When will the global pandemic be completely over?

As of August 11, 2021. The global pandemic could last for one to two years. Shanghai COVID-19.

Head of the Medical Treatment Group, Fudan University.

Zhang Wenhong, Director of the Department of Infectious Diseases of Huashan Hospital, and Zhang Boli, Deputy to the National People's Congress and President of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine.

Interviewed by reporters.

Zhang Wenhong said: The epidemic has not ended so far, and the epidemic in the world may continue for one to two years, which means that the whole world may restart in the next three months or in three months.

Precautions: Firm confidence, solidarity, scientific prevention and control, and precise implementation of policies are epidemic prevention and control.

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The above content refers to People's Daily Online - the latest! Zhang Wenhong said that the global epidemic may last for one to two years.

The world is relatively large, and I estimate that the end of the epidemic in the world should be 2025. However, there are still individual regions and countries that will recur due to virus mutations. Vaccine failure.

A lot of problems can happen. So I guess it's 2025. Still a very optimistic estimate.

The global pandemic will not end until early 2022!

Global pandemic. Some experts** say that it will take more than two years to end, but now, the development trend of this epidemic has become a diamond-shaped outbreak is and is spreading.

The global pandemic may not be until the end of 2022 or 2023.

On October 24, at the 13th World Health Summit, WHO Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus delivered a speech on the new coronavirus. He believes that if the whole world wants to end the coronavirus pandemic, it will disappear quickly. Does this mean that COVID can end at any time?

It is worth noting that Tedros also stressed that countries should give full play to the role of medical tools and play a part in solving the global epidemic.

But how many countries can actually do it? In addition, the uneven distribution of vaccines across the globe is becoming more and more severe. On October 20, the WHO said that the coronavirus outbreak could last until 2022.

This is based on factors such as vaccination rates and the number of new coronavirus cases in each country, but the vaccination rate in developed countries is now much higher than in developing countries.

In 2023, the epidemic virus will be well developed all over the world, ** the whole world will not have any fear of this virus, and from then on the virus will not have any fear. Because this virus will be marketed in 2023, and it will be popularized all over the world.

At present, the new crown epidemic is still raging all over the world, after a year of fermentation, the epidemic not only has not lessened, but has a tendency to intensify, and even many countries have mutated viruses, making the prevention and control of the epidemic more difficult, in order to prevent the spread of the epidemic, many countries have adopted very strict measures, such as "lockdown", ban on tourism entry, etc. Although the trend of epidemic transmission in various countries has converged, the epidemic situation is still not optimistic.

At present, the cumulative number of confirmed new crown patients in the world has reached 100 million, and the number of deaths has exceeded 2 million. In order to defeat the epidemic, all countries are stepping up the development of vaccines, and China, the United States, and Russia have all developed vaccines. In order to help some countries with relatively backward scientific and technological strength, the World Health Organization has established the "COVAX" to rationally distribute vaccines to participating countries, and China has recently announced that it will support 10 million doses of vaccines to the "COVAX" to help developing countries alleviate the epidemic.

So when will the global pandemic end? This problem involves many aspects, and WHO experts have previously said that the epidemic may continue for a period of time, and in order to control the epidemic, in addition to global prevention, vaccine coverage is more needed. According to data from the University of Oxford and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, as of February 3, 100 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines have been administered globally, exceeding the cumulative number of confirmed cases worldwide.

The emergence of the mutant virus has accelerated the pace of vaccination in countries around the world, but according to the world's largest vaccination database, Bloomberg's vaccine tracking program in the United States estimates that based on two doses of vaccine per person and a coverage rate of 75, it will take at least a year to return to the pre-pandemic state.

The country with the highest vaccination rate in the world is currently Israel, which achieved 75% vaccine coverage in two months, while the United States expects to meet the standard by 2022. However, calculations tend to change for a variety of reasons, and for now, personal precautions are still the best way to go.

During the slow recovery period driven by policy, the foundation for China's economic stabilization needs to be further solidified. Taking into account the base effect and the changes in foreign trade conditions caused by the possible improvement of the international epidemic, we expect the economy to show a downward trend quarter by quarter throughout the year. Based on high-frequency data and the growth trend of each sub-item, we expect the real GDP growth rate to be about 9% in the second quarter of 2021 and about about the real GDP growth rate for the whole year.

If the main risks are concentrated, the annual real GDP growth rate may fall to about 7%; If the overall international economic situation is good and consumption returns to stability, the annual real GDP growth rate is expected to break through. From January to April, investment in fixed assets increased year-on-year, with an average growth of two years; However, compared with industry, exports, and consumption, the progress of investment recovery is relatively slow and weak, and the overall investment growth rate has not yet returned to the normal growth level before the epidemic. In terms of industries, the recovery of manufacturing investment is the slowest, and the two-year average growth rate has not yet turned positive; The recovery of infrastructure investment is weak, and the growth rate is hovering at a low level; Real estate investment is a standout, showing strong resilience and vitality, which is the main driving force for investment growth at present.

Looking forward to the second half of the year, fixed asset investment will still maintain a stable recovery trend, but the growth momentum may still weaken, and policy strengthening is urgent. acceptThe growth rate of fixed asset investment is expected to be for the whole year. Although the year-on-year growth rates of household consumption and total retail sales of consumer goods in the first quarter were as high as and they were respectively, the higher growth rate was mainly due to the low base last year.

