Before the Battle of Guandu, why could Guo Jia predict that Yuan Shao would be defeated?

Before the Battle of Guandu, Guo Jianeng expected that Yuan Shao would be defeated, because he knew Yuan Shao very well, and knew that he could win all battles!

Because he said the reasons for Yuan Shao, he could see these reasons, and that was enough. Whether it's a bluff or an unpredictable prophet.

Before the battle of Guandu, when Cao Jun faced the powerful Yuan Shao, Guo Jia told that there were ten ways to defeat Yuan Shao, stabilize the army's heart, grasp the overall situation, and see the essence of things through appearances, and it was expected that Yuan Shao would be defeated.

Because Yuan Shao is indecisive and will miss many opportunities for victory on the battlefield, Yuan Shao is very suspicious, and loyal and upright strategists will not be reused.

Guo Jia is familiar to everyone, he is Cao Cao's important adviser, Cao Cao trusts him a lot, but Guo Jia's untimely death is a big blow to Cao Cao, so Cao Cao misses Guo Jia very much, after the Battle of Chibi, Cao Cao said that if Guo Jia is there, he will never be defeated. Guo Jia also believed that Yuan Shao would be defeated during the Battle of Guandu. So why was Guo Jia able to foresee it so accurately?

There are three reasons for this.

First of all, Guo Jia has met Yuan Shao, so he knows Yuan Shao very well. When Guo Jia became an adult, the first thing he went to was Yuan Shao. After meeting Yuan Shao, Guo Jia thought that Yuan Shao would not be able to employ people, and he was indecisive and could not achieve great things, so he left.

Later, on the recommendation of Xun Yu, Guo Jia came to Cao Cao's account. After Cao Cao talked with Guo Jia, he felt that Guo Jia was a talent and reused Guo Jia. Later, during the Battle of Guandu, Guo Jia told Cao Cao his opinion of Yuan Shao, and Cao Cao felt that Guo Jia was right, so he defeated Yuan Shao according to Guo Jia's plan.

Secondly, Guo Jia understands the psychology of people. When Guo Jia saw Yuan Shao, he saw that Yuan Shao was a person, so he judged that Yuan Shao was not talented. When he saw Cao Cao, he found that Cao Cao could make a difference, so he was very loyal to Cao Cao.

Later, Guo Jia** Sun Ce's assassination was also very accurate, because Guo Jia felt that Sun Ce was rash and unprepared. It can be seen that Guo Jia's grasp of human psychology is very accurate, which shows that he is very good at studying psychology.

In the end, Guo Jia has a strategy. After Guo Jia followed Cao Cao, he made many suggestions, which made Cao Cao achieve a lot of victories. For example, Guo Jia analyzed the reason why Cao Cao was able to defeat Yuan Shao, and also used a trick to help Cao Cao capture Lu Bu.

Before the battle of Guandu, Guo Jia also suggested that Cao Cao attack Liu Bei first, and then attack Yuan Shao. Cao Cao used Guo Jia's strategy to make his power bigger and stronger, and gradually controlled the northern region.

Guo Jia has the advantages of the above three aspects, so he can accurately grasp Yuan Shao's shortcomings, and then use the advantages of Cao Jun to attack the disadvantages of Yuan Shao, of course, Yuan Shao failed.

Guo Jia once took refuge in Yuan Shao and knew Yuan Shao's character and way of doing things.

Because Guo Jia knew that Yuan Shao's character was not particularly good, and someone would betray him, his successful war would fail.

Because he made a clear analysis of the comprehensive strength of the two armies at that time, and compared the strength of Yuan Shao himself, he determined that Yuan Shao would be invincible.

Why is it said that at the time of the Battle of Guandu, Yuan Shao's defeat was inevitable? Cao Cao was very smart at that time, and Yuan Shao's confrontation with Cao Cao can be said to be beyond his strength, Cao Cao was planning, and at the same time dragged Yuan Shao to cross the river for Yuan Shao, delaying a very large time, and later, Cao Cao also used the sound to attack the west, so that Yuan Shao fell into the trap, and finally forced Yuan Shao back to Xudu. Later, Xu You, Yuan Shao's subordinate, also saw that his army could not win in this war, so he betrayed Yuan Shao and came to Cao Cao's side.

