The epidemic has plunged the economy into a trough, which industry has been most affected?

The magical start of 2020 has allowed the hotel industry to spend the most deserted Spring Festival since SARS, because of the virus, everyone closed their doors, because of the epidemic, everyone canceled air tickets and hotels, and the days when the most family travel should be in the past have been covered with a layer of cold color. But I never think that the loss of the tertiary industry will continue forever - the industries of catering, tourism, and entertainment, which are eating, drinking, drinking and having fun, will all start again after the epidemic is over, and everyone will eat and play, and the industry will not be shaken at all. There will be a new influx of closed visitors, and the hotels listed for sale will also be taken over by new owners, although the hotel tourism and catering industry is miserable in the short term, but in the long run, these industries have not been shaken at all.

It's like having a major operation, and after a hundred days of breaking your muscles and bones, you're a good man again.

I have never been worried about the resurgence of the tertiary industry, I am worried about the real decline of industry.

Under the influence of the epidemic, only catering stores that do packaging.

Different from the tertiary industry, which is directly face-to-face with consumers, the industrial industry is a first-class chain composed of close links and mutual production. Just like the production of a computer, as long as one part is missing, then the first business of the whole line can only wait, and in the process, everyone stops. Industrial production is like a moving train, as long as it is still advancing, then the problem is not a big problem, even if there is a small problem, it can be fixed.

But once the train is stopped, if you want to restart, you need a strong boost.

The current epidemic situation is that most of the first-class merchants in Hubei have stopped production, but foreign countries are producing normally, and once China's first-class merchants cannot deliver, there will be manufacturers from other countries and other provinces on top. We assume that this replacement is temporary, and it can continue after the epidemic is over, but there is no guarantee that the products of the entire chain will stop being updated. Once the epidemic is over, and you find that the products you produce have lagged behind the entire ** chain and are not accepted by the market, then how can this train run again will be a huge problem.

In addition, the basic situation of China is that 62% of China's GDP comes from small and medium-sized enterprises, and more than 90% of small and medium-sized enterprises belong to manufacturing. At a time when the epidemic is still unclear, it is completely unknown how many small and medium-sized enterprises can survive the past. Not to mention that after two or three months of construction, it was found that it had been completely removed from the industrial chain.

Then it will not only affect this ** business or small and medium-sized enterprises, but also the downstream ** business of this ** business will also be out at the same time, interlocking, and the exit will be uncontrollable.

According to Academician Zhong Nanshan, the epidemic can be completely controlled by the end of March at the earliest, and assuming that most of the country resumes production in various forms within this month, this economic train can still rely on its spare strength to continue to move forward. Otherwise, even if it is not a disaster area, the consequences of continuing to stop work will be unbearable.

The epidemic is a once-in-a-century challenge for China, and the direct economic losses and indirect economic impacts are inevitable, and it is not as simple as hundreds of billions or one or two trillion. However, on a deeper level, there are also certain benefits for China.

The service industry, which is actually very dependent on human consumption, has a very big impact at present.

Personally, I believe that the first thing to hurt by the return of the epidemic is the catering industry. After all, the catering industry also earns money during the New Year's period of the year, and the first-level reason leads to many people with a strong sense of self-prevention and control, and if they no longer go to restaurants to eat, restaurants will lose a lot of money.

What industries will rise after the epidemic? Everyone's perspective is different, so the perspective is different, I think the following three points will rise in the post-epidemic industry, health industry, online office software, and unmanned services.

After the epidemic, people's thinking will definitely undergo earth-shaking changes, and some industries will rise like a black swan event. New investment opportunities in**? How can enterprises transform efficiently?

Let's do it!

1. Health industry

Health is a concern for everyone, which contains a particularly large consumer market, the Internet plus direct sales of health new model is gradually forming, the health industry will gradually lead the development of the economy.

Under the trend that everyone attaches importance to health, the development potential of the health industry has become a future trend, and a large-scale blue ocean market is brewing. The bigwigs have turned the rudder into the health industry, and some bigwigs said frankly: "China's future richest man must be in the health field."

2. Online office software

Alibaba is the main venue for online office, and on September 30, 2019, Tencent carried out the third major organizational structure adjustment after its establishment, and a number of products such as Tencent Cloud, WeChat Work, and Tencent Meeting have gradually entered the market. In the spring of 2020, Feishu, which only uses ByteDance internally, and Huawei's Welink, also quickly joined the battlefield, and Alibaba, Tencent, ByteDance, and Huawei quickly became the top four office tigers during the epidemic.

Judging from the long-term competition among the major giants. The genes, technology, and ecology behind it determine the ultimate winner. Although they develop differently, survival of the fittest, this is a natural law in competition.

Which giant can give full play to its own advantages and capture a bigger city is a question to be considered in the fierce battle.

3. Unmanned service

There will be new changes in the field of life services, and there will be no more waiters in the service industry in the future. In order to reduce the contact between people, unmanned services can also break through the limitations of time and geography, expand the scope of services, and effectively improve service efficiency by combining intelligent machines. For example:

Unmanned takeaway, in 2018, the first batch of drone delivery routes, using drone delivery, consumers place an order to receive takeaway, only 20 minutes.

In addition to unmanned takeaway, unmanned express delivery, unmanned delivery, etc., unmanned services will also penetrate into various fields of life services: unmanned car wash, mobile phone intelligent positioning, intelligent car washing machine, and unmanned restaurant, you can also order food from intelligent ordering machines, and analyze customer preferences according to historical ordering records.

In short, there will be many industries rising after the epidemic, and everyone and everyone will have different opinions and ideas. So the answer will be different

1. Fruit industry, at home at home fruit is also less, fruit is undoubtedly the safest, the most comprehensive supplement to the human body needs nutrients of the ingredients, in recent years the domestic market has appeared a number of fruit brands, committed to creating green, organic, safe fruit products.