Taking into account the overall situation in the past two years, the current growth rate of household consumption is still slower than the level of 2018 and 2019 before the outbreak of the epidemic. The main reason for the lack of consumption** is that the recovery of aggregate output is not fully reflected in the increase in household income. In addition to income factors, the occasional epidemic at the beginning of the year and the adjustment of consumption habits also partly led to the slowdown in the growth of household consumption.

We believe that in the context of the overall recovery of economic growth, in the third to fourth quarters of this year, China's household consumption is expected to appear U-shaped.

The main reason is that it is not thorough abroad, and China will not be thorough, and the most serious places will not be completely over, and the epidemic will be completely over.

Hello! As it stands, it feels like it's hard to end it completely.

You still have to wear a mask when you go out, and be careful not to go to crowded places.

There is no end to the epidemic, and there will be no end to it in a country like India.

When the global epidemic is expected to end, the experts of various countries and related organizations are different, some experts may end in 2023, the latest time is 2024, and then the experts of some relevant countries are **The epidemic will end in 2022 or 2023.

If the epidemic will continue to develop according to a bad trend, it may end in six years, and then the more official World Health Organization's ** is that mankind will defeat the epidemic in 2022, and then the ** of each country and each organization is different.

Therefore, no matter when the end time is, we can only do a good job of social distancing control at a point in time like this, and we can also do a good job of personal protection.

We can only wait until when the end of the world is.

The third booster shot has already begun to be promoted, which further shows that the epidemic has become normal, that is, everyone is now waiting for the virus to become a common cold, gradually becoming preventable and controllable, but it is impossible to disappear completely.

For example, the flu has never gone away.

Fifty years from now, there may be a breakthrough in medical progress, starting with baby genes, I remember the last time there was news about this in China, I can't remember.

The time interval for the complete end should be between 2025 and 2030, because now the mutation of the virus is indeed starting to flatten out, I think the peak has passed, and the next thing is a war of attrition, and it will be almost as soon as the special medicine comes out.

The mortality rate of the new crown pneumonia is 1%, which may not seem like a high number, but it is very serious when the base is large. In less than a year, the global death toll from COVID is more than 2 million. ”

Zhong Nanshan said that at present, the countries with the highest incidence rate are the United States, Russia, India, Brazil, South Africa, Europe, and the United Kingdom.

Judging from the trend, the United States and Russia are still at a high level, and the others are starting to decline somewhat, because each country has adopted relatively strong measures.

Zhong Nanshan said that more countries are now starting to vaccinate. The vaccine, whether it is high or low, is definitely effective. At present, there are two official vaccines in China, and several more are under clinical phase 3 observation.

There is a process of getting vaccinated and developing antibodies, and as more people get vaccinated, the disease improves.

Hello, according to historical experience, the epidemic is expected to end in 1-3 years. In the face of the new crown virus in 2020, it is inevitable that the vast majority of countries will move towards "herd immunity", because the new crown is an RNA virus, and its mutation rate is 1 million times that of DNA viruses such as hepatitis B and smallpox, and the final result of the epidemic is the common evolution and rebirth of humans and viruses.

If we talk about the local epidemic in China, it can only be said that it is basically over, after all, the risk of importation has always existed, and in this case, it is impossible to conclude that the second infection will not break out. If you look at it from a global perspective, the epidemic is likely to last until the end of this year, and Zhang Wenhong has previously said that the epidemic is very dangerous, and it may break out in the autumn and winter in the future. For us, the end of the pandemic is the final victory.

It's hard to say when the new crown epidemic will be completely over in the last two years, but judging from the situation in our country, the country is still relatively safe, but the poor control abroad will always have an impact on the epidemic in our country, but it can also be seen that it is impossible to completely end it within three or two years.

No one knows about this, mainly because the current population flow is relatively high, you are like domestic and foreign, the epidemic abroad is more serious, and then he will also spread, so it is very unfavorable for the spread of the epidemic...

Mainly because there is no specific drug for the virus, there is no special drug for the virus, and now antibiotics can be used for bacteria and fungi, but they are completely useless for the virus. . .

Now the epidemic situation in China has stabilized a lot, only occasionally there are still infected people in some cities, but they are generally relatively safe, and now it is not so peaceful abroad, there are often a lot of infected people reported abroad, and now there are new viruses appearing, I think it will take several years for this epidemic to end.

Generally, the signal of the end of the epidemic is that there is zero increase in confirmed patients, and the zero growth will be maintained for 28 days, during which there will be concerns about imported cases, so it will take at least some time for the epidemic to end. It can be said that the people of the whole country understand the horror of the virus, but at the same time, it also makes us pay attention to the research of basic science and biotechnology.

Through our understanding of the news of the epidemic, we can know that our country has zero tolerance for the new crown pneumonia, and except for our country, other countries are very negative to deal with this epidemic, and there are no strong measures, so there is no optimistic idea about the end of the epidemic.

According to some experts such as Zhong Nanshan, the epidemic may continue for a long time. Because the current new coronavirus-style spread is very fast, and mutant viruses are always emerging, only by thoroughly researching effective ways to combat it can we end the epidemic.

Hello, the current situation of the epidemic is still not optimistic, which means that if it wants to end completely, it may take two or three years to completely end it around the world.

As long as foreign countries are not cleared and not valued, it will never end. We're trying to clear zero, but they're trying to make themselves freer, so together, this will be over in a long time.