Ask a few questions about the situation in Syria

At present, Arab countries, led by Saudi Arabia and Qatar, are in favor of sanctions against Syria. Iran hopes that it will not fall, because there are only two countries in the world where the Islamic Shiites are in power, one is Iran and the other is Syria. The European Union, led by Germany, in the West, wants a peaceful solution.

I just want to say that the big picture of Syria is as safe as Mount Tai.

Here I want to talk about the Battle of Homs.

The Battle of Homs is still going on, but it can be said that the big picture is decided. In the first half of the Battle of Homs, the opposition's offensive was rampant, penetrating straight into Homs, trying to take this important town, and the Syrian ** army seemed to be very weak. However, with a series of diplomatic mediations between China and Russia, especially the United Nations veto proposal, the Syrian authorities have eliminated their worries, and at the same time, the real strength of the opposition forces has also been exposed in the offensive.

Without further external intervention, the Battle of Homs had reached the stage of purging.

It can be said that the Battle of Homs was a pocket formation laid out by the Syrian ** army, and it was a fairly successful example of the use of the art of war. How is it? Do you see the figure of a great man in a certain country from this tactic?

Did you see the figure of the giant standing behind Syria? After the battle of Homs, the situation in Syria has been reversed, which is why I say the battle of Homs.

Through the battle of Homs, we can see the general trend of the situation in Syria, at least the Syrian authorities will not fall. Syria is different from Libya because Syria has a firm presence behind it.

To be honest, I'm also concerned about this, my friend is from Syria.

A civil war began in Syria two years ago, between the Syrian Assad and the Syrian opposition. Syria's Assad is an anti-Western regime that has always had close ties to Iran and Russia. Therefore, this regime is seen by the United States as a thorn in the side, a thorn in the flesh.

The United States and Israel have always wanted to overthrow him because it would weaken the anti-American forces in the Middle East and cut off Iran's wings in the region. The main component of the Syrian opposition is the Free Syrian Army, whose backbone is a renegade from the Syrian army, funded by Western countries and their Arab allies, and is committed to overthrowing the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad.

The fundamental reason why the so-called United States wants to fight Syria is because judging from the current form of war, the Syrian army is winning one after another, and it will not be long before the Syrian opposition supported by the United States and others will completely collapse. In order to support the opposition, the United States decided to attack Syria** and thus turn the balance of the war. As for the excuse, it is the alleged use of chemicals in Syria that has led to the deaths of more than 1,000 civilians.

This is the bottom line of the United States, Obama once said that if Syria wants to use chemicals on a large scale, he will intervene, and the deaths of more than 1,000 people are already considered large-scale. But at present, there is not enough evidence that the chemical ** is used by the ** army, and even if the ** army uses it, who can guarantee that the opposition has not used it? Therefore, the key to the United States fighting Syria is to strike at the forces of the ** army and help the opposition to achieve victory, just like Libya, the so-called chemical ** is just an excuse to send troops to intervene.

Russia supports Syria because, first, Russia has a military port in Syria, and if the Syrian opposition takes power, this military port will be lost, which means that Russia's power will be completely withdrawn from the Mediterranean. Secondly, because of good relations, Syria imports a large amount of arms from Russia every year, which is Russia's arms market. If Syria falls into the hands of the opposition, the pro-Western opposition will certainly turn to imports to the United States.

The situation in Syria is now relatively relaxed, the war is not as fierce as before, the Syrian ** army is slowly advancing, surrounding the opposition in Idlib, the two sides are facing each other, and Bashar has hope of victory.

Syria has not yet stabilized, the situation in Syria as a whole is very complicated, and there is still a long way to go before there is real peace and stability.

As Turkey obstructed the fight against Kurdish forces and supported the Syrian rebels, the Turkish army has moved straight in, and the Afulin region of Syria has fallen into Turkish hands and is stationed there, and Syria will not be able to drive Turkey out of Turkey without strong external support.

There are still extremist terrorist organizations in Syria, and IS has not been completely eliminated, and it is still carrying out terrorist activities for the king in the Syrian battlefield, which has brought a lot of trouble and threats to the lives of the Assad regime and the local people.

There is also the Kurdish armed forces in Syria, which is a national armed force bent on independent statehood, with the support of the United States and other Western countries, it is a strong presence in Syria, in the face of Turkish encirclement and suppression, in the absence of a way, in order to survive the Kurds only compromised with Syria, if these two sides are not handled well, Syria's situation is still not good.

In general, it is now possible for the Syrian regime to achieve reunification with the strong support of Russia, but there are too many internal contradictions in Syria, the game of external powers, and the instability of Syria, and there is still a long way to go from real peace and stability.

