Can the global epidemic end, and when will the global epidemic end completely?

The global epidemic cannot end, the United States, Japan, South Korea and some European countries have all relaxed the control of the epidemic, do not wear masks, do not do nucleic acid, and even some people who have the new crown are not **, which is regarded as a cold. Our country attaches great importance to the epidemic, but it is impossible to prevent it, some international students, migrant workers, and businessmen who have returned from abroad have come back from illness**.

The virus will not become extinct anytime soon, so the global pandemic will not end anytime soon.

It can be over, but it will take a longer period of time to prevent the control.

As long as the people of the world unite and fight the epidemic together, the epidemic will soon be over!

No. Because the countries of the world have.

As of August 11, 2021. The global pandemic could last for one to two years. Shanghai COVID-19.

Head of the Medical Treatment Group, Fudan University.

Zhang Wenhong, Director of the Department of Infectious Diseases of Huashan Hospital, and Zhang Boli, Deputy to the National People's Congress and President of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine.

Interviewed by reporters.

Zhang Wenhong said: The epidemic has not ended so far, and the epidemic in the world may continue for one to two years, which means that the whole world may restart in the next three months or in three months.

Precautions: Firm confidence, solidarity, scientific prevention and control, and precise implementation of policies are epidemic prevention and control.

General requirements for the job. To achieve scientific prevention and control, it is necessary to give full play to the role of authoritative experts. Authoritative experts can not only play a full role in the control of infection, disease diagnosis and treatment, and the research and development of effective drugs and vaccines, but also can use their professional knowledge to empower the people.

Master the right way to fight the pandemic.

The above content refers to People's Daily Online - the latest! Zhang Wenhong said that the global epidemic may last for one to two years.

The world is relatively large, and I estimate that the end of the epidemic in the world should be 2025. However, there are still individual regions and countries that will recur due to virus mutations. Vaccine failure.

A lot of problems can happen. So I guess it's 2025. Still a very optimistic estimate.

The global pandemic will not end until early 2022!

Global pandemic. Some experts** say that it will take more than two years to end, but now, the development trend of this epidemic has become a diamond-shaped outbreak is and is spreading.

The global pandemic may not be until the end of 2022 or 2023.

On October 24, at the 13th World Health Summit, WHO Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus delivered a speech on the new coronavirus. He believes that if the whole world wants to end the coronavirus pandemic, it will disappear quickly. Does this mean that COVID can end at any time?

It is worth noting that Tedros also stressed that countries should give full play to the role of medical tools and play a part in solving the global epidemic.

But how many countries can actually do it? In addition, the uneven distribution of vaccines across the globe is becoming more and more severe. On October 20, the WHO said that the coronavirus outbreak could last until 2022.

This is based on factors such as vaccination rates and the number of new coronavirus cases in each country, but the vaccination rate in developed countries is now much higher than in developing countries.

In 2023, the epidemic virus will be well developed all over the world, ** the whole world will not have any fear of this virus, and from then on the virus will not have any fear. Because this virus will be marketed in 2023, and it will be popularized all over the world.

At present, the new crown epidemic is still raging all over the world, after a year of fermentation, the epidemic not only has not lessened, but has a tendency to intensify, and even many countries have mutated viruses, making the prevention and control of the epidemic more difficult, in order to prevent the spread of the epidemic, many countries have adopted very strict measures, such as "lockdown", ban on tourism entry, etc. Although the trend of epidemic transmission in various countries has converged, the epidemic situation is still not optimistic.

At present, the cumulative number of confirmed new crown patients in the world has reached 100 million, and the number of deaths has exceeded 2 million. In order to defeat the epidemic, all countries are stepping up the development of vaccines, and China, the United States, and Russia have all developed vaccines. In order to help some countries with relatively backward scientific and technological strength, the World Health Organization has established the "COVAX" to rationally distribute vaccines to participating countries, and China has recently announced that it will support 10 million doses of vaccines to the "COVAX" to help developing countries alleviate the epidemic.

