities that are homogeneous, tradable, and used as industrial basic materials by GF, such as non-ferrous metals, agricultural products, iron ore, coal, etc.
This week (March 22-March 26), the domestic commodity market, energy, non-ferrous metals, and building materials sectors were obvious across the board, with a large increase in trading volume and increased capital attention.
The agricultural products sector has also been improved.
On Tuesday, the domestic market, the main contract closed, and the intraday increase once exceeded, and the signs of technical bottoming were obvious.
Specifically, the Shanghai zinc products of the Shanghai ** Exchange soared 2% to 4% across the board on Monday's trading day, and its forward contracts still closed with a sharp rise on Tuesday's trading day.
The main soybean force of the Dalian Commodity Exchange rose more than 1% on Tuesday, and the main soybean oil soared.
The country responds to rising commodity prices.
According to the national analysis, although China has been deeply integrated into the global economy, prices are affected by external factors to a certain extent, but this impact is generally limited and controllable.
Fundamentally speaking, China's macro policy space is sufficient, supported by a huge domestic market, economic development resilience and strong potential, and abundant supply of industry and agriculture, which has laid a solid foundation for the stable operation of prices.
Specifically, from the perspective of the consumer consumption index (CPI), on the one hand, food and services account for a high proportion of CPI, and are less affected by international factors.
Among them, vegetables and fruits** seasonal changes, pork ** is expected to gradually return to normal levels with the recovery of pig production; On the other hand, China's industrial system is huge, the industry chain is long, the competition in the industrial consumer goods market is fierce, and the transmission effect of upstream costs to the downstream will gradually decay, and it is expected that the terminal consumer goods will be less affected.
In general, fundamentally speaking, China has sufficient macro policy space, has a strong domestic market support, the problem of global inflation has little impact on China, and commodities do not have a long-term foundation.
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