Economist Now that the golden decade of real estate has passed, what will be the next situation for

Maybe nextTowards a relatively stable situation, at least there will be no skyrocketing real estate in the future.

In the past, when we talked about housing prices, we would feel that housing prices were rising very fast, and in many places they would even rise by more than 10% a year, which made many people feel particularly exaggerated, so that many people would participate in real estate investment, but with the continuous development of society, we will find that nowThe house is increasingly returning to its original valueHouses are for living, not for speculation, and this concept is becoming more and more popular.

The first 10 years of real estate have passed.

If you say which industry is the most important industry in the past 10 years, many people may say the banking industry, some people will say the Internet industry, but the real estate industry will definitely not be absent, because the past 10 years have been the first 10 years of the real estate industry. In the past decade, housing prices have doubled in most first-tier cities, and in many second-tier cities, they have doubled or even tripled. <>

Real estate will be more and more stable in the future.

We can't always count on real estate to drive the overall economy, because real estate overdraws the purchasing power of residents. At this stage, many areas have made relevant restrictions on real estate, and it is through this method to stabilize housing prices, so as to achieve a purpose of cooling the property market. In the future, the house will return more and more to its original residential value, rather than the so-called investment value.

The house will return to its habitable value.

This principle is very simple, because the house is originally meant to be lived in, not a fixed investmentGone are the days when you used your house as an investmentNowadays, if anyone wants to speculate on the house by increasing leverage, this behavior is very dangerous and will also bring a very large financial risk to themselves. For those who have just needs, they can also buy their favorite house during this time. <>

The next real estate development situation is likely to show a trend. And now the housing prices in some cities are also in the best situation, but there are still some uncertainties.

The next real estate situation may not be optimistic, because the policy of housing not speculation may affect housing prices.

I think it's going to level off and then make housing affordable for everyone and give everyone a sense of belonging.

Housing prices will still be **, because more and more people are buying houses, and houses are still in short supply, so it's **bound to**.

I think it will continue to grow, because no matter what the situation, it will not affect the investment status of real estate in people's minds.

The prospects for the development of the real estate market in the future will certainly not be too good, and the transaction volume in many parts of our country has been declining.

Some domestic experts believe that China's real estate market will be able to achieve better development in the future, because the first stage of China's real estate market development has not yet been completed. We must understand that there is an inevitable connection between the development of the real estate market and the domestic demand, and the domestic demand has been declining, so the possibility of the real estate market developing in the future will not be too great.

In many parts of the country, the transaction volume has been declining, but the real estate market in southern cities will definitely be able to get better development, because the vast majority of college graduates will go to the south to find a job, and there is an intention to live in the south, in this case, buying a house will become the choice of many people. <>

The development of the real estate market in the north will definitely get worse and worse in the future, because many houses in the north have no investment value, and the population has been constantly flowing out, and the supply of houses has been continuous, and it is very difficult to develop under such changes in supply and demand. <>

I believe that many people have heard of Ren Zeping's sentence, the development of the real estate market in the short term is to look at the policy, the medium term is to look at the capital, the long-term is to look at the population, in the case of no population support, the real estate market is bound to be unable to get too good development. <>

All in all, China's real estate market is generally in a relatively high state, if you want to develop, you must increase the wages of ordinary people. The number of university graduates in our country is constantly growing, and the employment situation is getting worse and worse, so the development of the real estate market is bound to be hindered.

The future prospects of real estate are not particularly good, because now the real estate is particularly expensive, and the state has also introduced policies to check and balance real estate, and real estate should go downhill in the future.

In the future, it will prosper again, but housing prices will gradually stabilize, there will be no particularly outrageously high housing prices, and people will be more rational when buying houses.

It is a project worth investing in, because people have a large demand for houses, and the house price is likely to continue**, if the geographical location is better, ** is also more expensive, and if you have funds, you can choose to buy a house as real estate.

I am not optimistic about the future of the real estate industry, the current development situation of the real estate industry is very sluggish, although the urbanization construction is accelerating, the economic scale of the real estate industry is still growing rapidly, but due to various factors, the development of the real estate industry is not as healthy as we imagined. <>

From the overall situation of the development of the real estate industry, the real estate industry still has a certain period of prospects, after all, the country's construction of urbanization has never stopped, all walks of life are still accelerating the pace of construction, a large number of rural people are migrating to the city, and there is still a big gap in the housing in the city, but with the stereotype of urban infrastructure, the land available for construction is becoming less and less, and real estate companies want to build a real estate need to buy land from the hands of **, It is even necessary to pay a high amount of demolition money, and the liquidity of real estate companies is a very big problem, and the state has successively tightened the loan opening of banks to real estate companies, and it is very difficult for real estate companies to rely on their own economic capacity to build. <>

At present, many people still have the idea of investing in real estate, but real estate is facing an embarrassing situation of having a price and no market, and there are too many vacant houses in many cities. The reasons are, first, the housing prices are too high, and second, the people's income level is not large, but the housing prices are too fast. Third, with the acceleration of urbanization, a large area of real estate development, resulting in an increase in unfinished real estate, people wait and see more, dare not buy, so the house is in a situation of price but no market.

Although there are still good prospects for real estate in recent years, with the adjustment of national policies, real estate profit margins have been greatly reduced, and there will be no more rapid growth in housing prices in previous years, and the owners of real estate companies have made a lot of money.

