I want to know the rise and trend of coal in the past ten years, and I ask Daxia for help, thank you

I'll come to you, you can read my posts, I've been doing this.

The rise and trend of the past ten years, taking 2008 as the cut-off point, the further you go, the better coal will be, because the price of coal continues to rise, and those who make coal have made a fortune. Because of the previous coal harvesting plan and railway capacity restrictions, as long as there are first-hand and second-hand coal resources, they will make steady profits, and they are huge profits. For example, a friend worked in a mine in Changzhi in 2002, responsible for coordinating the sale of railways and coal to the port, with a monthly salary of 1,500 yuan.

In 2008, which should have been before the Olympic Games, due to many factors at home and abroad, coal prices suddenly soared, and finally a large number of coal nouveau riche were born. **Intermittent** By 2010, the coal price before the peak of coal consumption in the previous year and summer**, and the rest of the time was stable and declining. In recent years, especially since the end of 2012, all kinds of coal have continued to decline, the peak season is not prosperous, and the off-season is even more bleak, and most of the middlemen who do coal are losing money.

China is a country lacking in oil, gas and rich in coal, and its proven coal reserves account for the world's coal reserves, ranking first in the world in terms of output, and second only to Australia in terms of exports. Coal is in an absolute main position in China's disposable energy structure, and its downstream involves many industries such as thermal power, steel, building materials, and chemicals.

The fundamental reason for the continuous increase in coal prices is that China's coal supply exceeds demand and there is a large gap between supply and demand. Since the rapid spread of the new crown epidemic in the world, my country has performed well in epidemic control, and in the context of the epidemic control, China's factories have gradually resumed work and the economy has recovered rapidly. In contrast, the epidemic in some countries has not been well controlled, and some foreign factories have been shut down, causing a large number of orders to pour into China, resulting in an increase in China's energy consumption and electricity demand.

According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to August this year, the country's raw coal output totaled 2.6 billion tons, a year-on-year increase. At the same time, data from the National Energy Administration showed that from January to August this year, the country's total electricity consumption reached 5,470.4 billion kilowatt hours, a year-on-year increase. It can be seen that although raw coal production continues to grow, the magnitude is much lower than the growth rate of electricity consumption, and the prosperity of China's exports and manufacturing industry coupled with the unexpected growth of electricity consumption has led to a large increase in coal demand.

However, the state has accelerated the pace of phasing out the backward production capacity of the coal industry, which has limited the coal end and caused the current situation of coal supply exceeding demand. During the "13th Five-Year Plan" period, a total of 5,500 coal mines were withdrawn across the country, and more than 1 billion tons of backward coal production capacity were eliminated. Although the national energy administration and the National Energy Administration have recently notified that coal mines that have stopped production are allowed to resume production, the initial increase in production of coal enterprises is not good.

A large number of backward production capacity has been eliminated, while the new production capacity has not kept up in time, making the gap between supply and demand continue to increase.

Judging from the follow-up situation, coal ** will remain stable. As a major coal importer, China needs to rely on foreign imports when its own coal production capacity cannot keep up with demand. However, due to international relations and the impact of the epidemic, the import of coal has been restricted.

On the one hand, global sea freight rates continue to rise, resulting in higher landed coal shipments. On the other hand, Australia and Mongolia are the top five coal importers in China, and the number of Australian coal imports is restricted and the number of Mongolian coal customs clearance vehicles is at a low level, which further leads to a decline in the number of imported coal. Judging from the data released by the General Administration of Customs of China, from January to August 2021, China imported a total of tons of coal, a year-on-year decline.

On the basis of insufficient domestic production capacity, imported coal is also restricted, making coal in short supply, resulting in coal prices**.

The follow-up will definitely decline, because the state will control the sale and purchase of coal, if there is a market ****, then the state will take action to make the crazy coal ** decline.

The ** of the coal in the back should not drop too much, but it will not be too much.

I think the follow-up trend will be good, because the **in** of coal.

At present, it is the autumn and winter season, and the northern region of China is also in the heating period. It is not difficult to see the main reason for the recent thermal coal ****, that is, the ** on the chain caused by the change in demand.

Coal is known as pure black gold, industrial food, it is one of the main energy sources used in the human world since the eighteenth century, since the beginning of the twenty-first century, although the value of coal is not as good as before, but after all, for a long time coal is still one of the indispensable energy of our human production and life, coal is also related to the development of China's industry and even the whole society in all aspects, and the safety of coal is also the most important part of China's energy security.

The growth of coal stocks is mainly due to the fact that ** is in a bull market trend, which is characterized by the continued rise at the bottom, the rotation of plates, the rise in rotation, coupled with the high demand for coal, the influence of natural environmental factors such as coal transport vehicles. The chaotic chain of coal has also greatly improved the profits of coal companies in the entire market. In fact, the increase in profits is reflected in the share price.

The above are the reasons for coal stocks.

