How likely is it that monkeypox will enter the mainland and cause a large scale epidemic?

As long as the people are united and actively cooperate with the relevant departments in prevention and control, the possibility of monkeypox entering the mainland and causing a large-scale epidemic is very small.

The monkeypox outbreak is a public health emergency of international concern, which is also the highest level of public health alert issued by the WHO to the world, and the main source of infection causing the spread of monkeypox is rodents and primates infected with the monkeypox virus, including monkeys, chimpanzees, humans, etc. Because of the limited mode of transmission, it is also determined that monkeypox cannot spread on a large scale in China. Therefore, in our lives, we should also keep abreast of relevant knowledge to prevent monkeypox, avoid contact with infected animals, and ensure that our lives are safe and not threatened.

How did it happen?

On 21 July 2022, the WHO Emergency Committee reconvened its expert meeting and issued a statement at this meeting that 75 countries and territories have reported more than 10,000 cases, including five deaths, to WHO. Monkeypox was originally prevalent in some countries in West and Central Africa, but as time went on, monkeypox became more and more common.

How can monkeypox be prevented?

Many diseases can be prevented by prevention, monkeypox must avoid contact with infected animals, according to the transmission mode and transmission route of the epidemic in this activity, we can see that close contact with people from the epidemic area should be avoided in life, this is the most important preventive measure, for the elderly and children, in life should be more careful, people who have been vaccinated against smallpox in the past have a certain degree of cross-protection against the monkeypox virus, so they should also be vaccinated in time.

What is my personal opinion?

Monkeypox can be transmitted in a variety of ways, so it's important to be aware of it in your life. The incubation period of monkeypox is 5 to 21 days, and most of them are 6 to 13 days, and after being infected with monkeypox, typical fever, headache, muscle aches, back pain, swollen lymph nodes, etc., such symptoms must be seen in a timely manner**.

The possibility of causing a large-scale epidemic is very high, because the spread rate of monkeypox is very fast, and the spread is also very wide, so the relevant departments must take precautions.

The probability is 1%, because we in the mainland have always cared about this kind of thing, and we have to carry out epidemic prevention inspections for every person and animal entering the country.

This probability is very low, after all, China has carried out strict prevention and control in the customs, and has also been on guard against and prevention of this disease, and has also strengthened the attention to this disease.

What is Monkeypox?

Presumably, everyone has been swiped by the news that monkeypox is contagious in several countries in Europe and the United States, so what is monkeypox? Let me explain it for you.

Monkeypox is a rare viral zoonotic disease caused by the monkeypox virusMonkey populations, first found in the primeval forests of western and central Africa, can also infect rodents or other animals.

Monkeypox manifests itself as a pox-like rash as shown in the picture below, hence the name monkeypox.

Go back to the roots

If we trace back to the source, we will find that we are no strangers to monkeypox, this is our smell of "flower" discoloration, smallpox close relatives, although smallpox in 1980 smallpox has been extinct, but that is only human smallpox extinct, this time the pox virus is still widespread in the world, including monkeypox, cowpox, he will exist in our middle host, may infect both animals and people.

Judging from the information in the current report, infection with this virus may cause herpes like chickenpox, which is very similar to smallpox, an infection like pox virus, not as simple as a few herpes, patients will also have fever, headache, fatigue, muscle aches and other symptoms, most patients may be within a few weeks**, but recently some serious patients will also die, according to WHO data, the case fatality rate of different branches of monkeypox virus varies greatly, about 1%-10%, The fatality rate of smallpox infection is more than 30%.

First discovered. Monkeypox was first identified in monkey populations used for research, and the first human infection was only recorded in 1970, and there have been sporadic outbreaks in the past but not as concentrated as they do now. From December last year to May this year, four African countries reported 1,315 confirmed cases to the WHO, and since May 16, the WHO has repeatedly released cases of infection in European and American countries, and said that the monkeypox virus has been transmitted from person to person, which is a very bad sign, and the WHO** cases will further increase.

From the perspective of the virus itself, monkeypox used to be a relatively lazy virus, and it was self-limiting after infection (that is, a disease that would get better on its own), Yin Ye, CEO of BGI, said that there are very few specific drugs for monkeypox at this stage, but it does not mean that there are none, and people infected with monkeypox virus can be relieved within 14-20 days.

Mode of transmission

The transmission pattern of monkeypox virus is similar to that of most plagues, mainly including close contact and respiratory droplet transmission.

