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The economic data of the previous month will be released on the 11th of each month, and it will be postponed on weekends and holidays.
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There are some official statistical reports. **The work report is not out yet.
According to the analysis of the report, for China's economy, the economic situation in the second quarter of this year is mixed: on the one hand, industrial enterprises are still in the stage of de-capacity, the growth rate of imports and exports has declined, and the ** level is still facing downward pressure; Other.
On the one hand, the growth rate of consumption has stabilized, the growth rate of investment has rebounded slightly, the real estate market has also released positive signals, and the employment situation is generally stable. Overall, due to the launch of a series of measures to stabilize growth in the second quarter, it is expected that the government will launch a series of measures to stabilize growth.
The quarterly GDP growth is about one percentage point higher than the first quarter report of NAES; Residents' consumption is moderate. It is preliminarily expected that GDP will increase in the first half of 2015.
Long or so, residents consume **** or so.
In the face of the annual growth target of 7%, the report of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences shows that in the third quarter, it is still necessary to strengthen the construction of major infrastructure projects, promote the construction of fiscal and tax management systems such as replacing business tax with value-added tax, and implement strong and proactive fiscal policies to prevent it.
Currency fluctuations caused by the precipitation of funds; implement a tight and moderate monetary policy, continue to cut the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates; Break down the institutional barriers that restrict the development of the private economy, vigorously support innovative development, and hedge the risk of downturn in economic growth. In stability.
Under the expected assumption that growth policies will increase efficiency and hedge downside risks, GDP growth in the third quarter is expected to rise to about the same level from the second quarter. With the policy strengthening after the third quarter, it is expected that the fourth quarter of this year will be economic.
The economy has rebounded, and the expected economic growth target for the whole year is still achievable.
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Hello friends! I'm not an authority figure, but I'm just expressing my personal opinion.
The first quarter of 2013 was positive, and this is expected to continue into the third quarter. Due to the improvement of the economy and the continuous improvement of the demand side, the CPI continues to rise, and it is estimated that around the third quarter, the state will control the CPI by moderately tightening monetary and credit policies. Therefore, in general, the economy is generally good before the third quarter of 2013, and there are downside risks in the fourth quarter, and the GDP growth rate for the whole year of 2013 is expected to reach 8%.
Reasons for judgment:1Steady growth is the keynote. The global economy is just showing signs of recovery, and the new leadership will try every means to ensure the steady growth of China's economy at the time of the change of leadership in China. Through investment in infrastructure, real estate, etc.
2.Liquidity is improving. According to the 2012** bank data, the number of new loans and the monetary aggregate both showed an upward trend.
Liquidity is a leading indicator of investment and GDP, so the improvement of liquidity means the improvement of investment in the coming period, thereby driving GDP growth.
Although the CPI rose more than expected in December, it did not trigger the expectation of national regulation. At the same time, the decline in PPI narrowed, which indicates the end of destocking and the recovery of demand.
4.With the expected recovery of the United States and European economies, it is believed that after China's foreign trade in December handed over a bright answer, China's export recovery will continue in the next few months will be a high probability event.
5.The growth rate of domestic demand is relatively stable.
If you have any questions, please ask, I hope it can help you.
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It's hard to say, but it's safe to say that the basic situation will not change. China will still guarantee at least GDP growth, and it is said that only *** GDP growth can maintain the current state of operation in China. As for the CPI that attracted much attention some time ago, it is still in the **channel, if it seems that the house price cannot fall at present, it will **......
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China's CPI in October was the same as that of the same period last year.
In October, China's PPI fell year-on-year.
In October, China's manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) was down one percentage point from the previous month, but still above the critical point.
Imports and exports increased in October, continuing the growth trend of the previous month.
In September, M2 increased year-on-year, with new RMB loans of 857.2 billion yuan.
In September, the scale of social financing was 359.8 billion yuan less than the same period last year.
The real estate development prosperity index in September was.
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As a rule of thumb, the economic report for the second quarter will be released on July.
However, there are already some official statistical reports. **The work report is not out yet.
