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Then Cao Wei will lose the land of Xiangfan and retreat to the Central Plains. But I feel that Cao Wei finally destroyed Shu and Wu.
1. If Sun Quan didn't sneak attack Guan Yu.
After Liu Bei defeated Cao's army in Hanzhong and captured Hanzhong, Guan Yu privately launched the Battle of Xiangfan in order to celebrate the news. At first, everything went very smoothly, Guan Yu captured the forbidden Pang De by flooding the Seventh Army, and took several cities of Cao Wei, which shocked China. At this time, Sun Quan privately formed an alliance with Cao Cao, and Lü Meng crossed the river in white to attack Jingzhou, leaving Guan Yu with no way out, and Cao Cao sent Xu Huang to support Cao Ren.
Guan Yu was attacked on three sides, and finally defeated Maicheng and was killed by Ma Zhong. <>
If Sun Quan hadn't sent Lü Meng to attack Guan Yu, I personally felt that with the battle situation at that time, Cao Wei would not have been able to stop Guan Yu at all. Cao Ren didn't dare to start a war with Guan Yu anymore, and he couldn't defend it. Guan Yu can't take it in a short time, but in the long run, Cao Ren will definitely not be able to hold it, Guan Yu will be captured by the ban Pang Deshu The morale of the army has risen greatly, and it is only a matter of time before Cao Ren can't hold it.
Even if Cao Cao sent troops and horses to come, he could only hold it temporarily, and when Liu Bei's reinforcements arrived, then Cao Wei would still lose. And Cao Cao, the land of Xiangfan, will not press all his belongings on it. So I personally think that Cao Cao will give up the land of Xiangfan and retreat to the north.
Second, although Sun Quan did not attack Guan Yu, he personally felt that Cao Wei would destroy Shu and Wu in the future.
Sun Quan did not attack Guan Yu, and Cao Cao retreated to the north. At this time, it will be found that the Three Kingdoms are in full power, and Shu Han is the most powerful. At the beginning, Cao Wei was the most powerful, and the Sun and Liu alliances resisted Cao, but now Shu Han is the most powerful?
Dongwu may not be willing to ally with Shu Han, and Shu Han may not have no idea about Dongwu. In fact, I personally think that the alliance between Eastern Wu and Shu Han is not strong, and both sides have their own ghosts. In fact, after Liu Bei captured Yizhou, Sun Quan began to be afraid that Liu Bei wanted Liu Bei to return to Jingzhou, but Liu Bei refused at that time, and the relationship between the two sides was tense.
Later, because Cao Cao captured Hanzhong, Liu Bei wanted to concentrate on conquering Hanzhong, so he had to return part of Jingzhou to Sun Quan. After Liu Bei captured Hanzhong, Sun Quan became even more jealous of Liu Bei, and it turned out that Sun Quan and Cao Cao had a private alliance later. If Liu Bei is allowed to seize the land of Xiangfan, then Sun Quan will inevitably form an alliance with Cao Wei.
That is to say, Dongwu is unwilling to see Shu Han become stronger, and in the long run, either Shu Han can destroy Dongwu, or with the advantage of Cao Wei being located in the Central Plains, in the end, Shu Han and Dongwu will have to rest.
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If Sun Quan hadn't attacked Guan Yu, Cao Wei would still unify the Three Kingdoms. Because Cao Wei's ability was still the strongest at that time.
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Then Guan Yu will continue to fight under the results of the flooded Seventh Army, surround Xiangyang, and take advantage of the Xiangjiang River, and Cao Cao will die of illness on the road of pro-conquest, and when the time comes, the northern chaos will be realized.
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Even without Sun Quan's sneak attack, Guan Yu's Northern Expedition would not have succeeded, and at most it would only be able to put a little pressure on Cao Cao.
After all, among the Three Kingdoms, Wei's overall economic strength and military strength are the strongest, and neither Shu nor Wu can compete with Wei. Cao Cao controls the entire northern region, with strong strength, logistics and grain and grass, and Guan Yu is only led by the soldiers and horses of Jingzhou and a state, although Guan Yu is brave and good at fighting, but it is still difficult to succeed with his own strength.
I think that Lu Bu was unstoppable in attacking the city back then, but in the end he was defeated by Cao Cao, which is the reason.
I still remember Longzhong's plan for Liu Bei inside, Zhuge Liang."When Cao Cao occupies the sky in the north, Sun Quan occupies the land in the south, and the general can occupy the people". In fact, Liu Bei is also mentioned in this, you don't have the right time and place, you can only wait for the opportunity, what opportunity are you waiting for? It is what Longzhong said to the inside, "Wait for chaos in the north", and then Liu Bei raised the army out of Yizhou, and then ordered a general to lead the army and horses out of Jingzhou, so that there was a chance to revive the Han Dynasty.
It's a pity that Guan Yu didn't meet the three conditions that were necessary. The first is "".Sun Wu in the east, Cao Cao in the northThe strategic policy has not been truly implemented, and Shu and Wu are still fighting openly and secretly, and have not really united.
The second is "".There is chaos in the northThe timing was not reached, at this time Cao Cao was still there, and Cao Cao was in the north, so it must be as stable as an iron bucket and would not be easily defeated. If you wait a few more years, when Cao Cao dies, then maybe the north will be in chaos.