The monkeypox virus is not very transmissible, and frequent hand washing, wearing masks, and frequent disinfection can effectively prevent the spread of the monkeypox virus. At the same time, some studies have also shown that if you have been vaccinated against smallpox, it can also be more than 85% effective in preventing monkeypox. Be careful, there's no need to panic excessively.

Recently, the United States, the United Kingdom, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Australia and other countries have reported cases of human infection with monkeypox virus. So what is monkeypox? How does monkeypox spread? What are the symptoms of monkeypox.

What is Monkeypox?

Monkeypox is a viral zoonotic disease that can be transmitted from animals to humans through close contact and is not easily transmitted from person to person, but can also be infected by close contact with an infected person.

Monkeypox presents symptoms

Monkeypox is a close relative of smallpox and the symptoms are very similar, but in principle monkeypox is not as contagious as smallpox. The incubation period is usually 6 to 13 days and can be as long as 21 days. In humans, the first symptoms of monkeypox include fever, headache, muscle pain, back pain, and swollen lymph nodes, which can progress to a widespread rash on the face and body.

Most infected people will become ill within a few weeks**, but others will become seriously ill.

How monkeypox is transmitted

Respiratory transmissionSusceptible people can be infected by exposure to large amounts of virus-containing droplets in direct, prolonged face-to-face contact with a person with monkeypox.

Digestive tract transmission: Susceptible people can become infected by eating food contaminated with the virus.

Contact transmissionAnimal-to-humanSusceptible people can be infected through bites from infected animals, direct contact with the blood, body fluids, and lesions** of infected animals.

Human-to-human transmissionSusceptible people can become infected through contact with the body fluids of a person with monkeypox or virus-contaminated items such as clothing and bedding.

1. Maintain hand hygiene

Master the proper way to wash your hands with soap or hand sanitizer and running water. Try not to touch public objects and parts in public places。Wash your hands and change your clothes immediately after returning home, and put your clothes in a ventilated place.

Make it a good habit to wash your hands before eating and after using the toilet.

2. Maintain good hygiene

Keep the living room well ventilated, and open the windows regularly for ventilation, and each ventilation time should not be less than 30 minutes. Personal towels and pots should be reserved for the exclusive use of experts and should not be shared with others. Intimate clothing and quilts are often dried and tableware is disinfected regularly.

Don't spit,Cover mouth and nose secretions with a tissue and throw them in a fixed bin.

3. Grasp the rhythm of life

Maintain a healthy lifestyleMix three meals a day, control the intake of fat and salt, eat more green leafy vegetables and fruits, don't eat wild animals, cook eggs and meat thoroughly, and separate raw and cooked foods. WarrantyExercise moderately to enhance your physical fitness, quit smoking and drinking, and face the attack of monkeypox correctly.

Finally, I also wish the epidemic to end as soon as possible.

On July 25, 2022, Wu Zunyou, chief expert of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, issued an article explaining "Will monkeypox be introduced into China and cause an epidemic?" "It's only a matter of time before monkeypox enters the mainland, and it will also cause an epidemic. Strict control of imported cases and good protection can curb the occurrence of this event, and WHO is also preparing for the upcoming monkeypox outbreak.

So don't take chances, after all, the mortality rate of monkeypox is higher than that of the new crown epidemic. <>

Monkeypox first appeared in foreign countries, and in just a few days, it took many lives and even caused corresponding panic in many countries. Although there are no confirmed cases of monkeypox in the country yet, as far as the current international situation is concerned, it will come sooner or later. Because the monkeypox outbreak is an event of international concern, it can be regarded as the highest level of alert, and the infection rate is extremely strong, so as long as it enters the country, it will definitely spread on a large scale like the epidemic.

The mode of transmission of monkeypox is very different from that of the epidemic, mainly because the virus invades the human body through mucous membranes or broken **. In other words, once you come into contact with a confirmed patient and have a corresponding ulcer on your body, you can easily become infected, and you can also be infected by animal exudate or animal scratches and bites. If you have monkeypox, you may be contagious if you come into contact with a normal person, and pregnant women can also pass the virus to their fetuses through the placenta.

Monkeypox spreads in a wide range of ways, and if you are not careful, you are likely to become infected. In addition, after getting monkeypox, there will be relatively large induration all over the body, which is not only nauseous, but also extremely itchy, so everyone should try to avoid traveling abroad. It is also hoped that all departments in China can do a good job of protective measures, and only by curbing the import of foreign population at the root can we effectively ensure the safety of the lives of the vast number of residents.