Yuan Shao had very big problems in the early stage of the battle of Guandu, and it was precisely because he did not find these problems that he led to the failure of the later ending. At that time, Yuan Shao hoped for Yan Liang and Wen Chou, but these two people did not have particularly strong military capabilities. In addition, in the later period, Cao Cao had been forced into a desperate situation, and Cao Cao lacked some food at that time.

If it is judged according to this aspect, then Cao Cao will indeed lose and fall first, because many soldiers in the army have no food to eat, and there will definitely be a phenomenon of physical exhaustion, but because many of Yuan Shao's subordinates in the military camp have infighting, which eventually led to failure.

At that time, if Yuan Shao could stabilize everyone's hearts and avoid this kind of infighting, then he could avoid failure. We all know that if an army wants to win, then all the people in the army must have their hearts and minds. At that time, Yuan Shao himself was not as brave and resourceful as Cao Cao, and his subordinates were greedy for life and afraid of death.

All the people used in the army have to be very powerful, and they have to be trustworthy. If there is no way to do this, then failure itself is inevitable.

Because during the Battle of Guandu, Yuan Shao did not listen to the advice of other military advisors and rashly sent troops, and when he passed through Longfu Mountain, he always wanted to rest, and finally fell into the trap.

It was because Yuan Shao underestimated the enemy, and it was taboo to underestimate the enemy on any battlefield, which would lead to the defeat of the war, and he was stubborn and did not listen to other people's advice.

Yuan Shao did not listen to the advice of the strategists, which eventually led the strategists to defect to Cao Cao. In the end, it led to Yuan Shao's defeat.

In the battle of Guandu, Guo Jia: ten wins and ten defeats, Xun Yu: four wins and four defeats, all fooling Cao Cao's words.

No, the direct tactical play of the campaign is 0, and Guandu is mainly Xun You's advice.

The four main things:

1, the landlord said, ten wins and ten defeats, set, attack Yuan Shao's general direction 2, before the war to remove the troubles, take Yuan Shao to fight Gongsun Zhan, and destroy the Three Kingdoms God of War Lu Bu, think about if you don't destroy Lu Bu, when Cao Cao fights in front, Lu Bu comes, who can stop it. At the same time, he captured Liu Bei's family and Guan Yu.

3, during the war, I guessed Liu Bei's heart, and calculated that he would not dare to fight with Yuan Shao before and after, if Zhuge Liang was here at this time, it is estimated that there will be another history.

4, Sun Ce wanted to fight Xu Du, Guo Jia calculated that he would die, and did not let Cao Cao return to defense.

Hey, hey, who did you know who made the greatest contribution to Cao Cao's victory in the Battle of Guandu?

Guo Tu was in charge.

Can the sneak attack on the granary be successful without Guo Tu? Will the advice of Guo Tufu be ignored without his advice? Without Guo Tu, Yuan Shao will be in a slump?

no！no！no！

However, what does this have to do with Guo Jia? Take a look below.

is sick, about Guo Jia's legacy and Liaodong, do you ask about acting, or the Three Kingdoms, there is no way to verify the official history.

The battle of Guandu Guo Jia seems to have hung up.

Guo Jia made the most important contribution in the "Battle of Guandu":

1. He set the "Ten Wins and Ten Defeats" theory and set the general direction of attacking Yuan Shao.

2, before the war, in addition to the troubles, Yuan Shao beat Gongsun Zhan, and destroyed the "Three Kingdoms God of War" Lu Bu, if Lu Bu is not destroyed, when Cao Cao fights in front, Lu Bu comes, who can stop it, and at the same time capture Liu Bei's family and Guan Yu.

3. During the war, I guessed Liu Bei's heart and calculated that he would not dare to fight Yuan Shao back and forth. Taking advantage of Liu Bei's current unstable foundation, unattached people's hearts, and undecided plans, he hurriedly punched Liu Bei and defeated Liu Bei in one fell swoop! As for Yuan Shao, Guo Jia also expected that he would not make any moves.

Because Guo Jia thinks that he is "late and suspicious, he will not come quickly!" "Take advantage of this time difference, it can be used to fight or even eliminate Liu Bei!

4, Sun Ce wanted to fight Xu Du, Guo Jia calculated that he would die, and did not let Cao Cao return to defense.

