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The United States is not an economic crisis in the short term, to be precise, it should be a financial crisis, some greedy financial institutions, but the people behind it have to pay, and through the U.S. bond market, the United States will issue additional bonds to increase debt, resulting in fluctuations in exchange rates and interest rates, and eventually its impact will have spread to the world to varying degrees and forms, and China has always been a large investor in U.S. bonds (looking for security and income for huge foreign exchange deposits, and to alleviate the pressure of RMB appreciation), the decline in the price of U.S. bonds, which has increased dramatically, will inevitably hit China's foreign currency investment on the books again, and the reduction in the liquidity of the people's money supply will also make it difficult for enterprises to operate, and slowly affect China's orders and exports; The decline in the growth rate of hot money flowing into China's capital market will also be indirectly affected through the ** housing market and commodity market, but what many experts are worried about is that economic growth is declining, while inflation is still (stagnant inflation).
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The impact, and multifaceted, has led to a series of changes in economic policy.
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First of all, the depreciation of the US dollar has caused a loss of $300 billion in China's foreign exchange reserves. I don't know if this figure includes financial** investments; The trend of globalization is so pronounced that it is impossible to do without impact.
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It's too difficult to talk about how long it takes, just as there are more and more Chinese people now, and the accumulation of funds is becoming more and more disorderly, and it is impossible to know the future policy regulation and control and its effects (as if the current policy is not very effective), and I don't know when the United States itself can recover, there are too many conditions
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There will definitely be an impact, but it won't last long, and the United States should be bailed out by funding, and it shouldn't be long.
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Of course! Pretty big, a year or more!
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The United States is the locomotive of the world economy, a big importer, and a big consumer, and the decline of the US economy is a bad event, even a catastrophic event, for the growth of the world economy.
1. The United States is the most deficit for most economies in the world, and many countries in the world are highly dependent on the U.S. market.
3. The United States is a global financial center, once the U.S. economy recession, it may bring the United States, if it is serious, it may affect the security of U.S. Treasury bonds, or there are huge variables in monetary policy, triggering a crisis in the global financial market, the subprime mortgage crisis began in the United States, but the Asia-Pacific region and Europe are more hurt, because the United States passes on the crisis.
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The main negative impact is in China's foreign trade exports and financial fields, but from another perspective, whether it is the macroeconomic situation or the development of small and medium-sized enterprises, the crisis may be a huge opportunity - to force China's export structure to upgrade, which requires the macro decision-making level to provide a buffer for China's small and medium-sized enterprises and large exporters.
Lian Jie, investment manager of China Galaxy Investment Management **** Investment Management Headquarters, said that in China's current environment where independent power is not sufficient, the living environment is getting worse and worse, and more powerful enterprises can be born in the process of industrial upgrading and industry combination.
On the other hand, the rigid domestic demand to support the industry is very worthy of attention, we are now domestic demand growth is not fast, but the basic key to this growth is rigid, will not suddenly become negative growth, such as agriculture, fast-moving consumer goods, these have good investment opportunities.
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The U.S. subprime mortgage crisis is a storm caused by the bankruptcy of subprime mortgage lenders, the forced closure of investments, and the violent response, which led to a crisis of illiquidity in the world's major financial markets. The subprime mortgage crisis in the United States began to emerge in the spring of 2006 and swept through the world's major financial markets such as the United States, the European Union and Japan in August 2007.
The U.S. subprime mortgage market typically uses a combination of fixed and variable rate repayments, where homebuyers repay their loans at a fixed rate for the first few years after home purchase, and then at a variable rate thereafter. As the U.S. housing market cools, especially short-term interest rates rise, subprime mortgage repayment rates have also risen sharply, and the repayment burden on homebuyers has increased significantly. This situation directly led to the failure of borrowers of large batches of mortgage loans to repay their loans on time, which in turn led to the "subprime mortgage crisis".