So when will the global pandemic end? This problem involves many aspects, and WHO experts have previously said that the epidemic may continue for a period of time, and in order to control the epidemic, in addition to global prevention, vaccine coverage is more needed. According to data from the University of Oxford and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, as of February 3, 100 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines have been administered globally, exceeding the cumulative number of confirmed cases worldwide.

The emergence of the mutant virus has accelerated the pace of vaccination in countries around the world, but according to the world's largest vaccination database, Bloomberg's vaccine tracking program in the United States estimates that based on two doses of vaccine per person and a coverage rate of 75, it will take at least a year to return to the pre-pandemic state.

The country with the highest vaccination rate in the world is currently Israel, which achieved 75% vaccine coverage in two months, while the United States expects to meet the standard by 2022. However, calculations tend to change for a variety of reasons, and for now, personal precautions are still the best way to go.

During the slow recovery period driven by policy, the foundation for China's economic stabilization needs to be further solidified. Taking into account the base effect and the changes in foreign trade conditions caused by the possible improvement of the international epidemic, we expect the economy to show a downward trend quarter by quarter throughout the year. Based on high-frequency data and the growth trend of each sub-item, we expect the real GDP growth rate to be about 9% in the second quarter of 2021 and about about the real GDP growth rate for the whole year.

If the main risks are concentrated, the annual real GDP growth rate may fall to about 7%; If the overall international economic situation is good and consumption returns to stability, the annual real GDP growth rate is expected to break through. From January to April, investment in fixed assets increased year-on-year, with an average growth of two years; However, compared with industry, exports, and consumption, the progress of investment recovery is relatively slow and weak, and the overall investment growth rate has not yet returned to the normal growth level before the epidemic. In terms of industries, the recovery of manufacturing investment is the slowest, and the two-year average growth rate has not yet turned positive; The recovery of infrastructure investment is weak, and the growth rate is hovering at a low level; Real estate investment is a standout, showing strong resilience and vitality, which is the main driving force for investment growth at present.

Looking forward to the second half of the year, fixed asset investment will still maintain a stable recovery trend, but the growth momentum may still weaken, and policy strengthening is urgent. acceptThe growth rate of fixed asset investment is expected to be for the whole year. Although the year-on-year growth rates of household consumption and total retail sales of consumer goods in the first quarter were as high as and they were respectively, the higher growth rate was mainly due to the low base last year.

Taking into account the overall situation in the past two years, the current growth rate of household consumption is still slower than the level of 2018 and 2019 before the outbreak of the epidemic. The main reason for the lack of consumption** is that the recovery of aggregate output is not fully reflected in the increase in household income. In addition to income factors, the occasional epidemic at the beginning of the year and the adjustment of consumption habits also partly led to the slowdown in the growth of household consumption.

We believe that in the context of the overall recovery of economic growth, in the third to fourth quarters of this year, China's household consumption is expected to appear U-shaped.

The main reason is that it is not thorough abroad, and China will not be thorough, and the most serious places will not be completely over, and the epidemic will be completely over.

Hello! As it stands, it feels like it's hard to end it completely.

You still have to wear a mask when you go out, and be careful not to go to crowded places.

There is no end to the epidemic, and there will be no end to it in a country like India.

When the global epidemic is expected to end, the experts of various countries and related organizations are different, some experts may end in 2023, the latest time is 2024, and then the experts of some relevant countries are **The epidemic will end in 2022 or 2023.

If the epidemic will continue to develop according to a bad trend, it may end in six years, and then the more official World Health Organization's ** is that mankind will defeat the epidemic in 2022, and then the ** of each country and each organization is different.

Therefore, no matter when the end time is, we can only do a good job of social distancing control at a point in time like this, and we can also do a good job of personal protection.

Billions, billions, billions.

