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The economic crisis is the same as the layoffs in 97 98, and only doing network marketing is the best way out.
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Let's go to the sea... Chaotic periods are most likely to succeed.
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There is no such thing as the best job Only the best people can find the best jobs.
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With the recession, the following five industries will be the first to be affected.
The first is the non-essential service sector.
Service industries such as beauty salons, housekeeping, childcare, catering training, etc. Not to mention tourism.
The second is the equipment industry that produces various non-essential goods.
Various professional-level electronic products such as sound recording and photography.
The third is the various intermediaries and distributors.
In the incremental era, the brand side relies on the potential energy of various distributors in the local area to help them quickly open the market.
Therefore, it will give dealers enough profit margins. But in the age of stock. In order to stabilize their own revenues, brands will face consumers directly and form a competitive pattern with dealers. The era of eating big fat by earning the difference is over.
The fourth is the real estate industry and its related manufacturing industry.
For example, building materials, doors and windows, household hardware, whole house customization and other industries, as well as large appliances such as air conditioners, refrigerators, oil mill key hoods and other decoration, these industries will be more difficult in the future.
The fifth category is the light luxury slow smile brand.
The main customer group of affordable luxury brands is the middle class. As for the economic recession, the main recession is the middle class, and the economic recession does not have a great impact on the rich and the poor. For luxury goods for the rich, the impact is not great, and the rich are richer before they come.
The poor, on the other hand, have little spending power. And the brand of light luxury positioning will decline with the decline of the middle class.
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real estate and related manufacturing.
In the first half of 2022, the real estate market environment remained severe, and the domestic epidemic situation was repeated, the overall market size of the real estate industry declined, and the city's housing prices continued to weaken.
As of August 31, 169 listed real estate companies have released their 2022 semi-annual reports, of which 129 have shown a year-on-year decline in the net profit of Guichang Sales, accounting for a high proportion. According to whether it is profitable or not, there are 55 real estate companies with net profit losses attributable to their parent companies, and these companies have lost a total of more than 59.5 billion yuan.
The market demand continued to decline, and the overall sales of the related Suishan industry fell seriously; For example, building materials, furniture, doors and windows, household hardware and other industries, as well as household appliances such as air conditioners, refrigerators, range hoods and other decorative supporting household appliances, these industries will be more difficult in the future.
A brand of light luxury.
The main customer group of light luxury brands is the middle class, and the economic recession is mainly the middle class, which does not have a great impact on the rich and the poor.
Therefore, for the real luxury goods for the daily necessities of the rich, the impact is not obvious; And the poor don't pay a premium for the brand in the first place.
In the economic recession, the middle class loses its spending power, begins to downgrade consumption, and is no longer willing to pay brand premiums for these light luxury brands, so the brand of light luxury positioning will decline with the decline of the middle class.
Retail commercial market.
According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the total retail sales of consumer goods in the first half of 2022 decreased year-on-year. Among them, the national online retail sales increased year-on-year. Obviously, the development of brick-and-mortar retail is not optimistic.
The astonishing withering speed of physical stores can't help but make people worry about offline retail, and many netizens even say that physical stores have completely lost to e-commerce.
Winter in the retail industry is coming! Don't believe it, in the first half of the year alone, 4,700 physical stores were closed, such as 351 Metersbonwe stores! Semir closes 860 stores!
The most ruthless is the supermarket chain giant Yonghui, which closed 388 stores in 3 years, and its market value evaporated by more than 70 billion.
Non-essential services.
Beauty salons, housekeeping, childcare, catering, training and other service industries, the real profit of these industries is generally not a mandatory service with a low unit price like haircuts, but a high unit price and non-essential services, so these service industries will not be too good in the economic recession.
There is no doubt that tourism is also a typical non-essential service industry, and in the post-epidemic era, the tourism industry is facing huge uncertainties, which has caused a huge impact on both the upstream and downstream of the tourism industry.
In terms of the current predicament, the non-essential service industry is facing huge challenges in terms of supply and demand, consumption trends, weak financial support, and uneven regional development.
