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The trend of liquor series** has always been a hot issue for stockholders. The liquor series has also continued to grow well, especially when Moutai's ** has grown to the point that everyone can't believe it. For the future trend of Moutai, it also affects the hearts of many shareholders. <>
We know that in the ** market, nothing is surprising when it happens. It is a liquor series that has been growing fiercely**, and it may also appear**. This is the law of market development, and it is also the inevitable development of things.
Of course, the factors affecting the rise and fall are still slightly different. Take the plunge of Wuliangye and Moutai as an example, the difference between them is extremely obvious. Wuliangye is a normal decline, while Moutai has more adverse events.
1. For the stock price of Wuliangye itself, the valuation of Wuliangye is quite reasonable. We all know that the seasonality of liquor is obvious, which also leads to the characteristics of seasonal gains in liquor stocks.
During the Spring Festival, due to the extremely hot sales of liquor, the stock price of liquor has also been promoted. However, after the Spring Festival, due to the sharp rise in the previous period, there was a situation of weakness. No matter what, in fact, there are peaks and troughs, ** the same.
When Wuliangye's stock price reaches the peak, it will definitely go to the trough for adjustment. <>
Second, although Moutai Moutai and Wuliangye are both liquor stocks, the gap between them is still obvious. Now Wuliangye ** belongs to normal liquor stocks, while Moutai should belong to luxury goods**. In such a situation, the factors that can affect the trend of Wuliangye ** have much less impact on Moutai.
The sharp drop in Moutai's stock price this time is mainly caused by the impact of major bad news. After all, the matter of "liquor academician" still has a great impact on Moutai.
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Wuliangye Moutai's share price has plummeted, what is the biggest difference between the two?
Thirdly, you need to run a simulation before you do the real thing, so that your losses can be minimized.
Fourth, it is necessary to have the basic knowledge of three aspects, and then continuously improve these knowledge in the process of speculation: one is the basic analysis method, the second is the technical analysis method, and the third is the risk analysis method.
Fifth, you should understand that there are still many irregularities in China's current market, so you should also have some technology for China's market, such as the problem and performance of making a bank, and the role and significance of stock evaluation.
Sixth, you should pay attention to both long-term and short-term analysis and investment training, and you can't learn all the financial knowledge just by doing it short.
Finally, you must know that there are some financial knowledge that cannot be learned through China's ** market, so you should step up your efforts to learn other financial knowledge in addition to **, which seems to be of little use to the current **, but it may be an important part of your future livelihood at home and abroad, and achieve huge benefits.
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The biggest difference is that although Wuliangye fell sharply, it was a normal decline, and Moutai's sharp fall was affected by adverse factors, so there is an essential difference between the two.
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Moutai's share price can be so high without the support of capital, the sharp fall is due to the sell-off of the largest foreign shareholding institutions, and the stock price of Moutai, which has been inflated, has fallen back from a high level under the departure of capital; The sharp fall of Wuliangye is due to Moutai's ** leading to the liquor sector**, and Wuliangye was dragged down by **!
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Although both belong to the same category of liquor, the biggest difference between them is the different raw materials.
The raw materials for the brewing of Moutai are red sorghum, wheat, and water from the Chishui River.
The brewing raw materials of Wuliangye are sorghum, corn, glutinous rice, rice, and wheat.
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Wuliangye transferred a lot of profits through related party transactions, so the performance of the joint-stock company looks worse than Moutai's, but in my opinion, Wuliangye now has investment value compared to Moutai.
There is also the fact that Moutai is a famous Zhuang stock, which is not interesting.
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They all went up to the sky, (
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1. Because Moutai is the leader, the annual profit is one-quarter of that of the liquor industry, which has been speculated by others. The purchase price of five taels of liquid is very ideal, which is seriously undervalued.
2. Looking at the history of 2 **, you will find Wuliangye.
There are far more transfer shares than Kweichow Moutai.
So, ex-rights.
Very powerful. 3. Moutai's operating performance is far better than that of Wuliangye, so the valuation given to Moutai by institutions has always been twice that of Wuliangye, depending on the price-to-book ratio.