At this rate, there could be 2.4 billion confirmed cases by the end of next year, 4.8 billion by the end of August 2024, and the whole world will be infected with the new coronavirus by the beginning of 2025.

It took only 222 days to go from 300 million to 600 million.

How many days will it take to go from 600 million to 1.2 billion again?

How many days does it take to go from 1.2 billion to 2.4 billion?

How many days will it take to go from 2.4 billion to 4.8 billion?

Viruses are actually the same as us humans, in a sense, they are all creatures on the earth. The structure of viruses is very simple, mainly composed of nucleic acids and proteins, which means that viruses adapt and evolve much faster to the environment. In addition, the virus needs to be on the host to survive, so every evolution of the virus is actually to be able to survive better.

It has been two years since the emergence of the new coronavirus, during which time it has passed through Delta to the current Omicron, and each time its transmissibility is increasing, but its lethality to the host is weakening. This is partly due to the nature of the virus itself, which needs to live with the host, not kill it.

On the other hand, with the large-scale vaccination of vaccines, our human body has a certain resistance to the new coronavirus, so the evolution of Omicron means that human beings may coexist with the new crown virus for a long time, and with the development of time, the new crown virus may be like the influenza virus, causing small outbreaks in a specific season and range, but it will not pose too much threat to our human beings, which is actually predicted by Professor Zhang Wenhong, an expert in China.

Article**2 If the new crown is moving towards flu, do we need to get the new crown vaccine every year? Will it still be effective in the future?

Many experts at home and abroad have said that from the current point of view, the new crown vaccine is still effective against Omicron, and the new crown vaccine injection is still the best way to prevent new crown virus infection. But over time, if the flu of the new coronavirus coexists with us for a long time in the future, I don't think it is necessary for everyone to get vaccinated every year. Because on the one hand, we will definitely have effective drugs for the new crown pneumonia in the future, and on the other hand, with the decline of virulence, it may not necessarily cause infection in some people with good resistance.

As for whether the new crown vaccine will be effective in the future? This is even more worry-free, because every time our scientists discover a mutant strain, they will definitely extract the nucleic acid information of the strain, so as to develop an effective vaccine, so no matter how the new crown virus mutates in the future, our vaccine will be effective.

Previously, WHO experts had said that the outbreak could last for some time. Vaccine coverage is necessary in addition to global prevention efforts if the outbreak is to be contained. Based on the current global vaccination status, the global pandemic is expected to take at least four years to end.

At present, the country with the highest vaccination rate in the world is Israel, which has achieved 75% vaccine coverage within two months, while the United States is expected to reach the target by 2022, and China is expected to achieve herd immunity in 2021 or 2022 and 2010. When the world achieves herd immunity, it will be the end of the pandemic.

The above is an introduction to when the global pandemic is expected to end. The global pandemic remains severe. It is recommended that you get vaccinated as soon as possible to reach your body's immunity.

According to historical experience, the epidemic is expected to end within 1-3 years, and the number of deaths will not be less than 10 million. However, it is difficult for the virus to completely disappear its genes, and it is likely that the strain will mutate and make a comeback one day in the future.

The Spanish flu of 1918-1920 (which actually originated in the United States) suddenly ended like a miracle, so much so that some people said: it was the virus that spared the earthlings.

There is no precise answer to this question, and even the approximate and perhaps other rhetoric needs to be carefully considered. This is a major epidemic on a global scale, the epidemic prevention and control work in each country is uneven, and the virus is constantly evolving, so it is impossible to give a reasonable answer to this question for the time being. However, I believe that as long as we work together to do a good job in epidemic prevention and control, we will be able to defeat the epidemic as quickly as possible.

It is difficult to end the global epidemic, after all, the new crown virus is constantly mutating, and the control measures in various countries are not in place, resulting in the continuous recurrence of the epidemic, so its complete end depends on the vaccination and **. The second is that the control measures in various countries may end when they are in place.