First, the acceleration of urbanization. The rapid development of the economy and the continuous advancement of industrialization will accelerate the urbanization process of a region and a country, which will inevitably lead to the migration of a large number of rural people to urban areas, which will bring huge real estate demand.

2. Traditional Chinese concepts. Since ancient times, the Chinese believe that only by living in peace can they be happy, and the house is the premise of happiness, and it is also the necessary material condition for talking about marriage and glorifying the ruler to marry. The impact of this concept on the demand of the real estate market will be long-term, it is difficult to change it for a while, as long as this concept exists, it will greatly promote the sustainable development of the real estate market.

3. Investment needs. In addition to social attributes and commodity attributes, real estate itself also has certain investment attributes. Under the current situation that China's investment channels are relatively narrow, real estate investment is still the industry with the lowest risk and the most stable benefits.

Therefore, a considerable part of the investment funds are invested in real estate in the short or long term to promote the continuous development of real estate.

Fourth, the increase in the demand for improvement. With the development of the economy, the area and supporting facilities of some urban residents can no longer meet their existing needs, so there will be a demand for re-purchase of houses. This part of the demand is also an important factor driving the development of real estate.

5. In 2010 and 2011, many policies were introduced to regulate and control the high yield of real estate, which was called the most severe regulation in history, but it did not cause housing prices to fall sharply, and even housing prices in some second- and third-tier cities are still rising rapidly, indicating that China's real estate has strong market demand support.

I am still very optimistic about the real estate industry, because many young people are now planning to buy a house.

Look good. A friend who is very familiar with the real estate industry told me that in 10 years, there is a possibility that real estate talent will decline, and now, there is nothing possible.

We definitely need to seize the opportunity, and if we invest in real estate at this time, we will make money when the price of real estate starts to rise in the last few years, so we have to seize this opportunity anyway.

I think it should. Because this is a good time to buy a house, we must start as soon as possible while it is cheap, and don't let ourselves regret it.

Yes, this is the time to seize the moment. And**I feel that it is really a very good investment, and it is generally not lost.

The reasons are complex, and there are three main aspects: one is the decline in economic growth, the second is the slowdown in urbanization, and the third is the structural imbalance in the real estate market.

Investment is demand in the current year, but the next year is **, the economy you want to make it sufficient, the supply side is not a problem, you need to bend the land limb investment. If you want to improve it in the future, you need to invest now, so the key role of investment is very important.

Today I know that we will have experts talking about real estate, I will show you that real estate investment has fallen sharply, this curve is so down, it should be said that industry insiders, including all people in the economic circles, are still shuddering after reading it. So this problem should be said to be more complicated, we have listed three reasons, the first is the decline in economic growth; The second is that China's urbanization has long been transformed, which we have studied in detail in the past, and we may not have paid much attention to it in the past, and we pointed out that China's urbanization has long been pointed out, especially the kind of urbanization that everyone said about the rural population becoming urban people, and then the rural land becoming urban land, and then the real estate market is very hot, in fact, it basically stopped a few years ago, and now it is reverse urbanization. So everyone remembers, during the two sessions, the Hebei delegation talked about "two-way" when he participated in this discussion, urbanization, rural revitalization, urbanization requires talents and funds, and rural revitalization also requires talents and funds.

When he said "two-way", many people don't pay much attention to it, what does "two-way" mean? It is from the city to the countryside, and you can put it more bluntly is reverse urbanization, which should be said to be the overall integration of urban and rural areas, and I think it is right to say that. If that's the case, you will know that it has some very profound trend effects on us, especially the development of the real estate market.

Someone in the real estate market specifically said, I can probably say that I am one of the earliest people in China to study the real estate market, because I participated in all the early research, formulation and discussion of these reform plans, I participated in them all, and then I didn't do much else. I know that our market has had structural distortions from the very beginning, and these structural distortions do not change depending on whether you give money or don't pay. Therefore, now the real estate in various places is started from the capital side, ensuring the delivery of buildings, etc., but after these superficial problems are solved, if we cannot solve the structural distortions of our market, then the long-term development of this market still has some problems.

With the continuous development of social economy, I believe that many people have a deeper understanding of real estate, because in the past, real estate was developing with the development of the economy, but so far, China's real estate has begun to appear in the situation of ministers, which makes many people very puzzled, why is this happening? In fact, the reason why real estate stocks did not rise is mainly because of the country's macroeconomic control policies.

First of all, we have to understand a truth, that is, in China's real estate emergence of the first ten years, the real estate has always been speculated by everyone, and it is in this period that the real estate soars, and the annual increase is particularly scary, but with the country's regulation and control of real estate-related industries over the years, the whole real estate has not appeared after the speculation, and the real estate has not grown. This is also in order to let more people afford to buy houses, and put an end to such behaviors, which affects the real estate industry.

In addition to these factors, over the years, the control of real estate is also very strict, and the sales of many houses are also very concerned, because the sales of some houses are actually very high, and under the people's ambitions, it has exceeded the 10,000 yuan mark, which has led to the fact that the ** has to take action to adjust this situation, that is, under the influence of these factors, it is difficult for the real estate to continue to grow, and it can only stabilize at one stage, but even so, the purchase of real estate** There are still a lot of people, because everyone believes that real estate will continue to grow.

Sometimes we have to thank our country, which really gives us a very good environment, and also thanks to the country for being able to control real estate-related ** when real estate is soaring, only after doing so, can more people afford to buy houses, and only after doing so, can we help more people improve their lives.