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The serious aging of the population will reduce the labor force in society, make it difficult for the elderly to see a doctor, reduce social vitality, and increase the pressure on public finances.
On September 20, 2022, the National Health Commission stated at a press conference that it is expected that by 2035, the number of elderly people over 60 years old in China may exceed 400 million, and they will enter the stage of severe aging. With the increasing aging of the population, problems in all aspects are constantly emerging.
Reduced workforce.
The problem of aging is serious, and the biggest problem is the reduction of the labor force in society. The number of working people who can adapt to the age required by enterprises is decreasing, especially now that most young people do not want to get married early, or even do not want to get married, resulting in the population growth rate is slowing down, while the number of elderly people is increasing, and the number of young people who can really meet the needs of enterprises can be said to be decreasing day by day.
It is difficult for the elderly to see a doctor.
Now most of the young people are post-80s, post-90s, almost all of them are only children, and they need to take care of 4 old people after marriage, and even take care of their own children, so the burden of old-age care is very large. For the elderly, it is difficult for their pension or pension life to ensure their normal life, once there are certain diseases, it is difficult to see a doctor, and a series of problems such as expensive medical treatment will appear.
The pressure on public finances has increased.
When a certain retirement age is reached, the relevant personnel can receive part of the pension, but at the same time, for some elderly people, they need to provide certain expenditures in medical insurance, social services and pensions, which to a certain extent undoubtedly adds a lot of pressure to the social public finance. Nowadays, the elderly over 80 years old need to pay them a certain amount of old age allowance every month, and with the increasing aging problem, the financial expenditure is increasing.
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If the aging is serious, there will be more and more elderly people, and there will be fewer and fewer young people, and the burden of pension for young people will be heavier.
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Then the aging is likely to cause the problem of old-age care, as well as the burden on society and the problem of labor shortage to society.
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It may bring a lot of problems, such as the employment of the elderly, the problem of pension for the elderly, and so on.
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According to the National Population and Development Plan (2016-2030), the projection of ageing is that 25% of the population over 60 years old will be over 60 years old in 2030. This figure is on the optimistic side.
Now the proportion of the population over 60 years old is. The age structure of the population is expected to be more pessimistic than in previous figures.
In 2035, the population over 65 years old will reach more than 25%, and the proportion of China's elderly population is close to the current situation in Japan (the proportion of people over 65 years old is normal.
Introduce. On May 11, 2021, the results of the seventh national population census showed that China's population aged 60 and above accounted for more than 18%, and the degree of population aging has further deepened. In November, the "Opinions of the Communist Party of China on Strengthening the Work on Aging in the New Era" was released.
The "Opinions" proposes that by the end of 2025, each county (city, district, banner) will have one county-level support service institution for the extremely poor with the function of combining medical care and elderly care.
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In 2023, the number of elderly people in China will exceed 300 million.
According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, by the end of 2020, China's elderly population aged 60 and above had reached 100 million, accounting for 100 million of the country's total population. According to the trends of birth rate, mortality rate and migration rate of the Chinese population, it is expected that by 2023, China's elderly population will exceed 300 million.
The increase in the elderly population will have a profound impact on socio-economic development and medical security. First of all, the increase in the elderly population will further aggravate the pressure on social pensions. China's pension system is not perfect enough, and the increase in the elderly population will exert great pressure on the social pension security system.
Secondly, the increase in the elderly population will also have an impact on health care. As the elderly age, their physical health will gradually deteriorate, requiring more medical resources and services. This will also pose a huge challenge to the Shixiang lead system, a medical security system searched for in China.
The effects of aging
In addition to the impact of the increase in the elderly population on socio-economic development and medical security, the increase in the banquet gap for the elderly will also have an impact on family life. The increase in the elderly population will make family life more difficult. Family members need more time and energy to care for the elderly, which can have an impact on the family's life and work.
At the same time, the physical condition of the elderly will also have an impact on the family economy and increase the financial burden of the family.
In response to the increase in the elderly population, we need to take a series of measures to deal with it. First of all, we need to strengthen the construction of the social old-age security system, establish a more perfect old-age security system, and improve the quality of life of the elderly.
Second, we need to strengthen the construction of the medical security system, establish a more complete medical security system, and provide better medical services for the elderly. Finally, we need to strengthen the support of family life, provide more help and support for families, and reduce the burden on families.
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I think the whole society needs to establish effective old-age security measures to effectively ensure the quality of life of the elderly in their later years.
To a certain extent, if the number of elderly people increases, this phenomenon will not only increase the burden of pension for the whole society, but also increase the social burden of young people. For the elderly, because the elderly themselves do not have the corresponding ability to work, and some of the elderly even have some underlying diseases, we first need to ensure the basic material life of the elderly, and at the same time, we also need to find ways to ensure the spiritual life of the elderly. <>
What's going on with this data?
With the further acceleration of our aging problem, by 2040, the number of people over 60 years old in China will reach 100 million. This is a very exaggerated concept, because it means that 1 3 of our population will be over 60 years old. And for young people, young people may need to take on greater social responsibilities, while also actively caring for the elderly.
We need to establish cost-effective pension security measures.
From my personal point of view, we need to deal with the problems of a moderately aging society in advance, and we need to establish corresponding pension security measures in advance. We should not only pay attention to the quality of life of the elderly in urban areas, but also further expand this scope to all elderly people. Especially for the elderly in rural areas, we need to supplement the pension treatment of the elderly in rural areas, and we need to ensure their basic quality of life from the problems of medical care and basic life.