The third is "".Liu Bei personally raised the army out of Yizhou, and then ordered a general to leave JingzhouThere is no doubt that this general is Guan Yu, but he can't lead the army out of Jingzhou alone, he must wait for Liu Bei to act together and cooperate with the army before he has a chance to achieve a great cause.
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Perhaps after the flooding of the Seventh Army, Guan Yu's victory had begun to end. In fact, in the Battle of Xiangfan in 219 AD, Guan Yu did not have the confidence to start a war from the beginning, and it was destined that it would be difficult for him to achieve much success in this war, which was inseparable from the poor military strength of the three counties of Jingzhou.
In the battle of Xiangfan that year, how much military force Guan Yu used was not clearly recorded in the history books, but according to the demarcation of Xiangshui four years ago, Guan Yu once commanded the "30,000 people", excluding a small number of left-behind troops at the grassroots level, Guan Yu was able to come up with only this so-called 30,000 mobile forces, and the actual number was naturally insufficient.
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It didn't work. The time from Guan Yu's Northern Expedition to his defeat was not long. Even if there was no sneak attack, Guan Yu had no reinforcements, and no food supplies. It can't be moved.
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There is a good chance of success, after all, Guan Yu underestimated the other party at that time, and his own carelessness caused failure.
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I think that even if Sun Quan doesn't sneak attack, Guan Yu may not be able to succeed, because in addition to Sun Quan's sneak attack, there are other people who will sneak attack him.
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I think that if Sun Quan didn't sneak attack Guan Yu, he might not be able to succeed, because it was all doomed.
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There are reinforcements, Liu Feng Mengda is in Shangyong, if there is no Eastern Wu, they will definitely send troops, Cao Ren will not last long, and there is Ma Chao in the east.
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If Sun Quan didn't sneak attack, Guan Yu still had a good chance of winning, after all, he had also made preparations.
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When Sun Quan attacked Jingzhou, Guan Yu had already been defeated by Xu Huang. When Jingzhou was defeated, he found that Jingzhou had been lost, so he went to Maicheng and was besieged in Maicheng. When the father and son broke through, they were blocked by Pan Zhang, and both father and son were captured.
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It's possible, but it's also going to be quite difficult to win, because you're outnumbered.
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I think Sun Quan doesn't sneak attack, Guan Yu has a victory rate of more than fifty percent, and the Northern Expedition is successful.
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Even if Sun Quan didn't sneak attack, Guan Yu's Northern Expedition would not succeed and was doomed to failure.
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If Sun Quan didn't sneak attack, then Guan Yu might succeed in the Northern Expedition.
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Even if Sun Quan didn't attack Guan Yu, Guan Yu couldn't escape the shackles of fate.
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can't succeed, he is a fierce general, not a handsome talent.
Cao Cao will release Guan Yu, because Guan Yu will also let Cao Cao go, and they will cherish each other, but Cao Cao will encourage Guan Yu to recapture Jingzhou. After Guan Yu goes back, he will ask to attack Wu to recapture Jingzhou, and he will be ashamed, and Liu Bei also thinks that he has no face for losing Jingzhou. But Zhuge Liang thought that he should go on a northern expedition, so there was a war of words, and no one was able to defeat him. >>>More
Guan Yu was a famous general in the late Eastern Han Dynasty and a representative of both wisdom and bravery. Guan Yu lost Jingzhou at the last moment, and had Lü Meng of Eastern Wu capture, and was finally killed by Lü Meng. If Lü Meng did not kill Guan Yu ruthlessly, but let him return to Shu, then Eastern Wu would be defeated by Shu soon after, and the Central Plains would also have a great chance of being unified by Shu Han, because after Guan Yu's death, a series of things that were unfavorable to Shu occurred one after another, resulting in a decline in Shu's national strength. >>>More
If Lu Meng in the Three Kingdoms listened to Sun Quan's release of Guan Yu, the situation in the Three Kingdoms would not change much. Sun Quan killed Guan Yu to give Liu Bei an excuse to conquer Eastern Wu, but Liu Bei's ultimate goal is to gain control of the Jingzhou region, even if Sun Quan puts Guan Yu back, Liu Bei will find other reasons to take back Jingzhou, this is the most important base for him to unify the world, he will never let go easily, Liu Bei in Jingzhou is a man of great talent and long-term vision, he hopes to restore the Han dynasty in his lifetime, unify the world, he has been fighting for his ideals all his life. Liu Bei's attack on Eastern Wu itself is not for the attitude of rather than for the jade to be broken, if he can see the unification of the world in his lifetime, then all the hard work he has paid in this life will be in vain. >>>More
Part of the reason is to look down on Sun Quan, but the bigger reason is that he thinks that Sun Quan is cunning and insidious, and he is afraid that this marriage has another purpose, so he refuses fiercely.
Liu Bei has always been known as Corporal Lixian, and there are many capable generals under him, but he also missed a general who has defeated Guan Yu several times and even Sun Quan has no way to compete with himThis general is the Wen Ping under Jingzhou Mu Liu Biao, and Liu Bei lost this general because of his own character, he didn't want to take advantage of others. >>>More