What will be the future development trend of automobiles, who knows?

The future development trend of automobiles-- The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China is increasing year by yearIn recent years, with the popularization of new energy vehicles in China and the policy incentives of the state and provinces for new energy vehicles, coupled with the license plate control of traditional fuel vehicles in super first-tier cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, the development of new energy vehicles in China has been promoted, and the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China has also increased from 2015 to 2020.

-- The use of new energy vehicles is more affordableCompared with traditional fuel vehicles, the use of pure electric vehicles** is cheaper, which promotes the increase in the penetration rate of new energy vehicles. According to the fuel consumption of traditional fuel vehicles per 100 kilometers about 7-8 liters, 92 gasoline 7 liters to calculate, the fuel consumption of traditional fuel vehicles per 100 kilometers ** is about 49-56 yuan, plus 97 gasoline models ** will be higher, and the power consumption of pure electric vehicles is calculated by commercial electricity prices, about 13 yuan per 100 kilometers, and according to the calculation of civil electricity yuan, the power consumption of pure electric vehicles per kilometer is about yuan. Therefore, many car owners who pursue affordable vehicles have replaced their fuel vehicles with more affordable new energy vehicles to reduce the cost of use, which has promoted the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China to a certain extent.

On the whole, under the incentive of multiple policies in China and various provinces and cities, the use of new energy vehicles is more affordable, so that many car owners will replace new energy vehicles in order to save money. Promoted by various factors, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China will be further improved in the future.

In the short term, it is a new energy vehicle, and in the long run, it should develop into the air, and the ground is too crowded.

The future development trend of the automobile is an energy-saving, new energy vehicle.

It is mainly developed in the direction of new energy, pollution-free, high energy saving, high protection, and artificial intelligence.

The future development trend of automobiles is as follows:

1. Driverless cars.

In recent years, "driverless" and "autonomous driving" have become hot words in the industry, and the industry expects to create a car that can complete driving operations autonomously without the need for human intervention by the driver, at least in certain driving environments.

Today, companies are racing to develop driverless cars. Driverless cars in the true sense of the word will be a new product that will disrupt the industry. However, at least for the next decade, it will not be possible to achieve universal acceptance and mass production, because there is still a need to build a supporting interconnection infrastructure and develop advanced technologies such as V2V.

2. Artificial intelligence.

Automakers will equip their in-vehicle infotainment systems with artificial intelligence software that will be used as virtual personal assistants that can respond to voice commands and guide the driver to navigate the human-machine collaboration between the driver and the navigation system. According to the most optimistic estimates, car companies will not introduce models equipped with AI interfaces until 2019 or 2020.

With the application of sensors and other data acquisition devices, artificial intelligence will play an important role. Some models already use AI to achieve Level 3 autonomous driving, but there are still a number of significant improvements to be made in relation to vehicles and infrastructure to achieve SAE's Level 5 autonomous driving.

3. On-board information communication system (telematics).

4. Vehicle-to-vehicle connectivity.

V2V technology has great potential to help vehicle collision avoidance, alleviate traffic congestion, and improve the traffic environment.

Vehicle-to-everything (V2X) technology enables vehicles to communicate with intelligent traffic lights, and it is expected that by 2023, all new vehicles on sale will be equipped with V2V technology. It is estimated that the full configuration of V2X technology should also follow.

5. a sensor.

Innovative sensors monitor and control vehicle operations, laying the foundation for autonomous driving technology and sharing the vital data it needs. LiDAR, radar, cameras, and ultrasonic devices are all examples of sensors that can significantly improve vehicle safety, cybersecurity, and vehicle maintenance costs. Today, researchers are working to combine sensors with artificial intelligence and connected car technologies.

New energy vehicles are growing against the trendFrom 2016 to 2020, the production and sales of new energy vehicles in China are in a fluctuating growth trend. Since 2014, China's new energy vehicles have begun to grow, and 2019 is the first time that new energy vehicles have ushered in negative growth, mainly due to the switch from China V to China VI emission standards in 2019, which triggered the price reduction and sell-off of China V displacement inventory vehicles by automobile sales manufacturers.

In 2020, the production and sales of new energy vehicles in China will rebound again. In 2020, the output of new energy vehicles in China will be 10,000 units, an increase from 2019; In 2020, China's new energy vehicle sales will reach 10,000 units, a year-on-year increase from 2019.

China has become the largest market for new energy vehiclesChina is currently the world's largest market for new energy vehicles. In 2019, China's new energy vehicle market share in the global market was one percentage point higher than that of Europe, which ranked second.

The automotive industry is in a period of transition. It is mainly in the transformation to the "four modernizations" of electrification, intelligence, networking and sharing. At present, BYD has announced that it will not produce gasoline vehicles.

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The prospects for the automotive industry are very good. 1. The next five to ten years will be a critical period for China's automobile industry to make full use of domestic and international resources and open up domestic and international markets. Purely from the fierce competition in the domestic market, the expectation of the development prospects and profit level of the industry is significantly underestimated. Second, since the beginning of the new century, with the accession to the WTO and the high growth rate of the domestic economy, the demand for automobiles has maintained a considerable heat.

With the economic growth and the improvement of international competitiveness, commercial vehicles are growing steadily and the market competition structure is becoming reasonable. The combination of a sharp decline in passenger cars** and an increase in per capita income has led to a rapid increase in demand. Third, due to the obvious improvement in the proportional relationship between labor, capital and technology, China's competitive industries and value chain links have been expanding. For high-end manufacturing industries such as automobile manufacturing, which are technology-intensive, capital-intensive and labor-intensive, China has initially been able to undertake industrial transfer and may achieve rapid improvement in competitiveness.