According to the analysis of the report, for China.
In terms of economy, the economic situation in the second quarter of this year is mixed: on the one hand, industrial enterprises are still in the stage of de-capacity, the growth rate of import and export has declined, and the first level is still facing downward pressure; On the other hand, the growth rate of consumption has stabilized and investment has increased.
There was a slight rebound in the real estate market, and the employment situation was generally stable. Overall, due to the introduction of a series of measures to stabilize growth in the second quarter, it is expected that the GDP growth in the current quarter will be around the same as that of the NAES report in the first quarter. Residents' consumption is moderate. It is preliminarily expected that in the first half of 2015, GDP growth will be around consumer prices.
Grid ** or so.
In the face of the annual growth target of 7%, the report of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences shows that it is still necessary to strengthen the construction of major infrastructure projects in the third quarter and promote the construction of fiscal and tax management systems such as replacing business tax with value-added tax.
Implement a strong and proactive fiscal policy to prevent currency fluctuations caused by capital precipitation; implement a tight and moderate monetary policy, continue to cut the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates; Break down the institutional barriers that restrict the development of the private economy, and vigorously support innovation and development.
hedge against the risk of downturn in economic growth. Under the expected assumption that the policy of stabilizing growth will increase efficiency and hedge downside risks, the GDP growth rate in the third quarter is expected to rise from about in the second quarter. With the third quarter.
After the policy strengthens efficiency, the economy is expected to rebound in the fourth quarter of this year, and the expected economic growth target for the whole year can still be achieved.
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Horizontal comparison, plus year-on-year comparison of provinces. Inflation is usually taken into account.
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In 2010, China's economy grew by 10.3 over the previous year; In 2010, the national CPI was 3 3 compared with the previous year; 2010 PPI compared with the previous year**; In 2010, the sales area of commercial housing in China was 100 million square meters, an increase over the previous year; In 2010, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 154554 billion yuan; The per capita income of urban residents was 21,033 yuan, and wages increased; In 2010, the national tax revenue reached 7,739 billion yuan; China's total import and export volume in 2010 was 2,972.8 billion US dollars, an increase over the previous year. Among them, exports were 1,577.9 billion US dollars, an increase; imports 1,394.8 billion US dollars, an increase. Imports and exports were offset, with a surplus of 183.1 billion US dollars, down from the previous year; At the end of 2010, the balance of broad money (M2) was one trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase, and the new loans of financial institutions in 2010 were trillion yuan; The added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by one percentage point over the previous year, and the growth rate accelerated by one percentage point over the previous year; The annual investment in fixed assets of the whole society was 27,814 billion yuan, an increase over the previous year, and the growth rate fell by one percentage point compared with the previous year.
Among them, the investment in urban fixed assets was 241415 billion yuan, an increase, down one percentage point; The investment in rural fixed assets was 3,672.5 billion yuan, an increase and a drop of one percentage point. In urban investment, investment in the primary industry increased, investment in the secondary industry increased, and investment in the tertiary industry increased. In terms of regions, investment increased in the eastern region, in the central region, and in the western region.
The annual investment in real estate development was 4,826.7 billion yuan, an increase.
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The indicator to measure the development of a country's real economy is the manufacturing PMI, and this economic indicator takes 50 as the watershed, and below 50 indicates that the manufacturing industry is sluggish and the economy is sluggish; Above 50 indicates that there are signs of economic expansion. Since April this year, the manufacturing managers' index has continued to decline, and **, as the vane of the real economy, is also sluggish, falling from 2480 this year to more than 2100 at present. From the beginning of the economic crisis, our country began to adjust the structure of the economy.
It used to be exports, consumption and infrastructure. Now it is transforming into manufacturing, domestic demand and investment. However, at present, the manufacturing industry and the real estate market are sluggish, although the country said to relax the credit policy, but a lot of capital still flows into the credit market, and the country's economic pillar private enterprise manufacturing industry can not borrow, employment has not improved, so now the country's economy is still in a very sluggish stage, and it will last for a long time.
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