Middlemen and distributors.
In the incremental era, the brand hopes to rely on the local power of various dealers to help them quickly open the market, so the brand gives dealers enough profit margins.
The era of eating a big fat man by earning the difference has passed, and there will be no big dealers in the future.
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Recessions can affect different industries differently, but in general, the following industries are the most vulnerable to recessions: Mt. Dorsa Brothers.
1.Retail: A recession can lead to a decrease in consumer spending, and the retail sector could be hit. In tough economic times, people may spend less on everyday items and luxury goods, leading to a decline in retail revenues.
2.Tourism: Recessions can cause people to travel less and go on vacation, as travel and tourism are often the first to be spent on consumer spending.
Additionally, the recession may cause people to reduce business travel, affecting industries such as hotels, airlines, and tourist attractions.
3.Real estate: During recessions, people often cut back on buying, selling, and renovating their homes. In addition, due to the increase in unemployment, many people may not be able to pay their mortgage and rent, leading to a decline in the housing market.
4.Automotive industry: Car sales are often one of the barometers of the economy, and the automotive industry can be considered a guiding sign of the economy. The recession caused massive unemployment and lower wages; As a result, it will be difficult for people to afford and buy new cars, and the auto industry will bear the brunt.
5.Financial sector: The financial sector is often one of the sectors most affected by the large volatility of the recession.
During a recession, capital markets can become more volatile, with markets and almost all of the world's financial markets typically experiencing significant volatility. In addition, given that some financial institutions already experience long-term economic uncertainty, it often leads to the loss of financial jobs and layoffs during recessions.
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The industries affected by the recession vary from country to country and region to region. For example, a recession in a region may be more likely to affect its major industries. However, here are some of the sectors that recessions tend to be the first to be affected by the suffocation of oranges:
1.Real estate: During a recession, the real estate market usually takes a hit because people can't afford home prices. When the real estate market is corrected, the number of house sales declines, the scale of investment decreases, housing prices**, and various real estate and construction development projects are abandoned.
2.Finance: During a recession, banks and financial institutions may be exposed to risks, due to poor economic conditions, people's demand for borrowing declines, and users continue to grow, so that the profit of banks is greatly affected.
3.Retail: During the recession, the purchasing power of most people will decline and consumer spending will decrease, which will have a major impact on the retail industry.
The average consumer has been one of the key drivers of U.S. economic growth for decades. Their declining purchasing power means that the retail industry will have to reduce inventory and lower** in order to attract consumers.
4.Manufacturing: During a recession, manufacturing and industrial production were hit hard as people reduced their demand to consume groceries and other goods. This has led to factory shutdowns and layoffs, which have had an impact on the livelihoods of manufacturing employees.
5.Service industry: During a recession, people often cut back on unnecessary spending, such as services such as travel and dining. This will have an impact on the service industry, leading to a decline in business and layoffs of employees.
Overall, a recession will have an impact on all aspects of the economy, hitting a variety of industries, but the associated scenario is a bailout during a downturn, as the short-term banking system is saturated, leading to measures to make liquidity mandatory.
The United States is not an economic crisis in the short term, to be precise, it should be a financial crisis, some greedy financial institutions, but the people behind it have to pay, and through the U.S. bond market, the United States will issue additional bonds to increase debt, resulting in fluctuations in exchange rates and interest rates, and eventually its impact will have spread to the world to varying degrees and forms, and China has always been a large investor in U.S. bonds (looking for security and income for huge foreign exchange deposits, and to alleviate the pressure of RMB appreciation), the decline in the price of U.S. bonds, which has increased dramatically, will inevitably hit China's foreign currency investment on the books again, and the reduction in the liquidity of the people's money supply will also make it difficult for enterprises to operate, and slowly affect China's orders and exports; The decline in the growth rate of hot money flowing into China's capital market will also be indirectly affected through the ** housing market and commodity market, but what many experts are worried about is that economic growth is declining, while inflation is still (stagnant inflation).