Guo Jia's biggest role in the Battle of Guandu was to put forward the theory of ten wins and ten defeats, stabilize Cao Cao's heart, and prevent him from being afraid of Yuan Shao, because Yuan Shao at that time was much better than Cao Cao in terms of strength and land, but as soon as the theory of ten wins and ten defeats came out, he praised Cao Cao fiercely, and Cao Cao would not be afraid of Yuan Shao, and he could make up his mind to have a good fight with Yuan Shao.

Landlord, you misremember, Guandu Battle Guo Fengxiao made a great contribution.

In 200, Cao Cao's army and Yuan Shao were at a standout in Guandu. Cao Cao was worried that Liu Bei would suddenly attack and stab him in the back. The strong enemy in the front is already difficult to deal with, can the Cao army still divide its troops and horses to meet Liu Bei?

Guo Jia just said "yes", and without further ado. Guo Jia analyzed, "Yuan Shao has always been indecisive and will not react quickly. Liu Bei's hearts have not returned, his foothold is not stable, and if he attacks quickly, he will definitely be defeated.

And then return to the division to deal with Yuan Shao, this is the best opportunity to change the abdomen and back to the enemy, and it must not be lost. So, Cao Cao raised his army to the east, broke Liu Bei, captured Liu Bei's wife, and captured Guan Yu. The situation was as Guo Jia expected, and before Yuan Shao could react, Liu Bei had been defeated.

It was also when Cao Cao and Yuan Shao were holding each other that another disturbing news reached Cao Ying: Jiangdong Haojie Sun Ce was preparing to send troops to attack Cao Cao's base in Xudu. Sun Ce's reputation for being brave and good at fighting was resounding in the Central Plains at that time, and this general's tiger was a bold and courageous man, completely inheriting the aggressive temperament of his father Sun Jian.

Previously, he fought on all sides in the rich Jiangdong with an invincible momentum, and in one fell swoop, he could not settle on a solid foundation. Cao Cao, who was already at a disadvantage in the standoff with Yuan Shao, could not draw any more troops to defend Xu Du. And once Xu Du is lost, Cao Cao's camp will immediately fall apart.

This was the most turbulent period in Cao Ying's people's hearts, and many people began to secretly flatter Yuan Shao, preparing to leave a way back for themselves. At that time, Cao Junzhong and Yuan Shao had many private correspondence, and after the battle of Guandu, a lot of bamboo slips were found in Yuan's camp. At this critical juncture, Guo Jia actually put forward an incredible opinion: "There is no need for Cao Cao, the Duke of Ming, to withdraw troops to defend Xudu, because Sun Ce can't come."

Guo Jia said, "Sun Ce has just annexed Jiangdong, and all he killed are heroes. And Sun Ce himself is rash and careless, although he has millions of people, he is no different from a lonely person. I think he will die at the hands of the Assassins.

Later, Sun Ce was killed by poisoned arrows because of the three assassins who avenged his master. This may be a coincidence, but it does add to Guo Jia's clever calculation.

In 203, Yuan Shao, who had returned from a defeat in the Battle of Guandu, died of illness, and Cao Cao attacked his two sons and won successive battles. The generals of the Cao army all wanted to take advantage of the victory to break through the second Yuan, but at this time, Guo Jia, who had previously advocated the northward advance, overrode public opinion, entered the strange strategy alone, and suggested retreating. He analyzed the contradiction between the two Yuan brothers for Cao Cao" Yuan Shao's two sons, although Yuan Tan is the eldest son, Yuan Shao prefers Yuan Shang.

Yuan Shao has always been hesitant about which to pass the throne to, so much so that when he died, he hastily decided to let his third son Yuan Shang take over, and the eldest son Yuan Tan has always been dissatisfied with this. If we attack, they will definitely fight together, and if the use of troops is suspended, they will definitely break out into infighting. Guo Jia suggested that Cao Cao pretend to attack Liu Biao in the south, "waiting for it to change."

Sure enough, as soon as Cao Jun returned to Xuchang, the news of Yuan Jun's change had already come. Cao Cao took the opportunity to return to the army and went north, defeated Yuan Tan and Yuan Shang, and the two Yuan died and fled. Because of Guo Jia's clever plan, this battle was won easily and smoothly.

I am not in good health and am recuperating at home.

But he was a staunch supporter of Cao Cao's confrontation with Yuan Shao.