After Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, which city is most likely to become the fifth first

Dalian, as long as time. and so on for its all-round revival. Dalian's GDP in 2020 is more than 60 billion less than in 2013.

But as long as we vigorously develop tourism and light industry. There's still a lot of room for upside. There is also a lot of room for growth in Dalian's neighbor Anshan.

Anshan's GDP in 2020 will be more than 170 billion yuan, which is more than 60 billion less than the peak of more than 230 billion yuan in 2014. Liaoning's economy fell by more than 600 billion yuan in 2014. Nearly negative growth of 23%.

In 2013, Liaoning was an old cow, with a GDP of more than 100 billion yuan in 9 cities, and the least Fuxin was nearly 60 billion. Anshan's neighbor Shenyang's GDP in 2020 is also more than 50 billion yuan less than in 2013. Shen Da'an has been going downhill.

Liaoning's geography is excellent, with more than 2,000 kilometers of coast, a lot! It is also necessary to build a seaport, use the Bohai Sea platform, and vigorously develop coastal cities! It was back then, but now you have to work hard.

Who is the fifth first-tier city all day long I amused, do you think that the first-tier city is easy for you to be Ah The tone is not small You have to be a first-tier city to have a population and subway transportation There are more places to work to be considered a first-tier city, you have not reached the point where you are so anxious all day long.

Hangzhou. Hangzhou has a well-developed economy and good city management, and is expected to become the next first-tier city.

I think the next one is Nanjing, because Nanjing is backed by Jiangsu, a major economic province, and Nanjing has a deep historical heritage, so I am very optimistic about the development of this city.

Qingdao is very likely, it is located in the western region, and it has developed very rapidly in the past two years, and the development prospects are good.

There is no fifth city, there are too many shortcomings, the conditions are not available, I don't believe you can check, some of the two indicators are not enough, three are not enough, there are four indicators are not enough, the influence is not good, there is no national positioning, the fifth city, the new first-tier cities, have been checked, there is no fifth city, all of them are half a catty?

I think Chengdu is known as the "Land of Abundance" because in recent years, Chengdu has become more and more popular among young people, and the lifestyle in Chengdu is very comfortable.

I think it's Suzhou, because Suzhou's overall economic development is particularly good, and at the same time, e-commerce brands are also doing very well.

I think it's Hangzhou, which has a lot of technology company headquarters, and it ranks first in the country in terms of population inflow, and the market is very active.

Nanjing, as the capital of Anhui Province, has a strong political position and is backed by Jiangsu Province.

Hangzhou is a little ahead of schedule, after all, in addition to other cities, he has one more Alibaba, and Zhejiang's development is also good, but Wuhan, Chengdu, Nanjing, Chongqing, and Suzhou are estimated to follow, and it is not much worse, and it will surpass Hangzhou by accident.

It's hard to say, it could be Suzhou, or Wuhan, or Ningbo, all of them are possible.

Chengdu, down to Hangzhou, then Wuhan, Nanjing and Xi'an.

After the merger of Changsha-Zhuzhou-Tan, it is a proper first-tier city.

The main reasons for the negative population growth of the four first-tier cities in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen include:

1.High-cost living: The high cost of living in first-tier cities, the high price of housing pants, prices, traffic congestion and other problems are becoming increasingly prominent, causing many people to choose to leave.

2.Brain drain: First-tier cities have a high concentration of high-quality education, medical care, scientific research and other resources, but the competition is also very fierce, and many people choose to seek better development opportunities in second- and third-tier cities or other developed countries.

3.Development of second- and third-tier cities: With the adjustment of national policies and the development of regional economy, the number of resources and development opportunities in the first and second- and third-tier cities will continue to increase, attracting the attention and relocation of many people.

4.Impact of the epidemic: During the epidemic, the movement of people in first-tier cities was strictly controlled, and many people chose to leave due to the uncertainty of work and life.

This shift in population mobility and urban development has sent out a number of signals:

1.Adjustment of population distribution pattern: In the future, urban development needs to pay more attention to the balance of population, resources and environment, and build livable cities and beautiful communities in order to continue to attract talents and capital.

2.Optimize the layout of urban functions: First-tier cities can improve the comprehensive competitiveness of cities by reducing population pressure, optimizing the layout of urban development, and realizing the separation of functional regions and division of labor.

3.Regional coordinated development: First-tier cities, surrounding areas and other cities need to strengthen regional coordinated development, realize resource sharing, complement each other's advantages, and build new urban agglomerations and regional economic cooperation communities.

In addition, negative population growth in first-tier cities may lead to a number of other changes and problems:

1.Urban hollowing: The population decline in first-tier cities may lead to an increase in vacancy rates in some areas and real estates, affecting the economic and social development of cities.

2.Population aging: A large proportion of the population loss in first-tier cities is young people and high-quality talents, which may lead to an increase in the aging of cities.

3.Pressure on economic transformation: The focus of development in first-tier cities is gradually shifting to high-tech, high-end manufacturing and innovative service industries, but this requires attracting and retaining high-quality talents and scientific and technological innovation talents.

Therefore, first-tier cities need to adapt to the new development pattern and needs and achieve sustainable urban development by optimizing the layout of urban development, improving the quality of urban quality and human settlements, and strengthening the introduction and retention of talents. At the same time, small and medium-sized cities also need to strengthen infrastructure construction and service upgrading to improve their attractiveness and competitiveness to meet the needs of population mobility and urban transformation.