As the world's only superpower, the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States instantly affected the world's financial centers and some neighboring countries, and its scope was far from being limited to the subprime mortgage crisis, but spread to the entire financial industry. Although the current account deficit in the United States has been declining, it still accounts for about 6% of GDP, and because the United States consumes far more products than it produces, Americans are still one of the largest demands** in the rest of the world, and the sharp decline in demand has greatly affected the economies of other regions, causing panic in countries around the world.
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Inflation, economic downturn, business closures, massive job losses, and economic hardship reduce people's ability to pay and quality of life.
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Inflation, business closures, and economic hardship have reduced people's ability to pay.
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If an economic crisis comes, how will you survive it? I believe this is an issue that everyone is very concerned about.
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There have been two pieces of bad news for the global economy recently, one of which is the emergence of a mutant virus in the UKBlack Swan"Events, as a result of which there was a large ** in Europe; Second, the United States has also appeared in the United Kingdom, which has made the United States ** also appear rapidly**, although the magnitude of ** is not very large, but it has been affected to a certain extent.
If the U.S. economy collapses, the whole world will fall into itEconomic crisisï¼›However, relatively independent economies have a stronger ability to resist pressure, and China may be affected to a small extent, but European countries will be greatly affected, which may lead to the second European debt crisis. At this stage, the debt of the United States and Europe is already very high, and the scale of the debt of the United States is as high as one trillion dollars, and in such a situation, if the ** collapses, many people will go bankrupt, which appeared in the 30s of the last centuryThe Great DepressionOr it will be staged again.
The impact on our country is that exports will be greatly weakened, and the United States will continue to wage war against our country, but our country has a surplus.
On the contrary, it is getting bigger and bigger, so the United States has failed in the first war in recent years, after all, the United States has a light industry against our country.
There is a strong dependency on the product. If the United States were now mired in isolationism, it would be judged that the United States would be the former Soviet Union.
Because the manufacturing capacity of light industrial products in the United States is already very poor, most of them are in the technology industry and the military industry.
Therefore, the United States is inseparable from the Asian market. Now there is something wrong with the structure of the US economy, which is overly dependent on the service sector, but newCoronavirusThe pandemic crisis has devastated the U.S. service industry, as well as the U.S. culture and entertainment industryDigital economy
It can be said that if there is an economic crisis in the United States, North Korea will be the least affected, followed by China. The economic crisis will cause the United States to become honest, and our country and other Asian countries can develop their economies with peace of mind. Of course, the United States may provoke in our border areas, but if there is a real economic crisis in the United States, then the degree of dependence on China will also deepen, and the United States will ask China to help it alleviate the economic crisis.
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One will lead to a sharp appreciation of China's renminbi, leading to economic collapse, because global settlement is still dominated by dollars, if the U.S. economy collapses, it will inevitably print a large number of dollars, resulting in the status of the renminbi is not guaranteed, and it will also lead to the collapse of some industries, because many of our goods have to be exported to the United States.
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If the U.S. economy collapses, it will have a very big impact on our country, which will lead to huge losses in our national debt, and may also have an impact on some of our key technologies and imports.
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After all, the reason why our country can improve its economy is inseparable from the exchanges with each country.
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The United States is China's largest target, the U.S. economy is declining, confidence in economic expectations is reduced, and China's ** will be reduced, Chinese manufacturers will receive fewer orders, and the economy will also be hit. At present, many export-oriented enterprises have or are facing closure.
At the same time, the U.S. economy is declining, and China also needs to play a certain role in the stability of the U.S. economy, so as to avoid a further decline in the U.S. economy and a greater blow to our economy.
In addition to the economic aspect, China will have more or less influence in politics, policy, diplomacy and other aspects.
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There is no need for China to buy his treasury bonds if his economy is declining, and if he collapses, China can save the United States by buying his treasury bonds, but what if it still can't be saved? Do you need to add gold to make up for the lack of previous losses? After the warmth, it bites back What should you do Forget the elementary school text, the story of the farmer and the snake, we must also be vigilant against the help of American economic spies lurking in the ranks of economists in our country.