In addition, it is necessary to control the behavior of residents, if there is a fluke mentality, there is a high chance that they will be infected.

Yes, it will. Judging from the population and transmission mode of monkeypox in Europe and the United States, it is only a matter of time before monkeypox is introduced into Chinese mainland, Hong Kong, China and Macao.

I think this virus may be introduced into China, but it should not cause a large-scale epidemic, China is still very good at preventing and controlling the virus, and residents must also take protective measures in their lives.

Monkeypox will become another pandemic in the future.

Because monkeypox has slowly shown the potential to develop into a pandemic during this time. So the world's experts ** monkeypox is highly likely to develop into another pandemic in the future. The following is an analysis of this issue from the three elements of the pandemic.

That is, the source of infection, the route of transmission, and the susceptible population.

1. The source of monkeypox infection is very wide: monkeypox patients are the source of infection, asymptomatic carriers are also the source of infection, and even healthy people may become the source of infection. Because monkeypox can be transmitted through contact, for example, if a monkeypox carrier picks up a mobile phone and looks at it and puts it down, the monkeypox virus will be contaminated with the mobile phone.

Another healthy customer picked up the phone and put it down. This healthy person is carrying the monkeypox virus, and when the healthy customer is immunocompromised or comes into contact with an immunocompromised person, he will become infected with monkeypox.

2. There are many ways for monkeypox to spread: monkeypox can not only be transmitted by droplets, aerosols, but also by contact. There are more transmission routes than Omicron, and it can be said that the monkeypox transmission route skill points are full.

Not only that, the transmission of monkeypox is very insidious, and when symptoms such as rash and fever appear, it has been insidious for a long time, so the spread of monkeypox can be said to be unpreventable.

3. Monkeypox can cause nationwide infection: Unlike some infectious diseases that only infect children, monkeypox can be transmitted regardless of age and health status. Therefore, the scope of monkeypox infection is very large, and the prevention and control of monkeypox infection is also very demanding.

In summary, monkeypox has all the potential for a pandemic, so world experts speculate that it will become another pandemic in the future. The author believes that although monkeypox is highly contagious, there is no need to panic excessively, because China's ability to prevent and control infectious diseases is the top level in the world, and China's independent research and development capabilities are extremely strong, and special drugs can be developed quickly.

We just need to take more precautions, follow the guidance of our health experts, and do not need to panic excessively.

It will become, because for monkeypox, its virus is still relatively transmissible, and it will pose a serious threat to humans.

I feel like there's a possibility of a pandemic because monkeypox is a growing threat.

I feel that if I don't get a good control in the future, then I will get a very serious consequence, and it will also become an epidemic. Out of control.

The monkeypox virus is a new type of infectious diseaseThe monkeypox virus is a zoonotic virus, but the monkeypox virus has mutated and can be transmitted in both animals and humans, and can cause great harm to humans; The human body will not show abnormalities at the beginning of infection with the monkeypox virus, and will only have symptoms of common flu such as fever, but with the passage of infection, the monkeypox virus will appear a large number of rashes on the human body, and it will also destroy the body's immune system, making the human body more susceptible to infection by other germs; Since there is no drug for the monkeypox virus, the monkeypox virus is now infected in many countries around the world. <>

The monkeypox virus is not very transmissibleAlthough the monkeypox virus can cause great harm to the human body, the monkeypox virus is transmitted through blood and body fluids, and this way is also destined to prevent the monkeypox virus from the same large-scale outbreak as the new coronavirus, so as long as residents carry masks when traveling and do not have too much contact with strangers, the monkeypox virus can be effectively prevented; At the same time, the monkeypox virus is very similar to the well-known smallpox virus, and the smallpox virus vaccine can even effectively prevent and control the monkeypox virus, so humans can also prevent the monkeypox virus by injecting the vaccine. <>

There is a risk of monkeypox virus being imported into our countryThe monkeypox virus first broke out in the United Kingdom, but due to the imperfect epidemic prevention policies of Western countries, the monkeypox virus has now been infected in the United States, Canada, Australia and other countries, and the situation is very serious; So far, there have been no infected people with monkeypox virus in China, and at the same time, China has the ability to detect monkeypox virus, and people entering China have been tested, which can effectively prevent monkeypox virus from entering China; At the same time, China's epidemic prevention measures are also very perfect, and our residents also have a very high awareness of epidemic prevention, so our country is very safe at present. <>