The negative growth of permanent population in first-tier cities is mainly due to the following reasons:

1.High housing prices: Housing prices in first-tier cities are so high that many young people can't afford them and have no choice but to leave first-tier cities or rent a house, which has led to population loss in first-tier cities.

2.High cost of living: The cost of living in first-tier cities is relatively high, including food, transportation, medical care, etc., which is one of the reasons why many people choose to leave first-tier cities.

3.Serious environmental pollution: Environmental pollution problems in first-tier cities have always existed, and problems such as poor air quality and noise pollution have seriously affected people's quality of life, and many people choose to leave first-tier cities in search of a better living environment.

4.Fewer jobs: With the development of first-tier cities, many enterprises and industries have begun to move to second- and third-tier cities, and employment opportunities in first-tier cities have decreased, which is one of the reasons why some people choose to leave first-tier cities.

In short, the negative growth of the permanent population in the first-tier cities is the result of the comprehensive effect of a variety of factors, and it is necessary to work together with all sectors of society to improve the quality of life and attractiveness of the first-tier cities and attract more talents to stay in the first-tier cities of Zhaoshan.

Taking Hangzhou, Changsha, Chengdu, Chongqing, Xiamen, Xi'an, and Qingdao as samples, Caijing Magazine's Institute of Regional Economics and Industry Research, in collaboration with Deloitte's city benchmarking and investment platform, Industry-City Smart Chain, excavated and compared relevant data from the dimensions of economy, industry, innovation, employment, housing purchase, education, healthcare, commerce, and green space. If you leave Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, which city would you like to go to?

GDP and innovative industries herald the future of a city.

Among the seven cities, Chongqing, Chengdu and Hangzhou are among the top in terms of economic aggregate, showing strong comprehensive economic strength, with RMB2,789.4 billion, RMB1,991.7 billion and RMB1,810.9 billion respectively in 2021. In the same year, the total GDP (gross domestic product) of Qingdao, Changsha, Xi'an and Xiamen was 1,413.6 billion yuan, 1,327.1 billion yuan, 1,068.8 billion yuan and 703.4 billion yuan respectively.

However, from the perspective of personal income, Hangzhou, Qingdao, Xiamen and Changsha are better choices. Per capita GDP data shows that the data of these four cities in 2021 are 10,000 yuan, 10,000 yuan, 10,000 yuan, and 130,000 yuan, respectively. Chengdu, Chongqing, and Xi'an have 10,000 yuan, 10,000 yuan, and 10,000 yuan respectively.

It is worth noting that Xi'an's economic growth has slowed down. In 2020, due to the impact of the new crown pneumonia epidemic, the GDP growth rate of seven cities fell to about the same, and most cities experienced a growth rate of more than 8% in 2021**. However, in contrast, Xi'an's GDP growth rate will show a decreasing trend in 2019, 2020, and 2021, at 7% respectively.

From the perspective of the "troika", it is mainly consumption and investment that have dragged down Xi'an's economy in 2021. In that year, the total retail sales of consumer goods in Xi'an increased year-on-year, while the investment in fixed assets decreased year-on-year.

The data comes from ** public information, the same below.

In terms of industrial structure, among the seven cities, Chongqing's agriculture accounts for a relatively large proportion, Xiamen's agriculture accounts for almost negligible, and the proportion of the primary industry in 2021 is respectively. Xiamen, Chongqing, and Changsha have a high proportion of industry, with the secondary industry accounting for 41% in 2021. Hangzhou and Chengdu have a relatively small proportion of industry, and the service industry is relatively more vigorous, the former and the latter respectively.

In comparison, Chongqing is the least popular city among the seven cities with the lowest proportion of service industry, with the tertiary industry accounting for 53%.

Each of the seven cities has its own benchmark industry. In 2020, the top 5 industries in terms of total industrial operating income above designated size were sorted out, and the computer, communication and other electronic equipment manufacturing industries in Hangzhou, Chengdu, Chongqing, Xiamen, and Xi'an were more prominent, and all of them had representative Internet enterprises. For example, Xiamen has companies such as Meitu, Meiyu, 4399, Gigabit, and Meiya Pico.

In addition, Changsha, Chengdu, Chongqing, Xi'an, and Qingdao are more prominent in the automobile manufacturing industry. such as Chengdu FAW-Volkswagen, Volvo, Sichuan FAW Toyota and other factories; Xi'an has Shaanxi Automobile, BYD, Geely and other car companies; Qingdao is home to FAW Jiefang, SAIC-GM-Wuling, FAW-Volkswagen and other enterprises. Changsha's special equipment manufacturing and tobacco manufacturing industries are prominent, and Zoomlion Heavy Industry, Sany Heavy Industry, Hunan China Tobacco and other leading enterprises are prominent enterprises.

Be. Strong BR China News Service, Beijing, September 6 (Reporter Pang Wuji) Jin Jun, a partner of the management consulting department of international accounting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers China, pointed out in Beijing on the 6th that according to the latest research, whether in terms of size or development quality, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen are already China's veritable "super first-tier" cities, and they also have their own influence in the world. The report covers 42 Chinese cities.

China's economy is shifting from high-speed growth to high-quality development, and it is increasingly important to explore a sustainable development path that coordinates the economy, society and environment according to local conditions.