What are the dangers of aging to the country?

1.The impact of population ageing on the employment structure.

Population aging will improve the overall consumption tendency of the society, promote the increase of total social demand, and promote the development of the aging industry, thereby increasing the demand for labor accordingly, the aging industry, also known as the "silver industry", mainly provides products and services for the elderly population, covering clothing, food, housing, transportation, medicine and other industries to meet the needs of the elderly, in countries with developed market economies, with the aging of the population "silver industry"The development of the new economic growth point, in which the elderly service industry occupies the mainstream position.

The impact of population ageing. png

Most of the elderly service industry is a labor-intensive industry, the demand for labor is great, creating a large number of employment opportunities for the society, changing the original employment structure, therefore, the aging population will affect the development of China's third industry related to the elderly service, and then absorb the employment of middle-aged and elderly women, so as to change the existing employment structure and increase the income of middle-aged and elderly women.

2.The impact of population ageing on social security.

The aging population has a huge demand for income security and medical services, which will affect the reform of the social security system and medical security system, and also bring huge financial pressure to the country, and may even seriously affect economic development.

The income security of the elderly in China is shifting from family support to social pension, and the existing social security system, such as medical care and pension, is divided into unequal parts. At the same time, the share of national health financing in social security has been low, mainly in hospital care. The aging population will put pressure on the existing security system for the elderly and China's health care, and will further affect the development of society by promoting the reform of the basic social security system.

3.The impact of population ageing on social management.

The aging population pays more attention to the elderly and their urgent need for communication and social participation, which brings great pressure to the existing social management system, and successfully reforms the existing social management system and management methods, forming a benign interaction between social management, elderly organizations and the elderly, which is not only related to the satisfaction of the needs of the elderly group, but also closely related to the harmony and stability of the society.

The current situation of Chinese population aging shows a clear trend of large elderly population, rapid growth, aging, disability and empty nesting.

Since China entered an aging society, there has been an obvious trend of a large elderly population, rapid growth, aging, disability, and empty nesting. Coupled with the superposition of China's national conditions and the structure of family miniaturization, as well as the lag of the social security system, the problem of old-age care is extremely severe.

There are many reasons for the acceleration of the aging of the Chinese population, but the most important and direct reasons are two. On the one hand, there is a relatively low birth rate that has emerged since the long-term implementation of the family planning policy, and on the other hand, the rapid economic growth, the progress of science and technology, the improvement of the people's medical conditions, and the improvement of their living standards. Amazing achievements have been made in the health and longevity of human beings, and the life expectancy of the population has been greatly extended.

Characteristics of the trend of population ageing

1. The elderly population is huge.

In 2020, China's elderly population over 65 years old will reach 100 million, accounting for the total population, and one in every four elderly people in the world is a Chinese. It is estimated that the number of people over 65 years old in China will reach a peak of 100 million in 2057, accounting for the total population.

2. The aging rate is fast.

In 2001, China's population over 65 years old exceeded 7, marking the entry into an aging society, and it took 21 years to enter deep aging in 2021, when the proportion of the population aged 65 and above exceeded 14, which is shorter than France's 126 years, Britain's 46 years, and Germany's 40 years.

The impact of population aging will include a decrease in the labor force, an increase in the total expenditure of basic pension insurance, medical problems, the development of social and cultural welfare and the incompatibility of population aging, and the weakening of family pension functions.

1. Reduce the labor force.

China's population is aging. Over the next decade, the size of the 20-24-year-old youth labor force will be reduced by 30%. The decline in the birth rate is severe.

China's aging population is a serious problem for us. China's aging population is serious, and the decline in the birth rate will bring serious harm. The number of young workers will decrease over the next decade.

2. The total expenditure of basic pension insurance has increased.

The aging of the population is likely to increase the proportion of sick, disabled, and mentally retarded elderly people in the future. It will not only increase the economic burden of enterprises and enterprises in terms of basic medical insurance, but also increase the medical and nursing expenses of the elderly, so that more personal basic pensions and various supplementary pension income are needed.

3. Medical problems.

Older people are important consumers of health resources. According to statistics from the Ministry of Health, the prevalence of chronic diseases among the elderly over 60 years old is twice that of the national population, the disability rate is twice that of the national population, and the health resources consumed by the elderly are twice that of the national population.

Compared with economic development, the development of China's medical and health undertakings is relatively backward. The problem of difficulty in seeing a doctor and seeing a doctor for the elderly is particularly prominent.

In response to October 18, 2017, the report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China pointed out that the implementation of the Healthy China strategy, actively respond to the aging of the population, build a policy system and social environment for the elderly, filial piety and respect for the elderly, promote the integration of medical care and elderly care, and accelerate the development of the cause and industry for the elderly.

In November 2019, the Communist Party of China issued the "National Medium and Long-term Plan for Actively Responding to Population Aging". The "Plan" is a strategic, comprehensive and guiding document for China to actively respond to the aging of the population by the middle of the 21st century, with a medium-term to 2035 and a long-term outlook to 2050.

In November 2021, the "Opinions of the Communist Party of China on Strengthening the Work on Aging in the New Era" was released. The "Opinions" proposes that by the end of 2025, each county (city, district, banner) will have one county-level support service institution for the extremely poor with the function of combining medical care and elderly care.