In terms of the price-to-book ratio of Moutai, Mao Hongliang is more popular itself, and there are more relatively loyal customers than Wuliangye, plus speculation, the stock price has gone up, and some of them are overvalued! The reasonable price point in my heart is not so high.
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**Yes! It's all stories to amuse you!!
As for why.
Why is the stock price of Wuliangye Leasing Group lower than that of Moutai!!
That's just the need for the story!! The key is to return to the hand type!
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It is worth mentioning that since the stock price hit a record high on February 18, in less than 3 months, the cumulative decline has been nearly 28%, and the largest loss of Kweichow Moutai's market value is nearly 950 billion yuan, which is almost equal to the total market value of Wuliangye or Agricultural Bank.
Analyze <>
Regarding the recent pressure on the share price of Kweichow Moutai, a person from the economic community said: "The fundamental reason is that the overall valuation of liquor stocks represented by Kweichow Moutai is overdrawn, which needs to be ultra-high, and even drives the inertia of the entire market; At the same time, some investors took profits, or swapped shares, and the buying order increased, dragging down the ******. ”
Last**<>
The stock price continues to reach about 30%, which is rare in the history of Kweichow Moutai. It has only appeared four times before, from 2008, 2012 to 2014, 2015 and 2018.
Why did Kweichow Moutai suddenly plummet? <>
Although Moutai is the leader of the liquor industry and a profiteering industry, after all, the audience of the entire industry is shifting, and young people are drinking less and less liquor, and liquor has become a banquet standard from the daily consumption endIn the future, it will also shift from low-end consumer goods to mid-to-high-end consumer goods.
This bottle of Moutai is not grounded, but it is related to thousands of lives, and ordinary people can't reach it, can only occasionally look at the stock price, can't climb, can only hold your head high to look at the bottom of the bottle, when the bottom of the bottle can't see clearly, it will lower a point so that you can see the shadow.
In the artificially built veil of mystery, Moutai was torn apart by the farce of the liquor academician, revealing the prototype。The almost 3,000-year-old Moutai liquor has long deviated from the traditional brewing, which is really like blending, and blending is praised as high-tech.
Because there are fewer people buying Kweichow Moutai and fewer people drinking Moutai, the sales of Kweichow Moutai have dropped sharplyIf Moutai sells less and is not hot, the stock price will naturally plummet.
No kidding, let's honestly say that Moutai is not giving you a chance**, but let you have no bottom! There is no need to stretch out your hand, for it will be cut!
The profit of a single company seems to be growing, but the annual profit may be discounted, and a large number of wine companies will fall as the audience shifts. If it weren't for the institutional hype, and if Moutai wasn't hyped by middlemen, where would the rush to buy come from? Where did the market value increase come from several times or even more than ten times?
To put it bluntly, the previous huddle has overdrawn the performance expectations of the liquor industry in the next many years, and many of the poor performers have followed Moutai to fill the numbers.
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Human nature is always greedy, as a ** manager is no exception, years ago the institution is very optimistic about the group stocks, the market consensus view is that the institutional group stocks have a bubble, but will not burst, as a result after the Spring Festival, the bubble immediately burst, Moutai as the representative of the institutional group stocks began to **.
Moutai's share price reached the highest yuan, and since then it has been continuous, indicating that there are funds to complete the shipment. However, as a group stock, institutional shareholding is highly concentrated, and trading congestion is inevitable, after the stock price ** to 1900 yuan, ** funds and self-help funds resonate, Moutai stock price**, but ** is also very limited, institutional large funds do not dare to make times, stock prices choose to go sideways**, hoping to alleviate high valuations through time for space.
But the ideal is very plump, the reality is very skinny, Kweichow Moutai gave a quarterly report that is not as good as the market expected, the market funds are disappointed, northbound funds and institutional funds have shipped, Kweichow Moutai share price has been four consecutive negative lines, the trading volume is also gradually enlarged, indicating that some funds do not dare to insist, choose to leave, on May 7, Kweichow Moutai was net sold 100 million yuan by the Shanghai Stock Connect, 3 consecutive days of net selling, a total net sale of 100 million yuan.