At the same time, we also need to build more industries that are suitable for the elderly, especially in the care and service industries, almost all of which need to pay further attention to the basic needs of the two. Especially for those cities with a large number of elderly people, the use of public facilities in relevant cities also needs to be taken into account by the elderly.
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According to the information released by the national health department, by 2040 of this century, the elderly over 60 years old in China will reach 100 million, the wave of gray hair economy has arrived, so how to ensure the quality of life of the elderly in their later years has become a major problem in society, in my opinion, to ensure that the quality of life of these elderly people can be carried out in the following aspects:
1. Social endowment insurance. Our country has been implementing social endowment insurance, many people have been working when they began to buy social endowment insurance, to 60 years old after retirement, everyone should have a lot less than hundreds of thousands of dollars of endowment insurance, these endowment insurance will be issued according to the amount of 1500 2000 yuan per month, the purchasing power of these money is enough to meet the basic life of every old person, so in the face of so many old people, Social endowment insurance has played a particularly important role, so when you are young, you should participate in the payment of social endowment insurance in a timely manner, so that you can receive social endowment insurance on a monthly basis after the age of 60, so as to facilitate your own life.
2. Guarantee through the support of children. China is a country that pays attention to filial piety, generally speaking, when parents are old, there will be children to support, so for these elderly people over 60 years old, their children can take on the responsibility of supporting, and their children can live together, so that the children will become more convenient to take care of, and if they live together, the cost of living will be reduced, so that the pressure of survival will be reduced, so we must play the role of the family to support the elderly.
In the face of such a large number of elderly people, we must play the role of society and the role of the family, social endowment insurance must be paid on time, and the children of the family should also assume their responsibility to support the elderly, so that under the joint efforts of both the society and the family, the quality of life of the elderly in their later years will be guaranteed.
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At present, the best way to solve this problem is to go to the elderly care institution to live, in this place to "trade", one party provides services to get income, and one party moves in and is serviced and pays for it. Commercial insurance can be taken out for the elderly who meet the insurance conditions such as serious illness and accident to prevent them from returning to poverty due to illness when accidents occur.
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These elderly people can choose to be re-employed, and they can do some work within their capacity to earn some money, so that the old people's life will be better in their later years.
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It is necessary to pay insurance regularly, have basic pension and medical security, make more friends, and exercise appropriately.
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The main reason for the aggravation of the aging problem is the problem of population structure, which is also the inevitable trend of population development.
Whenever we mention the issue of demographics, we generally feel that we are still under the demographic dividend. In fact, when the demographic dividend has developed for nearly 30 years, we will find that the number of China's elderly population is rising rapidly, and the number of elderly people will exceed 300 million. Under such circumstances, the number of elderly people will account for more than 20% of the total population, and we will move further towards an aging society.
1. The number of elderly people in China will exceed 300 million.
This is a data from the National Bureau of Statistics, in which we can see that the number of people over 60 years old will reach more than 300 million. Before that, the number of people over the age of 60 was 100 million. After that, the proportion of people over the age of 60 will reach more than 20% of the total population, which means that we will enter an aging society in full.
Second, the main reason for the aggravation of the aging problem is the problem of population structure.
To a certain extent, the aggravation of aging itself has a lot to do with the demographic dividend. When we repeatedly talk about the issue of the demographic dividend, we should think that when the demographic dividend disappears, the problem of aging will become the primary demographic problem we face. It is precisely because of the population structure itself that there is a certain regularity, when young and middle-aged people gradually enter the process of aging, the problem of aging will be highlighted.
Third, the problem of aging has also given birth to an aging economy.
When the demographic problem becomes more prominent, we will find that the development of industries related to the elderly, such as the so-called medical care and consumption of the elderly, will also get better and better. When the number of elderly people increases, the needs of the elderly will further increase, which will directly give birth to the development of many industries related to the elderly. To a certain extent, we need to focus not only on the aging of the population, but also on the development of industries related to the elderly.
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China's aging population will exceed 300 million, China's current population structure is under pressure at both ends, that is to say, the number of teenagers is relatively small, the number of elderly people is relatively large, why is there an aging society? This has something to do with our demographic dividend in the last century, which can be traced back to the time when the country was just founded. <>
Go back to the time when the People's Republic of China was just founded, when we were traumatized by the war, it can be said that the land of China was in ruins, and the level of productivity was not particularly high at that time, what was the best way? That's more light and strong labor. With more labor, it will be easier to develop both agriculture and industry, so the rate of population reproduction at that time was very fast, although there was a demographer named Ma Yanchu at the time of the founding of the People's Republic of China, and he once proposed the method of family planningIf we had liberalized the population on a large scale now, it would have been possible in a few decades, but no one believed it at the time, and no one took this measure, so the situation is what we are now.
When the People's Republic of China was just founded, that is, from the 50s to the 60s of the last century, and even from the 50s to the 70s, this wave of people was the demographic dividend when the reform and opening up had just begun, because the reform and opening up in 1960 was in 1978, that is, in their 20s, it was when the young and strong labor force itself was relatively strong, so at that time there was a demographic dividend in China, and there were many foreign labor-intensive industries, and the economy did develop at that time. But this development is an overdraft of the future potential, and it will bring about future problems, which are now fulfilled. <>
The wave of people from the 50s to the 70s of the last century has gradually become people aged 50 to 70, and the aging of the population will inevitably become more and more serious. But even this is the problem left over from the last century, which cannot be changed, even if the third child is released now, it cannot be changed in the short term.
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