What is the inevitability of history, and is there an inevitability in history?

Your history** may have been overlooked. There is no necessity in history, some are just people's choices, and of course, there are some objective conditions that have predictable results for the progress of history, but they can only be said to be possible, and there is no necessary causal relationship. There was never only one road.

Yes, but there must be sufficiently mature conditions and circumstances for the inevitability to arise.

Historical inevitability points out that it is inevitable for a society to develop into a certain state under certain historical conditions. Whether it is chance or inevitability, it is all about conditions. If the conditions are not fully developed, then the inevitable results will not appear.

For example, I can say that "humanity is bound to perish", but at least not for a short time.

Ancient China did not develop science, to be precise, it should be called "no modern science", here the reference of "science" is the modern "science" of the West, we take Newton and others to focus on the analysis and experiment of science to look at ancient China, it is true that we do not have "science".

However, in terms of science in a broad sense, the ancients have made remarkable achievements: in agriculture, there are works such as "The Book of Victory", "Qi Min's Technique", Wang Zhen's "Book of Agriculture" and "The Complete Book of Agricultural Administration"; Astronomy, we have the "Ganshi Xingjing" of the Warring States Period, and the number of astronomical phenomena such as solar and lunar eclipses recorded in ancient China is also the largest in the ancient world, and the calendar is quite precise.

The "Compendium of Materia Medica" in medicine, the "Nine Chapters of Arithmetic" and "Zhou Ji Sutra" in mathematics, the "Notes on the Water Classic" and "Xu Xiake's Travels" in geography, as well as the comprehensive scientific and technological work "Tiangong Kaiwu", etc., all prove the glorious achievements of ancient science.

From the above, we can see that the scientific progress of ancient China was an inevitability, but due to the lack of certain conditions for moving towards modern science, there was no breakthrough in the so-called modern period in the West, and "modern science" like the West was produced. The "Needham problem" is a problem that ancient China did not develop modern science because of the lack of conditions.

The inevitability of history is determined by the development of history itself, and history is developing, because the world is in motion and cannot be immutable, so any historical change has its inevitability.

Historical materialism puts forward the concept of "historical inevitability", which has always occupied a very important position in the analysis of social development: the emergence of human society is a historical inevitability, the development of society is a historical inevitability, and the demise of the old system and its replacement by the new system are also historical inevitability.

Obviously, "historical inevitability" is actually a concept put forward by historical materialists to explain the direct determinants of social development.

In terms of practical meaning and content, historical inevitability includes two meanings: one refers to the fact that some historical phenomena conform to the law of determination, which we call the law of historical necessity; The second is that all historical phenomena conform to the law of cause and effect, which we call historical necessity cause and effect.

Historical inevitability points out that it is inevitable for society to develop to a certain state under certain historical conditions, and historical inevitability is actually the manifestation of man's subjective initiative in social development, the result of the interaction between subject and object, man and society, and the product of the spiritual quality of members acting on the basic conditions of society and imploding into its practice.

The cyclical law of history refers to the cyclical phenomenon that the regime of any country in the world will experience the rise and fall of chaos, and the reciprocating cycle presents. Extreme injustice leads to the collapse of society, leading to a new relative fairness, and the cycle repeats.

In history, only China has the cyclical law of the rise and fall of dynasties, and many people must be able to memorize the songs of dynasties. Xia, Shang, Zhou, Qin, Western and Eastern Han dynasties, Three Kingdoms, two Jin and Northern and Southern Dynasties, Sui and Tang dynasties, five dynasties and ten kingdoms, Liao, Song, Xia, Jin, Yuan, Ming and Qing dynasties. Many of these dynasties could not get rid of the fate of rising and falling for about three hundred years, so it is called the periodic law of the rise and fall of dynasties, or the periodic rate.

The former refers to regularity, and the latter refers to frequency.

The Cyclical Law of History (1) Why does the cyclical law of the rise and fall of dynasties only exist in China?

For the analysis and answer of the periodic law of dynastic change, there are many famous dialogues, books, comments, etc., many of which involve political needs, basically slandering the previous dynasty and singing about the current dynasty, so I will not discuss them one by one here. First of all, let's start from the essence of dynasties and see what is the nature of dynastic succession? Secondly, we can look at the differences between the East and the West caused by this nature, and finally we can come to an answer that conforms to the law of historical development and the logic of the development of things, without any political position.

Dynasty means dynasty, court, and refers to the era in which a country was ruled by a certain family in history. It can be seen that the essence of a dynasty is actually a state power. The so-called dynastic change refers to the collapse and reconstruction of a country's power.

So, what caused the collapse and reconstruction of state power? Why did the countries of the Western world not collapse and rebuild state power in ancient times?

The premise of the collapse and reconstruction of state power is that the state still exists, and without the state, there will be no state power, and there will be the collapse and reconstruction of the regime. From this, the differences between East and West can be clearly seen.

Historically, the Western world, or all civilized countries outside the Chinese civilization circle, arose relatively late and existed for a very short time. There are many such examples, let's go through them one by one.

In the era of river settlement, the civilization of the same era as the Xia, Shang and Zhou dynasties was the ancient Egyptian civilization and the Lianghe civilization, the ancient Egyptian civilization formed a large unified empire, and the Lianghe civilization was a collection of Sumerian civilization, Babylonian civilization and Assyrian civilization.

After entering the east-west expansion stage of the era of continental expansion, the Assyrian Empire unified the two major civilization regions of the Two Rivers Civilization and the Ancient Egyptian Civilization, but its existence was short-lived. Soon after the unification of the Assyrian Empire, the national wealth saturated collapsed, and the various ethnic groups in the country were at war.