2. Vegetable industry, vegetables contain a variety of minerals, vitamins and dietary fiber, which play an important role in the physiological activities of the human body, and vegetables are roughly divided into three categories: leaves, melons and eggplants, and roots; It can provide a variety of vitamins, in which many of the nutrients that our body needs come from the intake of vegetables, which are essential for ourselves to have a healthy body.

3. In the fitness industry, judging from the data released by the National Health Commission, the basic people who can be discharged from the hospital are in good physical condition, relying on their own immunity to withstand the fierce attack of the virus, and in the next two months or so after the emergence of special drugs, the strength of physical fitness has become the key factor of infected personnel.

4. The medical industry, the epidemic is coming, how to respond more effectively, quickly and accurately, is a test of the first health system, the national health system responded quickly to the epidemic, the whole country linked, reduced the Spring Festival walking, screening people, Wuhan imported personnel isolation and observation, and did a good job in the prevention of the epidemic, which fully reflects the institutional advantages of our country. Listed companies in the medical service industry deserve our attention.

5. In the food and entertainment industry, after staying at home for so long, I can finally come out to breathe, don't ask my friends out to eat, drink, make trouble, contact and contact feelings, and then sing a song after eating?

6. The tourism industry and the epidemic have gone to work one after another, and you can go out for a wave on vacation, bring the people you like, or go out to play with a good relationship with yourself, isn't life just eating, drinking, playing, and having fun, otherwise what's the use of earning so much money, do you say yes?

1.Health industry. Affected by this epidemic, people have paid more attention to improving the body's immunity and preventing and controlling infectious diseases, so they will invest in the health industry.

For example, treadmills, fitness clubs, swimming pools, fitness equipment, etc. There are also some drugs that can improve the body's immunity, which will also be favored by the market, such as effervescent tablets (which can supplement vitamins and improve immunity), as well as various health care drugs.

2.Business opportunities in the e-commerce industry have reappeared, and many people have begun to do e-commerce business on platforms such as **, Pinduoduo, and JD.com. In this way, you can not only make money by staying at home, but also take advantage of the opportunity of people who are reluctant to go to physical stores to make money through online means.

Of course, after the epidemic, there are more people who go to ** and Pinduoduo to open stores, and orders for homogeneous competition will be diverted. But it's at least a way to make money to support your family.

Third, the students of the third year of junior high school will have a great impact on the future high school entrance examination and college entrance examination, and if remote online teaching is implemented, this can maximize the use of the resources of excellent teachers, and can also share documents and interact with each other.

4.Mask industry. In the past, people did not use masks frequently, and even when the flu occurred, many people did not wear masks, but now everyone is vigilant, whether it is taking the subway or bus to and from work, or taking the bullet train or plane when traveling, and going to the hospital when sick, etc., they will frequently use masks to protect their own lives and the lives of others.

Moreover, the threshold for entering the mask industry is not high, and many people will invest in masks in the future.

Every time there is a major change in the world, it will bring great opportunities, ordinary people only see crises, but the wise see opportunities.

Turning disadvantage into advantage is the highest level of wisdom in the world.

Now affected by the epidemic, the global economy is stagnant, my country has experienced 40 years of rapid development, and it will take a long time to digest the *** caused by too fast development, such as real estate bubbles, such as severe financial risks and environmental problems, the previous era of making money by doing anything no longer exists.

During the epidemic, many industries are facing serious challenges, such as small and medium-sized companies, various physical stores, self-employed, unemployed people without skills, etc., so, as a long-term practitioner and observer in the direction of career planning, I will follow these industries or organizations will rise:

1. Professional skills training. Now there are a large number of real estate practitioners, K 12 off-campus education practitioners, as well as self-employed people who have closed down due to the epidemic, they are all facing changing jobs or re-employment, at this time, it is very important for them to have a skill, so training institutions for professional occupations such as electricians, welders, lathes, maintenance workers, network engineers, programmers, etc., will be on fire, and the demand will skyrocket.

2. Small featured entities. Throughout all the periods of economic weakness in the world, it is a good time for the entertainment industry to develop greatly, when everyone's money is difficult to earn, upset, stressed, need to be happy and entertained to relieve the pressure, many projects do not need to spend a lot of money, and the threshold is relatively low, such as special restaurants, taverns. As long as you are willing to study and research, combined with your own resources and expertise, ordinary people also have the opportunity to make money.

In terms of offline entertainment, script killing, tents, camping sites, and cross-country fishing grounds are all good choices, and the sales of tobacco and alcohol will definitely have a blowout.

3. Pension services. Especially for the elderly peripheral service projects, according to the data, the demand for jobs related to the elderly industry has increased by 50% this year, so like pension, caregivers, nannies, nutritionists, square dance teaching, pension planning, health consultants for the elderly, etc., with the growth of the silver economy, the future demand will be greater and greater, and friends who plan to transform can now plan and study in advance.

4. Short** and peripherals. For example, game companies, short ** platforms, and live broadcast platforms. There is also interest in e-commerce. Compared with traditional e-commerce, interest e-commerce is an inactive passive shopping behavior, and this kind of business based on big data search will become more and more common in the future.

5. Modern logistics services. High-tech industries such as unmanned retail, unmanned catering, and drone delivery will rise strongly, and there will be no waiters in restaurants in the future. Various distribution platforms and door-to-door service platforms. For example, vegetable distribution and customized catering distribution.

These are the industries that I have summarized that ordinary people can have the opportunity to achieve. Now the national policy must want to achieve the development from "quantity" to "quality", such as new energy, artificial intelligence, big data, 5G, cloud computing, chips, etc., these industries must be the biggest dividends in the next 10 years.