From the perspective of the development of the world political landscape, the turmoil in Syria is a continuation and development of the changes in West Asia and North Africa. It is undeniable that these countries in the Middle East have encountered huge obstacles in their respective development paths due to imported inflationary pressures after the financial crisis, and the continuous sectarian strife of various political factions (Sunnis, Shiites) in the country has led to economic depression, low employment, social protests and mass violence. In any case, the situation in Syria remains a national development issue, an internal affair, not an international affair.

However, Syria's close proximity to Iraq, Jordan, Israel, Lebanon, Turkey and other countries echoes that of Iran, and its geographical location has extremely sensitive geopolitical overtones. Therefore, in the past, Syria has inadvertently played an extremely delicate and crucial role in regional affairs involving the sensitive nerves of the West, such as the Palestinian-Israeli peace talks, the reconstruction of Iraq, the counter-terrorism in the Middle East, the Iranian nuclear issue, and the Kurdish national issue. Moreover, to the great uneasiness of the Western world, the Assad family, which rules this geopolitical "battleground," continues to be a maverick that is incompatible with Western society.

In the face of the intensification of contradictions in Syria, Western countries naturally actively intervened, hoping to take this opportunity to promote change through pressure, and then achieve the goal of controlling the political situation and natural resources in the Middle East through the change of regime in Syria.

Syria is located in the Middle East, and how chaotic the situation in the Middle East is, to give a few examples, Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran, in such a place, it is difficult for Syria to stand alone. Moreover, the Middle East is very rich in oil resources, which makes many people very angry, and some countries will deliberately provoke wars and take advantage of the chaos to get a piece of the pie.

Even before the war in Syria, a country was already in economic trouble, and when a country's economy is in trouble and its people's basic livelihood is not guaranteed, it is easy to have problems. Syria is a country dominated by oil, tourism, and agriculture, and its economic structure is very homogeneous. However, in recent years, oil resources have been used less and less, the economic situation has become worse and worse, and the unemployment rate of the people has reached 20 percent, but the ** of daily necessities is rising, which makes many people resentful.

This kind of small country is basically a front line of big power wrestling, they really have no choice themselves, everyone wants their country to be stable, but you are in the center of that kind of geopolitics, there will be all kinds of different and continuous ** down to smear you, urge you to move forward, become a tool for big power wrestling, there is no way at all. Basically. The big countries do not want such a country to settle down, and they all say on the surface that they want to deal with it with their fists.

In fact, in the end, they will do all kinds of things behind the scenes for their own benefit.

Summary. Generally speaking, the Syrian ** army has basically solved the enclave of the occupied area, and in the future, with strategic depth, it can be rebuilt to a certain extent, and the existing opposition is mainly the Idlib region on the border between Turkey and Syria (it is Turkey's sphere of influence, because Turkey is sought after by the United States and Russia, it is impossible to fight directly), the opposition in Dara'a province (here is the sphere of influence of Israel and Saudi Arabia and other countries, and the outside world generally believes that it will eat the eastern opposition, and the west will be decided according to the changing situation), Kurdish-occupied areas ( In addition to resolving these opposition groups in the near future, there have been skirmishes in places such as Deir ez-Zor, and this is also a place where fighting can be fought in the future).

Hello, I have seen your question and am sorting out the answer, please wait a while

The war situation in Syria is still very close to the current situation in Syria in the near future, and Syria's struggle as the first line of squeezing Iran is still very fierce.

The Syrian ** Army's recent achievements can be said to be very eye-catching, since the end of last month, the opposition in East Ghouta, East Kamon, North Homs, Yarmouk and other places have been wiped out in turn, and some time ago, the bridge was destroyed and the media reported that the Syrian ** Army Tiger Force is moving to the Idlib area, but according to the latest consumption, the Syrian ** Army has gathered 40,000 horses to encircle and suppress the Dara'a opposition.

Generally speaking, the Syrian ** army has basically solved the enclave of occupying the lead demolition in the territorial area of Jianzao, and in the future, there is a strategic depth that can be rebuilt to a certain extent, and the existing opposition is mainly the Idlib region on the border between Turkey and Syria (it is Turkey's sphere of influence, because Turkey is sought after by the United States and Russia, it is impossible to fight directly), the opposition in Dara'a province (here is the sphere of influence of Israel and Saudi Arabia and other countries, and the outside world generally believes that it will eat the eastern opposition, and the west will be decided according to the changes in the situation), Kurdish-occupied areas ( In addition to resolving these opposition groups in the near future, there have been skirmishes in places such as Deir ez-Zor, and this is also a place where fighting can be fought in the future).

Then how long do you estimate the truce in Syria will be?

Hello dear, the situation is unstable now, and I can't jump to conclusions. Thank you.