How can it go up?

1.Important good news: On A-shares, information will have a certain impact on **.

When there is important good news, it will attract a lot of investors to buy, which in turn will boost the stock price. For example, the successful asset restructuring, or the improvement of sales performance, turning losses and increasing profits, there is hope that ST will take off the hat;

2.Subject to market movements: Compiled based on share prices. **of** has affected ** to a certain extent**. When the market moves well, it is likely to be affected;

3.The end of the main opening position: When the main force opens a position and attracts funds through the main force, the stock price will quickly become an uproar, get rid of the ex-factory price, and start a growth trend.

As the temperature rises, the demand for electricity to cool down will gradually increase, but at this time, the peak of summer electricity consumption has not yet arrived, and the electricity load is in a rising surplus. Coking coal demand is likely to decline slightly.

At present, the total inventory of five major varieties of steel in major cities in China is still more than 18 million tons, and the downward trend of steel has not been reversed.

Anthracite lump coal demand will also decline. The peak of domestic agricultural fertilizer is far away, the market demand is declining, and at the same time, the international market urea ** continues to decline, coupled with the month urea exports are still implementing peak season tariffs, short-term urea exports are difficult to make a big difference. Due to the uncertainty of the international market, the export of urea in advance may also be affected.

On the supply side, it is expected that domestic raw coal production in June will remain basically stable on the basis of May. Since the beginning of this year, due to weak demand and low demand, domestic raw coal production has declined slightly, among them, from the three main producing areas of Shanxi, Shaanxi and Mengxi, from January to April, Inner Mongolia's raw coal output fell year-on-year, Shanxi and Shaanxi increased slightly respectively, and the rapid growth momentum of raw coal production depends on being curbed.

However, through a simple analysis of the ownership structure of coal mines, it is not difficult to see that the three provinces and regions of Shanxi, Shaanxi and Mongolia have one thing in common, the raw coal output of local state-owned key coal mines has continued to maintain a rapid growth momentum, and the raw coal output of local township coal mines has declined significantly. The reason for this is very simple: key state-owned coal mines and coal-using enterprises either have a relatively stable supply relationship, or have equity or operational ties, and local township coal mines are forced to stop production or reduce production due to the lack of stable sales.

In addition, coal imports are expected to remain largely stable. As domestic coal prices continue to fall, importers are facing increasing market risks, and the likelihood of imports continuing to rebound in the short term is greatly reduced. However, considering that the peak of summer electricity consumption is approaching, the purchase of imported coal by power plants or the landed volume of imported coal by power plants themselves will continue to remain at a high level.

In terms of coal types, due to the high level of coking coal inventories in major coastal ports, increased market risks, more cautious procurement by steel mills, and weak demand, coking coal imports may fall somewhat, and thermal coal imports may increase. Overall, coal imports are expected to remain stable in June.

**Aspect: It is expected that coal prices will continue to fall as a whole. In terms of thermal coal, due to the sluggish recovery in demand, sufficient supply and high inventories, ** still continued to fall; In terms of metallurgical coal, in the case of weak or declining demand, even if the amount of imported coal falls, it is difficult to change the current market supply and demand pattern, and coal prices still have some room to fall;

In terms of anthracite lump coal, affected by the decline in demand, ** is also likely to fall further.

Coal prices may remain low and stable.

By the end of the year, the impact of imported coal was too great.

On December 25, 2009, Shanmei Group took the lead in realizing the overall listing of its main coal business in the same industry in China. The business scope is new energy development; investment in coal and coke industries; storage, transportation and export of coal and coke and its by-products; Logistics information consulting services.

Xishan Coal & Power: Shanxi Xishan Coal & Power Co., Ltd. was established in April 1999 with the approval of Shanxi Provincial People's ** Jin Zhenghan [1999] No. 12. The business scope is coal production, washing and processing, power production and sales; mine development and design and construction; Production and operation of mining power equipment.

Lu'an Environmental Energy: The company is approved by the Shanxi Provincial People's ** Jin Zhenghan 2001 No. 202 document, by Shanxi Lu'an Mining (Group) Co., Ltd. as the main sponsor, together with Zhengzhou Railway Bureau, Rizhao Port (Group) ****, Shanghai Baosteel International Economic ******, Tianji Coal Chemical Group **** and Shanxi Lu'an Engineering ****, jointly initiated the establishment of shares**** on July 19, 2001. Except for the group company, which contributes capital with coal production and operation assets, the other initiators all contribute capital with monetary assets.

Yangquan Coal Industry: The company (formerly known as Shanxi Guoyang Xinneng Co., Ltd.), engaged in coal production, washing, processing and sales; electricity production and sales; heat production, sales, road general cargo transportation; equipment leasing; Wholesale and retail of automobiles (except cars), construction machinery parts and materials, etc.

Coal stocks have not been very active recently, so it is recommended to wait and see.