Institutions and northbound funds have always insisted that Kweichow Moutai will have high growth, so they give Kweichow Moutai a higher valuation, but once the performance is not as good as market expectations, institutional funds will also face embarrassment.
Institutions also want to ship at a high level, but they are afraid of selling at a low level, and the stock price will continue to be the first after selling, so as to lose the opportunity to maximize profits, this tangled mentality is the same as **, no different, after falling, the stock price is in the first line of 2000 yuan, some institutions have suffered losses, and they are naturally unwilling to cut the meat and leave the market, but in the face of the rise of quarterly reports and cyclical stocks, institutional funds are not calm, and they choose to leave the market more, which is a very helpless measure, which does not exclude some funds to chase up and down. Sell Moutai to chase cyclical stocks.
Every investor, including institutions, wants to ship at a high price, but there are often errors in judgment and the best time to leave the market is missed.
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Not much. It's just that there are no festivals anymore, so Moutai's sales will naturally be **, which is determined by the demand of the market.
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The development of Moutai in recent years has been very good, and it is particularly normal to rise and stop in **, and the increase was particularly large some time ago, so it has started recently**.
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This is because the pricing is relatively high, coupled with the relatively small number of people who buy, so it is **serious** in the short term.
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The valuation is too high is one of the main reasons for the continuous decline of Moutai's share price, so its ** also has a big gap.
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Now the popularity is not so high, although it belongs to an old brand, but now there are more and more choices for everyone, so it has lost attention.
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This is because Moutai has recently been in the process of publicity and sales, giving people a feeling of using too much force, which is different from the previous brand. That's why Moutai has been in a downward streak.
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Wuliangye is not liked by consumers anymore, so its ** is much lower.
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It is difficult to say clearly now, because some stocks have risen very fast, but many old stocks have fallen very much, and it is very likely that they are affected by the epidemic.
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Mainly because there have been a lot of counterfeiting, and now there are many Moutai safety problems, and a series of formal tests have not been carried out, so Moutai is still in the process of investigation.
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Due to the impact of the new crown pneumonia epidemic, countries around the world are over-issuing currency, which makes the amount of funds in the entire capital market far exceed usual, so the entire economy is overheated to a certain extent, which also indirectly affects Moutai.
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Because Moutai rose too much during the epidemic, there were some inflated highs, and naturally it would definitely fall under a relatively stable situation
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Because there were many problems in their previous development, and the development was too fast, so there would be a reversal of things.
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Because Moutai has recently had serious quality problems, and there will be some fakes, there will be a price reduction.
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What's wrong? The previous rise was too outrageous.
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It is precisely because of Moutai's excessive ** last year that the stock price of the entire Moutai has a relatively large **, and the valuation of its whole ** price is also relatively high, so in order to better reflect the market value and stock price of the entire Moutai, so for the whole ** price of Moutai, there will definitely be a certain **, because for some people, they do not think that Moutai can continue to ** up, so it has led to a certain degree of ** in Moutai.
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Mainly because the valuation of Moutai is too high, and Moutai's recent profits are not very good.
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Because the price of Moutai is rising every year, it is getting higher and higher, and most of the wine sold is not drunk, but is hoarded in the hands of consumers, and there are many hoards in the market slowly.
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The main reason is that the sales of Moutai are not very good, and there are relatively few people who like to drink liquor now, which has also affected the production of Moutai.
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Maybe it's because the early ** is a little too high, that's why it's so powerful.
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Because this is actually a bubble, and after the end of the year, the demand for Moutai has decreased significantly, so Moutai's ** will decline.
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Because Moutai's stock price has been **, affected by this, the value of Moutai is also decreasing.
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Mainly because there are many fake and shoddy products in Moutai, which has a very bad impact on Moutai.
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Because netizens don't like it, netizens don't like it so much anymore, and it falls in price for the sake of sales.
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This Moutai is not a Moutai in the traditional sense, and it is now an academician-level luxury, although it is diluted and high-tech to make it look like a traditional Moutai. What's so strange about the return of value, it's not about the little people!
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