1. Pension, social security due to the reduction in the number of contributors leads to the need for the state to continue to increase subsidies for these two heads, and the effect may not be as good as more and more young people pay, because young people pay pension insurance can only be received after decades, and the social security group for young people to get sick is small, and the elderly have a high chance of getting sick, and the elderly are often chronic diseases, need to continue to take medicine, young people or the reduction of the working population often means a decrease in taxes, Seven provinces in the country can pay more than they spend, while 21 provinces need to transfer and spend roughly, and if the population growth is negative, this proportion should be further expanded. More and more older people will need to work to supplement their pensions after retirement.

2. A society is often the more young people, the stronger the creativity of the society, the greater the need for social change, negative population growth, often means that the society is becoming more and more conservative, the social atmosphere is twilight, lack of enterprising spirit and fighting spirit, Japan, Germany, Russia are a good example, and China's 21-year net population growth is 480,000 people, has been on the verge of negative growth, into the negative growth of the great probability is this year.

3. The total consumption of society is shrinking, the consumption demand of the working population, especially the young people, is more vigorous than that of the elderly, and the shrinking consumption often means that the total economic volume is declining, and the negative GDP growth is a high probability event, which is reflected in the people's heads It is more and more difficult to make money, and the more difficult it is to consume, the more shrinking it is, forming a vicious circle.

4. The rural population will continue to flow out, and the population of the third- and fourth-tier small cities will flow into the first- and second-tier cities, such as the phenomenon that a village or even a city in Japan is full of elderly people.

Negative population growth will exacerbate the declining birthrate and eliminate the growth potential of the working-age labor force. At the same time, the elderly population will increase sharply, the young and middle-aged population will decrease sharply, the pensions received by in-service workers will decline, the total amount of pensions will increase slightly, and consumption will be large. In other words, the number of pensioners has decreased sharply, and the number of elderly people receiving pensions has increased sharply, and the pension gap will become more prominent.

The most serious thing is that the service industry, including the pension, needs a large number of labor, and the population growth is negative, and the labor gap is even greater. Bold**, it will be difficult to find street sweeping workers in the future. Bottom line: Who will take care of the elderly?

On the one hand, in order to increase the enthusiasm of young people in childbearing, it is necessary to take practical measures, including comprehensively alleviating the cost pressures of marriage and childbearing, children's enrollment in kindergartens, and urban housing. Only in this way will young people dare to get married, dare to have children, and want to have children! At the same time, vigorously develop new technology industries, promote the development of humanoid robots, especially state-owned jujube production robots, and alleviate the shortage of labor in the service industry.

We will continue to make efforts in childbirth support and family building, promote the simultaneous development of fertility policies and relevant economic and social policies, and do a good job in housing, education, medical care, employment, taxation, and social security suitable for families with children. Actively build a reasonable cost-sharing mechanism for childbirth and a policy support system conducive to childbirth, effectively reduce the burden of family childbirth and childcare, and stimulate fertility potential.

With the focus on "one old and one young", establish and improve a population service system covering the whole life cycle, and strengthen the function of grassroots children's elderly care services.

Negative population growth leads to a decrease in the population, especially among young people. This is not extinct, and it will have a corresponding impact on every one of us ordinary people. ......Specifically, negative population growth will bring us increased pressure on social security and medical insurance, the problem of pension after old age is difficult to solve, and the retirement age will be delayed.

1. Negative population growth will first put pressure on our social security and medical insurance.

Negative population growth will first put pressure on our social security and medical insurance. ......The reason for this situation is that the main reason for the negative population growth is the decrease in young people, which will lead to a decrease in the number of people who pay social security and medical insurance, which will cause practical pressure on social security and medical insurance. ......Such a situation can have a big impact on the lives of those who have retired and those who are approaching retirement age.

2. The decline in population will make it difficult for us to solve the problem of pension in old age.

In our lifetime, the issue of pension after old age is a very important issue. ......When we get old, our physique becomes weaker and we need someone to take care of us to ensure our lives. However, with the negative population growth, the situation of fewer children or even no children will increase, and the problem of providing for the elderly with few children or no children will become a difficult problem to solve, and this problem will have a very big impact on each of us.

3. Our retirement age will be delayed with negative population growth.

Another effect of negative population growth is the postponement of the retirement age. ......Due to negative population growth, especially the declining number of young people, there will be a relative shortage of labor in the workplace, which will require measures such as delayed retirement to ensure the number of workers. This is a very real problem for all of us in the workplace, and it is likely that we will have to delay retirement for a period of time in the future.

1.The burden on society has increased.

2.The development of social and cultural welfare undertakings is not compatible with the aging of the population.

3.The family pension function is weakened.

4.The demand for medical care and life services among the elderly is prominent.

5.As a direct consequence of an ageing population, the labor force is shrinking, which will lead to a sharp decline in total output.

6.The total fertility rate is extremely low.

Due to the aggravation of the aging population, the burden of China's old-age security, the pressure on the construction of the old-age security system, the difficulty of the reform of the old-age insurance system, and the far-reaching impact of old-age security on social and economic development, will be the first to talk about filial piety unprecedentedly. In the view of most economists, aging is synonymous with deceleration in growth. Older people have limited incomes and rely on savings to survive.

Compared to young people, the purchasing power of the elderly is significantly less and they will hardly consume expensive goods such as cars and real estate. For the macro economy, this means less savings, higher interest rates, and depressed house prices, none of which are good for economic growth.

Human history has proven that the result of demographic transition is the aging of the human population, and as for the younger population, it is only a brief period of historical interlude. How to deal with the aging of the population and solve the problem of population aging is fundamentally to accelerate economic development and strengthen the country's economic strength.