The market share of Chinese brand passenger cars has increased significantly

In 2021, the sales volume of Chinese brand passenger cars will be 10,000 units, a year-on-year increase; The market share increased by one percentage point compared to 2020.

The sales volume of the top seven enterprises all increased

In 2021, among the top 15 enterprise groups in terms of sales of Chinese brand automobiles, SAIC Motor ranked first, with sales of 10,000 units, a year-on-year increase; In second place is Changan Group, with sales of 10,000 units, a year-on-year increase; Geely Automobile ranked third, with sales of 10,000 units, a year-on-year increase.

In 2021, the market share of Chinese brands increased significantly to 1 percentage point in all segments of the market. In addition, the market share of both U.S. and French cars has increased.

In 2021, among Chinese brand passenger car companies, SAIC Motor will still rank first in terms of sales, with passenger car sales of 10,000 units, a year-on-year increase; In second place is Geely Group, with passenger car sales of 10,000 units, a slight increase; Changan Group ranked third, with passenger car sales of 10,000 units, a year-on-year increase.

The automotive industry has a high degree of market concentration

In 2021, the total sales volume of the top 10 enterprise groups in automobile sales was 10,000 units, a year-on-year increase, accounting for a percentage point of total automobile sales, compared with the same period in 2020. On the whole, the market concentration of China's automotive industry is relatively high, with CR3 and CR5 reaching. However, the market concentration of the industry will decline in 2021, indicating that the brand competition in China's automotive industry is becoming increasingly fierce.

Overall, in China's auto brand market, the market pattern is relatively stable. The position of leading enterprises is stable, and the market concentration of the industry is stable and decreasing.

The above data refers to the Prospective Industry Research Institute"Analysis Report on the Demand Prospect and Investment Strategic Planning of China's Automobile Manufacturing Industry".

The future development trend of automobiles is unmanned driving, artificial intelligence, and sensors. With the policy orientation of double credits and dual carbon goals, there is no doubt that new energy vehicles are the general trend of future travel. At present, electric vehicles are mainly divided into pure electric, plug-in hybrid, extended-range hybrid, and so on.

Whether it is "Wei Xiaoli", which firmly controls the first echelon of new energy, or "Shuangtian", which dominates hybrid technology, we can see that more and more new energy models are sought after by consumers.

First of all, let's take a look at the pure electric model, the advantage of electric vehicles is first of all to save energy, the emission of electric vehicles is almost 0, on the other hand, the cost of electric vehicles is lower than other types of cars, because there is no engine, gearbox, no need to change the oil, filter, transmission oil and other maintenance costs are relatively low.

Advantages of new energy

Extended-range hybrid vehicles solve the problem of range anxiety to a certain extent. Let's first take a look at what a range-extender hybrid is. The extended-range hybrid is based on the pure electric vehicle and adds a set of fuel engine + generator as a range extender.

When the battery is sufficient, the vehicle is powered by the power provided by the battery, and when the power level falls below a certain value, the range extender starts to work to power the battery. The internal combustion engine is not used as the power to drive the vehicle**, but only for power generation.

The advantage of this is that when driving at a constant or low speed, the speed of the engine is not affected by the speed of the vehicle, and it can be kept in the highest thermal efficiency range to work, providing electric energy, so as to save fuel. However, when driving at high speeds, when the power consumption is higher than the power supply, the engine has to increase the speed and increase the output power to meet the power requirements, which will inevitably lead to an increase in fuel consumption.

Considering the actual travel needs and car usage of consumers, I believe that PHEV models are currently the best solution in the electrification era compared to pure electric vehicles and extended-range hybrids.

Like several Lynk & Co PHEV models, plug-in hybrid models inherit the mechanical qualities of gasoline vehicles, and by introducing electric drive, they can achieve better fuel consumption, emissions and drivability at a lower cost. Compared with pure electric vehicles, it also solves the problem of range and range anxiety.

The principle of automobile purchase (motorvehiclebuyingguide) is applicable, safe, environmentally friendly, economical and efficient. Due to the wide range of use of automobiles, cars used in different occasions will also have different requirements. Cars, buses, trucks and special purpose vehicles are used differently, and the focus in the purchase process is not exactly the same.

Sedans are the most widely used models with the largest number of cars and can be used as official cars, city taxis and family cars.

It is necessary to consider the reliability, fuel economy, environmental friendliness and efficiency of the car. If the reliability of the car is too low, it will seriously affect the normal operation of the taxi; If the fuel economy is poor, it will not only increase the financial burden of taxi rentals, reduce their actual income, but also be detrimental to environmental protection. As a kind of car for the purpose of operation, taxi efficiency is the most effective means to ensure the vital interests of the lessee.

All of the above principles should be carefully considered when buying a car. First of all, the main purpose of buying a car should be clarified, and the one-time cost of buying a car should be reduced as much as possible on the premise of meeting basic travel needs. With the continuous rise of international oil prices, the domestic fuel will only get higher and higher, buy a fuel-efficient economic car, not only save the one-time car purchase cost, but also lay the foundation for reducing the cost of the car, but also effectively protect the environment.

The development trend of automobiles is intelligence.

It is foreseeable that with the rapid development of automotive electronic technology, the new technology of automotive intelligence will be gradually applied in the future, which will make the operation of the car seem to be simpler and simpler, its power performance and economic performance are getting higher and higher, and the safety performance of driving is getting better and better.

The automotive industry is in a period of transition. It is mainly in the transformation to the "four modernizations" of electrification, intelligence, networking and sharing. This transformation began in the U.S. market, especially in the 90s of the last century, with GM launching pure electric vehicles as the pioneer, and later Tesla as the pioneer of new car manufacturers to promote the development of electric intelligent networked vehicles.

In 2009, China began to implement the "10 cities, 1,000 vehicles" plan to promote pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids.

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